Arsenal’s recent unbeaten run and the fact that they are playing at a weaker opponent’s ground make an away win the clear favourite, with a 47% probability. The model also sees a 28% chance of a draw and a 24% chance of an Aston Villa win. The expected total of 2.5 goals suggests a modestly open game, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.5% probability. Aston Villa have scored and conceded an average of one goal each at home against stronger opposition, while Arsenal have been prolific away, scoring 1.75 and conceding only 0.58 against weaker teams. The suggested selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 80.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 80.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 73.8%, Over 1.5 goals at 73.1% and Under 3.5 goals at 75.2%. The match is likely to be a close affair, with Arsenal’s edge in form and away potency making them the most probable victors.
Results analysis
Aston Villa finished 2-4 against Arsenal (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 24% home win, 28% draw and 47% away win. Picks that landed: Under 25.5 fouls (80%), Over 2.5 cards (80%), Under 5.5 cards (74%), Over 1.5 (73%). Missed: Under 3.5 (75%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied 22.1% · @ 4.36
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.66
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arsenal win✓ Hit
47.4%
Avg Implied 51.6% · @ 1.87
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Aston Villa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.53
1.38
1.44
1.00
1.64
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
2.25
1.00
1.00
1.33
2.67
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.71
1.33
1.67
0.75
1.75
vs Weaker (9)
1.44
0.89
1.50
1.17
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
0.90
2.47
1.00
1.53
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.43
1.71
2.00
1.75
0.67
1.67
vs Weaker (23)
2.17
0.65
2.64
0.73
1.75
0.58
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.3%
@ 1.93-3.4%
Under 2.5
53.7%
@ 1.91+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.0%
No
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
Aston Villa goals ↓
Arsenal goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
11%
9.1%
4.6%
1.7%
1
6.9%
13%
9.3%
4.7%
1.8%
2
4.1%
6.2%
4.7%
2.4%
0.9%
3
1.4%
2.1%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = Arsenal goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Aston Villa is 0.61 points worse than Arsenal in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 2.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Aston Villa is 0.97 goals worse than Arsenal in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 2.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Aston Villa is 0.08 goals worse than Arsenal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.13).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Aston Villa is 11.1 percentage points worse than Arsenal in terms of average possession (49% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aston Villa
For 3.4 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 12.6 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arsenal
For 5.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 3.2 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 12.7 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aston Villa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.4
10.8
4.1
3.2
4.9
23.8
21.8
25.9
vs Stronger (6)
11.7
10.3
13.0
2.8
2.7
3.0
21.2
20.0
22.3
vs Similar (28)
9.5
9.2
9.7
4.4
3.3
5.3
24.2
21.5
26.6
vs Weaker (16)
12.2
12.2
12.1
3.9
3.2
4.9
24.1
22.8
25.9
% over line
58%
52%
64%
56%
48%
64%
62%
40%
84%
% under line
42%
48%
36%
44%
52%
36%
38%
60%
16%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.1
9.1
3.8
3.6
4.1
20.8
20.8
20.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
8.4
8.4
8.2
4.7
4.1
5.8
21.2
20.3
22.8
vs Weaker (39)
10.0
10.8
9.3
3.6
3.4
3.8
20.6
21.0
20.3
% over line
50%
56%
44%
50%
44%
56%
38%
36%
40%
% under line
50%
44%
56%
50%
56%
44%
62%
64%
60%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Aston Villa
10.6
Southampton
10.6
Fulham
10.5
Brentford
10.5
Brighton
10.4
Everton
10.3
Bournemouth
10.3
Leicester
10.2
Newcastle
10.2
Liverpool
10.2
Tottenham
10.2
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Chelsea
10.0
Manchester United
9.9
Wolves
9.9
West Ham
9.8
Arsenal
9.6
Manchester City
9.6
Crystal Palace
9.6
Leeds
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Leeds
4.3
Everton
4.3
Tottenham
4.1
Aston Villa
4.1
Newcastle
4.0
Bournemouth
4.0
Crystal Palace
3.9
Fulham
3.9
Brighton
3.9
Wolves
3.8
Arsenal
3.8
Chelsea
3.8
Manchester United
3.5
Southampton
3.2
Manchester City
3.1
Brentford
3.0
Leicester
2.9
West Ham
2.8
Liverpool
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.7
Aston Villa
23.8
Nottingham Forest
23.6
Leeds
23.0
Chelsea
22.6
Bournemouth
21.4
Everton
21.1
Fulham
21.0
Newcastle
21.0
Tottenham
20.9
Brighton
20.9
Arsenal
20.8
Leicester
20.5
Southampton
20.5
Wolves
19.8
Brentford
19.3
Manchester United
19.1
Manchester City
18.2
Liverpool
18.0
West Ham
17.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.9%
Under 9.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
62.2%
Under 3.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.4%
Under 21.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aston Villa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.75
0.69
0.43
0.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.71
0.78
0.67
0.38
0.75
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.56
0.83
0.83
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.27
0.93
0.40
0.87
0.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.57
1.00
0.75
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (23)
1.00
0.17
0.91
0.27
1.08
0.08
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aston Villa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.62
0.75
0.57
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.25
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.47
1.00
0.56
1.00
0.38
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.63
1.53
0.60
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.86
1.14
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (23)
1.17
0.48
1.73
0.45
0.67
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ollie Watkins38%
Bertrand Traoré25%
Danny Ings22%
Jacob Ramsey17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Leon Bailey12%
Philippe Coutinho5%
Lucas Digne4%
Ashley Young3%
John McGinn3%
Tyrone Mings3%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Calum Chambers0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Álex Moreno0%
Cameron Archer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ludwig Augustinsson33%
Ashley Young24%
John McGinn21%
Tyrone Mings20%
Emiliano Martínez19%
Lucas Digne18%
Boubacar Kamara17%
Danny Ings17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Ezri Konsa16%
Álex Moreno16%
Matty Cash15%
Philippe Coutinho15%
Calum Chambers14%
Jacob Ramsey14%
Bertrand Traoré12%
Leon Bailey12%
Ollie Watkins11%
Jhon Durán8%
Robin Olsen0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Diego Carlos0%
Cameron Archer0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Ramsey17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Álex Moreno16%
Ollie Watkins14%
Leon Bailey12%
John McGinn9%
Tyrone Mings6%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Matty Cash4%
Philippe Coutinho0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Ashley Young0%
Lucas Digne0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Danny Ings0%
Calum Chambers0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Cameron Archer0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ollie Watkins35%
Danny Ings17%
Leon Bailey6%
Douglas Luiz5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Philippe Coutinho5%
John McGinn3%
Jacob Ramsey3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Ashley Young0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Calum Chambers0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Álex Moreno0%
Cameron Archer0%
Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriel Martinelli33%
Bukayo Saka28%
Gabriel Jesus28%
Martin Ødegaard27%
Marquinhos25%
Granit Xhaka18%
Edward Nketiah14%
Jakub Kiwior12%
Reiss Nelson12%
William Saliba10%
Rob Holding10%
Thomas Partey8%
Gabriel Magalhães7%
Fábio Vieira7%
Leandro Trossard5%
Benjamin White4%
Oleksandr Zinchenko3%
Kieran Tierney3%
Cédric Soares0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Jorginho0%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Matt Turner0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gabriel Jesus22%
Matt Turner20%
Granit Xhaka18%
Thomas Partey15%
Bukayo Saka15%
Oleksandr Zinchenko13%
Gabriel Magalhães13%
William Saliba13%
Gabriel Martinelli12%
Martin Ødegaard11%
Benjamin White11%
Edward Nketiah8%
Takehiro Tomiyasu7%
Kieran Tierney6%
Rob Holding5%
Fábio Vieira3%
Aaron Ramsdale2%
Cédric Soares0%
Reiss Nelson0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Leandro Trossard0%
Jorginho0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Marquinhos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leandro Trossard33%
Marquinhos25%
Bukayo Saka22%
Gabriel Jesus16%
Emile Smith Rowe15%
Granit Xhaka14%
Martin Ødegaard14%
Fábio Vieira13%
Reiss Nelson12%
Gabriel Martinelli12%
Benjamin White11%
Takehiro Tomiyasu7%
Oleksandr Zinchenko7%
Jorginho6%
William Saliba3%
Kieran Tierney3%
Edward Nketiah3%
Thomas Partey0%
Cédric Soares0%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Rob Holding0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Gabriel Magalhães0%
Matt Turner0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriel Jesus31%
Gabriel Martinelli21%
Bukayo Saka20%
Edward Nketiah19%
Martin Ødegaard16%
Granit Xhaka9%
Reiss Nelson6%
Oleksandr Zinchenko3%
Fábio Vieira3%
Thomas Partey3%
Cédric Soares0%
Kieran Tierney0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Rob Holding0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Leandro Trossard0%
Jorginho0%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Benjamin White0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
William Saliba0%
Gabriel Magalhães0%
Matt Turner0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Marquinhos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Aston Villa's squad is €870m less valuable than Arsenal's (€536m vs €1406m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Aston Villa's attack is €388m less valuable than Arsenal's (€220m vs €608m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Aston Villa's midfield is €130m less valuable than Arsenal's (€160m vs €290m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Aston Villa's defence is €352m less valuable than Arsenal's (€156m vs €508m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Manchester United
Newcastle
Liverpool
Brighton
Tottenham
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton