Defensive solidity will likely keep the scoreline tight, with the model projecting a modest 2.2 total goals. The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, a 14.3% chance, even though the model favours a home win. Aston Villa, at home, averages 1.43 goals scored and 2.14 conceded against similar opposition, while West Ham away averages 1.22 scored and 1.56 conceded. The home win probability sits at 44%, the draw at 31%, and the away win at 25%. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 93.9%, Under 25.5 fouls at 85.9%, Under 4.5 cards at 85.5%, Under 3.5 at 82.1%, Under 23.5 fouls at 74.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 70.5%, and Under 3.5 cards at 70.3%. Villa’s recent form shows a win-winning streak after a defeat, while West Ham come off a draw. The match is expected to be low-scoring and tightly contested.
Results analysis
Aston Villa’s home form, still rattled by a recent 0-4 defeat, could not withstand West Ham’s steady run, which had just ended in a 1-1 draw. The pre-match favourite, a 44% chance of a Villa win, proved wrong as West Ham edged 0-1 for an away victory. The model’s predictions on ancillary markets all hit: Under 5.5 cards at 93.9%, Under 25.5 fouls at 85.9%, Under 4.5 cards at 85.5%, Under 3.5 cards at 82.1%, Under 23.5 fouls at 74.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 70.5% and Under 3.5 cards again at 70.3%. Each of these selections performed as forecasted, underscoring the accuracy of the model’s side-by-side analysis.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
43.9%
Avg Implied 45.6% · @ 2.12
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.45
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
West Ham win✓ Hit
25.0%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.66
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Aston Villa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.33
1.47
1.47
1.27
1.20
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.50
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (16)
1.25
1.69
1.43
2.14
1.11
1.33
vs Weaker (11)
1.64
0.64
1.83
0.67
1.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.37
1.50
1.38
1.29
1.36
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.71
1.50
2.00
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (19)
1.32
1.42
1.40
1.30
1.22
1.56
vs Weaker (4)
2.75
0.50
2.00
0.50
3.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.7%
Under 1.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.5%
@ 1.94-11.8%
Under 2.5
62.5%
@ 1.89+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.9%
Under 3.5
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.4%
No
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
12.5%
2-0
9.2%
0-1 ✓
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.6%
Aston Villa goals ↓
West Ham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
8.8%
4.6%
1.4%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.9%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.2%
8.4%
3.8%
1.1%
0.3%
3
4.0%
3.6%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.3%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = West Ham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Aston Villa is 0.55 points better than West Ham in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.05).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Aston Villa is 0.24 goals better than West Ham in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Aston Villa is 0.24 goals better than West Ham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.45).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Aston Villa is 7.1 percentage points better than West Ham in terms of average possession (49% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aston Villa
For 4.2 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 12.9 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
West Ham
For 4.3 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 7.8 · Total 16.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aston Villa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.7
11.1
4.2
3.7
4.7
24.5
23.0
25.9
vs Stronger (5)
12.6
12.7
12.5
3.4
3.0
4.0
21.8
22.0
21.5
vs Similar (27)
9.9
9.2
10.4
4.7
4.5
4.8
25.2
23.6
26.5
vs Weaker (18)
11.9
11.9
12.0
3.7
3.0
4.6
24.1
22.7
25.9
% over line
62%
60%
64%
60%
52%
68%
68%
52%
84%
% under line
38%
40%
36%
40%
48%
32%
32%
48%
16%
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.0
10.0
2.7
2.7
2.6
16.2
16.0
16.3
vs Stronger (10)
8.2
8.2
8.2
3.0
3.3
2.5
16.4
16.7
16.0
vs Similar (35)
10.4
10.5
10.3
2.7
2.7
2.7
16.1
16.5
15.7
vs Weaker (5)
10.4
11.0
10.0
2.0
1.0
2.7
16.2
10.0
20.3
% over line
58%
60%
56%
28%
36%
20%
10%
4%
16%
% under line
42%
40%
44%
72%
64%
80%
90%
96%
84%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Southampton
11.1
Aston Villa
10.9
Liverpool
10.9
Brighton
10.7
Leicester
10.6
Tottenham
10.6
Manchester City
10.6
Everton
10.6
Manchester United
10.4
Chelsea
10.3
Fulham
10.3
Arsenal
10.1
Wolves
10.0
Bournemouth
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Brentford
9.9
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Crystal Palace
9.8
Leeds
9.7
Newcastle
9.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Leeds
4.3
Aston Villa
4.2
Bournemouth
4.1
Newcastle
4.0
Fulham
3.9
Brighton
3.9
Everton
3.9
Wolves
3.7
Tottenham
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.6
Chelsea
3.5
Manchester United
3.4
Arsenal
3.3
Southampton
3.2
Manchester City
3.1
Liverpool
3.0
Brentford
3.0
Leicester
2.9
West Ham
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.5
Crystal Palace
23.8
Leeds
23.1
Nottingham Forest
23.0
Bournemouth
21.8
Chelsea
21.5
Fulham
20.9
Tottenham
20.9
Southampton
20.8
Leicester
20.4
Brentford
20.3
Newcastle
20.1
Everton
20.0
Manchester United
20.0
Brighton
19.8
Arsenal
19.4
Wolves
19.2
Manchester City
18.2
Liverpool
18.1
West Ham
16.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.3%
Under 9.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
40.9%
Under 21.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aston Villa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.67
0.73
0.67
0.40
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.62
0.71
0.86
0.56
0.44
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.36
0.83
0.33
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.62
0.62
0.86
0.43
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.71
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.53
0.50
0.60
1.00
0.44
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aston Villa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.80
0.73
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (16)
0.62
1.06
0.71
1.29
0.56
0.89
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.27
1.00
0.33
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.88
0.75
0.43
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.89
0.90
0.70
0.22
1.11
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.25
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ollie Watkins38%
Bertrand Traoré25%
Danny Ings22%
Jacob Ramsey17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Leon Bailey12%
Philippe Coutinho5%
Lucas Digne4%
Ashley Young3%
John McGinn3%
Tyrone Mings3%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Calum Chambers0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Álex Moreno0%
Cameron Archer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ludwig Augustinsson33%
Ashley Young24%
John McGinn21%
Tyrone Mings20%
Emiliano Martínez19%
Lucas Digne18%
Boubacar Kamara17%
Danny Ings17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Ezri Konsa16%
Álex Moreno16%
Matty Cash15%
Philippe Coutinho15%
Calum Chambers14%
Jacob Ramsey14%
Bertrand Traoré12%
Leon Bailey12%
Ollie Watkins11%
Jhon Durán8%
Robin Olsen0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Diego Carlos0%
Cameron Archer0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Ramsey17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Álex Moreno16%
Ollie Watkins14%
Leon Bailey12%
John McGinn9%
Tyrone Mings6%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Matty Cash4%
Philippe Coutinho0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Ashley Young0%
Lucas Digne0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Danny Ings0%
Calum Chambers0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Cameron Archer0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ollie Watkins35%
Danny Ings17%
Leon Bailey6%
Douglas Luiz5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Philippe Coutinho5%
John McGinn3%
Jacob Ramsey3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Ashley Young0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Calum Chambers0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Álex Moreno0%
Cameron Archer0%
West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gianluca Scamacca32%
Michail Antonio23%
Saïd Benrahma21%
Jarrod Bowen20%
Divin Mubama20%
Manuel Lanzini14%
Lucas Paquetá13%
Pablo Fornals11%
Declan Rice10%
Danny Ings9%
Craig Dawson8%
Nayef Aguerd8%
Emerson Palmieri7%
Tomáš Souček6%
Kurt Zouma6%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Maxwel Cornet0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Conor Coventry0%
Ben Johnson0%
Flynn Downes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Divin Mubama40%
Nayef Aguerd23%
Vladimír Coufal19%
Flynn Downes19%
Lucas Paquetá18%
Aaron Cresswell17%
Conor Coventry17%
Craig Dawson17%
Thilo Kehrer16%
Gianluca Scamacca16%
Angelo Ogbonna12%
Tomáš Souček11%
Declan Rice10%
Emerson Palmieri10%
Michail Antonio7%
Jarrod Bowen6%
Maxwel Cornet5%
Manuel Lanzini5%
Danny Ings5%
Ben Johnson4%
Łukasz Fabiański3%
Saïd Benrahma2%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Kurt Zouma0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lucas Paquetá15%
Maxwel Cornet14%
Jarrod Bowen14%
Tomáš Souček11%
Michail Antonio9%
Danny Ings9%
Aaron Cresswell8%
Saïd Benrahma8%
Declan Rice6%
Thilo Kehrer5%
Manuel Lanzini5%
Pablo Fornals4%
Ben Johnson4%
Emerson Palmieri3%
Vladimír Coufal3%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Kurt Zouma0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Conor Coventry0%
Craig Dawson0%
Flynn Downes0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Gianluca Scamacca0%
Divin Mubama0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianluca Scamacca24%
Saïd Benrahma19%
Lucas Paquetá15%
Michail Antonio9%
Pablo Fornals9%
Craig Dawson8%
Jarrod Bowen8%
Tomáš Souček6%
Manuel Lanzini5%
Danny Ings5%
Declan Rice4%
Kurt Zouma3%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Maxwel Cornet0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Emerson Palmieri0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Conor Coventry0%
Ben Johnson0%
Flynn Downes0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Divin Mubama0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Aston Villa's squad is €262m more valuable than West Ham's (€536m vs €274m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Aston Villa's attack is €135m more valuable than West Ham's (€220m vs €84m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Aston Villa's midfield is €112m more valuable than West Ham's (€160m vs €48m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Aston Villa's defence is €15m more valuable than West Ham's (€156m vs €141m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester United
Newcastle
Liverpool
Brighton
Tottenham
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Wolves
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton