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Aston Villa vs Brentford Result & Analysis

Date: 06/04/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 3-3
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Vs
61%
22%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Referee: M Salisbury

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aston Villa win✗ Miss
61.0%
Avg Implied 58.5% · @ 1.65
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
21.5%
Avg Implied 23.1% · @ 4.18
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brentford win✗ Miss
17.4%
Avg Implied 18.5% · @ 5.22
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L21W42W32W00D04L40W11D20W14LH·MAN11/02A·FUL17/02H·NOT24/02A·LUT02/03A·AJA07/03H·TOT10/03H·AJA14/03A·WES17/03H·WOL30/03A·MAN03/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.302.131.271.731.33
vs Stronger (3)1.001.331.000.001.004.00
vs Similar (17)2.001.532.381.751.671.33
vs Weaker (10)2.100.902.201.002.000.80
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L20W14L01L24L22D12L12L11D00DH·MAN05/02A·WOL10/02H·LIV17/02A·MAN20/02A·WES26/02H·CHE02/03A·ARS09/03A·BUR16/03H·MAN30/03H·BRI03/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.771.531.871.131.67
vs Stronger (8)0.882.001.002.500.751.50
vs Similar (21)1.431.711.601.701.271.73
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.3%
Under 1.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.5%
@ 1.60+4.7%
Under 2.5
35.5%
@ 2.38-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.5%
Under 3.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.8%
No
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.0%
Aston Villa goals ↓
Brentford goals →
01234
04.5%3.2%2.3%0.8%0.2%
17.1%9.8%5.0%1.9%0.5%
28.8%9.8%5.5%2.0%0.6%
36.4%7.2%4.0%1.5%0.4%
43.5%4.0%2.2%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = Brentford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Aston Villa is 0.76 points better than Brentford in terms of average points per game (1.79 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Aston Villa is 0.53 goals better than Brentford in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.47).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Aston Villa is 0.11 goals better than Brentford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Aston Villa is 8.4 percentage points better than Brentford in terms of average possession (53% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 6.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

180325411731645268724410859184107149818A·MANH·WOLA·WESH·AJAH·TOTA·AJAA·LUTH·NOTA·FULH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

90213433231254411225323765395375A·MANH·WOLA·WESH·AJAH·TOTA·AJAA·LUTH·NOTA·FULH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.1 · Total 22.8

⚠️ Fouls

3001361119121388111511181987166119719302516262927231716A·MANH·WOLA·WESH·AJAH·TOTA·AJAA·LUTH·NOTA·FULH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrentfordBrentford

For 4.4 · Against 6.7 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

21015144454106711101647813618914681171121H·BRIH·MANA·BURA·ARSH·CHEA·WESA·MANH·LIVA·WOLH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

7011225242312142213212476436351H·BRIH·MANA·BURA·ARSH·CHEA·WESA·MANH·LIVA·WOLH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.3 · Against 10.8 · Total 19.1

⚠️ Fouls

310912714171410910995612418911242121311919141822206H·BRIH·MANA·BURA·ARSH·CHEA·WESA·MANH·LIVA·WOLH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.110.65.05.15.023.824.423.1
vs Stronger (3)5.76.05.04.35.03.024.026.519.0
vs Similar (30)10.39.311.35.34.95.723.724.223.1
vs Weaker (17)9.89.410.14.65.53.923.924.423.4
% over line52%40%64%74%76%72%66%72%60%
% under line48%60%36%26%24%28%34%28%40%
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.010.33.93.64.221.520.522.4
vs Stronger (12)10.710.011.13.82.84.419.316.621.3
vs Similar (37)9.99.99.94.03.84.222.321.722.9
vs Weaker (1)12.012.0-3.03.0-18.018.0-
% over line58%48%68%54%48%60%42%36%48%
% under line42%52%32%46%52%40%58%64%52%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.5
Bournemouth
11.7
Tottenham
11.5
Liverpool
10.9
Everton
10.8
Luton
10.8
Burnley
10.4
Fulham
10.4
Sheffield United
10.4
Wolves
10.2
Newcastle
10.2
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Brentford
10.2
Chelsea
10.2
Manchester City
10.1
West Ham
10.0
Crystal Palace
9.9
Aston Villa
9.8
Brighton
9.4
Arsenal
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Brighton
5.2
Aston Villa
5.1
Chelsea
5.1
Tottenham
4.9
Wolves
4.7
Sheffield United
4.3
Newcastle
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Burnley
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Bournemouth
4.0
Manchester City
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Luton
3.8
West Ham
3.7
Everton
3.7
Fulham
3.7
Arsenal
3.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.4
Crystal Palace
23.9
Aston Villa
23.8
Wolves
23.6
Chelsea
23.5
Luton
23.5
Brighton
23.2
Newcastle
23.0
Liverpool
22.1
Arsenal
21.8
Nottingham Forest
21.8
Bournemouth
21.8
Everton
21.5
Burnley
21.5
Fulham
21.5
Brentford
21.5
Sheffield United
20.1
Manchester United
20.1
Manchester City
20.0
West Ham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.8%
Under 9.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.2%
Under 3.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.9%
Under 21.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W31W20W00D00D10W01L10W12LH·MAN11/02A·FUL17/02H·NOT24/02A·LUT02/03A·AJA07/03H·TOT10/03H·AJA14/03A·WES17/03H·WOL30/03A·MAN03/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.430.870.400.930.47
vs Stronger (3)0.670.670.500.001.002.00
vs Similar (17)0.820.530.880.500.780.56
vs Weaker (10)1.100.201.000.401.200.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W01L00D12L01L11D01L00D00DH·MAN05/02A·WOL10/02H·LIV17/02A·MAN20/02A·WES26/02H·CHE02/03A·ARS09/03A·BUR16/03H·MAN30/03H·BRI03/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.600.730.530.60
vs Stronger (8)0.250.620.250.750.250.50
vs Similar (21)0.710.710.800.800.640.64
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D11D12L00D04L30W10W10W02LH·MAN11/02A·FUL17/02H·NOT24/02A·LUT02/03A·AJA07/03H·TOT10/03H·AJA14/03A·WES17/03H·WOL30/03A·MAN03/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.871.270.870.800.87
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.500.000.002.00
vs Similar (17)1.181.001.501.250.890.78
vs Weaker (10)1.000.701.200.600.800.80
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W13L01L12L21W01L11D11D00DH·MAN05/02A·WOL10/02H·LIV17/02A·MAN20/02A·WES26/02H·CHE02/03A·ARS09/03A·BUR16/03H·MAN30/03H·BRI03/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.100.931.130.601.07
vs Stronger (8)0.621.380.751.750.501.00
vs Similar (21)0.711.000.800.900.641.09
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls84.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards81.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners72.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls71.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ollie Watkins41%
Leon Bailey29%
Jhon Durán20%
Morgan Rogers19%
John McGinn18%
Moussa Diaby18%
Douglas Luiz16%
Álex Moreno12%
Nicolò Zaniolo9%
Leander Dendoncker8%
Matty Cash7%
Youri Tielemans7%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Pau Torres5%
Lucas Digne4%
Diego Carlos3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Clément Lenglet0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Calum Chambers0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolò Zaniolo31%
Morgan Rogers31%
Douglas Luiz31%
Boubacar Kamara27%
Matty Cash24%
Jhon Durán23%
John McGinn22%
Lucas Digne20%
Clément Lenglet18%
Emiliano Martínez14%
Ezri Konsa13%
Leon Bailey12%
Calum Chambers12%
Ollie Watkins12%
Youri Tielemans12%
Diego Carlos11%
Jacob Ramsey11%
Moussa Diaby8%
Álex Moreno8%
Tim Iroegbunam7%
Pau Torres3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leon Bailey27%
Ollie Watkins20%
Omari Kellyman20%
Moussa Diaby18%
Douglas Luiz16%
Youri Tielemans16%
John McGinn14%
Calum Chambers12%
Lucas Digne9%
Matty Cash7%
Morgan Rogers6%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Clément Lenglet5%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Diego Carlos3%
Pau Torres3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jhon Durán0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Álex Moreno0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ollie Watkins41%
Moussa Diaby12%
Nicolò Zaniolo9%
Jhon Durán9%
Douglas Luiz8%
Leon Bailey6%
John McGinn6%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Matty Cash5%
Álex Moreno4%
Diego Carlos3%
Youri Tielemans2%
Clément Lenglet0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Calum Chambers0%
Morgan Rogers0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Pau Torres0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
Brentford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yoane Wissa32%
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Ivan Toney24%
Neal Maupay21%
Kevin Schade18%
Ben Mee12%
Shandon Baptiste10%
Keane Lewis-Potter10%
Mathias Jensen9%
Kristoffer Ajer7%
Zanka7%
Ethan Pinnock7%
Christian Nørgaard6%
Saman Ghoddos5%
Frank Onyeka4%
Nathan Collins3%
Mads Roerslev3%
Vitaly Janelt3%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Rico Henry0%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Mark Flekken0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aaron Hickey56%
Frank Onyeka31%
Ivan Toney29%
Zanka29%
Neal Maupay28%
Saman Ghoddos26%
Christian Nørgaard26%
Sergio Reguilón25%
Vitaly Janelt21%
Yoane Wissa21%
Rico Henry20%
Kristoffer Ajer18%
Mathias Jensen16%
Shandon Baptiste10%
Nathan Collins9%
Mikkel Damsgaard9%
Mark Flekken8%
Bryan Mbeumo8%
Yehor Yarmoliuk7%
Ben Mee6%
Ethan Pinnock3%
Mads Roerslev3%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Keane Lewis-Potter0%
Kevin Schade0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rico Henry20%
Bryan Mbeumo20%
Sergio Reguilón19%
Ivan Toney12%
Neal Maupay10%
Shandon Baptiste10%
Mathias Jensen9%
Kevin Schade9%
Yoane Wissa9%
Mikkel Damsgaard9%
Vitaly Janelt8%
Frank Onyeka8%
Mads Roerslev6%
Kristoffer Ajer4%
Keane Lewis-Potter3%
Christian Nørgaard3%
Nathan Collins3%
Mark Flekken3%
Saman Ghoddos0%
Zanka0%
Ben Mee0%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Ivan Toney29%
Yoane Wissa18%
Keane Lewis-Potter13%
Neal Maupay10%
Ben Mee6%
Kristoffer Ajer4%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Saman Ghoddos0%
Zanka0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Rico Henry0%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Nathan Collins0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Mark Flekken0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Mathias Jensen0%
Kevin Schade0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Aston Villa's squad is €29m less valuable than Brentford's (€536m vs €565m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Aston Villa's attack is €8m less valuable than Brentford's (€220m vs €228m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Aston Villa's midfield is €32m more valuable than Brentford's (€160m vs €128m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Aston Villa's defence is €53m less valuable than Brentford's (€156m vs €209m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
AVL wins
2
Draws
1
BRE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aston Villa vs Brentford · H/A from AVL
DateH/AGameScore
17/12/23ABrentford Vs AVL1-2
22/04/23ABrentford Vs AVL1-1
23/10/22HAVL Vs Brentford4-0
02/01/22ABrentford Vs AVL2-1
28/08/21HAVL Vs Brentford1-1

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/04/24AManchester City Vs AVL4-1
30/03/24HAVL Vs Wolves2-0
17/03/24AWest Ham Vs AVL1-1
14/03/24HAVL Vs Ajax4-0
10/03/24HAVL Vs Tottenham0-4
07/03/24AAjax Vs AVL0-0
02/03/24ALuton Vs AVL2-3
24/02/24HAVL Vs Nottingham Forest4-2
17/02/24AFulham Vs AVL1-2
11/02/24HAVL Vs Manchester United1-2

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/04/24HBRE Vs Brighton0-0
30/03/24HBRE Vs Manchester United1-1
16/03/24ABurnley Vs BRE2-1
09/03/24AArsenal Vs BRE2-1
02/03/24HBRE Vs Chelsea2-2
26/02/24AWest Ham Vs BRE4-2
20/02/24AManchester City Vs BRE1-0
17/02/24HBRE Vs Liverpool1-4
10/02/24AWolves Vs BRE0-2
05/02/24HBRE Vs Manchester City1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.98
HomeLWLWW2.56
AwayWWDDL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%84%36%
AVG goals3.163.283.04
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %64%72%56%
Over 3.5 %42%44%40%
Scored1.982.361.60
Conceded1.180.921.44
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners9.849.0810.60
Cards5.125.294.96
Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.16
HomeLLDDD1.44
AwayWLLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.823.122.52
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %54%64%44%
Over 3.5 %32%44%20%
Scored1.361.601.12
Conceded1.461.521.40
BTTS60%76%44%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners10.1610.0410.28
Cards3.903.564.24

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3891
74%
2.4
9634+62
3.4
84%
63%
47%
10.9
61%
3.8
50%
18.6
26%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3889
74%
2.3
9129+62
3.2
79%
63%
42%
9.7
50%
3.8
53%
21.0
42%
1406
6082905082.40.8
59%
3LiverpoolLiverpool3882
63%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
92%
66%
47%
11.6
71%
4.3
53%
22.5
53%
980
5182012602.31.1
61%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3868
53%
1.8
7661+15
3.6
87%
71%
58%
10.4
58%
5.0
74%
23.6
66%
536
2201601562.01.6
53%
5TottenhamTottenham3866
53%
1.7
7461+13
3.6
97%
79%
45%
12.4
76%
5.1
74%
25.1
87%
920
2502823881.91.6
62%
6ChelseaChelsea3863
47%
1.7
7763+14
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.4
58%
5.4
95%
23.9
63%
1407
6142785142.01.7
58%
7NewcastleNewcastle3860
47%
1.6
8562+23
3.9
84%
71%
61%
10.2
53%
4.6
63%
22.8
58%
568
2341242102.21.6
52%
8Manchester UnitedManchester United3860
47%
1.6
5758-1
3.0
79%
63%
34%
13.3
79%
4.4
68%
19.7
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
51%
9West HamWest Ham3852
37%
1.4
6074-14
3.5
95%
68%
53%
10.4
53%
3.9
61%
21.0
47%
274
84481411.61.9
41%
10Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3849
34%
1.3
5758-1
3.0
82%
55%
42%
9.9
58%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
505
229931821.51.5
42%
11BrightonBrighton3848
32%
1.3
5562-7
3.1
87%
61%
39%
9.8
55%
5.0
76%
23.0
63%
620
1901802491.41.6
60%
12EvertonEverton3848
34%
1.3
4051-11
2.4
74%
42%
21%
11.1
61%
3.8
45%
21.8
55%
459
1741621231.11.3
40%
13BournemouthBournemouth3848
34%
1.3
5467-13
3.2
89%
71%
42%
11.8
74%
4.3
71%
23.7
63%
573
2851061821.41.8
45%
14FulhamFulham3847
34%
1.2
5561-6
3.1
79%
63%
39%
10.6
50%
3.8
47%
20.2
39%
329
178281231.41.6
50%
15WolvesWolves3846
34%
1.2
5065-15
3.0
84%
63%
29%
10.1
53%
4.9
76%
23.6
68%
273
79791161.31.7
-
16BrentfordBrentford3839
26%
1.0
5665-9
3.2
82%
66%
42%
10.6
63%
4.3
63%
21.5
50%
565
2281282091.51.7
45%
17Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3836
24%
0.9
4967-18
3.1
87%
55%
39%
10.4
63%
4.2
61%
21.3
53%
551
263522361.31.8
40%
18LutonLuton3826
16%
0.7
5285-33
3.6
89%
71%
45%
11.3
71%
3.8
53%
24.0
61%
29
134121.42.2
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3824
13%
0.6
4178-37
3.1
92%
61%
37%
10.9
66%
4.3
66%
20.9
39%
115
708371.12.1
47%
20Sheffield UnitedSheffield United3816
8%
0.4
35104-69
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.9
61%
4.0
50%
19.8
39%
110
2932490.92.7
35%
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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