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Aston Villa vs Newcastle Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Vs
27%
25%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Referee: D Coote
Match preview & prediction

Aston Villa’s recent form, after two straight defeats, has them looking cautious at home, while Newcastle’s two-game winning run fuels confidence on the road. The model sees a high-scoring encounter, with an expected 3.2 goals and a 22% chance of exactly three goals. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 11.3% probability that balances both sides’ attacking output. Home win stands at 27%, a draw at 25%, and the favourite result is an away win at 48%. Villa averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.43 conceded against similar opponents at home, whereas Newcastle nets 1.22 and concedes 1.78 on the road. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 99.5%, Under 4.5 cards 97.8%, Under 3.5 cards 92.6%, Under 25.5 fouls 85.2%, Over 1.5 goals 83.5%, Over 8.5 corners 80.3%, Under 2.5 cards 79.3%, and Under 23.5 fouls 73.5%. These figures paint a picture of a match where both teams will find the net, but Newcastle’s edge makes an away victory the most probable outcome.

Results analysis

Aston Villa finished 2-0 against Newcastle (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 27% home win, 25% draw and 48% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (84%). Missed: Under 5.5 cards (100%), Under 4.5 cards (98%), Under 3.5 cards (93%), Under 25.5 fouls (85%), Over 8.5 corners (80%), Under 2.5 cards (79%), Under 23.5 fouls (74%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aston Villa win✓ Hit
26.8%
Avg Implied 52.3% · @ 1.84
Edge
-25.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.88
Edge
+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle win✗ Miss
48.4%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 4.21
Edge
+25.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L22D21W13L00D23L21W21W23LA·LIV10/04H·MAN21/04H·WES25/04A·EVE01/05H·MAN09/05H·EVE13/05A·CRY16/05A·TOT19/05H·CHE23/05A·WAT14/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.201.211.141.251.25
vs Stronger (3)0.671.331.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (15)1.401.331.711.431.121.25
vs Weaker (12)1.171.000.600.801.571.14
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D21W32W11D02L42W34L10W20W24LH·TOT04/04A·BUR11/04H·WES17/04A·LIV24/04H·ARS02/05A·LEI07/05H·MAN14/05H·SHE19/05A·FUL23/05H·WES15/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.701.471.731.071.67
vs Stronger (6)0.672.001.002.000.332.00
vs Similar (16)1.381.881.572.001.221.78
vs Weaker (8)1.501.121.601.201.331.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.5%
Under 1.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.4%
@ 1.68+4.4%
Under 2.5
38.6%
@ 2.23-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.1%
Under 3.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.9%
No
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
5.2%
Aston Villa goals ↓
Newcastle goals →
01234
05.2%6.7%7.1%4.4%2.0%
14.6%11%9.5%5.8%2.7%
23.7%6.8%6.3%3.9%1.8%
31.7%3.0%2.8%1.7%0.8%
40.5%1.0%0.9%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = Newcastle goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.45
Liverpool
2.42
Chelsea
1.95
Tottenham
1.87
Arsenal
1.82
Manchester United
1.53
West Ham
1.47
Leicester
1.37
Brighton
1.34
Wolves
1.34
Newcastle
1.29
Crystal Palace
1.26
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.18
Southampton
1.05
Everton
1.03
Leeds
1.00
Burnley
0.92
Watford
0.61
Norwich
0.58
Aston Villa is 0.11 points worse than Newcastle in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.61
Liverpool
2.47
Chelsea
2.00
Tottenham
1.82
Leicester
1.63
Arsenal
1.61
West Ham
1.58
Manchester United
1.50
Aston Villa
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.32
Brentford
1.26
Newcastle
1.16
Southampton
1.13
Everton
1.13
Brighton
1.11
Leeds
1.11
Wolves
1.00
Watford
0.89
Burnley
0.89
Norwich
0.61
Aston Villa is 0.21 goals better than Newcastle in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liverpool
0.68
Manchester City
0.68
Chelsea
0.87
Tottenham
1.05
Wolves
1.13
Brighton
1.16
Crystal Palace
1.21
Arsenal
1.26
West Ham
1.34
Burnley
1.39
Aston Villa
1.42
Brentford
1.47
Manchester United
1.50
Leicester
1.55
Newcastle
1.63
Everton
1.74
Southampton
1.76
Watford
2.03
Leeds
2.08
Norwich
2.21
Aston Villa is 0.21 goals better than Newcastle in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
68%
Liverpool
63%
Chelsea
62%
Brighton
55%
Arsenal
53%
Manchester United
52%
Tottenham
52%
Leeds
52%
Leicester
52%
Crystal Palace
51%
West Ham
48%
Southampton
47%
Aston Villa
46%
Brentford
44%
Norwich
43%
Watford
41%
Newcastle
40%
Burnley
40%
Everton
39%
Aston Villa is 6.5 percentage points better than Newcastle in terms of average possession (46% vs 40%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 5.0 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

1504229547791566311411176119141011915127A·WATH·CHEA·TOTA·CRYH·EVEH·MANA·EVEH·WESH·MANA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

70133411232212212424725232236A·WATH·CHEA·TOTA·CRYH·EVEH·MANA·EVEH·WESH·MANA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 13.9 · Total 26.1

⚠️ Fouls

360131811121314132391213181310149127111631232736213123231927A·WATH·CHEA·TOTA·CRYH·EVEH·MANA·EVEH·WESH·MANA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

For 4.5 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

1607645524569373638313731397915109111610H·WESA·FULH·SHEH·MANA·LEIH·ARSA·LIVH·WESA·BURH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.6

🟨 Cards

5011222113112211321124243315H·WESA·FULH·SHEH·MANA·LEIH·ARSA·LIVH·WESA·BURH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 9.4 · Total 18.2

⚠️ Fouls

270436127711109121097997121113147181421211916162327H·WESA·FULH·SHEH·MANA·LEIH·ARSA·LIVH·WESA·BURH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (39)10.611.210.13.73.53.926.626.526.7
vs Stronger (4)12.811.014.52.54.01.021.521.521.5
vs Similar (20)10.510.510.54.34.04.727.627.727.6
vs Weaker (15)10.312.38.53.12.63.526.526.126.9
% over line59%74%45%49%37%60%82%84%80%
% under line41%26%55%51%63%40%18%16%20%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (39)10.39.411.33.23.62.721.221.820.6
vs Stronger (6)10.712.09.33.34.32.318.720.716.7
vs Similar (23)10.79.612.03.43.83.021.722.321.1
vs Weaker (10)9.27.610.82.73.02.421.521.022.0
% over line54%45%63%51%65%37%44%50%37%
% under line46%55%37%49%35%63%56%50%63%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Leeds
11.6
Burnley
10.9
Aston Villa
10.6
Everton
10.5
Leicester
10.4
Wolves
10.4
Newcastle
10.3
Brighton
10.2
Liverpool
10.2
Chelsea
10.1
Watford
10.1
Norwich
10.0
Southampton
10.0
Crystal Palace
9.9
Tottenham
9.8
Arsenal
9.8
Manchester City
9.6
Manchester United
9.5
West Ham
9.4
Brentford
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
3.7
Tottenham
3.5
Manchester United
3.4
Everton
3.3
Arsenal
3.2
Leicester
3.2
Newcastle
3.2
Norwich
3.2
Watford
3.2
Wolves
3.1
Brentford
3.0
Leeds
2.9
Southampton
2.9
Manchester City
2.9
Brighton
2.8
Chelsea
2.7
West Ham
2.6
Crystal Palace
2.6
Liverpool
2.6
Burnley
2.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
26.6
Watford
25.8
Brentford
25.3
Norwich
24.7
Tottenham
24.4
Southampton
22.9
Manchester United
22.6
Leeds
22.5
Crystal Palace
22.4
Leicester
22.4
Wolves
21.7
Chelsea
21.4
Newcastle
21.2
Everton
21.1
Brighton
21.0
Burnley
20.6
Arsenal
20.2
Liverpool
19.7
Manchester City
19.7
West Ham
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
70.3%
Under 9.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
7.4%
Under 3.5
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
42.0%
Under 21.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L11D11D10W00D21W21W10W02LA·LIV10/04H·MAN21/04H·WES25/04A·EVE01/05H·MAN09/05H·EVE13/05A·CRY16/05A·TOT19/05H·CHE23/05A·WAT14/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.570.430.620.50
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (15)0.730.330.710.140.750.50
vs Weaker (12)0.420.580.200.600.570.57
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L20W01L01L20W22D10W10W21WH·TOT04/04A·BUR11/04H·WES17/04A·LIV24/04H·ARS02/05A·LEI07/05H·MAN14/05H·SHE19/05A·FUL23/05H·WES15/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.870.730.330.67
vs Stronger (6)0.330.830.671.000.000.67
vs Similar (16)0.560.940.861.000.330.89
vs Weaker (8)0.880.121.000.200.670.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D11D10W03L00D02L00D11D21WA·LIV10/04H·MAN21/04H·WES25/04A·EVE01/05H·MAN09/05H·EVE13/05A·CRY16/05A·TOT19/05H·CHE23/05A·WAT14/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.640.710.620.75
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (15)0.671.001.001.290.380.75
vs Weaker (12)0.750.420.400.201.000.57
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W12L10W01L22D12L00D10W03LH·TOT04/04A·BUR11/04H·WES17/04A·LIV24/04H·ARS02/05A·LEI07/05H·MAN14/05H·SHE19/05A·FUL23/05H·WES15/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.000.601.000.731.00
vs Stronger (6)0.331.170.331.000.331.33
vs Similar (16)0.810.940.711.000.890.89
vs Weaker (8)0.621.000.601.000.671.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards99.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards97.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.5 cards92.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls85.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.583.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners80.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 2.5 cards79.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls73.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners70.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aston Villa · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Ollie Watkins27%
Emiliano Buendía20%
Morgan Rogers20%
Tammy Abraham19%
John McGinn18%
Donyell Malen17%
Ross Barkley13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Evann Guessand10%
Matty Cash6%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Amadou Onana5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Jadon Sancho3%
Ian Maatsen2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matty Cash24%
Marco Bizot21%
Boubacar Kamara19%
John McGinn18%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Morgan Rogers16%
Lamare Bogarde16%
Douglas Luiz15%
Lucas Digne14%
Andrés García12%
Amadou Onana11%
Evann Guessand10%
Ollie Watkins7%
Victor Lindelöf7%
Emiliano Martínez7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ross Barkley4%
Pau Torres3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Donyell Malen0%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Alysson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans17%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Lucas Digne16%
John McGinn16%
Boubacar Kamara15%
Ollie Watkins9%
Matty Cash8%
Jadon Sancho8%
Donyell Malen7%
Tammy Abraham6%
Leon Bailey5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Evann Guessand5%
Ross Barkley4%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Emiliano Martínez2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Morgan Rogers24%
Ollie Watkins24%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Donyell Malen10%
Evann Guessand10%
Youri Tielemans6%
Ross Barkley4%
Amadou Onana3%
Jadon Sancho3%
John McGinn2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Matty Cash2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Leon Bailey0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Douglas Luiz0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Newcastle · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Elanga67%
Joe Willock33%
Harvey Barnes33%
Yoane Wissa33%
Amar Dedić0%
Jacob Murphy0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Sven Botman0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Lewis Miley0%
Sean Steur0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jacob Ramsey67%
Jacob Murphy33%
Yoane Wissa33%
Sven Botman33%
Lewis Miley33%
Sean Steur33%
Joe Willock0%
Amar Dedić0%
Harvey Barnes0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amar Dedić67%
Yoane Wissa33%
Malick Thiaw33%
Joe Willock0%
Harvey Barnes0%
Jacob Murphy0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Sven Botman0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Lewis Hall0%
Lewis Miley0%
Sean Steur0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joe Willock33%
Harvey Barnes33%
Yoane Wissa33%
Amar Dedić0%
Jacob Murphy0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Sven Botman0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Lewis Miley0%
Sean Steur0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
BUR (28)
€115m
NOR (34)
€107m
WAT (22)
€88m
LEI (22)
€69m
Aston Villa's squad is €32m less valuable than Newcastle's (€536m vs €568m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
NOR (10)
€46m
WAT (6)
€28m
LEI (7)
€20m
Aston Villa's attack is €14m less valuable than Newcastle's (€220m vs €234m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
LEI (4)
€13m
BUR (3)
€8m
Aston Villa's midfield is €36m more valuable than Newcastle's (€160m vs €124m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
NOR (13)
€29m
WAT (10)
€22m
Aston Villa's defence is €53m less valuable than Newcastle's (€156m vs €210m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
AVL wins
1
Draws
0
NEW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aston Villa vs Newcastle · H/A from AVL
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/21ANewcastle Vs AVL1-1
23/01/21HAVL Vs Newcastle2-0

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/21AWatford Vs AVL3-2
23/05/21HAVL Vs Chelsea2-1
19/05/21ATottenham Vs AVL1-2
16/05/21ACrystal Palace Vs AVL3-2
13/05/21HAVL Vs Everton0-0
09/05/21HAVL Vs Manchester United1-3
01/05/21AEverton Vs AVL1-2
25/04/21HAVL Vs West Brom2-2
21/04/21HAVL Vs Manchester City1-2
10/04/21ALiverpool Vs AVL2-1

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/21HNEW Vs West Ham2-4
23/05/21AFulham Vs NEW0-2
19/05/21HNEW Vs Sheffield United1-0
14/05/21HNEW Vs Manchester City3-4
07/05/21ALeicester Vs NEW2-4
02/05/21HNEW Vs Arsenal0-2
24/04/21ALiverpool Vs NEW1-1
17/04/21HNEW Vs West Ham3-2
11/04/21ABurnley Vs NEW1-2
04/04/21HNEW Vs Tottenham2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.41
HomeLDLDW1.32
AwayLWLWL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%37%45%
AVG goals2.722.952.50
Over 1.5 %72%74%70%
Over 2.5 %59%63%55%
Over 3.5 %23%32%15%
Scored1.461.531.40
Conceded1.261.421.10
BTTS51%53%50%
Clean Sheet38%37%40%
Corners10.6411.2110.10
Cards3.673.473.85
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.15
HomeWLLWL1.15
AwayLWDWW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%30%32%
AVG goals2.923.252.58
Over 1.5 %90%90%89%
Over 2.5 %49%65%32%
Over 3.5 %26%35%16%
Scored1.231.401.05
Conceded1.691.851.53
BTTS56%75%37%
Clean Sheet18%10%26%
Corners10.339.4511.26
Cards3.213.652.74

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3893
76%
2.4
9926+73
3.3
76%
61%
47%
11.2
63%
2.9
32%
17.4
13%
1326
6351605312.60.7
68%
2LiverpoolLiverpool3892
74%
2.4
9426+68
3.2
84%
63%
47%
10.6
66%
3.1
39%
17.7
24%
980
5182012602.50.7
63%
3ChelseaChelsea3874
55%
1.9
7633+43
2.9
79%
53%
32%
10.4
53%
3.6
50%
21.4
42%
1407
6142785142.00.9
62%
4TottenhamTottenham3871
58%
1.9
6940+29
2.9
74%
58%
37%
10.2
63%
3.9
55%
21.0
45%
920
2502823881.81.1
52%
5ArsenalArsenal3869
58%
1.8
6148+13
2.9
79%
58%
32%
10.1
55%
3.5
39%
19.4
29%
1406
6082905081.61.3
53%
6Manchester UnitedManchester United3858
42%
1.5
5757+0
3.0
76%
50%
42%
10.7
68%
3.3
45%
19.2
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
52%
7West HamWest Ham3856
42%
1.5
6051+9
2.9
74%
58%
39%
10.3
63%
2.6
29%
16.2
13%
274
84481411.61.3
48%
8LeicesterLeicester3852
37%
1.4
6259+3
3.2
87%
63%
34%
10.7
58%
3.0
32%
20.0
29%
69
2013361.61.6
52%
9BrightonBrighton3851
32%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
82%
34%
16%
10.9
61%
4.0
55%
20.1
37%
620
1901802491.11.2
55%
10WolvesWolves3851
39%
1.3
3843-5
2.1
55%
37%
18%
9.8
53%
3.9
58%
18.9
29%
273
79791161.01.1
-
11NewcastleNewcastle3849
34%
1.3
4462-18
2.8
79%
47%
29%
9.2
50%
4.2
66%
20.3
37%
568
2341242101.21.6
40%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3848
29%
1.3
5046+4
2.5
74%
50%
26%
9.5
50%
3.7
55%
24.1
79%
505
229931821.31.2
51%
13BrentfordBrentford3846
34%
1.2
4856-8
2.7
82%
58%
24%
10.3
58%
3.1
45%
19.7
26%
565
2281282091.31.5
44%
14Aston VillaAston Villa3845
34%
1.2
5254-2
2.8
79%
58%
29%
11.0
61%
4.3
66%
24.0
66%
536
2201601561.41.4
46%
15SouthamptonSouthampton3840
24%
1.1
4367-24
2.9
82%
58%
39%
11.3
68%
3.3
53%
20.5
34%
205
7253791.11.8
47%
16EvertonEverton3839
29%
1.0
4366-23
2.9
74%
55%
34%
10.0
47%
4.0
55%
20.2
39%
459
1741621231.11.7
39%
17LeedsLeeds3838
24%
1.0
4279-37
3.2
82%
66%
37%
9.3
37%
4.6
68%
22.5
50%
427
166981631.12.1
52%
18BurnleyBurnley3835
18%
0.9
3453-19
2.3
71%
37%
26%
11.6
74%
3.0
34%
19.3
34%
115
708370.91.4
40%
19WatfordWatford3823
16%
0.6
3477-43
2.9
71%
55%
34%
10.4
66%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
88
2838220.92.0
41%
20NorwichNorwich3822
13%
0.6
2384-61
2.8
84%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.1
34%
21.0
39%
107
4631290.62.2
43%
England: Premier League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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