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Aston Villa vs Liverpool Result & Analysis

Date: 19/02/2025
Time: 19:30
Final 2-2
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Vs
24%
25%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Referee: C Pawson

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aston Villa win✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.83
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.7%
Avg Implied 24.2% · @ 3.98
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool win✗ Miss
51.6%
Avg Implied 50.7% · @ 1.90
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W21W10W22D01L11D42W02L21W11DH·LEI04/01H·WES10/01A·EVE15/01A·ARS18/01A·MON21/01H·WES26/01H·CEL29/01A·WOL01/02H·TOT09/02H·IPS15/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.371.590.941.001.92
vs Stronger (3)1.671.001.500.502.002.00
vs Similar (22)1.321.591.581.171.002.10
vs Weaker (5)1.200.601.670.330.501.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W21W41W23L20W40W01L22D21WA·NOT14/01A·BRE18/01H·LIL21/01H·IPS25/01A·PSV29/01A·BOU01/02H·TOT06/02A·PLY09/02A·EVE12/02H·WOL16/02
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.401.032.640.712.191.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)2.421.002.570.432.201.80
vs Weaker (18)2.391.062.711.002.181.09
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.4%
Under 1.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.7%
@ 1.57-1.4%
Under 2.5
40.3%
@ 2.46+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.3%
Under 3.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.7%
No
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.0%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-2 ✓
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
Aston Villa goals ↓
Liverpool goals →
01234
05.6%7.5%8.0%5.0%2.3%
14.5%11%9.7%6.1%2.8%
23.4%6.3%5.9%3.7%1.7%
31.4%2.6%2.4%1.5%0.7%
40.4%0.8%0.7%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = Liverpool goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Aston Villa is 0.47 points worse than Liverpool in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 2.21).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Aston Villa is 0.74 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 2.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Aston Villa is 0.26 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.08).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Aston Villa is 8.1 percentage points worse than Liverpool in terms of average possession (50% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 7.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 11.9

🚩 Corners

1701618544437411058721236917138711111391515H·IPSA·WOLH·CELH·WESA·MONA·ARSA·EVEH·LEIH·BRIA·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

604322331321212322334554531546H·IPSA·WOLH·WESA·MONA·ARSA·EVEH·LEIH·BRIA·NEWH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 14.3 · Total 25.1

⚠️ Fouls

330711132041513161414181010171011914101518331929282827212325H·IPSA·WOLH·CELH·WESA·MONA·ARSA·EVEH·LEIH·BRIA·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LiverpoolLiverpool

For 5.4 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

170433233283433152969637561076179159H·WOLA·EVEA·BOUA·PSVH·IPSH·LILA·BREA·NOTH·MANA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

60223332422243212244656265360H·WOLA·EVEA·BOUA·PSVH·IPSH·LILA·BREA·NOTH·MANA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.2

⚠️ Fouls

290151320991511111011129146107101310728292422212120172317H·WOLA·EVEA·BOUA·PSVH·IPSH·LILA·BREA·NOTH·MANA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.59.94.44.34.424.223.924.6
vs Stronger (6)8.78.78.74.55.04.021.721.322.0
vs Similar (33)10.611.010.14.23.94.523.723.723.7
vs Weaker (11)10.110.210.04.85.24.427.525.830.0
% over line54%50%59%66%70%61%70%71%68%
% under line46%50%41%34%30%39%30%29%32%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.210.23.84.03.621.622.221.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)9.49.89.03.84.03.721.823.120.7
vs Weaker (31)10.810.610.93.84.03.621.521.721.3
% over line56%55%57%54%57%52%49%55%43%
% under line44%45%43%46%43%48%51%45%57%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.6
Bournemouth
11.8
Brentford
11.2
Manchester United
11.0
Southampton
10.9
Newcastle
10.8
Everton
10.7
Ipswich
10.7
Manchester City
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Liverpool
10.5
Fulham
10.4
Aston Villa
10.2
Crystal Palace
10.2
Chelsea
10.1
Brighton
10.0
Wolves
10.0
West Ham
9.9
Leicester
9.7
Arsenal
9.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
4.9
Chelsea
4.9
Bournemouth
4.7
Brighton
4.7
Southampton
4.5
Wolves
4.5
Newcastle
4.5
Liverpool
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Tottenham
4.2
Arsenal
4.0
Manchester United
4.0
Leicester
4.0
Fulham
3.9
West Ham
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Brentford
3.8
Ipswich
3.7
Everton
3.5
Manchester City
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.2
Bournemouth
23.8
Tottenham
23.6
Wolves
23.4
Southampton
23.2
Brighton
23.0
Newcastle
22.9
Crystal Palace
22.9
Chelsea
22.6
Ipswich
22.4
Arsenal
22.1
Everton
22.0
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Leicester
21.5
West Ham
21.5
Liverpool
21.4
Fulham
20.6
Manchester United
20.6
Brentford
19.4
Manchester City
17.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.7%
Under 9.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
72.1%
Under 3.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
65.7%
Under 21.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D01L01L10W22D01L10W00DH·LEI04/01H·WES10/01A·EVE15/01A·ARS18/01A·MON21/01H·WES26/01H·CEL29/01A·WOL01/02H·TOT09/02H·IPS15/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.710.410.380.77
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.500.000.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.680.680.830.580.500.80
vs Weaker (5)0.200.200.330.000.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D10W30W23L10W10W00D11D20WA·NOT14/01A·BRE18/01H·LIL21/01H·IPS25/01A·PSV29/01A·BOU01/02H·TOT06/02A·PLY09/02A·EVE12/02H·WOL16/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.430.930.210.940.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.920.500.570.001.401.20
vs Weaker (18)0.940.391.290.430.730.36
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W20W10W21W00D01L20W01L11D11DH·LEI04/01H·WES10/01A·EVE15/01A·ARS18/01A·MON21/01H·WES26/01H·CEL29/01A·WOL01/02H·TOT09/02H·IPS15/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.800.880.530.621.15
vs Stronger (3)1.330.671.000.502.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.640.910.750.580.501.30
vs Weaker (5)1.000.401.330.330.500.50
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W11D11D00D10W30W01L11D01LA·NOT14/01A·BRE18/01H·LIL21/01H·IPS25/01A·PSV29/01A·BOU01/02H·TOT06/02A·PLY09/02A·EVE12/02H·WOL16/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.601.710.501.250.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.500.502.000.430.800.60
vs Weaker (18)1.440.671.430.571.450.73
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards86.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.582.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls79.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards72.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners70.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jhon Durán41%
Ollie Watkins30%
Marco Asensio24%
Morgan Rogers22%
Donyell Malen18%
Marcus Rashford18%
Amadou Onana15%
Ross Barkley14%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey9%
John McGinn8%
Ezri Konsa6%
Leon Bailey5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Matty Cash3%
Boubacar Kamara2%
Robin Olsen0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Carlos29%
Morgan Rogers22%
Matty Cash21%
Axel Disasi20%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace20%
Jhon Durán17%
John McGinn16%
Tyrone Mings14%
Ross Barkley14%
Lucas Digne13%
Lamare Bogarde12%
Boubacar Kamara12%
Amadou Onana12%
Leon Bailey11%
Marco Asensio10%
Youri Tielemans9%
Emiliano Martínez9%
Pau Torres9%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Ollie Watkins4%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Marcus Rashford0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ollie Watkins24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans19%
John McGinn12%
Lucas Digne11%
Leon Bailey11%
Jacob Ramsey9%
Pau Torres6%
Marco Asensio5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Ross Barkley3%
Matty Cash3%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Jhon Durán0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jhon Durán28%
Marco Asensio24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Ollie Watkins19%
Morgan Rogers17%
Donyell Malen12%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey4%
Leon Bailey3%
Ian Maatsen2%
John McGinn2%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ross Barkley0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah56%
Cody Gakpo31%
Jayden Danns25%
Luis Díaz24%
Diogo Jota22%
Harvey Elliott18%
Dominik Szoboszlai16%
Alexis Mac Allister14%
Federico Chiesa14%
Darwin Núñez13%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Trent Alexander-Arnold9%
Curtis Jones7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James McConnell25%
Alexis Mac Allister22%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Darwin Núñez19%
Ibrahima Konaté19%
Virgil van Dijk14%
Ryan Gravenberch14%
Harvey Elliott14%
Conor Bradley14%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Jarell Quansah12%
Joe Gomez12%
Trent Alexander-Arnold11%
Andrew Robertson11%
Konstantinos Tsimikas10%
Cody Gakpo10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Luis Díaz6%
Diogo Jota5%
Curtis Jones4%
Wataru Endo3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Jayden Danns0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah37%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Dominik Szoboszlai14%
Conor Bradley14%
Trent Alexander-Arnold14%
Curtis Jones13%
Cody Gakpo12%
Harvey Elliott11%
Darwin Núñez11%
Alexis Mac Allister10%
Luis Díaz10%
Ryan Gravenberch8%
Diogo Jota8%
Federico Chiesa7%
Konstantinos Tsimikas7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Andrew Robertson4%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah52%
Cody Gakpo24%
Darwin Núñez21%
Luis Díaz18%
Diogo Jota16%
Harvey Elliott11%
Dominik Szoboszlai10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Curtis Jones4%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Alexis Mac Allister4%
Konstantinos Tsimikas3%
Ibrahima Konaté2%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Aston Villa's squad is €444m less valuable than Liverpool's (€536m vs €980m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Aston Villa's attack is €298m less valuable than Liverpool's (€220m vs €518m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Aston Villa's midfield is €41m less valuable than Liverpool's (€160m vs €201m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Aston Villa's defence is €104m less valuable than Liverpool's (€156m vs €260m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
AVL wins
2
Draws
6
LIV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aston Villa vs Liverpool · H/A from AVL
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/24ALiverpool Vs AVL2-0
13/05/24HAVL Vs Liverpool3-3
03/09/23ALiverpool Vs AVL3-0
20/05/23ALiverpool Vs AVL1-1
26/12/22HAVL Vs Liverpool1-3
10/05/22HAVL Vs Liverpool1-2
11/12/21ALiverpool Vs AVL1-0
10/04/21ALiverpool Vs AVL2-1

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/25HAVL Vs Ipswich1-1
09/02/25HAVL Vs Tottenham2-1
01/02/25AWolves Vs AVL2-0
29/01/25HAVL Vs Celtic4-2
26/01/25HAVL Vs West Ham1-1
21/01/25AMonaco Vs AVL1-0
18/01/25AArsenal Vs AVL2-2
15/01/25AEverton Vs AVL0-1
10/01/25HAVL Vs West Ham2-1
04/01/25HAVL Vs Leicester2-1

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/02/25HLIV Vs Wolves2-1
12/02/25AEverton Vs LIV2-2
09/02/25APlymouth Vs LIV1-0
06/02/25HLIV Vs Tottenham4-0
01/02/25ABournemouth Vs LIV0-2
29/01/25APSV Eindhoven Vs LIV3-2
25/01/25HLIV Vs Ipswich4-1
21/01/25HLIV Vs Lille2-1
18/01/25ABrentford Vs LIV0-2
14/01/25ANottingham Forest Vs LIV1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWD1.56
HomeWDWWD1.93
AwayLWDLL1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%35%
AVG goals3.063.152.96
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %64%63%65%
Over 3.5 %36%41%30%
Scored1.521.851.13
Conceded1.541.301.83
BTTS62%74%48%
Clean Sheet18%22%13%
Corners10.2210.509.91
Cards4.875.094.64
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW2.22
HomeWWWWW2.43
AwayWLWLD2.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%78%59%
AVG goals3.263.173.33
Over 1.5 %84%91%78%
Over 2.5 %62%65%59%
Over 3.5 %44%39%48%
Scored2.242.392.11
Conceded1.020.781.22
BTTS50%43%56%
Clean Sheet38%43%33%
Corners10.2110.2510.17
Cards4.424.604.26

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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