PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction & Stats

Date: 24/10/2026
Time: 11:30
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Vs
30%
27%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Aston Villa face Manchester City in a tightly contested Premier League clash, with the model favouring an away win. The odds are evenly split: a 33% chance of a Villa victory, 27% for a draw and 40% that City will come away with the points. The expected total of goals sits at 2.8, but the most probable total is two, with a 25% chance of that exact figure. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.9% probability.

Villa’s home form shows a modest 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded against weaker opposition, while City, playing away, averages 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded at this tier. Recent form adds intrigue: Villa are coming off a 0-4 loss to Brighton, whereas City are riding a two-game winning streak after a 4-1 victory over Crystal Palace.

The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Under 6.5 (96.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.8%), Under 5.5 (92.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (91.0%), Away +2 handicap (87.4%), Home under 2.5 goals (86.0%) and Under 5.5 cards (82.5%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aston Villa win
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester City win
42.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L12L40W22D42W30W21W04L01LA·FUL25/04A·NOT30/04H·TOT03/05H·NOT07/05A·BUR10/05H·LIV15/05A·SC 20/05A·MAN24/05A·BRI23/08H·ARS31/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.271.871.331.271.20
vs Stronger (2)1.001.000.001.002.001.00
vs Similar (23)1.571.302.001.501.091.09
vs Weaker (5)1.801.202.000.501.671.67
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W21W33D30W30W10W11D12L21W41WA·BUR22/04H·SOU25/04A·EVE04/05H·BRE09/05H·CRY13/05A·CHE16/05A·BOU19/05H·AST24/05H·BOU23/08A·CRY28/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.972.270.731.671.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.880.882.331.001.600.80
vs Weaker (22)2.001.002.250.671.701.40
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.2%
Under 2.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.6%
No
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-0
7.2%
0-2
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
Aston Villa goals ↓
Manchester City goals →
01234
07.2%8.1%7.1%3.6%1.4%
16.5%13%9.1%4.6%1.8%
24.9%7.5%5.8%2.9%1.1%
32.1%3.2%2.4%1.2%0.5%
40.7%1.0%0.8%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = Manchester City goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brentford
1.39
Brighton
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Ipswich
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
Hull
0.98
Coventry
0.97
Aston Villa is 0.34 points worse than Manchester City in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 2.05).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
Ipswich
1.19
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Hull
0.99
Coventry
0.98
Aston Villa is 0.55 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 2.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
Ipswich
1.58
Hull
1.91
Coventry
1.93
Aston Villa is 0.37 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
Aston Villa is 7.1 percentage points worse than Manchester City in terms of average possession (53% vs 60%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 5.1 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

13024254981498263557552671391310910127H·ARSA·BRIA·MANA·SC H·LIVA·BURH·NOTH·TOTA·NOTA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

70314213131112251224614422714H·ARSA·BRIA·MANA·SC H·LIVA·BURH·NOTH·TOTA·NOTA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.3 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

30017691248151512981813121212117121423211230212625241826H·ARSA·BRIA·MANA·SC H·LIVA·BURH·NOTH·TOTA·NOTA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester CityManchester City

For 8.2 · Against 3.7 · Total 11.9

🚩 Corners

14062839467449410295103113811131381312141314A·CRYH·BOUH·ASTA·BOUA·CHEH·CRYH·BREA·EVEH·SOUA·BUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

602112124132421413316426510A·CRYH·BOUH·ASTA·BOUA·CHEH·CRYH·BREA·EVEH·SOUA·BUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 10.9 · Total 20.2

⚠️ Fouls

280108111184716131510781451599121018221223281722201822A·CRYH·BOUH·ASTA·BOUA·CHEH·CRYH·BREA·EVEH·SOUA·BUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.59.22.82.53.122.922.323.5
vs Stronger (6)7.86.09.52.02.02.020.020.519.5
vs Similar (36)10.010.29.83.02.83.222.021.622.4
vs Weaker (8)7.38.07.02.61.33.429.329.029.5
% over line53%56%50%38%33%42%61%56%65%
% under line47%44%50%62%67%58%39%44%35%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.19.93.02.73.320.919.921.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (14)10.011.09.33.44.03.023.920.226.3
vs Weaker (36)10.09.810.22.92.43.520.019.920.1
% over line55%60%50%44%38%50%50%45%55%
% under line45%40%50%56%62%50%50%55%45%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.1
Bournemouth
10.7
Fulham
10.5
Hull
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
Tottenham
10.1
Chelsea
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Brentford
9.9
Brighton
9.7
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Manchester United
9.6
Coventry
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Everton
9.3
Aston Villa
9.3
Sunderland
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Chelsea
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Ipswich
4.3
Hull
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Brighton
4.0
Aston Villa
3.8
Coventry
3.7
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
23.9
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Bournemouth
23.2
Tottenham
22.9
Chelsea
22.7
Sunderland
22.7
Leeds
22.1
Brighton
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Newcastle
21.8
Everton
21.6
Manchester United
21.5
Liverpool
21.4
Coventry
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.3
Hull
21.1
Manchester City
21.0
Fulham
20.0
Brentford
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.7%
Under 9.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
51.5%
Under 3.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
49.7%
Under 21.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Aston Villa or Draw
53.0%
Avg Implied -
30%
27%
42%
covers Aston Villa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa or Manchester City
73.6%
Avg Implied -
30%
27%
42%
covers Aston Villa + Manchester City
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Manchester City
73.4%
Avg Implied -
30%
27%
42%
covers Draw + Manchester City
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5
Over
70.3%
Under
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5
Over
34.2%
Under
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5
Over
12.4%
Under
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 3.5
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5
Over
81.2%
Under
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5
Over
49.8%
Under
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5
Over
23.6%
Under
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 3.5
Over
8.9%
Under
91.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Aston Villa, so a minus line means Aston Villa give that many goals of a start and Manchester City receive them. At -1, Aston Villa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Aston Villa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Aston Villa)
Aston Villa -2
3.7%
Draw -2
7.7%
Manchester City +2
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Aston Villa)
Aston Villa -1
11.4%
Draw -1
15.3%
Manchester City +1
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Aston Villa)
Aston Villa +1
53.0%
Draw +1
21.5%
Manchester City -1
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Aston Villa)
Aston Villa +2
74.5%
Draw +2
14.6%
Manchester City -2
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D02L10W11D10W20W01L04L00DA·FUL25/04A·NOT30/04H·TOT03/05H·NOT07/05A·BUR10/05H·LIV15/05A·SC 20/05A·MAN24/05A·BRI23/08H·ARS31/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.530.670.530.670.53
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.650.610.580.670.730.55
vs Weaker (5)1.000.201.500.000.670.33
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W00D20W00D01L10W01L10WA·BUR22/04H·SOU25/04A·EVE04/05H·BRE09/05H·CRY13/05A·CHE16/05A·BOU19/05H·AST24/05H·BOU23/08A·CRY28/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.401.400.270.530.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.500.621.330.670.000.60
vs Weaker (22)1.140.321.420.170.800.50
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L10W30W11D32W10W20W00D01LA·FUL25/04A·NOT30/04H·TOT03/05H·NOT07/05A·BUR10/05H·LIV15/05A·SC 20/05A·MAN24/05A·BRI23/08H·ARS31/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.731.200.800.600.67
vs Stronger (2)1.000.500.001.002.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.910.701.420.830.360.55
vs Weaker (5)0.801.000.500.501.001.33
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W23L30W10W10W10W02L20W31WA·BUR22/04H·SOU25/04A·EVE04/05H·BRE09/05H·CRY13/05A·CHE16/05A·BOU19/05H·AST24/05H·BOU23/08A·CRY28/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.570.870.471.130.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.380.251.000.331.600.20
vs Weaker (22)0.860.680.830.500.900.90
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.0%-------
Under 6.597.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals96.5%-------
