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Aston Villa vs Manchester United Result & Analysis

Date: 06/10/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 0-0
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Vs
43%
26%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Referee: R Jones

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aston Villa win✗ Miss
43.4%
Avg Implied 43.7% · @ 2.20
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.0%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.86
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester United win✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied 31.4% · @ 3.06
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L21W02L21W32W30W31W21W22D10WA·CRY19/05A·WES17/08H·ARS24/08A·LEI31/08H·EVE14/09A·BSC17/09H·WOL21/09A·WYC24/09A·IPS29/09H·BAY02/10
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.672.201.801.401.53
vs Stronger (4)1.001.500.501.001.502.00
vs Similar (19)1.681.952.402.200.891.67
vs Weaker (7)2.571.002.671.002.501.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-720W10W12L03L30W70W00D11D03L33DA·BRI19/05H·FUL16/08A·BRI24/08H·LIV01/09A·SOU14/09H·BAR17/09A·CRY21/09H·TWE25/09H·TOT29/09A·FC 03/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.632.001.401.671.87
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (19)1.471.891.621.881.361.91
vs Weaker (10)2.601.002.430.863.001.33
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.7%
@ 1.47-6.3%
Under 2.5
41.3%
@ 2.73+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.3%
Under 3.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.8%
No
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-0 ✓
5.8%
0-1
5.4%
Aston Villa goals ↓
Manchester United goals →
01234
05.8%5.4%4.5%2.1%0.7%
16.8%12%7.5%3.4%1.2%
26.6%9.1%6.3%2.9%1.0%
33.7%5.1%3.5%1.6%0.6%
41.5%2.1%1.5%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = Manchester United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Aston Villa is 0.63 points better than Manchester United in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Aston Villa is 0.37 goals better than Manchester United in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Aston Villa is 0.08 goals better than Manchester United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.42).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Aston Villa is 3.8 percentage points worse than Manchester United in terms of average possession (50% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 3.9 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

1201111065636241413542541210119855869H·BAYA·IPSH·WOLA·BSCH·EVEA·LEIH·ARSA·WESA·CRYH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

90321436141454132141115595594352H·BAYA·IPSH·WOLA·BSCH·EVEA·LEIH·ARSA·WESA·CRYH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 13.5 · Total 24.9

⚠️ Fouls

340812141011161214101221138151118810111520242726223423291826H·BAYA·IPSH·WOLA·BSCH·EVEA·LEIH·ARSA·WESA·CRYH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester UnitedManchester United

For 7.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 12.0

🚩 Corners

18010553105114752447857991581515778151218A·FC H·TOTH·TWEA·CRYA·SOUH·LIVA·BRIH·FULA·BRIH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

90316313134241212331334944653546A·FC H·TOTH·TWEA·CRYA·SOUH·LIVA·BRIH·FULA·BRIH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 9.0 · Total 20.1

⚠️ Fouls

30077161458127141177139121091016714301319251422221923A·FC H·TOTH·TWEA·CRYA·SOUH·LIVA·BRIH·FULA·BRIH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.510.05.04.75.223.423.623.3
vs Stronger (6)7.37.27.54.34.83.522.324.019.0
vs Similar (29)10.510.410.64.93.76.022.822.423.2
vs Weaker (15)9.49.19.65.36.64.225.125.624.7
% over line49%48%50%74%72%76%67%72%62%
% under line51%52%50%26%28%24%33%28%38%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)12.513.311.64.24.14.419.818.920.8
vs Stronger (4)13.012.513.52.84.01.515.816.015.5
vs Similar (31)12.313.011.74.44.54.220.119.420.8
vs Weaker (15)12.614.311.04.33.25.420.418.622.1
% over line69%79%60%64%64%64%33%29%36%
% under line31%21%40%36%36%36%67%71%64%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.6
Manchester United
12.5
Bournemouth
11.7
Southampton
11.4
Everton
11.1
Liverpool
11.1
Brentford
10.8
Manchester City
10.6
Newcastle
10.6
Ipswich
10.6
Fulham
10.5
Wolves
10.3
Chelsea
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Crystal Palace
10.1
Aston Villa
9.9
Leicester
9.7
Brighton
9.6
West Ham
9.5
Arsenal
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.1
Chelsea
5.1
Brighton
5.0
Wolves
4.9
Tottenham
4.9
Newcastle
4.8
Southampton
4.7
Manchester United
4.4
Bournemouth
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Liverpool
4.3
Leicester
4.3
Brentford
4.2
West Ham
4.0
Ipswich
4.0
Crystal Palace
3.9
Arsenal
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.7
Wolves
24.0
Crystal Palace
23.5
Aston Villa
23.4
Bournemouth
23.3
Newcastle
23.3
Ipswich
23.2
Chelsea
23.0
Brighton
22.6
Southampton
22.6
Nottingham Forest
22.0
Liverpool
22.0
Everton
21.6
Leicester
21.6
Arsenal
21.6
Fulham
21.4
West Ham
21.0
Brentford
20.7
Manchester United
19.9
Manchester City
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
72.3%
Under 9.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.9%
Under 3.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
56.9%
Under 21.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D00D10W12L20W01L00D21W00DA·CRY19/05A·WES17/08H·ARS24/08A·LEI31/08H·EVE14/09A·BSC17/09H·WOL21/09A·WYC24/09A·IPS29/09H·BAY02/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.630.870.670.670.60
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (19)0.790.741.100.700.440.78
vs Weaker (7)1.000.430.671.001.250.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L02L20W30W00D10W01L22DA·BRI19/05H·FUL16/08A·BRI24/08H·LIV01/09A·SOU14/09H·BAR17/09A·CRY21/09H·TWE25/09H·TOT29/09A·FC 03/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.730.600.870.67
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (19)0.530.890.501.000.550.82
vs Weaker (10)1.300.201.000.142.000.33
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W02L11D20W10W30W21W01L10WA·CRY19/05A·WES17/08H·ARS24/08A·LEI31/08H·EVE14/09A·BSC17/09H·WOL21/09A·WYC24/09A·IPS29/09H·BAY02/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.031.331.130.730.93
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.501.001.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.891.211.301.500.440.89
vs Weaker (7)1.570.572.000.001.251.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W10W11D01L10W40W00D01L02L11DA·BRI19/05H·FUL16/08A·BRI24/08H·LIV01/09A·SOU14/09H·BAR17/09A·CRY21/09H·TWE25/09H·TOT29/09A·FC 03/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.001.270.800.801.20
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (19)0.951.001.120.880.821.09
vs Weaker (10)1.300.801.430.711.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards82.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners81.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls74.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls72.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners72.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards70.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jhon Durán41%
Ollie Watkins30%
Marco Asensio24%
Morgan Rogers22%
Donyell Malen18%
Marcus Rashford18%
Amadou Onana15%
Ross Barkley14%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey9%
John McGinn8%
Ezri Konsa6%
Leon Bailey5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Matty Cash3%
Boubacar Kamara2%
Robin Olsen0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Carlos29%
Morgan Rogers22%
Matty Cash21%
Axel Disasi20%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace20%
Jhon Durán17%
John McGinn16%
Tyrone Mings14%
Ross Barkley14%
Lucas Digne13%
Lamare Bogarde12%
Boubacar Kamara12%
Amadou Onana12%
Leon Bailey11%
Marco Asensio10%
Youri Tielemans9%
Emiliano Martínez9%
Pau Torres9%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Ollie Watkins4%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Marcus Rashford0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ollie Watkins24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans19%
John McGinn12%
Lucas Digne11%
Leon Bailey11%
Jacob Ramsey9%
Pau Torres6%
Marco Asensio5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Ross Barkley3%
Matty Cash3%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Jhon Durán0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jhon Durán28%
Marco Asensio24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Ollie Watkins19%
Morgan Rogers17%
Donyell Malen12%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey4%
Leon Bailey3%
Ian Maatsen2%
John McGinn2%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ross Barkley0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruno Fernandes27%
Marcus Rashford22%
Amad Diallo19%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Rasmus Højlund15%
Joshua Zirkzee12%
Christian Eriksen11%
Harry Maguire10%
Casemiro10%
Jonny Evans8%
Mason Mount8%
Antony7%
Lisandro Martínez6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Kobbie Mainoo6%
Matthijs de Ligt5%
Manuel Ugarte4%
Leny Yoro3%
André Onana0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Toby Collyer0%
Patrick Dorgu0%
Chido Obi-Martin0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Manuel Ugarte33%
Lisandro Martínez29%
Harry Maguire26%
Tyrell Malacia25%
Leny Yoro21%
Patrick Dorgu20%
Casemiro20%
Kobbie Mainoo19%
Mason Mount19%
Marcus Rashford17%
Jonny Evans17%
Ayden Heaven17%
Bruno Fernandes14%
Amad Diallo14%
Diogo Dalot13%
Chido Obi-Martin12%
Matthijs de Ligt12%
Christian Eriksen11%
Noussair Mazraoui11%
Altay Bayındır10%
Alejandro Garnacho9%
Luke Shaw8%
Toby Collyer8%
Joshua Zirkzee6%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Rasmus Højlund4%
André Onana2%
Antony0%
Harry Amass0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Fernandes25%
Amad Diallo17%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Marcus Rashford13%
Christian Eriksen11%
Manuel Ugarte11%
Diogo Dalot10%
Lisandro Martínez6%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Rasmus Højlund4%
Noussair Mazraoui4%
Leny Yoro3%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Harry Maguire3%
Casemiro2%
André Onana0%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Antony0%
Jonny Evans0%
Mason Mount0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Toby Collyer0%
Patrick Dorgu0%
Chido Obi-Martin0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alejandro Garnacho32%
Bruno Fernandes29%
Casemiro15%
Antony14%
Marcus Rashford13%
Chido Obi-Martin12%
Amad Diallo12%
Rasmus Højlund12%
Harry Maguire8%
Patrick Dorgu5%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Diogo Dalot4%
Mason Mount4%
Christian Eriksen3%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Matthijs de Ligt2%
André Onana0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Toby Collyer0%
Leny Yoro0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Aston Villa's squad is €393m less valuable than Manchester United's (€536m vs €929m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Aston Villa's attack is €212m less valuable than Manchester United's (€220m vs €432m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Aston Villa's midfield is €76m less valuable than Manchester United's (€160m vs €236m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Aston Villa's defence is €105m less valuable than Manchester United's (€156m vs €261m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AVL wins
1
Draws
5
MU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aston Villa vs Manchester United · H/A from AVL
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/24HAVL Vs Manchester United1-2
26/12/23AManchester United Vs AVL3-2
30/04/23AManchester United Vs AVL1-0
06/11/22HAVL Vs Manchester United3-1
15/01/22HAVL Vs Manchester United2-2
25/09/21AManchester United Vs AVL0-1
09/05/21HAVL Vs Manchester United1-3
01/01/21AManchester United Vs AVL2-1

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/24HAVL Vs Bayern München1-0
29/09/24AIpswich Vs AVL2-2
24/09/24AWycombe Vs AVL1-2
21/09/24HAVL Vs Wolves3-1
17/09/24ABSC Young Boys Vs AVL0-3
14/09/24HAVL Vs Everton3-2
31/08/24ALeicester Vs AVL1-2
24/08/24HAVL Vs Arsenal0-2
17/08/24AWest Ham Vs AVL1-2
19/05/24ACrystal Palace Vs AVL5-0

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/10/24AFC Porto Vs MU3-3
29/09/24HMU Vs Tottenham0-3
25/09/24HMU Vs Twente1-1
21/09/24ACrystal Palace Vs MU0-0
17/09/24HMU Vs Barnsley7-0
14/09/24ASouthampton Vs MU0-3
01/09/24HMU Vs Liverpool0-3
24/08/24ABrighton Vs MU2-1
16/08/24HMU Vs Fulham1-0
19/05/24ABrighton Vs MU0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.84
HomeDLWWW2.08
AwayWWWWD1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%64%44%
AVG goals3.343.683.00
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %70%76%64%
Over 3.5 %46%60%32%
Scored1.882.161.60
Conceded1.461.521.40
BTTS68%72%64%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners9.789.5210.04
Cards5.174.885.46
Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLD1.40
HomeWLWDL1.48
AwayWLWDD1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals3.243.043.44
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %66%64%68%
Over 3.5 %36%32%40%
Scored1.621.561.68
Conceded1.621.481.76
BTTS54%48%60%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners12.4713.3311.64
Cards4.314.254.36

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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