PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Aston Villa vs Burnley Result & Analysis

Date: 05/10/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Vs
45%
29%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Burnley
Burnley
England: Premier League
Referee: A Kitchen

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aston Villa win✓ Hit
44.6%
Avg Implied 61.1% · @ 1.55
Edge
-16.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied 23.4% · @ 4.05
Edge
+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Burnley win✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 15.5% · @ 6.13
Edge
+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D01L03L00D11D11D10W31W20WA·MAN25/05H·NEW16/08A·BRE23/08H·CRY31/08A·EVE13/09A·BRE16/09A·SUN21/09H·BOL25/09H·FUL28/09A·FEY02/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.001.860.861.311.12
vs Stronger (3)1.672.333.002.001.002.50
vs Similar (22)1.501.051.820.911.181.18
vs Weaker (5)1.800.001.500.002.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurnleyBurnley

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W31W03L20W21W23L01L11D12L15LA·QPR26/04H·MIL03/05A·TOT16/08H·SUN23/08H·DER26/08A·MAN30/08H·LIV14/09H·NOT20/09H·CAR23/09A·MAN27/09← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.871.620.561.571.21
vs Stronger (4)0.753.000.001.001.003.67
vs Similar (24)1.670.581.620.621.730.55
vs Weaker (2)2.500.002.500.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.6%
Under 1.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.5%
@ 1.88-5.8%
Under 2.5
55.5%
@ 1.90+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.3%
Under 3.5
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.2%
No
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.8%
2-1 ✓
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
Aston Villa goals ↓
Burnley goals →
01234
09.8%7.6%4.6%1.6%0.4%
111%14%6.5%2.3%0.6%
28.7%9.0%4.6%1.6%0.4%
34.1%4.2%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.5%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = Burnley goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Aston Villa is 1.13 points better than Burnley in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 0.58).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Aston Villa is 0.47 goals better than Burnley in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Aston Villa is 0.68 goals better than Burnley in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.97).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Aston Villa is 11.9 percentage points better than Burnley in terms of average possession (53% vs 42%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 4.7 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

13018288356333101019236349101111613111197A·FEYH·FULH·BOLA·SUNA·BREA·EVEH·CRYA·BREH·NEWA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

6033142213233232121326544265335A·FEYH·FULH·BOLA·SUNA·BREA·EVEH·CRYA·BREH·NEWA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 13.3 · Total 24.1

⚠️ Fouls

320101710131614814101215177149111311101027233022223221202420A·FEYH·FULH·BOLA·SUNA·BREA·EVEH·CRYA·BREH·NEWA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BurnleyBurnley

For 3.7 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

140210254511317534356746212791488711118A·MANH·CARH·NOTH·LIVA·MANH·DERH·SUNA·TOTH·MILA·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.7

🟨 Cards

603121112511111244322621016A·MANH·CARH·NOTH·LIVA·MANH·DERH·SUNA·TOTH·MILA·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 10.4 · Total 19.3

⚠️ Fouls

2407513111211999961195814516111312242318181714222124A·MANH·CARH·NOTH·LIVA·MANH·DERH·SUNA·TOTH·MILA·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.310.33.53.23.723.022.623.3
vs Stronger (5)10.49.511.03.83.54.020.619.521.3
vs Similar (36)9.810.19.43.63.43.722.422.022.8
vs Weaker (9)12.911.713.83.02.23.627.328.026.8
% over line63%55%71%62%60%64%54%50%58%
% under line37%45%29%38%40%36%46%50%42%
This opponent (Burnley) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurnleyBurnley

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.69.03.23.03.422.321.623.0
vs Stronger (4)11.214.010.33.02.03.317.518.017.3
vs Similar (42)8.89.08.63.22.83.622.721.624.0
vs Weaker (4)13.714.013.03.55.51.522.723.521.0
% over line47%40%55%48%40%56%60%56%64%
% under line53%60%45%52%60%44%40%44%36%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.0
Tottenham
11.0
Brentford
10.6
Liverpool
10.5
Bournemouth
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Aston Villa
10.3
West Ham
10.3
Crystal Palace
10.0
Fulham
9.9
Everton
9.8
Sunderland
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Manchester City
9.6
Leeds
9.6
Wolves
9.6
Arsenal
9.6
Chelsea
9.4
Manchester United
9.4
Burnley
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
5.0
Nottingham Forest
4.7
Chelsea
4.5
Brighton
4.5
Newcastle
4.4
Sunderland
4.4
Crystal Palace
4.3
Manchester United
4.2
Aston Villa
4.2
Wolves
4.2
Brentford
3.9
Fulham
3.8
Tottenham
3.8
Liverpool
3.8
Arsenal
3.7
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.6
Burnley
3.5
West Ham
3.4
Leeds
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.3
Bournemouth
24.1
Brighton
23.2
Aston Villa
23.1
Tottenham
22.9
Newcastle
22.7
Sunderland
22.7
Chelsea
22.2
Burnley
22.1
Leeds
22.0
West Ham
22.0
Manchester United
21.8
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Arsenal
21.6
Everton
21.5
Fulham
21.5
Crystal Palace
21.1
Liverpool
20.6
Brentford
19.1
Manchester City
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.8%
Under 9.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.3%
Under 3.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
36.8%
Under 21.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D01L01L00D10W00D10W11D00DA·MAN25/05H·NEW16/08A·BRE23/08H·CRY31/08A·EVE13/09A·BRE16/09A·SUN21/09H·BOL25/09H·FUL28/09A·FEY02/10
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.430.640.500.310.38
vs Stronger (3)1.001.331.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.450.410.640.450.270.36
vs Weaker (5)0.200.000.500.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurnleyBurnley

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D01L00D11D01L00D11D02L11DA·QPR26/04H·MIL03/05A·TOT16/08H·SUN23/08H·DER26/08A·MAN30/08H·LIV14/09H·NOT20/09H·CAR23/09A·MAN27/09← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.500.940.441.070.57
vs Stronger (4)0.250.750.000.000.331.00
vs Similar (24)1.120.501.000.541.270.45
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D02L00D01L11D00D20W20WA·MAN25/05H·NEW16/08A·BRE23/08H·CRY31/08A·EVE13/09A·BRE16/09A·SUN21/09H·BOL25/09H·FUL28/09A·FEY02/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.571.210.361.000.75
vs Stronger (3)0.671.002.000.000.001.50
vs Similar (22)1.050.641.180.450.910.82
vs Weaker (5)1.600.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurnleyBurnley

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W20W02L20W10W22D01L00D10W04LA·QPR26/04H·MIL03/05A·TOT16/08H·SUN23/08H·DER26/08A·MAN30/08H·LIV14/09H·NOT20/09H·CAR23/09A·MAN27/09← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.370.690.120.500.64
vs Stronger (4)0.502.250.001.000.672.67
vs Similar (24)0.540.080.620.080.450.09
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.500.00--
Clean sheet %80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls88.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls77.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.576.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners70.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Ollie Watkins27%
Emiliano Buendía20%
Morgan Rogers20%
Tammy Abraham19%
John McGinn18%
Donyell Malen17%
Ross Barkley13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Evann Guessand10%
Matty Cash6%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Amadou Onana5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Jadon Sancho3%
Ian Maatsen2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matty Cash24%
Marco Bizot21%
Boubacar Kamara19%
John McGinn18%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Morgan Rogers16%
Lamare Bogarde16%
Douglas Luiz15%
Lucas Digne14%
Andrés García12%
Amadou Onana11%
Evann Guessand10%
Ollie Watkins7%
Victor Lindelöf7%
Emiliano Martínez7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ross Barkley4%
Pau Torres3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Donyell Malen0%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Alysson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans17%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Lucas Digne16%
John McGinn16%
Boubacar Kamara15%
Ollie Watkins9%
Matty Cash8%
Jadon Sancho8%
Donyell Malen7%
Tammy Abraham6%
Leon Bailey5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Evann Guessand5%
Ross Barkley4%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Emiliano Martínez2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Morgan Rogers24%
Ollie Watkins24%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Donyell Malen10%
Evann Guessand10%
Youri Tielemans6%
Ross Barkley4%
Amadou Onana3%
Jadon Sancho3%
John McGinn2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Matty Cash2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Leon Bailey0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Douglas Luiz0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Burnley
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zian Flemming34%
Jaydon Banel25%
Jaidon Anthony24%
Oliver Sonne20%
Josh Cullen11%
Lyle Foster11%
Loum Tchaouna9%
Ashley Barnes9%
Lesley Ugochukwu8%
Axel Tuanzebe6%
Josh Laurent6%
Marcus Edwards4%
Armando Broja4%
Hannibal Mejbri3%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Florentino Luís0%
Kyle Walker0%
Joe Worrall0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Mike Trésor0%
Hjalmar Ekdal0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Maxime Estève0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Quilindschy Hartman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hannibal Mejbri37%
Ashley Barnes27%
Bashir Humphreys27%
Kyle Walker25%
Josh Laurent22%
Florentino Luís21%
Zian Flemming16%
Lyle Foster15%
Josh Cullen11%
Jaidon Anthony11%
Oliver Sonne10%
Loum Tchaouna9%
Lesley Ugochukwu8%
James Ward-Prowse7%
Axel Tuanzebe6%
Hjalmar Ekdal5%
Lucas Pires4%
Quilindschy Hartman4%
Marcus Edwards4%
Martin Dúbravka3%
Maxime Estève3%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Joe Worrall0%
Mike Trésor0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Armando Broja0%
Max Weiss0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Quilindschy Hartman17%
Marcus Edwards15%
Mike Trésor12%
Josh Cullen11%
Lyle Foster11%
Hannibal Mejbri10%
Armando Broja8%
James Ward-Prowse7%
Jacob Bruun Larsen7%
Florentino Luís6%
Kyle Walker6%
Jaidon Anthony5%
Hjalmar Ekdal5%
Loum Tchaouna3%
Lesley Ugochukwu3%
Joe Worrall0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Ashley Barnes0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Josh Laurent0%
Zian Flemming0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Maxime Estève0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming16%
Jaidon Anthony8%
Loum Tchaouna6%
Lucas Pires4%
Marcus Edwards4%
Armando Broja4%
Josh Laurent3%
Lesley Ugochukwu3%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Florentino Luís0%
Kyle Walker0%
Joe Worrall0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Ashley Barnes0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Josh Cullen0%
Mike Trésor0%
Hjalmar Ekdal0%
Lyle Foster0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Maxime Estève0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Max Weiss0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Quilindschy Hartman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Aston Villa's squad is €421m more valuable than Burnley's (€536m vs €115m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Aston Villa's attack is €150m more valuable than Burnley's (€220m vs €70m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Aston Villa's midfield is €152m more valuable than Burnley's (€160m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Aston Villa's defence is €120m more valuable than Burnley's (€156m vs €37m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
3
AVL wins
2
Draws
1
BUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aston Villa vs Burnley · H/A from AVL
DateH/AGameScore
30/12/23HAVL Vs Burnley3-2
27/08/23ABurnley Vs AVL1-3
19/05/22HAVL Vs Burnley1-1
07/05/22ABurnley Vs AVL1-3
27/01/21ABurnley Vs AVL3-2
17/12/20HAVL Vs Burnley0-0

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/25AFeyenoord Vs AVL0-2
28/09/25HAVL Vs Fulham3-1
25/09/25HAVL Vs Bologna1-0
21/09/25ASunderland Vs AVL1-1
16/09/25ABrentford Vs AVL1-1
13/09/25AEverton Vs AVL0-0
31/08/25HAVL Vs Crystal Palace0-3
23/08/25ABrentford Vs AVL1-0
16/08/25HAVL Vs Newcastle0-0
25/05/25AManchester United Vs AVL2-0

BurnleyBurnley

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25AManchester City Vs BUR5-1
23/09/25HBUR Vs Cardiff1-2
20/09/25HBUR Vs Nottingham Forest1-1
14/09/25HBUR Vs Liverpool0-1
30/08/25AManchester United Vs BUR3-2
26/08/25HBUR Vs Derby2-1
23/08/25HBUR Vs Sunderland2-0
16/08/25ATottenham Vs BUR3-0
03/05/25HBUR Vs Millwall3-1
26/04/25AQPR Vs BUR0-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.78
HomeWDLWW2.32
AwayLDDDW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%68%36%
AVG goals2.682.842.52
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.501.881.12
Conceded1.180.961.40
BTTS50%64%36%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners10.3010.2710.33
Cards3.953.864.04
Burnley
Burnley
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.94
HomeWWLDL2.04
AwayWWLLL1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%56%52%
AVG goals1.981.762.20
Over 1.5 %60%56%64%
Over 2.5 %36%32%40%
Over 3.5 %14%12%16%
Scored1.341.321.36
Conceded0.640.440.84
BTTS34%36%32%
Clean Sheet58%60%56%
Corners9.329.569.05
Cards3.433.003.91

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches