Aston Villa and Brighton face a finely balanced contest, with the model favouring a home win. The probabilities are 38% for Villa, 27% for a draw and 36% for the Seagulls, so the predicted result is a Villa victory. The match is expected to see 2.9 goals on average, with the most likely total being two goals, a 24% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.6% probability, reflecting the tight nature of the game. Villa’s home form shows they score 2.11 goals and concede only 0.44 against similar opposition, while Brighton’s away record is 2.0 goals scored and 1.67 conceded to comparable teams. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 92.6%, Over 3.5 cards at 82.6%, Over 1.5 goals at 80.2%, Over 8.5 corners at 85.4%, Over 9.5 corners at 77.0%, Under 25.5 fouls at 76.8% and Over 19.5 fouls at 70.4%. Each pick is presented with its exact probability.
Results analysis
Aston Villa’s recent run of LWWWD, coming off a 0-4 loss, set the stage for a high-scoring outing that saw the home side triumph 6-1 over Brighton, a result that matched the model’s pick of a home win with an 38% probability. The match’s total of seven goals far eclipsed the expected 2.9 and the most likely 2-goal total, confirming the model’s under-estimation of firepower. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 2.5 cards hit at 92.6%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 82.6%, Over 1.5 hit at 80.2%, and Over 19.5 fouls hit at 70.4%. However, Over 8.5 corners missed at 85.4%, Over 9.5 corners missed at 77.0%, and Under 25.5 fouls missed at 76.8%. The outcome underscored the unpredictability of Premier League fixtures.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Aston Villa win✓ Hit
37.6%
Avg Implied 38.4% · @ 2.50
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.70
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✗ Miss
35.5%
Avg Implied 35.6% · @ 2.70
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Aston Villa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.13
2.21
0.93
1.44
1.31
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
3.50
2.00
4.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (17)
1.53
0.94
2.11
0.44
0.88
1.50
vs Weaker (11)
2.27
1.00
2.50
1.25
2.14
0.86
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
1.47
2.29
1.41
2.08
1.54
vs Stronger (4)
2.25
1.25
2.00
1.67
3.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
2.12
1.52
2.23
1.38
2.00
1.67
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.2%
@ 1.49-7.6%
Under 2.5
43.8%
@ 2.63+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.8%
Under 3.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.3%
No
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
6.8%
0-1
6.5%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
Aston Villa goals ↓
Brighton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
6.5%
5.5%
2.7%
1.0%
1
6.8%
13%
8.3%
4.0%
1.4%
2
5.9%
8.5%
6.2%
3.0%
1.1%
3
2.9%
4.2%
3.1%
1.5%
0.5%
4
1.1%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Aston Villa is 0.53 points better than Brighton in terms of average points per game (1.79 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Aston Villa is 0.55 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.45).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Aston Villa is 0.03 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.63).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Aston Villa is 6.7 percentage points worse than Brighton in terms of average possession (53% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aston Villa
For 5.3 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brighton
For 5.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.7 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aston Villa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.6
10.4
4.2
4.0
4.3
23.8
22.5
25.0
vs Stronger (5)
11.0
8.0
13.0
2.8
2.5
3.0
19.4
15.0
22.3
vs Similar (31)
9.7
8.7
10.7
4.7
4.5
4.9
24.6
23.7
25.6
vs Weaker (14)
10.4
12.1
8.6
3.5
3.6
3.4
23.5
22.1
24.9
% over line
58%
46%
69%
54%
58%
50%
66%
54%
77%
% under line
42%
54%
31%
46%
42%
50%
34%
46%
23%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
11.0
9.0
4.2
4.6
3.9
22.2
22.5
21.9
vs Stronger (6)
8.8
8.3
9.3
3.7
4.3
3.0
23.8
22.7
25.0
vs Similar (43)
10.2
11.2
9.0
4.3
4.6
4.0
22.0
22.5
21.4
vs Weaker (1)
13.0
13.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
23.0
23.0
-
% over line
56%
67%
43%
56%
59%
52%
58%
67%
48%
% under line
44%
33%
57%
44%
41%
48%
42%
33%
52%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
West Ham
11.1
Newcastle
10.9
Manchester United
10.9
Sheffield United
10.8
Everton
10.7
Luton
10.7
Bournemouth
10.6
Tottenham
10.5
Fulham
10.1
Brighton
10.1
Aston Villa
10.0
Arsenal
10.0
Wolves
10.0
Liverpool
10.0
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Brentford
10.0
Burnley
9.9
Chelsea
9.6
Crystal Palace
9.5
Manchester City
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tottenham
4.5
Chelsea
4.5
Crystal Palace
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Sheffield United
4.3
Brighton
4.2
Wolves
4.2
Everton
4.2
Aston Villa
4.2
Burnley
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Newcastle
3.9
Luton
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Arsenal
3.8
Bournemouth
3.6
Manchester United
3.6
Brentford
3.2
Liverpool
3.0
West Ham
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.8
Aston Villa
23.8
Chelsea
23.6
Luton
22.7
Nottingham Forest
22.4
Tottenham
22.3
Brighton
22.2
Fulham
22.2
Newcastle
22.0
Wolves
21.9
Bournemouth
21.3
