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Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace Result & Analysis

Date: 23/11/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Vs
47%
26%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
England: Premier League
Referee: T Robinson

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aston Villa win✗ Miss
47.2%
Avg Implied 55.5% · @ 1.73
Edge
-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.4%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.83
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace win✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 19.4% · @ 4.95
Edge
+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D10W00D31W20W11D12L14L01L02LA·IPS29/09H·BAY02/10H·MAN06/10A·FUL19/10H·BOL22/10H·BOU26/10H·CRY30/10A·TOT03/11A·CLU06/11A·LIV09/11
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.631.871.471.271.80
vs Stronger (4)1.001.500.501.001.502.00
vs Similar (19)1.372.001.891.890.902.10
vs Weaker (7)2.430.712.500.752.330.67
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D21W00D12L01L01L10W21W22D02LH·LEI14/09A·QPR17/09H·MAN21/09A·EVE28/09H·LIV05/10A·NOT21/10H·TOT27/10A·AST30/10A·WOL02/11H·FUL09/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.302.001.131.201.47
vs Stronger (5)1.001.801.002.671.000.50
vs Similar (23)1.741.222.360.731.171.67
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.3%
Under 1.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.9%
@ 1.84+2.7%
Under 2.5
45.1%
@ 2.01-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.6%
Under 3.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.0%
No
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.8%
2-2 ✓
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
Aston Villa goals ↓
Crystal Palace goals →
01234
06.8%5.6%4.1%1.6%0.5%
18.3%12%6.8%2.7%0.8%
27.9%9.5%5.7%2.3%0.7%
34.4%5.3%3.2%1.3%0.4%
41.8%2.2%1.3%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = Crystal Palace goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Aston Villa is 0.34 points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Aston Villa is 0.18 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.34).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Aston Villa and Crystal Palace are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Aston Villa is 7.2 percentage points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average possession (50% vs 43%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 5.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

170923246975411663111106511510169179121011A·LIVA·CLUA·TOTH·BOUH·BOLA·FULH·MANH·BAYA·IPSH·WOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.2

🟨 Cards

13034227614441532143636213586559A·LIVA·CLUA·TOTH·BOUH·BOLA·FULH·MANH·BAYA·IPSH·WOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.9

⚠️ Fouls

280151112121414121413911812118121410111626242826221923202427A·LIVA·CLUA·TOTH·BOUH·BOLA·FULH·MANH·BAYA·IPSH·WOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

For 4.9 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

160186388663885411525433991612111315796H·FULA·WOLH·TOTA·NOTH·LIVA·EVEH·MANH·LEIA·CHEH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

8021214432421231324113385634362H·FULA·WOLH·TOTA·NOTH·LIVA·EVEH·MANH·LEIA·CHEH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 12.0 · Total 22.5

⚠️ Fouls

28010119716121297151113712111513991721162821222419262226H·FULA·WOLH·TOTA·NOTH·LIVA·EVEH·MANH·LEIA·CHEH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.810.25.25.15.423.824.023.5
vs Stronger (6)7.37.27.54.34.83.522.324.019.0
vs Similar (30)10.910.910.95.44.56.123.523.023.9
vs Weaker (14)9.19.09.25.46.64.125.025.724.2
% over line48%46%50%74%76%72%73%83%62%
% under line52%54%50%26%24%28%27%17%38%
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.810.43.84.13.523.223.822.5
vs Stronger (9)9.910.29.63.95.03.022.823.222.4
vs Similar (38)10.19.510.83.83.93.722.923.522.3
vs Weaker (3)11.514.09.04.05.03.529.031.027.0
% over line57%54%61%56%64%48%60%62%57%
% under line43%46%39%44%36%52%40%38%43%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.8
Manchester United
12.1
Bournemouth
11.8
Southampton
11.5
Everton
11.0
Manchester City
11.0
Brentford
10.9
Newcastle
10.7
Ipswich
10.7
Nottingham Forest
10.6
Fulham
10.6
Liverpool
10.6
Wolves
10.5
Chelsea
10.4
Crystal Palace
10.1
Aston Villa
9.9
West Ham
9.8
Leicester
9.7
Brighton
9.6
Arsenal
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.5
Chelsea
5.4
Tottenham
5.1
Wolves
4.9
Brighton
4.8
Southampton
4.8
Bournemouth
4.7
Newcastle
4.7
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Manchester United
4.3
Brentford
4.3
Leicester
4.3
West Ham
4.2
Liverpool
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.0
Arsenal
4.0
Fulham
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
25.3
Aston Villa
23.7
Chelsea
23.6
Bournemouth
23.6
Wolves
23.5
Newcastle
23.3
Crystal Palace
23.3
Ipswich
23.1
Brighton
22.6
Southampton
22.5
Arsenal
22.4
Liverpool
22.1
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Everton
21.6
West Ham
21.1
Leicester
21.1
Fulham
20.8
Brentford
20.6
Manchester United
20.2
Manchester City
18.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
73.9%
Under 9.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.4%
Under 3.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
74.1%
Under 21.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D00D11D00D00D11D10W00D01LA·IPS29/09H·BAY02/10H·MAN06/10A·FUL19/10H·BOL22/10H·BOU26/10H·CRY30/10A·TOT03/11A·CLU06/11A·LIV09/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.670.600.600.67
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (19)0.680.740.890.670.500.80
vs Weaker (7)0.710.430.500.751.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W00D10W01L00D10W11D00D01LH·LEI14/09A·QPR17/09H·MAN21/09A·EVE28/09H·LIV05/10A·NOT21/10H·TOT27/10A·AST30/10A·WOL02/11H·FUL09/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.370.870.330.470.40
vs Stronger (5)0.600.600.670.670.500.50
vs Similar (23)0.650.350.910.270.420.42
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W00D20W20W11D01L04L01L01LA·IPS29/09H·BAY02/10H·MAN06/10A·FUL19/10H·BOL22/10H·BOU26/10H·CRY30/10A·TOT03/11A·CLU06/11A·LIV09/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.001.200.870.671.13
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.501.001.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.681.261.001.220.401.30
vs Weaker (7)1.710.292.000.001.330.67
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D00D02L00D01L00D10W22D01LH·LEI14/09A·QPR17/09H·MAN21/09A·EVE28/09H·LIV05/10A·NOT21/10H·TOT27/10A·AST30/10A·WOL02/11H·FUL09/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.931.130.800.731.07
vs Stronger (5)0.401.200.332.000.500.00
vs Similar (23)1.090.871.450.450.751.25
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls85.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners83.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards81.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls74.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners73.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jhon Durán41%
Ollie Watkins30%
Marco Asensio24%
Morgan Rogers22%
Donyell Malen18%
Marcus Rashford18%
Amadou Onana15%
Ross Barkley14%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey9%
John McGinn8%
Ezri Konsa6%
Leon Bailey5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Matty Cash3%
Boubacar Kamara2%
Robin Olsen0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Carlos29%
Morgan Rogers22%
Matty Cash21%
Axel Disasi20%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace20%
Jhon Durán17%
John McGinn16%
Tyrone Mings14%
Ross Barkley14%
Lucas Digne13%
Lamare Bogarde12%
Boubacar Kamara12%
Amadou Onana12%
Leon Bailey11%
Marco Asensio10%
Youri Tielemans9%
Emiliano Martínez9%
Pau Torres9%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Ollie Watkins4%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Marcus Rashford0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ollie Watkins24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans19%
John McGinn12%
Lucas Digne11%
Leon Bailey11%
Jacob Ramsey9%
Pau Torres6%
Marco Asensio5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Ross Barkley3%
Matty Cash3%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Jhon Durán0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jhon Durán28%
Marco Asensio24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Ollie Watkins19%
Morgan Rogers17%
Donyell Malen12%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey4%
Leon Bailey3%
Ian Maatsen2%
John McGinn2%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ross Barkley0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Crystal Palace
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eberechi Eze33%
Jean-Philippe Mateta28%
Trevoh Chalobah21%
Ismaïla Sarr17%
Edward Nketiah16%
Matheus França14%
Daniel Muñoz13%
Romain Esse11%
Ben Chilwell9%
Justin Devenny7%
Marc Guéhi7%
Daichi Kamada5%
Chris Richards3%
Maxence Lacroix2%
Jefferson Lerma0%
Cheick Doucouré0%
Will Hughes0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Joel Ward0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Matt Turner0%
Tyrick Mitchell0%
Chadi Riad0%
Adam Wharton0%
Caleb Kporha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joel Ward33%
Will Hughes29%
Daniel Muñoz28%
Caleb Kporha25%
Jefferson Lerma24%
Marc Guéhi20%
Edward Nketiah16%
Chris Richards16%
Daichi Kamada14%
Maxence Lacroix14%
Dean Henderson11%
Adam Wharton11%
Nathaniel Clyne11%
Ben Chilwell9%
Ismaïla Sarr9%
Cheick Doucouré7%
Trevoh Chalobah7%
Tyrick Mitchell7%
Jean-Philippe Mateta7%
Justin Devenny4%
Eberechi Eze2%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Matt Turner0%
Chadi Riad0%
Matheus França0%
Romain Esse0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eberechi Eze23%
Daniel Muñoz15%
Ismaïla Sarr15%
Tyrick Mitchell13%
Adam Wharton11%
Romain Esse11%
Jean-Philippe Mateta9%
Will Hughes7%
Daichi Kamada7%
Edward Nketiah5%
Nathaniel Clyne5%
Marc Guéhi5%
Justin Devenny4%
Chris Richards3%
Jefferson Lerma2%
Maxence Lacroix2%
Dean Henderson2%
Ben Chilwell0%
Cheick Doucouré0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Joel Ward0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Matt Turner0%
Chadi Riad0%
Matheus França0%
Caleb Kporha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eberechi Eze28%
Ismaïla Sarr17%
Jean-Philippe Mateta15%
Edward Nketiah11%
Ben Chilwell9%
Maxence Lacroix5%
Daniel Muñoz4%
Justin Devenny4%
Daichi Kamada2%
Jefferson Lerma0%
Cheick Doucouré0%
Will Hughes0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Joel Ward0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Matt Turner0%
Marc Guéhi0%
Chris Richards0%
Tyrick Mitchell0%
Chadi Riad0%
Adam Wharton0%
Matheus França0%
Caleb Kporha0%
Romain Esse0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Aston Villa's squad is €31m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€536m vs €505m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Aston Villa's attack is €10m less valuable than Crystal Palace's (€220m vs €229m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Aston Villa's midfield is €67m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€160m vs €93m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Aston Villa's defence is €26m less valuable than Crystal Palace's (€156m vs €182m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AVL wins
1
Draws
4
CRY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace · H/A from AVL
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/24HAVL Vs Crystal Palace1-2
19/05/24ACrystal Palace Vs AVL5-0
16/09/23HAVL Vs Crystal Palace3-1
04/03/23HAVL Vs Crystal Palace1-0
20/08/22ACrystal Palace Vs AVL3-1
15/05/22HAVL Vs Crystal Palace1-1
27/11/21ACrystal Palace Vs AVL1-2
16/05/21ACrystal Palace Vs AVL3-2

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/24ALiverpool Vs AVL2-0
06/11/24AClub Brugge KV Vs AVL1-0
03/11/24ATottenham Vs AVL4-1
30/10/24HAVL Vs Crystal Palace1-2
26/10/24HAVL Vs Bournemouth1-1
22/10/24HAVL Vs Bologna2-0
19/10/24AFulham Vs AVL1-3
06/10/24HAVL Vs Manchester United0-0
02/10/24HAVL Vs Bayern München1-0
29/09/24AIpswich Vs AVL2-2

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/24HCRY Vs Fulham0-2
02/11/24AWolves Vs CRY2-2
30/10/24AAston Villa Vs CRY1-2
27/10/24HCRY Vs Tottenham1-0
21/10/24ANottingham Forest Vs CRY1-0
05/10/24HCRY Vs Liverpool0-1
28/09/24AEverton Vs CRY2-1
21/09/24HCRY Vs Manchester United0-0
17/09/24AQPR Vs CRY1-2
14/09/24HCRY Vs Leicester2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL1.62
HomeWDWDL1.80
AwayDWLLL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%40%
AVG goals3.163.323.00
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %64%64%64%
Over 3.5 %42%48%36%
Scored1.661.841.48
Conceded1.501.481.52
BTTS62%64%60%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners9.989.7510.21
Cards5.465.335.58
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.24
HomeDDLWL1.44
AwayWLLWD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.923.042.80
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored1.441.761.12
Conceded1.481.281.68
BTTS60%48%72%
Clean Sheet24%36%12%
Corners10.119.7910.43
Cards4.064.293.83

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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