Under 5.592.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals91.1%-------
Away +2 handicap88.6%-------
Home under 2.5 goals87.6%-------
Under 4.583.4%-------
Under 5.5 cards82.4%-------
Away over 0.5 goals81.2%-------
Under 25.5 fouls80.0%-------
Over 1.578.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals76.4%-------
Home +2 handicap74.5%-------
Home or Away73.6%-------
Draw or Away73.4%-------
Away +1 handicap73.4%-------
Over 2.5 cards72.2%-------
Under 11.5 corners71.9%-------
Home over 0.5 goals70.3%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aston Villa · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Ollie Watkins27%
Emiliano Buendía20%
Morgan Rogers20%
Tammy Abraham19%
John McGinn18%
Donyell Malen17%
Ross Barkley13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Evann Guessand10%
Matty Cash6%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Amadou Onana5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Jadon Sancho3%
Ian Maatsen2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matty Cash24%
Marco Bizot21%
Boubacar Kamara19%
John McGinn18%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Morgan Rogers16%
Lamare Bogarde16%
Douglas Luiz15%
Lucas Digne14%
Andrés García12%
Amadou Onana11%
Evann Guessand10%
Ollie Watkins7%
Victor Lindelöf7%
Emiliano Martínez7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ross Barkley4%
Pau Torres3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Donyell Malen0%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Alysson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans17%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Lucas Digne16%
John McGinn16%
Boubacar Kamara15%
Ollie Watkins9%
Matty Cash8%
Jadon Sancho8%
Donyell Malen7%
Tammy Abraham6%
Leon Bailey5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Evann Guessand5%
Ross Barkley4%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Emiliano Martínez2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Morgan Rogers24%
Ollie Watkins24%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Donyell Malen10%
Evann Guessand10%
Youri Tielemans6%
Ross Barkley4%
Amadou Onana3%
Jadon Sancho3%
John McGinn2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Matty Cash2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Leon Bailey0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Douglas Luiz0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Manchester City · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland55%
Antoine Semenyo42%
Rayan Cherki20%
Max Alleyne17%
Jérémy Doku15%
Phil Foden14%
Omar Marmoush14%
Nico O'Reilly13%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Savinho11%
Marc Guéhi10%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Rodri6%
Rúben Dias6%
Bernardo Silva6%
Nico González5%
Rico Lewis5%
Matheus Nunes2%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bernardo Silva28%
Gianluigi Donnarumma23%
Nico González20%
Rodri19%
Abdukodir Khusanov17%
Nico O'Reilly15%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Rúben Dias12%
Savinho11%
Phil Foden10%
Marc Guéhi10%
Omar Marmoush9%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Oscar Bobb7%
Tijjani Reijnders4%
Erling Haaland4%
Rayan Cherki4%
Antoine Semenyo4%
Nathan Aké3%
John Stones0%
Jérémy Doku0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Divine Mukasa33%
Rayan Cherki24%
Jérémy Doku19%
Joško Gvardiol16%
Erling Haaland16%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Phil Foden12%
Antoine Semenyo12%
Nico O'Reilly12%
Mateo Kovačić11%
Bernardo Silva9%
Omar Marmoush9%
Oscar Bobb7%
Savinho6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Nathan Aké0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland53%
Antoine Semenyo19%
Omar Marmoush17%
Tijjani Reijnders15%
Rayan Cherki12%
Phil Foden10%
Savinho8%
Rodri6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rico Lewis5%
Jérémy Doku4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Nico O'Reilly4%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Bernardo Silva0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
Matheus Nunes0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
HUL (27)
€105m
Aston Villa's squad is €790m less valuable than Manchester City's (€536m vs €1326m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
HUL (7)
€22m
Aston Villa's attack is €416m less valuable than Manchester City's (€220m vs €635m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
IPS (7)
€66m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
HUL (8)
€31m
FUL (3)
€28m
Aston Villa and Manchester City have a similar midfield value (both €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
HUL (12)
€52m
Aston Villa's defence is €374m less valuable than Manchester City's (€156m vs €531m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
AVL wins
1
Draws
3
MC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aston Villa vs Manchester City · H/A from AVL
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26AManchester City Vs AVL1-2
26/10/25HAVL Vs Manchester City1-0
22/04/25AManchester City Vs AVL2-1
21/12/24HAVL Vs Manchester City2-1
03/04/24AManchester City Vs AVL4-1
06/12/23HAVL Vs Manchester City1-0
12/02/23AManchester City Vs AVL3-1
03/09/22HAVL Vs Manchester City1-1