Arsenal
21.0
Burnley
20.9
Everton
20.7
Liverpool
20.3
Sheffield United
20.2
Brentford
20.2
Manchester City
20.0
Manchester United
19.6
West Ham
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
77.0%
Under 9.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
82.6%
Under 3.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
54.0%
Under 21.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aston Villa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.63
1.14
0.43
0.75
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.41
0.89
0.11
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (11)
1.27
0.73
1.50
1.00
1.14
0.57
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.88
0.71
0.77
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.92
0.72
1.00
0.69
0.83
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aston Villa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
1.07
0.50
0.69
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
3.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.53
1.22
0.33
0.38
0.75
vs Weaker (11)
1.00
0.27
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.29
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.77
1.41
0.71
1.31
0.85
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
0.50
1.67
0.67
3.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
1.20
0.80
1.23
0.69
1.17
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ollie Watkins41%
Leon Bailey29%
Jhon Durán20%
Morgan Rogers19%
John McGinn18%
Moussa Diaby18%
Douglas Luiz16%
Álex Moreno12%
Nicolò Zaniolo9%
Leander Dendoncker8%
Matty Cash7%
Youri Tielemans7%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Pau Torres5%
Lucas Digne4%
Diego Carlos3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Clément Lenglet0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Calum Chambers0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolò Zaniolo31%
Morgan Rogers31%
Douglas Luiz31%
Boubacar Kamara27%
Matty Cash24%
Jhon Durán23%
John McGinn22%
Lucas Digne20%
Clément Lenglet18%
Emiliano Martínez14%
Ezri Konsa13%
Leon Bailey12%
Calum Chambers12%
Ollie Watkins12%
Youri Tielemans12%
Diego Carlos11%
Jacob Ramsey11%
Moussa Diaby8%
Álex Moreno8%
Tim Iroegbunam7%
Pau Torres3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leon Bailey27%
Ollie Watkins20%
Omari Kellyman20%
Moussa Diaby18%
Douglas Luiz16%
Youri Tielemans16%
John McGinn14%
Calum Chambers12%
Lucas Digne9%
Matty Cash7%
Morgan Rogers6%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Clément Lenglet5%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Diego Carlos3%
Pau Torres3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jhon Durán0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Álex Moreno0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ollie Watkins41%
Moussa Diaby12%
Nicolò Zaniolo9%
Jhon Durán9%
Douglas Luiz8%
Leon Bailey6%
John McGinn6%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Matty Cash5%
Álex Moreno4%
Diego Carlos3%
Youri Tielemans2%
Clément Lenglet0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Calum Chambers0%
Morgan Rogers0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Pau Torres0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro32%
Solly March22%
Jack Hinshelwood21%
Danny Welbeck18%
Ansu Fati16%
Simon Adingra15%
Evan Ferguson12%
Pascal Groß11%
Facundo Buonanotte9%
Pervis Estupiñán9%
Kaoru Mitoma8%
Lewis Dunk8%
Joël Veltman3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Adam Lallana0%
James Milner0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Julio Enciso0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Carlos Baleba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mark O'Mahony33%
Pervis Estupiñán26%
Kaoru Mitoma24%
Jan Paul van Hecke23%
Facundo Buonanotte22%
Tariq Lamptey22%
Carlos Baleba21%
Billy Gilmour21%
Lewis Dunk20%
Benicio Boaitey20%
Joël Veltman18%
Igor Júlio17%
Valentín Barco17%
Pascal Groß16%
Danny Welbeck15%
James Milner15%
Julio Enciso14%
Adam Webster12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Jakub Moder12%
Adam Lallana11%
Solly March11%
João Pedro11%
Ansu Fati8%
Mahmoud Dahoud8%
Simon Adingra8%
Jack Hinshelwood7%
Evan Ferguson6%
Jason Steele5%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pascal Groß20%
Kaoru Mitoma20%
Pervis Estupiñán17%
Solly March11%
James Milner10%
Tariq Lamptey9%
João Pedro8%
Mahmoud Dahoud8%
Simon Adingra8%
Julio Enciso7%
Ansu Fati4%
Adam Lallana4%
Facundo Buonanotte3%
Joël Veltman3%
Danny Welbeck3%
Billy Gilmour3%
Lewis Dunk2%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Jack Hinshelwood0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Pedro30%
Julio Enciso29%
Simon Adingra21%
Jack Hinshelwood14%
Danny Welbeck12%
Pascal Groß11%
Solly March11%
Kaoru Mitoma8%
Evan Ferguson6%
Ansu Fati4%
Carlos Baleba3%
Billy Gilmour3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Adam Lallana0%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Aston Villa's squad is €84m less valuable than Brighton's (€536m vs €620m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Aston Villa's attack is €30m more valuable than Brighton's (€220m vs €190m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Aston Villa's midfield is €20m less valuable than Brighton's (€160m vs €180m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Aston Villa's defence is €92m less valuable than Brighton's (€156m vs €249m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Liverpool
Tottenham
Chelsea
Newcastle
Manchester United
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United