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Aston Villa vs Manchester City Result & Analysis

Date: 26/10/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Vs
21%
27%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Referee: M Oliver

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aston Villa win✓ Hit
21.1%
Avg Implied 22.8% · @ 4.16
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.77
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester City win✗ Miss
51.7%
Avg Implied 52.1% · @ 1.82
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D11D11D10W31W20W21W21W12LH·CRY31/08A·EVE13/09A·BRE16/09A·SUN21/09H·BOL25/09H·FUL28/09A·FEY02/10H·BUR05/10A·TOT19/10A·GO 23/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.001.920.751.331.17
vs Stronger (3)1.672.333.002.001.002.50
vs Similar (20)1.501.001.880.751.251.17
vs Weaker (7)1.710.431.670.331.750.50
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L30W20W11D20W51W22D10W20W20WA·BRI31/08H·MAN14/09H·NAP18/09A·ARS21/09A·HUD24/09H·BUR27/09A·MON01/10A·BRE05/10H·EVE18/10A·VIL21/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.770.772.310.921.350.65
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.672.000.002.001.002.00
vs Weaker (27)1.890.632.500.831.400.47
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.0%
Under 1.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.6%
@ 1.68-8.6%
Under 2.5
52.4%
@ 2.15+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.9%
Under 3.5
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.1%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.8%
1-0 ✓
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.4%
Aston Villa goals ↓
Manchester City goals →
01234
08.8%11%10.0%5.4%2.2%
16.1%13%9.5%5.1%2.1%
23.5%5.6%4.6%2.5%1.0%
31.1%1.8%1.5%0.8%0.3%
40.3%0.4%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = Manchester City goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Aston Villa is 0.34 points worse than Manchester City in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 2.05).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Aston Villa is 0.55 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 2.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Aston Villa is 0.37 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Aston Villa is 7.1 percentage points worse than Manchester City in terms of average possession (53% vs 60%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 5.4 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

13010166641828835633310101111210910111161311A·GO A·TOTH·BURA·FEYH·FULH·BOLA·SUNA·BREA·EVEH·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

60223133142213233232246544265A·GO A·TOTH·BURA·FEYH·FULH·BOLA·SUNA·BREA·EVEH·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 14.9 · Total 24.1

⚠️ Fouls

320227119151017101316148141012151771422182427233022223221A·GO A·TOTH·BURA·FEYH·FULH·BOLA·SUNA·BREA·EVEH·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester CityManchester City

For 4.9 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

14031113233710251211922423414510126131165A·VILH·EVEA·BREA·MONH·BURA·HUDA·ARSH·NAPH·MANA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

6024223511321222146256432045A·VILH·EVEA·BREA·MONH·BURA·ARSH·NAPH·MANA·BRIH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 10.2 · Total 19.2

⚠️ Fouls

320151781461013957861011348814163222162212142171630A·VILH·EVEA·BREA·MONH·BURA·HUDA·ARSH·NAPH·MANA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.410.43.43.13.622.722.522.9
vs Stronger (5)10.49.511.03.83.54.020.619.521.3
vs Similar (34)9.910.39.53.43.23.622.121.722.4
vs Weaker (11)12.311.213.23.02.63.326.327.025.8
% over line65%57%72%60%58%62%54%52%56%
% under line35%43%28%40%42%38%46%48%44%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.39.23.02.93.117.717.118.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)10.89.711.32.41.72.816.214.017.3
vs Weaker (41)8.89.28.53.13.03.118.017.718.3
% over line46%52%40%42%43%41%17%14%20%
% under line54%48%60%58%57%59%83%86%80%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.0
Tottenham
10.9
Liverpool
10.6
Bournemouth
10.5
Brentford
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Aston Villa
10.2
West Ham
10.2
Crystal Palace
10.0
Fulham
10.0
Sunderland
9.7
Everton
9.7
Brighton
9.6
Wolves
9.6
Arsenal
9.6
Leeds
9.6
Chelsea
9.5
Manchester United
9.3
Manchester City
9.3
Burnley
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
5.0
Nottingham Forest
4.8
Brighton
4.4
Chelsea
4.4
Crystal Palace
4.3
Sunderland
4.2
Wolves
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Newcastle
4.1
Brentford
4.0
Aston Villa
3.9
Fulham
3.8
Liverpool
3.7
Manchester City
3.6
Everton
3.6
Tottenham
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
West Ham
3.5
Burnley
3.4
Leeds
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.1
Wolves
24.1
Aston Villa
22.9
Brighton
22.9
Tottenham
22.7
Newcastle
22.6
Sunderland
22.6
Chelsea
22.3
Nottingham Forest
22.2
Burnley
22.2
West Ham
22.0
Leeds
21.9
Fulham
21.9
Manchester United
21.7
Everton
21.6
Crystal Palace
21.4
Arsenal
21.0
Liverpool
20.3
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
17.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.0%
Under 9.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.2%
Under 3.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
51.3%
Under 21.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D10W00D10W11D00D10W11D11DH·CRY31/08A·EVE13/09A·BRE16/09A·SUN21/09H·BOL25/09H·FUL28/09A·FEY02/10H·BUR05/10A·TOT19/10A·GO 23/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.430.670.420.390.44
vs Stronger (3)1.001.331.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.450.400.620.380.330.42
vs Weaker (7)0.430.140.670.000.250.25
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D10W10W11D21W10W00D20WA·BRI31/08H·MAN14/09H·NAP18/09A·ARS21/09A·HUD24/09H·BUR27/09A·MON01/10A·BRE05/10H·EVE18/10A·VIL21/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.501.000.770.760.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.331.330.002.000.501.00
vs Weaker (27)0.930.411.080.670.800.20
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L11D00D20W20W11D10W01LH·CRY31/08A·EVE13/09A·BRE16/09A·SUN21/09H·BOL25/09H·FUL28/09A·FEY02/10H·BUR05/10A·TOT19/10A·GO 23/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.571.250.330.940.72
vs Stronger (3)0.671.002.000.000.001.50
vs Similar (20)1.050.601.250.380.920.75
vs Weaker (7)1.290.291.000.331.500.25
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L20W20W01L10W40W01L00D20W00DA·BRI31/08H·MAN14/09H·NAP18/09A·ARS21/09A·HUD24/09H·BUR27/09A·MON01/10A·BRE05/10H·EVE18/10A·VIL21/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.271.310.150.590.35
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.330.670.000.000.501.00
vs Weaker (27)0.960.221.420.170.600.27
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners73.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards71.8%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Ollie Watkins27%
Emiliano Buendía20%
Morgan Rogers20%
Tammy Abraham19%
John McGinn18%
Donyell Malen17%
Ross Barkley13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Evann Guessand10%
Matty Cash6%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Amadou Onana5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Jadon Sancho3%
Ian Maatsen2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matty Cash24%
Marco Bizot21%
Boubacar Kamara19%
John McGinn18%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Morgan Rogers16%
Lamare Bogarde16%
Douglas Luiz15%
Lucas Digne14%
Andrés García12%
Amadou Onana11%
Evann Guessand10%
Ollie Watkins7%
Victor Lindelöf7%
Emiliano Martínez7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ross Barkley4%
Pau Torres3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Donyell Malen0%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Alysson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans17%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Lucas Digne16%
John McGinn16%
Boubacar Kamara15%
Ollie Watkins9%
Matty Cash8%
Jadon Sancho8%
Donyell Malen7%
Tammy Abraham6%
Leon Bailey5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Evann Guessand5%
Ross Barkley4%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Emiliano Martínez2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Morgan Rogers24%
Ollie Watkins24%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Donyell Malen10%
Evann Guessand10%
Youri Tielemans6%
Ross Barkley4%
Amadou Onana3%
Jadon Sancho3%
John McGinn2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Matty Cash2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Leon Bailey0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Douglas Luiz0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland55%
Antoine Semenyo42%
Rayan Cherki20%
Max Alleyne17%
Jérémy Doku15%
Phil Foden14%
Omar Marmoush14%
Nico O'Reilly13%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Savinho11%
Marc Guéhi10%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Rodri6%
Rúben Dias6%
Bernardo Silva6%
Nico González5%
Rico Lewis5%
Matheus Nunes2%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bernardo Silva28%
Gianluigi Donnarumma23%
Nico González20%
Rodri19%
Abdukodir Khusanov17%
Nico O'Reilly15%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Rúben Dias12%
Savinho11%
Phil Foden10%
Marc Guéhi10%
Omar Marmoush9%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Oscar Bobb7%
Tijjani Reijnders4%
Erling Haaland4%
Rayan Cherki4%
Antoine Semenyo4%
Nathan Aké3%
John Stones0%
Jérémy Doku0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Divine Mukasa33%
Rayan Cherki24%
Jérémy Doku19%
Joško Gvardiol16%
Erling Haaland16%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Phil Foden12%
Antoine Semenyo12%
Nico O'Reilly12%
Mateo Kovačić11%
Bernardo Silva9%
Omar Marmoush9%
Oscar Bobb7%
Savinho6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Nathan Aké0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland53%
Antoine Semenyo19%
Omar Marmoush17%
Tijjani Reijnders15%
Rayan Cherki12%
Phil Foden10%
Savinho8%
Rodri6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rico Lewis5%
Jérémy Doku4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Nico O'Reilly4%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Bernardo Silva0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
Matheus Nunes0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Aston Villa's squad is €790m less valuable than Manchester City's (€536m vs €1326m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Aston Villa's attack is €416m less valuable than Manchester City's (€220m vs €635m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Aston Villa and Manchester City have a similar midfield value (both €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Aston Villa's defence is €374m less valuable than Manchester City's (€156m vs €531m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AVL wins
1
Draws
5
MC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aston Villa vs Manchester City · H/A from AVL
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/25AManchester City Vs AVL2-1
21/12/24HAVL Vs Manchester City2-1
03/04/24AManchester City Vs AVL4-1
06/12/23HAVL Vs Manchester City1-0
12/02/23AManchester City Vs AVL3-1
03/09/22HAVL Vs Manchester City1-1
22/05/22AManchester City Vs AVL3-2
01/12/21HAVL Vs Manchester City1-2

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/10/25AGO Ahead Eagles Vs AVL2-1
19/10/25ATottenham Vs AVL1-2
05/10/25HAVL Vs Burnley2-1
02/10/25AFeyenoord Vs AVL0-2
28/09/25HAVL Vs Fulham3-1
25/09/25HAVL Vs Bologna1-0
21/09/25ASunderland Vs AVL1-1
16/09/25ABrentford Vs AVL1-1
13/09/25AEverton Vs AVL0-0
31/08/25HAVL Vs Crystal Palace0-3

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/25AVillarreal Vs MC0-2
18/10/25HMC Vs Everton2-0
05/10/25ABrentford Vs MC0-1
01/10/25AMonaco Vs MC2-2
27/09/25HMC Vs Burnley5-1
24/09/25AHuddersfield Vs MC0-2
21/09/25AArsenal Vs MC1-1
18/09/25HMC Vs Napoli2-0
14/09/25HMC Vs Manchester United3-0
31/08/25ABrighton Vs MC2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.86
HomeDLWWW2.46
AwayDDWWL1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%75%38%
AVG goals2.742.922.58
Over 1.5 %80%83%77%
Over 2.5 %62%67%58%
Over 3.5 %24%29%19%
Scored1.561.961.19
Conceded1.180.961.38
BTTS54%67%42%
Clean Sheet30%29%31%
Corners10.4110.4310.40
Cards3.823.703.92
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.86
HomeLWWWW2.22
AwayDWDWW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%70%44%
AVG goals3.163.742.67
Over 1.5 %86%96%78%
Over 2.5 %56%70%44%
Over 3.5 %40%52%30%
Scored2.062.701.52
Conceded1.101.041.15
BTTS48%57%41%
Clean Sheet40%35%44%
Corners9.229.299.16
Cards3.473.473.46

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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