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Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus Result & Analysis

Date: 24/09/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 1-2
Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis
Vs
16%
24%
60%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
Greece: Cup
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with a 60% chance for Olympiakos Piraeus, 24% for a draw and 16% for Asteras Tripolis to lift the trophy. The expected total of 2.8 goals suggests a moderate scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.4% probability. Asteras, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 0.67 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Olympiakos, on the road against a weaker opponent, nets 1.75 and concedes only 0.38. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals (99.2%), Over 19.5 fouls (99.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.7% hit), Under 6.5 (97.6% hit), Over 21.5 fouls (97.3%), Under 11.5 corners (96.3%), Away +2 handicap (94.6% hit) and Home under 2.5 goals (93.9% hit). These picks reflect the expected low-scoring, defensive nature of the encounter, with Olympiakos likely to edge the match.

Results analysis

Asteras Tripolis finished 1-2 against Olympiakos Piraeus (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 16% home win, 24% draw and 60% away win. Picks that landed: Under 7.5 (99%), Home under 3.5 goals (99%), Under 6.5 (98%), Away +2 handicap (95%), Home under 2.5 goals (94%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Asteras Tripolis win✗ Miss
15.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus win✓ Hit
60.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W20W20W14L24L02L01L22D11D12LH·OFI13/04A·OFI26/04A·OFI26/04H·ATR03/05A·ARI10/05A·OLY23/08A·AEK31/08H·LAR14/09A·KIF17/09A·VOL20/09← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.201.211.211.121.19
vs Stronger (8)0.622.000.672.000.602.00
vs Similar (21)1.380.951.401.101.360.82
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W20W42W10W20W20W20W50W00D11DH·AEK13/04A·AEK27/04H·PAO04/05A·PAN11/05A·OFI17/05H·AST23/08A·VOL30/08H·PAN13/09H·PAF17/09A·PAN21/09← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.632.250.561.360.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.821.003.000.800.831.17
vs Weaker (19)1.840.421.910.451.750.38
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.8%
Under 2.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.6%
Under 3.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.0%
No
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
0-2
11.1%
0-1
10.7%
1-2 ✓
9.9%
0-0
7.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
4.6%
Asteras Tripolis goals ↓
Olympiakos Piraeus goals →
01234
07.2%11%11%7.1%3.4%
14.4%11%9.9%6.3%3.0%
22.4%4.6%4.4%2.8%1.3%
30.7%1.4%1.3%0.8%0.4%
40.2%0.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Asteras Tripolis goals (down), columns = Olympiakos Piraeus goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Asteras Tripolis
2.29
PAOK
2.25
Iraklis 1908
2.00
Kampaniakos Chalastra
2.00
Panargiakos
2.00
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.00
OFI
2.00
PAS Giannina
2.00
Makedonikos Neapolis
2.00
Kavala
2.00
Panserraikos
2.00
Volos NFC
2.00
Kifisia
2.00
Panathinaikos
1.75
AEK Athens FC
1.67
Kalamata
1.50
Ilioupoli
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Panionios
1.43
Egaleo
1.40
Aris Thessalonikis
1.33
Larisa
1.33
Atromitos
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.94
Marko
0.90
Ellas Syros
0.90
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.87
Kallithea
0.67
Levadiakos
0.00
Kissamikos
0.00
Panetolikos
0.00
Asteras Tripolis is 0.29 points better than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of average points per game (2.29 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PAS Giannina
6.00
Kifisia
3.40
Iraklis 1908
3.00
PAOK
2.75
Panargiakos
2.00
Kavala
2.00
Asteras Tripolis
1.86
OFI
1.75
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.71
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.67
Volos NFC
1.67
Ilioupoli
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Atromitos
1.33
Panionios
1.29
Panathinaikos
1.25
Egaleo
1.20
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.09
Marko
1.04
Ellas Syros
1.04
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.01
Levadiakos
1.00
Kissamikos
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Larisa
1.00
Panetolikos
1.00
AEK Athens FC
0.83
Aris Thessalonikis
0.67
Kalamata
0.50
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.50
Kallithea
0.33
Asteras Tripolis is 0.14 goals better than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 1.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.00
Larisa
0.33
Kifisia
0.40
Kalamata
0.50
Iraklis 1908
0.50
Ilioupoli
0.50
PAOK
0.50
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.57
Asteras Tripolis
0.57
Kallithea
0.67
PAS Giannina
0.67
Aris Thessalonikis
0.67
Panionios
0.86
OFI
0.88
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.00
Panathinaikos
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Volos NFC
1.00
AEK Athens FC
1.33
Kavala
1.33
Niki Volos
1.50
Panargiakos
1.67
Atromitos
1.67
Levadiakos
2.00
Panetolikos
2.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
2.13
Marko
2.24
Ellas Syros
2.24
Nestos Chrisoupolis
2.30
Egaleo
2.60
Kissamikos
3.00
Asteras Tripolis and Olympiakos Piraeus are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis

For 5.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

150474235312221023737939311681541210101212A·VOLH·LARA·AEKA·OLYA·ARIH·ATRA·OFIA·OFIH·OFIH·OFI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

804344233122232334347853145577A·VOLH·LARA·AEKA·OLYA·ARIH·ATRA·OFIA·OFIH·OFIH·OFI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.4

⚠️ Fouls

3702116121571710101017718101010101611161137272420272520202727A·VOLH·LARA·AEKA·OLYA·ARIH·ATRA·OFIA·OFIH·OFIH·OFI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

For 6.4 · Against 3.0 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

150419118412358441855259111215138957A·PANH·PAFH·PANA·VOLH·ASTA·PANH·PAOA·AEKH·AEKA·PAO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

100443442333124463487423616107A·PANH·PAFH·PANA·VOLH·ASTA·PANH·PAOA·AEKH·AEKA·PAO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 13.5 · Total 27.6

⚠️ Fouls

4101816151481414141010166121221201315141434292228202224412828A·PANH·PAFH·PANA·VOLH·ASTA·PANH·PAOA·AEKH·AEKA·PAO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.78.98.55.05.04.926.224.427.8
vs Stronger (14)8.57.79.14.94.75.024.621.227.2
vs Similar (33)8.89.77.95.15.05.126.725.228.1
vs Weaker (3)9.07.011.04.38.02.531.534.029.0
% over line50%50%50%70%74%67%86%85%86%
% under line50%50%50%30%26%33%14%15%14%
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.58.18.84.44.64.125.125.424.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)7.26.97.74.34.63.925.225.724.5
vs Weaker (35)9.08.79.34.44.64.225.125.225.0
% over line33%32%33%68%68%68%72%73%71%
% under line67%68%67%32%32%32%28%27%29%
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Egaleo
14.0
Panargiakos
14.0
Panionios
10.4
Panathinaikos
10.1
Kampaniakos Chalastra
10.0
Kifisia
9.9
Kallithea
9.7
PAS Giannina
9.7
Panserraikos
9.3
PAOK
9.2
OFI
9.1
Aris Thessalonikis
8.9
AEK Athens FC
8.9
Asteras Tripolis
8.7
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.6
Levadiakos
8.5
Panetolikos
8.5
Larisa
8.4
Volos NFC
8.4
Atromitos
8.3
Makedonikos Neapolis
8.0
Kissamikos
7.0
Marko
7.0
Kalamata
7.0
Anagennisi Karditsas
6.0
Ellas Syros
5.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
5.0
Niki Volos
4.0
Iraklis 1908
3.0
Kavala
2.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Anagennisi Karditsas
8.0
Kavala
8.0
Kifisia
6.8
Panserraikos
6.4
Levadiakos
6.3
Atromitos
6.2
Larisa
6.1
Volos NFC
6.0
Makedonikos Neapolis
6.0
AEK Athens FC
6.0
Panathinaikos
5.9
Kallithea
5.9
OFI
5.9
Panionios
5.8
Asteras Tripolis
5.7
Aris Thessalonikis
5.5
Panetolikos
5.4
PAOK
5.2
PAS Giannina
5.1
Kampaniakos Chalastra
5.0
Iraklis 1908
5.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.9
Ellas Syros
4.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
4.0
Kalamata
4.0
Kissamikos
3.0
Egaleo
3.0
Marko
3.0
Panargiakos
3.0
Niki Volos
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Egaleo
66.0
Panargiakos
66.0
Kampaniakos Chalastra
39.0
Anagennisi Karditsas
37.0
Kissamikos
37.0
Marko
37.0
Iraklis 1908
37.0
Larisa
35.6
Ellas Syros
34.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
34.0
Volos NFC
31.6
Kifisia
30.9
Panionios
30.5
Levadiakos
30.5
Atromitos
30.4
PAS Giannina
29.3
Panathinaikos
29.0
Kallithea
28.8
OFI
28.8
Panserraikos
28.3
Aris Thessalonikis
28.2
AEK Athens FC
27.6
Niki Volos
27.0
Asteras Tripolis
26.6
Panetolikos
25.9
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.0
Makedonikos Neapolis
24.0
Kavala
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
13.1%
Under 9.5
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.0%
Under 3.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
97.3%
Under 21.5
2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Asteras Tripolis or Draw✗ Miss
39.8%
Avg Implied -
16%
24%
60%
covers Asteras Tripolis + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis or Olympiakos Piraeus✓ Hit
76.1%
Avg Implied -
16%
24%
60%
covers Asteras Tripolis + Olympiakos Piraeus
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Olympiakos Piraeus✓ Hit
84.1%
Avg Implied -
16%
24%
60%
covers Draw + Olympiakos Piraeus
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
58.8%
Under
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
22.2%
Under
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.1%
Under
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
56.7%
Under
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.7%
Under
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.6%
Under
87.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Asteras Tripolis, so a minus line means Asteras Tripolis give that many goals of a start and Olympiakos Piraeus receive them. At -1, Asteras Tripolis must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Asteras Tripolis win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Asteras Tripolis)Actual: Olympiakos Piraeus
Asteras Tripolis -2
1.3%
Draw -2
4.1%
Olympiakos Piraeus +2
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Asteras Tripolis)Actual: Olympiakos Piraeus
Asteras Tripolis -1
5.4%
Draw -1
10.5%
Olympiakos Piraeus +1
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Asteras Tripolis)Actual: Draw
Asteras Tripolis +1
39.8%
Draw +1
23.7%
Olympiakos Piraeus -1
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Asteras Tripolis)Actual: Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis +2
63.5%
Draw +2
18.9%
Olympiakos Piraeus -2
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D00D04L02L00D01L20W10W01LH·OFI13/04A·OFI26/04A·OFI26/04H·ATR03/05A·ARI10/05A·OLY23/08A·AEK31/08H·LAR14/09A·KIF17/09A·VOL20/09← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.530.500.640.190.44
vs Stronger (8)0.120.880.000.670.201.00
vs Similar (21)0.380.430.600.700.180.18
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W22D00D10W00D00D00D00D00DH·AEK13/04A·AEK27/04H·PAO04/05A·PAN11/05A·OFI17/05H·AST23/08A·VOL30/08H·PAN13/09H·PAF17/09A·PAN21/09← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.810.440.430.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.730.821.400.800.170.83
vs Weaker (19)0.580.210.550.270.620.12
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W20W10W22D02L00D02L01L11DH·OFI13/04A·OFI26/04A·OFI26/04H·ATR03/05A·ARI10/05A·OLY23/08A·AEK31/08H·LAR14/09A·KIF17/09A·VOL20/09← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.670.710.570.940.75
vs Stronger (8)0.501.120.671.330.401.00
vs Similar (21)1.000.520.800.401.180.64
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W20W10W10W20W20W50W00D11DH·AEK13/04A·AEK27/04H·PAO04/05A·PAN11/05A·OFI17/05H·AST23/08A·VOL30/08H·PAN13/09H·PAF17/09A·PAN21/09← Super League 1Cup →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.201.440.120.930.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.090.181.600.000.670.33
vs Weaker (19)1.260.211.360.181.120.25
Clean sheet %80% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls99.0%--------
Home under 3.5 goals98.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls97.3%--------
Under 11.5 corners96.3%--------
Away +2 handicap94.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals93.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls93.8%--------
Under 5.593.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners92.8%--------
Over 25.5 fouls87.5%--------
Away under 3.5 goals87.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners86.9%--------
Away over 0.5 goals85.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.584.9%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away84.1%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap84.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.3%--------
Under 8.5 corners78.1%--------
Home under 1.5 goals77.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.7%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away76.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards74.9%--------
Away under 2.5 goals70.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Asteras Tripolis
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julián Bartolo30%
Federico Macheda26%
Georgios Charalampoglou10%
Julián Chicco9%
Kalvin Ketu9%
Nikos Kaltsas7%
Christos Almyras6%
Robert Ivanov6%
Nicholas Gioacchini6%
Chidera Okoh6%
Nikolai Alho5%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe4%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis4%
Eder González4%
Pepe Castaño0%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy0%
Júnior Mendieta0%
Issiaga Sylla0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos0%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Dani Fernández0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Miguel Muñoz Mora0%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil0%
Konstantinos Pomonis0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pepe Castaño75%
Alexandros Tereziou50%
Konstantinos Pomonis46%
Dani Fernández36%
Miguel Muñoz Mora32%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe30%
Nikola Šipčić29%
Robert Ivanov28%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos27%
Stefan Mitrović25%
Nikos Kaltsas21%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil20%
Nikolai Alho19%
Christos Almyras19%
Issiaga Sylla18%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy17%
Chidera Okoh17%
Federico Macheda16%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis12%
Julián Bartolo12%
Nicholas Gioacchini11%
Theofanis Tzandaris10%
Julián Chicco9%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis8%
Eder González8%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos7%
Kalvin Ketu6%
Júnior Mendieta0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Georgios Charalampoglou0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kalvin Ketu15%
Julián Chicco9%
Federico Macheda6%
Júnior Mendieta6%
Christos Almyras6%
Julián Bartolo6%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy6%
Nicholas Gioacchini6%
Nikolai Alho5%
Issiaga Sylla5%
Miguel Muñoz Mora5%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis4%
Eder González4%
Nikos Kaltsas3%
Pepe Castaño0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos0%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Robert Ivanov0%
Dani Fernández0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil0%
Chidera Okoh0%
Konstantinos Pomonis0%
Georgios Charalampoglou0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christos Almyras19%
Julián Bartolo18%
Nikos Kaltsas10%
Federico Macheda10%
Kalvin Ketu6%
Chidera Okoh6%
Pepe Castaño0%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy0%
Júnior Mendieta0%
Julián Chicco0%
Issiaga Sylla0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis0%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos0%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Nikolai Alho0%
Robert Ivanov0%
Eder González0%
Dani Fernández0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Nicholas Gioacchini0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Miguel Muñoz Mora0%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil0%
Konstantinos Pomonis0%
Georgios Charalampoglou0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
Olympiakos Piraeus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayoub El Kaabi39%
Mehdi Taremi29%
Gelson Martins17%
Rodinei12%
Chiquinho10%
Yusuf Yazıcı10%
Daniel Podence7%
Gabriel Strefezza6%
Panagiotis Retsos6%
Diogo Nascimento5%
Dani García3%
Francisco Ortega3%
Costinha3%
Lorenzo Pirola3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Christos Mouzakitis3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Roman Yaremchuk0%
Rémy Cabella0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Clayton0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
André Luiz0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Stavros Pnevmonidis0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dani García21%
Daniel Podence17%
Santiago Hezze17%
Francisco Ortega17%
Lorenzo Scipioni17%
Costinha16%
Panagiotis Retsos14%
Rémy Cabella14%
Onyemaechi Bruno14%
Giulian Biancone13%
Lorenzo Pirola12%
Gabriel Strefezza12%
André Luiz10%
Rodinei9%
Roman Yaremchuk9%
Mehdi Taremi9%
Ayoub El Kaabi8%
Christos Mouzakitis6%
Gelson Martins3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Chiquinho0%
Yusuf Yazıcı0%
Diogo Nascimento0%
Clayton0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Stavros Pnevmonidis0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Podence21%
Chiquinho20%
Rémy Cabella14%
Rodinei12%
Gabriel Strefezza12%
Mehdi Taremi12%
Francisco Ortega10%
Yusuf Yazıcı10%
Diogo Nascimento10%
Roman Yaremchuk9%
Ayoub El Kaabi8%
Santiago Hezze6%
Christos Mouzakitis6%
Dani García3%
Lorenzo Pirola3%
Gelson Martins3%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Clayton0%
Costinha0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
André Luiz0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Stavros Pnevmonidis0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayoub El Kaabi50%
André Luiz30%
Chiquinho28%
Mehdi Taremi21%
Roman Yaremchuk18%
Clayton14%
Daniel Podence14%
Gabriel Strefezza12%
Gelson Martins6%
Yusuf Yazıcı5%
Rodinei3%
Panagiotis Retsos3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Christos Mouzakitis3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Francisco Ortega0%
Rémy Cabella0%
Dani García0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Diogo Nascimento0%
Costinha0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Stavros Pnevmonidis0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
ILI (31)
€4m
PG (36)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
KAV (28)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
MN (29)
€3m
KC (26)
€2m
PAN (32)
€2m
Asteras Tripolis's squad is €162m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€13m vs €175m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
EGA (19)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
I1 (6)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ILI (10)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
MN (10)
€1m
PAN (12)
€1m
KC (8)
€1m
Asteras Tripolis's attack is €79m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€5m vs €84m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
ILI (6)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
KC (7)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MN (4)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
PAN (7)
€0m
KAV (4)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Asteras Tripolis's midfield is €45m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€2m vs €47m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
ILI (15)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
MN (15)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
KC (11)
€1m
PAN (13)
€1m
Asteras Tripolis's defence is €38m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€6m vs €44m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
AT wins
2
Draws
5
OP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus · H/A from AT
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs AT2-0
09/02/25AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs AT1-1
27/10/24HAT Vs Olympiakos Piraeus1-0
25/02/24AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs AT2-1
12/11/23HAT Vs Olympiakos Piraeus0-2
28/12/22AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs AT5-0
29/08/22HAT Vs Olympiakos Piraeus0-0
02/03/22AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs AT5-1

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25AVolos NFC Vs AT2-1
17/09/25AKifisia Vs AT1-1
14/09/25HAT Vs Larisa2-2
31/08/25AAEK Athens FC Vs AT1-0
23/08/25AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs AT2-0
10/05/25AAris Thessalonikis Vs AT4-2
03/05/25HAT Vs Atromitos1-4
26/04/25AOFI Vs AT0-2
26/04/25AOFI Crete Vs AT0-2
13/04/25HAT Vs OFI Crete2-1

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25APanathinaikos Vs OP1-1
17/09/25HOP Vs Pafos0-0
13/09/25HOP Vs Panserraikos5-0
30/08/25AVolos NFC Vs OP0-2
23/08/25HOP Vs Asteras Tripolis2-0
17/05/25AOFI Vs OP0-2
11/05/25APanathinaikos Vs OP0-1
04/05/25HOP Vs PAOK4-2
27/04/25AAEK Athens FC Vs OP0-2
13/04/25HOP Vs AEK Athens FC1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis
Greece: Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL1.54
HomeLWWLD1.65
AwayLLLDL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%41%
AVG goals2.402.482.33
Over 1.5 %74%70%78%
Over 2.5 %46%52%41%
Over 3.5 %12%13%11%
Scored1.281.391.19
Conceded1.121.091.15
BTTS50%43%56%
Clean Sheet32%35%30%
Corners8.718.958.50
Cards5.905.806.00
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
Greece: Cup
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD2.24
HomeWWWWD2.44
AwayWWWWD2.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%72%60%
AVG goals2.302.721.88
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %36%52%20%
Over 3.5 %16%24%8%
Scored1.702.121.28
Conceded0.600.600.60
BTTS38%48%28%
Clean Sheet56%52%60%
Corners8.478.148.81
Cards5.095.274.90

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC3478
68%
2.3
6021+39
2.4
65%
41%
26%
8.5
29%
5.6
91%
30.5
100%
85
4416261.80.6
57%
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus3472
62%
2.1
5717+40
2.2
74%
38%
12%
8.7
41%
4.5
59%
25.9
74%
175
8447441.70.5
60%
3PAOKPAOK3470
59%
2.1
6426+38
2.6
79%
59%
24%
8.9
35%
4.7
69%
25.0
74%
82
3028241.90.8
60%
4PanathinaikosPanathinaikos3458
47%
1.7
5334+19
2.6
76%
50%
26%
7.6
21%
5.3
74%
30.0
91%
109
4626381.61.0
53%
5LevadiakosLevadiakos3658
47%
1.6
7254+18
3.5
89%
67%
53%
8.6
44%
5.8
86%
30.9
94%
16
5552.01.5
56%
6Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis3652
36%
1.4
3938+1
2.1
72%
36%
17%
9.2
56%
5.6
81%
29.5
94%
41
227121.11.1
51%
7AtromitosAtromitos3849
34%
1.3
5345+8
2.6
71%
55%
26%
8.7
39%
4.9
76%
30.6
95%
12
3261.41.2
53%
8KifisiaKifisia3845
26%
1.2
4554-9
2.6
76%
55%
29%
9.1
37%
6.5
87%
32.3
95%
10
4241.21.4
48%
9OFIOFI3239
38%
1.2
4355-12
3.1
88%
69%
34%
8.3
34%
5.5
88%
29.9
97%
18
6381.31.7
45%
10
OC
OFI Crete
3239
38%
1.2
4355-12
3.1
88%
69%
34%
8.3
34%
5.4
88%
29.8
97%
0
0001.31.7
-
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis3839
24%
1.0
3953-14
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.7
53%
5.6
79%
28.6
87%
13
5261.01.4
45%
12PanetolikosPanetolikos3839
26%
1.0
3954-15
2.4
66%
45%
21%
8.5
42%
5.5
83%
26.9
82%
13
7231.01.4
46%
13Volos NFCVolos NFC3637
28%
1.0
3760-23
2.7
81%
50%
19%
8.8
36%
5.4
89%
30.0
92%
10
4251.01.7
46%
14LarisaLarisa3830
13%
0.8
3561-26
2.5
82%
42%
18%
8.7
42%
6.0
79%
29.7
84%
5
2120.91.6
46%
15PanserraikosPanserraikos3829
18%
0.8
2577-52
2.7
74%
55%
24%
8.6
45%
5.9
85%
27.3
84%
6
2130.72.0
37%
Greece: Super League 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →

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