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HAVL Vs Arsenal0-1
23/08/26ABrighton Vs AVL4-0
24/05/26AManchester City Vs AVL1-2
20/05/26ASC Freiburg Vs AVL0-3
15/05/26HAVL Vs Liverpool4-2
10/05/26ABurnley Vs AVL2-2
07/05/26HAVL Vs Nottingham Forest4-0
03/05/26HAVL Vs Tottenham1-2
30/04/26ANottingham Forest Vs AVL1-0
25/04/26AFulham Vs AVL1-0

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ACrystal Palace Vs MC1-4
23/08/26HMC Vs Bournemouth2-1
24/05/26HMC Vs Aston Villa1-2
19/05/26ABournemouth Vs MC1-1
16/05/26AChelsea Vs MC0-1
13/05/26HMC Vs Crystal Palace3-0
09/05/26HMC Vs Brentford3-0
04/05/26AEverton Vs MC3-3
25/04/26HMC Vs Southampton2-1
22/04/26ABurnley Vs MC0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.96
HomeWLWWL2.17
AwayLDWWL1.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%71%54%
AVG goals2.903.002.81
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %32%38%27%
Scored1.701.961.46
Conceded1.201.041.35
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet30%38%23%
Corners9.329.509.15
Cards3.783.464.08
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW2.20
HomeWWWLW2.42
AwayWDWDW1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%77%58%
AVG goals3.163.352.96
Over 1.5 %90%100%79%
Over 2.5 %66%73%58%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored2.202.581.79
Conceded0.960.771.17
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet38%42%33%
Corners10.2610.3510.17
Cards3.683.543.83

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City26
100%
3.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
3.0
0%
20.0
50%
1326
6351605313.01.0
60%
2ArsenalArsenal26
100%
3.0
40+4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
8.0
50%
3.0
50%
23.0
100%
1406
6082905082.00.0
56%
3HullHull26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.5
0%
4.0
50%
19.0
0%
105
2231521.50.0
-
4ChelseaChelsea26
100%
3.0
75+2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
10.5
100%
4.5
100%
18.5
0%
1407
6142785143.52.5
57%
5BrentfordBrentford24
50%
2.0
41+3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.5
100%
3.0
50%
24.5
50%
565
2281282092.00.5
47%
6NewcastleNewcastle24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
12.0
50%
5.5
50%
27.5
100%
568
2341242102.01.0
52%
7EvertonEverton24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
22.5
50%
459
1741621231.50.5
44%
8LeedsLeeds24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
427
166981631.00.5
46%
9BrightonBrighton23
50%
1.5
74+3
5.5
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
5.0
100%
19.5
0%
620
1901802493.52.0
53%
10Manchester UnitedManchester United23
50%
1.5
54+1
4.5
100%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
3.5
50%
19.0
0%
929
4322362612.52.0
52%
11SunderlandSunderland23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
2.5
0%
25.5
100%
392
1571101251.01.0
45%
12IpswichIpswich23
50%
1.5
46-2
5.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
22.5
50%
280
13066852.03.0
-
13LiverpoolLiverpool22
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
8.0
0%
7.0
100%
27.0
100%
980
5182012602.02.0
59%
14Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
4.5
50%
26.0
100%
551
263522361.01.5
46%
15BournemouthBournemouth21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
23.5
100%
573
2851061821.01.5
50%
16FulhamFulham20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
8.5
50%
3.5
50%
22.0
50%
329
178281231.02.0
51%
17CoventryCoventry20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
9.0
50%
3.5
50%
21.0
50%
237
8552990.02.0
-
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
50%
50%
6.0
0%
2.0
0%
19.0
0%
505
229931820.53.0
45%
19Aston VillaAston Villa20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
5.0
100%
22.0
50%
536
2201601560.02.5
53%
20TottenhamTottenham20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.0
100%
2.5
0%
27.5
100%
920
2502823880.02.5
50%
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches