Aston Villa’s recent form shows a shaky start, having lost their opening match 0-4 to Brighton, yet the model still favours a home win. The probability split is 43% for a Villa victory, 24% for a draw and 33% for a Tottenham win. The most likely result is a 1-1 draw, with a 10% chance. The match is expected to produce 3.5 goals on average, and the most probable total is three goals, carrying a 21% probability.
Villa’s home attack averages three goals per game against similar opposition while conceding 1.5, whereas Tottenham’s away scoring sits at 2.11 with 1.56 conceded. The model’s selections include an over 2.5 cards at 94.6%, over 1.5 goals at 87.6%, over 8.5 corners at 86.2%, over 9.5 corners at 78.1%, and over 19.5 fouls at 75.6%. The under 25.5 fouls pick has a 71.5% chance, and the over 3.5 cards and over 4.5 cards picks are 86.6% and 74.0% respectively, though they are expected to miss. The model’s favourite outcome remains a home win.
Results analysis
Aston Villa’s home form had been shaky, with a last-five record of LWWWD and a 0-4 loss to Brighton, yet the model still tipped a home win at 43%. The result was an away triumph, 0-4, so the model’s favourite was wrong. The model’s other selections were mixed: Over 2.5 cards hit at 94.6%, Over 1.5 hit at 87.6%, Over 3.5 cards missed at 86.6%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 86.2%, Over 9.5 corners hit at 78.1%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 75.6%, Over 4.5 cards missed at 74.0% and Under 25.5 fouls missed at 71.5%. The match delivered a heavy away win, contradicting the pre-match expectation.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
42.7%
Avg Implied 38.7% · @ 2.48
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.90
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tottenham win✓ Hit
33.4%
Avg Implied 36.7% · @ 2.62
Edge
-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Aston Villa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
1.17
2.40
1.13
1.80
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
2.29
1.35
3.00
1.50
1.67
1.22
vs Weaker (11)
2.00
1.09
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.17
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.50
1.94
1.38
2.21
1.64
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
2.50
-
-
2.50
2.50
vs Similar (23)
2.04
1.43
2.00
1.36
2.11
1.56
vs Weaker (5)
2.00
1.40
1.50
1.50
2.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.6%
Under 1.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.4%
@ 1.38-0.5%
Under 2.5
31.6%
@ 3.06+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.9%
Under 3.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.3%
No
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
1-0
4.6%
3-2
4.4%
Aston Villa goals ↓
Tottenham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.8%
3.9%
4.0%
2.2%
0.9%
1
4.6%
10%
7.5%
4.1%
1.7%
2
5.2%
8.5%
7.1%
3.9%
1.6%
3
3.2%
5.3%
4.4%
2.4%
1.0%
4
1.5%
2.5%
2.1%
1.1%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = Tottenham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Aston Villa is 0.05 points better than Tottenham in terms of average points per game (1.79 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Aston Villa is 0.05 goals better than Tottenham in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.95).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Aston Villa and Tottenham are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Aston Villa is 8.6 percentage points worse than Tottenham in terms of average possession (53% vs 62%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aston Villa
For 6.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
For 7.0 · Against 6.5 · Total 13.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 14.3 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aston Villa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.4
10.9
5.0
5.1
4.8
23.8
24.6
23.1
vs Stronger (2)
6.0
6.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
26.5
26.5
-
vs Similar (31)
10.6
9.8
11.3
5.3
5.1
5.4
23.8
24.9
22.9
vs Weaker (17)
9.9
9.4
10.3
4.4
5.3
3.8
23.5
23.6
23.5
% over line
56%
42%
69%
74%
79%
69%
66%
71%
62%
% under line
44%
58%
31%
26%
21%
31%
34%
29%
38%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
11.0
11.9
4.9
5.1
4.6
24.5
25.0
23.9
vs Stronger (5)
12.2
8.5
14.7
6.0
6.0
6.0
29.4
32.0
27.7
vs Similar (37)
11.2
10.9
11.7
4.6
4.9
4.2
23.6
24.5
22.4
vs Weaker (8)
12.2
15.5
11.2
5.2
6.5
4.8
25.2
24.0
25.7
% over line
72%
65%
79%
68%
73%
62%
74%
77%
71%
% under line
28%
35%
21%
32%
27%
38%
26%
23%
29%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.4
Bournemouth
11.5
Tottenham
11.5
Liverpool
10.8
Everton
10.6
Luton
10.5
Newcastle
10.5
Wolves
10.4
Sheffield United
10.3
Fulham
10.2
Aston Villa
10.2
Chelsea
10.2
Manchester City
10.2
Brentford
10.1
West Ham
10.1
Crystal Palace
10.1
Burnley
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Arsenal
9.6
Brighton
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.1
Aston Villa
5.1
Brighton
4.9
Tottenham
4.9
Wolves
4.7
Sheffield United
4.3
Newcastle
4.3
Burnley
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.2
Liverpool
4.1
Manchester United
4.0
Bournemouth
3.9
Manchester City
3.9
Luton
3.9
Everton
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Brentford
3.8
Arsenal
3.7
West Ham
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.5
Chelsea
23.9
Aston Villa
23.8
Crystal Palace
23.8
Luton
23.4
Wolves
23.4
Brighton
23.0
Newcastle
22.8
Liverpool
22.6
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Fulham
21.8
Bournemouth
21.6
Everton
21.5
Burnley
21.2
Arsenal
21.1
Brentford
20.8
Sheffield United
20.3
Manchester United
20.2
West Ham
19.9
Manchester City
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
78.1%
Under 9.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
86.6%
Under 3.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.3%
Under 21.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aston Villa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.40
0.93
0.40
1.00
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.94
0.47
1.12
0.50
0.78
0.44
vs Weaker (11)
1.09
0.36
0.80
0.40
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
0.75
0.38
0.93
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
-
-
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.57
0.86
0.36
0.89
0.89
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.40
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aston Villa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.77
1.47
0.73
0.80
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.35
0.88
1.88
1.00
0.89
0.78
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.73
1.20
0.60
0.67
0.83
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.90
1.19
1.00
1.29
0.79
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
-
-
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.17
0.87
1.14
1.00
1.22
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ollie Watkins41%
Leon Bailey29%
Jhon Durán20%
Morgan Rogers19%
John McGinn18%
Moussa Diaby18%
Douglas Luiz16%
Álex Moreno12%
Nicolò Zaniolo9%
Leander Dendoncker8%
Matty Cash7%
Youri Tielemans7%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Pau Torres5%
Lucas Digne4%
Diego Carlos3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Clément Lenglet0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Calum Chambers0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolò Zaniolo31%
Morgan Rogers31%
Douglas Luiz31%
Boubacar Kamara27%
Matty Cash24%
Jhon Durán23%
John McGinn22%
Lucas Digne20%
Clément Lenglet18%
Emiliano Martínez14%
Ezri Konsa13%
Leon Bailey12%
Calum Chambers12%
Ollie Watkins12%
Youri Tielemans12%
Diego Carlos11%
Jacob Ramsey11%
Moussa Diaby8%
Álex Moreno8%
Tim Iroegbunam7%
Pau Torres3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leon Bailey27%
Ollie Watkins20%
Omari Kellyman20%
Moussa Diaby18%
Douglas Luiz16%
Youri Tielemans16%
John McGinn14%
Calum Chambers12%
Lucas Digne9%
Matty Cash7%
Morgan Rogers6%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Clément Lenglet5%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Diego Carlos3%
Pau Torres3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jhon Durán0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Álex Moreno0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ollie Watkins41%
Moussa Diaby12%
Nicolò Zaniolo9%
Jhon Durán9%
Douglas Luiz8%
Leon Bailey6%
John McGinn6%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Matty Cash5%
Álex Moreno4%
Diego Carlos3%
Youri Tielemans2%
Clément Lenglet0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Calum Chambers0%
Morgan Rogers0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Pau Torres0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Heung-min Son40%
Richarlison32%
Dejan Kulusevski19%
Brennan Johnson16%
Timo Werner15%
Cristian Romero15%
James Maddison14%
Alejo Véliz12%
Micky van de Ven11%
Giovani Lo Celso9%
Pape Matar Sarr9%
Pedro Porro9%
Destiny Udogie7%
Ben Davies6%
Emerson Royal5%
Rodrigo Bentancur4%
Eric Dier0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Ivan Perišić0%
Manor Solomon0%
Bryan Gil0%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Jamie Donley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Perišić40%
Jamie Donley33%
Yves Bissouma32%
Rodrigo Bentancur30%
Pape Matar Sarr26%
Destiny Udogie21%
Cristian Romero21%
Manor Solomon20%
Dejan Kulusevski19%
Micky van de Ven19%
Emerson Royal18%
James Maddison18%
Oliver Skipp14%
Alejo Véliz12%
Ben Davies12%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg11%
Radu Drăguşin11%
Richarlison11%
Brennan Johnson9%
Giovani Lo Celso9%
Pedro Porro9%
Timo Werner8%
Guglielmo Vicario5%
Heung-min Son3%
Eric Dier0%
Bryan Gil0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brennan Johnson28%
James Maddison25%
Timo Werner23%
Heung-min Son23%
Ivan Perišić20%
Manor Solomon20%
Pedro Porro20%
Richarlison14%
Destiny Udogie11%
Pape Matar Sarr9%
Dejan Kulusevski8%
Giovani Lo Celso5%
Rodrigo Bentancur4%
Ben Davies0%
Eric Dier0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Emerson Royal0%
Bryan Gil0%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Cristian Romero0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Jamie Donley0%
Alejo Véliz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Timo Werner31%
Heung-min Son23%
Richarlison21%
Manor Solomon20%
Brennan Johnson12%
Dejan Kulusevski11%
James Maddison11%
Pedro Porro9%
Ben Davies6%
Rodrigo Bentancur4%
Yves Bissouma4%
Cristian Romero3%
Pape Matar Sarr3%
Eric Dier0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Ivan Perišić0%
Emerson Royal0%
Giovani Lo Celso0%
Bryan Gil0%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Jamie Donley0%
Alejo Véliz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Aston Villa's squad is €384m less valuable than Tottenham's (€536m vs €920m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Aston Villa's attack is €31m less valuable than Tottenham's (€220m vs €250m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Aston Villa's midfield is €122m less valuable than Tottenham's (€160m vs €282m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Aston Villa's defence is €232m less valuable than Tottenham's (€156m vs €388m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Liverpool
Chelsea
Newcastle
Manchester United
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United