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Aston Villa vs Manchester City Result & Analysis

Date: 21/12/2024
Time: 12:30
Final 2-1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Vs
28%
25%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Referee: P Bankes

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aston Villa win✓ Hit
27.6%
Avg Implied 29.9% · @ 3.20
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.63
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester City win✗ Miss
47.4%
Avg Implied 43.7% · @ 2.19
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L01L02L22D00D03L31W10W32W12LA·TOT03/11A·CLU06/11A·LIV09/11H·CRY23/11H·JUV27/11A·CHE01/12H·BRE04/12H·SOU07/12A·RB 10/12A·NOT14/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.601.601.331.271.87
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (21)1.241.951.561.671.002.17
vs Weaker (7)2.290.712.250.752.330.67
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L14L12L04L33D02L30W22D02L12LA·BOU02/11A·SPO05/11A·BRI09/11H·TOT23/11H·FEY26/11A·LIV01/12H·NOT04/12A·CRY07/12A·JUV11/12H·MAN15/12
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.232.431.291.881.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.831.671.001.000.752.00
vs Weaker (24)2.461.122.671.332.250.92
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.3%
Under 1.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.1%
@ 1.61+1.7%
Under 2.5
38.9%
@ 2.35-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.7%
Under 3.5
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.9%
No
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-1 ✓
7.0%
0-2
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
0-0
5.3%
Aston Villa goals ↓
Manchester City goals →
01234
05.3%6.7%7.0%4.2%1.9%
14.7%11%9.4%5.7%2.6%
23.9%7.0%6.3%3.8%1.7%
31.7%3.1%2.8%1.7%0.8%
40.6%1.1%1.0%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = Manchester City goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Aston Villa is 0.13 points worse than Manchester City in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 1.87).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Aston Villa is 0.37 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Aston Villa is 0.18 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.16).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Aston Villa is 11.0 percentage points worse than Manchester City in terms of average possession (50% vs 61%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 6.7 · Against 3.2 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

150347514110543331019232467121515761111510A·NOTA·RB H·SOUH·BREA·CHEH·JUVH·CRYA·LIVA·CLUA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

60121132222333234221344465362A·NOTA·RB H·SOUH·BREA·CHEH·JUVH·CRYA·LIVA·CLUA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 13.7 · Total 24.9

⚠️ Fouls

330612712181511156211314101115111212141418193326272721262428A·NOTA·RB H·SOUH·BREA·CHEH·JUVH·CRYA·LIVA·CLUA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester CityManchester City

For 7.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

1408262868247102934111103108141011121241213H·MANA·JUVA·CRYH·NOTA·LIVH·FEYH·TOTA·BRIA·SPOA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

60112111243111423333122326426663H·MANA·JUVA·CRYH·NOTA·LIVH·FEYH·TOTA·BRIA·SPOA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 10.3 · Total 19.2

⚠️ Fouls

2805147810471589713199101210861119151422172028221817H·MANA·JUVA·CRYH·NOTA·LIVH·FEYH·TOTA·BRIA·SPOA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.59.54.84.94.723.623.923.4
vs Stronger (4)8.08.57.54.04.53.520.221.519.0
vs Similar (34)10.410.99.94.84.65.123.223.323.1
vs Weaker (12)9.510.08.85.16.04.226.226.226.2
% over line48%54%42%70%76%64%69%79%58%
% under line52%46%58%30%24%36%31%21%42%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.111.011.33.23.23.317.318.116.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (11)10.512.09.23.84.03.719.922.417.8
vs Weaker (39)11.410.812.13.13.03.216.517.115.9
% over line69%72%65%42%42%42%15%16%13%
% under line31%28%35%58%58%58%85%84%87%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.9
Bournemouth
12.0
Manchester United
11.4
Southampton
11.3
Brentford
11.1
Newcastle
11.0
Manchester City
11.0
Ipswich
10.9
Everton
10.8
Fulham
10.6
Liverpool
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Chelsea
10.5
Wolves
10.4
Crystal Palace
10.4
West Ham
10.2
Aston Villa
10.1
Brighton
9.9
Leicester
9.9
Arsenal
9.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.2
Chelsea
5.1
Wolves
4.8
Brighton
4.8
Tottenham
4.7
Bournemouth
4.7
Newcastle
4.7
Southampton
4.7
Liverpool
4.6
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Leicester
4.4
Crystal Palace
4.2
Brentford
4.2
Manchester United
4.1
West Ham
4.1
Arsenal
4.1
Fulham
4.0
Ipswich
3.8
Manchester City
3.4
Everton
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.7
Aston Villa
23.7
Wolves
23.6
Bournemouth
23.4
Chelsea
23.2
Crystal Palace
23.0
Ipswich
23.0
Newcastle
23.0
Southampton
22.9
Brighton
22.4
Liverpool
22.1
Arsenal
21.9
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Leicester
21.6
Everton
21.4
West Ham
20.9
Fulham
20.7
Manchester United
20.4
Brentford
20.3
Manchester City
17.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
32.6%
Under 9.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.6%
Under 3.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
57.6%
Under 21.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L12L00D02L30W10W11D00DA·TOT03/11A·CLU06/11A·LIV09/11H·CRY23/11H·JUV27/11A·CHE01/12H·BRE04/12H·SOU07/12A·RB 10/12A·NOT14/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.730.670.600.67
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (21)0.710.811.000.780.500.83
vs Weaker (7)0.710.430.500.751.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D10W02L10W01L20W11D00D10WA·BOU02/11A·SPO05/11A·BRI09/11H·TOT23/11H·FEY26/11A·LIV01/12H·NOT04/12A·CRY07/12A·JUV11/12H·MAN15/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.531.430.571.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.500.670.501.000.500.50
vs Weaker (24)1.380.501.580.501.170.50
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L01L01L10W00D01L01L00D21W12LA·TOT03/11A·CLU06/11A·LIV09/11H·CRY23/11H·JUV27/11A·CHE01/12H·BRE04/12H·SOU07/12A·RB 10/12A·NOT14/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.930.870.670.671.20
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (21)0.521.140.560.890.501.33
vs Weaker (7)1.570.291.750.001.330.67
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L02L02L23L01L10W11D02L02LA·BOU02/11A·SPO05/11A·BRI09/11H·TOT23/11H·FEY26/11A·LIV01/12H·NOT04/12A·CRY07/12A·JUV11/12H·MAN15/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.701.000.710.880.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.331.000.500.000.251.50
vs Weaker (24)1.080.621.080.831.080.42
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners86.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards83.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.583.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners78.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls73.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jhon Durán41%
Ollie Watkins30%
Marco Asensio24%
Morgan Rogers22%
Donyell Malen18%
Marcus Rashford18%
Amadou Onana15%
Ross Barkley14%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey9%
John McGinn8%
Ezri Konsa6%
Leon Bailey5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Matty Cash3%
Boubacar Kamara2%
Robin Olsen0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Carlos29%
Morgan Rogers22%
Matty Cash21%
Axel Disasi20%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace20%
Jhon Durán17%
John McGinn16%
Tyrone Mings14%
Ross Barkley14%
Lucas Digne13%
Lamare Bogarde12%
Boubacar Kamara12%
Amadou Onana12%
Leon Bailey11%
Marco Asensio10%
Youri Tielemans9%
Emiliano Martínez9%
Pau Torres9%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Ollie Watkins4%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Marcus Rashford0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ollie Watkins24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans19%
John McGinn12%
Lucas Digne11%
Leon Bailey11%
Jacob Ramsey9%
Pau Torres6%
Marco Asensio5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Ross Barkley3%
Matty Cash3%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Jhon Durán0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jhon Durán28%
Marco Asensio24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Ollie Watkins19%
Morgan Rogers17%
Donyell Malen12%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey4%
Leon Bailey3%
Ian Maatsen2%
John McGinn2%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ross Barkley0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland51%
Omar Marmoush27%
Nico O’Reilly22%
James McAtee19%
Phil Foden18%
Kevin De Bruyne15%
John Stones15%
Mateo Kovačić15%
Jérémy Doku14%
Nico González12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Abdukodir Khusanov11%
Matheus Nunes11%
Jack Grealish9%
Bernardo Silva8%
İlkay Gündoğan6%
Rico Lewis5%
Savinho5%
Manuel Akanji0%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nico González25%
Abdukodir Khusanov22%
Bernardo Silva19%
Rúben Dias18%
Kyle Walker17%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey17%
Matheus Nunes16%
Jack Grealish16%
James McAtee15%
Mateo Kovačić15%
Ederson11%
Nico O’Reilly11%
John Stones10%
Stefan Ortega10%
Rico Lewis10%
Savinho9%
Manuel Akanji8%
Kevin De Bruyne8%
Erling Haaland5%
Phil Foden4%
İlkay Gündoğan4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Jérémy Doku3%
Rodri0%
Nathan Aké0%
Omar Marmoush0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Vitor Reis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matheus Nunes24%
Jérémy Doku22%
Savinho20%
Kevin De Bruyne18%
Jack Grealish12%
İlkay Gündoğan12%
Rico Lewis12%
Ederson11%
Phil Foden11%
Erling Haaland9%
Bernardo Silva8%
Mateo Kovačić7%
Nico O’Reilly6%
John Stones5%
Omar Marmoush5%
Manuel Akanji3%
Joško Gvardiol2%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
James McAtee0%
Nico González0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland58%
Omar Marmoush36%
Phil Foden20%
Kevin De Bruyne18%
James McAtee12%
Savinho11%
Jérémy Doku11%
İlkay Gündoğan8%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Jack Grealish3%
Manuel Akanji3%
Matheus Nunes3%
Rúben Dias2%
Mateo Kovačić2%
Rico Lewis2%
Bernardo Silva2%
Rodri0%
Ederson0%
John Stones0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Nico González0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Nico O’Reilly0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Aston Villa's squad is €790m less valuable than Manchester City's (€536m vs €1326m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Aston Villa's attack is €416m less valuable than Manchester City's (€220m vs €635m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Aston Villa and Manchester City have a similar midfield value (both €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Aston Villa's defence is €374m less valuable than Manchester City's (€156m vs €531m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
AVL wins
1
Draws
6
MC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aston Villa vs Manchester City · H/A from AVL
DateH/AGameScore
03/04/24AManchester City Vs AVL4-1
06/12/23HAVL Vs Manchester City1-0
12/02/23AManchester City Vs AVL3-1
03/09/22HAVL Vs Manchester City1-1
22/05/22AManchester City Vs AVL3-2
01/12/21HAVL Vs Manchester City1-2
21/04/21HAVL Vs Manchester City1-2
20/01/21AManchester City Vs AVL2-0

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/12/24ANottingham Forest Vs AVL2-1
10/12/24ARB Leipzig Vs AVL2-3
07/12/24HAVL Vs Southampton1-0
04/12/24HAVL Vs Brentford3-1
01/12/24AChelsea Vs AVL3-0
27/11/24HAVL Vs Juventus0-0
23/11/24HAVL Vs Crystal Palace2-2
09/11/24ALiverpool Vs AVL2-0
06/11/24AClub Brugge KV Vs AVL1-0
03/11/24ATottenham Vs AVL4-1

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/12/24HMC Vs Manchester United1-2
11/12/24AJuventus Vs MC2-0
07/12/24ACrystal Palace Vs MC2-2
04/12/24HMC Vs Nottingham Forest3-0
01/12/24ALiverpool Vs MC2-0
26/11/24HMC Vs Feyenoord3-3
23/11/24HMC Vs Tottenham0-4
09/11/24ABrighton Vs MC2-1
05/11/24ASporting CP Vs MC4-1
02/11/24ABournemouth Vs MC2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.54
HomeLDDWW1.72
AwayLLLWL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%40%
AVG goals3.243.403.08
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %68%68%68%
Over 3.5 %46%56%36%
Scored1.661.881.44
Conceded1.581.521.64
BTTS60%64%56%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners9.9610.469.46
Cards5.025.124.92
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL2.08
HomeWLDWL2.23
AwayLLLDL1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%65%58%
AVG goals3.383.383.38
Over 1.5 %90%85%96%
Over 2.5 %68%69%67%
Over 3.5 %52%54%50%
Scored2.242.352.12
Conceded1.141.041.25
BTTS64%65%62%
Clean Sheet30%31%29%
Corners11.1511.0011.30
Cards3.433.283.59

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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