Aston Villa are tipped to edge Brighton in a tightly contested Premier League fixture, with the model favouring a home win. The match is expected to see three goals on average, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.2% chance. Villa’s home form shows they score about 1.43 goals and concede 1.29 against similar opposition, while Brighton’s away figures are 1.27 scored and 1.45 conceded. The probabilities of the outcomes are 42% for a Villa win, 26% for a draw and 32% for a Brighton victory. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 85.2%, Over 19.5 fouls at 83.7%, Over 1.5 goals at 81.5%, Over 8.5 corners at 77.3% and Over 21.5 fouls at 71.0%. This game follows Villa’s recent dip after a 0-4 loss to Brighton and Brighton’s 3-4 defeat to Chelsea, adding intrigue to the predicted 1-1 outcome.
Results analysis
Aston Villa and Brighton ended level 2-2, a shock that left the pre-match favourite - Villa - disappointed. The model had tipped a home win with a 42% probability, but the outcome was a draw, so the model’s call was wrong. The match saw the model’s selections largely hit: Over 2.5 cards (85.2%) and Over 19.5 fouls (83.7%) both came true, as did Over 1.5 (81.5%), Over 8.5 corners (77.3%) and Over 21.5 fouls (71.0%). Villa’s recent form, a run of LWWWD after a 0-4 loss to Brighton, and Brighton’s LWWDL after a 3-4 defeat to Chelsea, set the stage for a tightly contested, card-heavy affair.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
41.7%
Avg Implied 50.7% · @ 1.89
Edge
-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.2%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.73
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✗ Miss
32.0%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 4.06
Edge
+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Aston Villa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.53
1.57
1.07
1.19
1.94
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.10
1.90
1.43
1.29
0.92
2.23
vs Weaker (7)
2.29
0.71
2.25
0.75
2.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.57
1.41
1.65
1.23
1.46
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
2.33
1.00
2.75
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (23)
1.30
1.43
1.33
1.42
1.27
1.45
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.5%
Under 1.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.2%
@ 1.63-0.2%
Under 2.5
41.8%
@ 2.29+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.8%
Under 3.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.6%
No
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
2-2 ✓
6.3%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
Aston Villa goals ↓
Brighton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
5.7%
4.8%
2.2%
0.8%
1
6.8%
12%
7.7%
3.6%
1.3%
2
6.4%
9.0%
6.3%
2.9%
1.0%
3
3.5%
4.9%
3.4%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.4%
2.0%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Aston Villa is 0.13 points better than Brighton in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Aston Villa is 0.21 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Aston Villa is 0.21 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Aston Villa is 2.8 percentage points worse than Brighton in terms of average possession (50% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aston Villa
For 7.1 · Against 3.7 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 13.3 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brighton
For 5.1 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aston Villa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.5
9.7
4.8
4.9
4.7
23.7
23.8
23.6
vs Stronger (5)
8.2
8.7
7.5
4.4
5.0
3.5
20.4
21.3
19.0
vs Similar (34)
10.5
10.9
10.2
4.8
4.6
5.1
23.4
23.3
23.4
vs Weaker (11)
9.6
10.4
8.8
5.0
6.0
4.2
26.5
26.8
26.2
% over line
50%
54%
46%
70%
76%
64%
69%
75%
62%
% under line
50%
46%
54%
30%
24%
36%
31%
25%
38%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.9
10.1
4.4
4.4
4.5
22.6
23.5
21.8
vs Stronger (8)
11.0
9.0
12.5
3.9
2.8
5.0
22.1
20.7
23.2
vs Similar (40)
9.8
10.0
9.6
4.7
4.9
4.4
22.6
23.9
21.2
vs Weaker (2)
11.0
-
11.0
2.0
0.0
4.0
27.0
-
27.0
% over line
66%
65%
67%
68%
69%
67%
66%
78%
54%
% under line
34%
35%
33%
32%
31%
33%
34%
22%
46%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.8
Bournemouth
12.1
Manchester United
11.4
Brentford
11.2
Southampton
11.2
Manchester City
11.2
Everton
10.8
Newcastle
10.7
Fulham
10.6
Liverpool
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Ipswich
10.5
Crystal Palace
10.5
Wolves
10.4
Chelsea
10.4
Aston Villa
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Brighton
10.0
Leicester
9.8
Arsenal
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.0
Chelsea
4.9
Brighton
4.7
Wolves
4.7
Bournemouth
4.7
Newcastle
4.7
Southampton
4.7
Tottenham
4.6
Liverpool
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Leicester
4.3
Brentford
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
Arsenal
4.0
Fulham
4.0
West Ham
4.0
Ipswich
3.7
Manchester City
3.5
Everton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.1
Wolves
23.6
Aston Villa
23.6
Crystal Palace
23.3
Southampton
23.1
Chelsea
23.1
Bournemouth
23.1
Newcastle
22.9
Ipswich
22.9
Brighton
22.6
Leicester
21.8
Nottingham Forest
21.8
Arsenal
21.8
Liverpool
21.6
Everton
21.5
West Ham
21.3
Fulham
20.7
Brentford
20.3
Manchester United
20.3
Manchester City
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
66.6%
Under 9.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.8%
Under 3.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.0%
Under 21.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aston Villa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.64
0.57
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.00
0.33
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.80
0.86
0.71
0.46
0.85
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.43
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.47
0.71
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.00
0.00
1.25
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.61
0.58
0.58
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aston Villa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.90
0.93
0.50
0.62
1.25
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.67
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.50
1.10
0.57
0.57
0.46
1.38
vs Weaker (7)
1.57
0.29
1.75
0.00
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.90
0.94
0.94
0.62
0.85
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.33
1.00
1.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.83
0.75
0.83
0.64
0.82
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jhon Durán41%
Ollie Watkins30%
Marco Asensio24%
Morgan Rogers22%
Donyell Malen18%
Marcus Rashford18%
Amadou Onana15%
Ross Barkley14%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey9%
John McGinn8%
Ezri Konsa6%
Leon Bailey5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Matty Cash3%
Boubacar Kamara2%
Robin Olsen0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Carlos29%
Morgan Rogers22%
Matty Cash21%
Axel Disasi20%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace20%
Jhon Durán17%
John McGinn16%
Tyrone Mings14%
Ross Barkley14%
Lucas Digne13%
Lamare Bogarde12%
Boubacar Kamara12%
Amadou Onana12%
Leon Bailey11%
Marco Asensio10%
Youri Tielemans9%
Emiliano Martínez9%
Pau Torres9%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Ollie Watkins4%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Marcus Rashford0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ollie Watkins24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans19%
John McGinn12%
Lucas Digne11%
Leon Bailey11%
Jacob Ramsey9%
Pau Torres6%
Marco Asensio5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Ross Barkley3%
Matty Cash3%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Jhon Durán0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jhon Durán28%
Marco Asensio24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Ollie Watkins19%
Morgan Rogers17%
Donyell Malen12%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey4%
Leon Bailey3%
Ian Maatsen2%
John McGinn2%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ross Barkley0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck31%
João Pedro30%
Kaoru Mitoma27%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu25%
Georginio Rutter22%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Simon Adingra15%
Tariq Lamptey15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Solly March10%
Carlos Baleba10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Julio Enciso6%
Diego Gómez5%
Yasin Ayari5%
Adam Webster5%
Brajan Gruda4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Júlio31%
James Milner25%
Joël Veltman25%
Mats Wieffer21%
Solly March20%
Carlos Baleba20%
Pervis Estupiñán19%
Jack Hinshelwood19%
Lewis Dunk19%
Jan Paul van Hecke18%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Adam Webster15%
Jakub Moder14%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro13%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Yasin Ayari10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Kaoru Mitoma2%
Jason Steele0%
Julio Enciso0%
Simon Adingra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro20%
Brajan Gruda16%
Yankuba Minteh14%
Georginio Rutter12%
Mats Wieffer11%
Solly March10%
Tariq Lamptey10%
Kaoru Mitoma10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Joël Veltman8%
Danny Welbeck8%
Jack Hinshelwood6%
Julio Enciso6%
Simon Adingra6%
Adam Webster5%
Carlos Baleba5%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Bart Verbruggen2%
James Milner0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Diego Gómez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Simon Adingra9%
Pervis Estupiñán8%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Jack Hinshelwood3%
Yankuba Minteh3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Carlos Baleba2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Aston Villa's squad is €84m less valuable than Brighton's (€536m vs €620m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Aston Villa's attack is €30m more valuable than Brighton's (€220m vs €190m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Aston Villa's midfield is €20m less valuable than Brighton's (€160m vs €180m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Aston Villa's defence is €92m less valuable than Brighton's (€156m vs €249m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Wolves
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton