Aston Villa are tipped to win, the model’s pick reflecting a 59% chance of a home victory against West Ham’s 17% away win probability and a 24% draw likelihood. The average goal output sits at 2.9, yet the most likely total is two goals, a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.3% chance. Villa’s home form shows they average 2.56 goals scored and only 0.44 conceded against similar-strength opponents, while West Ham, on the road, averages 1.73 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 79.2%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.0%, Under 5.5 cards at 78.3%, Over 8.5 corners at 75.2%, and Over 2.5 cards at 76.4% (miss). The recent form narrative sees Villa coming off a 0-4 loss to Brighton, whereas West Ham returns from a 1-1 draw with Watford.
Results analysis
Aston Villa’s recent run, still on a win streak after a narrow defeat to Brighton, proved decisive as the Pythia model’s favourite of a home win came through with a 4-1 triumph over West Ham. The model had given Villa a 59% chance of victory, and its call was correct. The selection of Under 25.5 fouls hit with a 79.2% probability, as did Over 1.5 goals at 79.0%, Under 5.5 cards at 78.3%, and Over 8.5 corners at 75.2%. The only miss was Over 2.5 cards, which fell short despite a 76.4% chance. All predictions were settled, underscoring the model’s overall accuracy.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Aston Villa win✓ Hit
59.4%
Avg Implied 53.2% · @ 1.81
Edge
+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.94
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
West Ham win✗ Miss
16.8%
Avg Implied 22.3% · @ 4.31
Edge
-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Aston Villa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.13
2.50
0.86
1.44
1.38
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
3.50
2.00
4.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (17)
1.76
0.94
2.56
0.44
0.88
1.50
vs Weaker (11)
2.27
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.14
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.33
2.07
1.33
1.60
1.33
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
2.33
1.75
2.00
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (20)
1.80
1.20
1.89
1.22
1.73
1.18
vs Weaker (4)
2.75
0.50
3.50
0.50
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.6%
@ 1.63-3.9%
Under 2.5
45.4%
@ 2.30+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.3%
Under 3.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
3-0
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
Aston Villa goals ↓
West Ham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
4.3%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
1
9.9%
11%
4.8%
1.5%
0.4%
2
11%
9.9%
4.7%
1.5%
0.3%
3
6.8%
6.4%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
4
3.3%
3.1%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = West Ham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Aston Villa is 0.42 points better than West Ham in terms of average points per game (1.79 vs 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Aston Villa is 0.42 goals better than West Ham in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.58).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Aston Villa is 0.34 goals better than West Ham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.95).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Aston Villa is 12.6 percentage points better than West Ham in terms of average possession (53% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aston Villa
For 6.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
West Ham
For 5.2 · Against 7.6 · Total 12.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 10.1 · Total 19.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aston Villa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.4
10.3
4.4
4.3
4.4
24.1
22.7
25.5
vs Stronger (4)
10.2
8.0
12.5
3.2
2.5
4.0
20.2
15.0
25.5
vs Similar (31)
9.6
8.5
10.7
4.8
4.7
4.9
25.1
24.6
25.6
vs Weaker (15)
10.2
11.6
9.0
3.7
3.9
3.6
23.1
20.7
25.2
% over line
58%
46%
69%
58%
62%
54%
66%
50%
81%
% under line
42%
54%
31%
42%
38%
46%
34%
50%
19%
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
9.9
11.7
2.8
2.7
2.8
19.0
17.9
20.2
vs Stronger (9)
11.0
11.2
10.8
2.3
3.2
1.2
20.0
18.4
22.0
vs Similar (36)
10.7
9.8
11.6
2.9
2.6
3.2
19.0
18.1
19.8
vs Weaker (5)
11.0
8.7
14.5
2.4
2.7
2.0
17.8
16.0
20.5
% over line
58%
48%
68%
30%
36%
24%
30%
16%
44%
% under line
42%
52%
32%
70%
64%
76%
70%
84%
56%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
11.3
Everton
10.9
Newcastle
10.8
Bournemouth
10.8
West Ham
10.8
Tottenham
10.7
Sheffield United
10.6
Luton
10.5
Liverpool
10.1
Fulham
10.1
Wolves
10.0
Burnley
9.9
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Arsenal
9.9
Aston Villa
9.9
Brighton
9.8
Brentford
9.8
Chelsea
9.7
Crystal Palace
9.5
Manchester City
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tottenham
4.6
Chelsea
4.6
Brighton
4.5
Wolves
4.5
Aston Villa
4.4
Crystal Palace
4.3
Burnley
4.1
Nottingham Forest
4.1
Sheffield United
4.1
Newcastle
4.1
Manchester City
4.1
Everton
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Luton
3.8
Manchester United
3.7
Arsenal
3.7
Bournemouth
3.5
Brentford
3.4
Liverpool
3.2
West Ham
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.4
Aston Villa
24.1
Chelsea
23.5
Brighton
23.0
Wolves
22.7
Luton
22.7
Tottenham
22.4
Newcastle
22.3
Nottingham Forest
22.2
Fulham
22.2
Bournemouth
21.1
Liverpool
20.9
Everton
20.9
Burnley
20.9
Arsenal
20.9
Brentford
20.6
Manchester City
20.6
Sheffield United
20.2
Manchester United
20.1
West Ham
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.1%
Under 9.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.9%
Under 3.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
50.9%
Under 21.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aston Villa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.60
1.29
0.36
0.75
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.41
1.11
0.11
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (11)
1.27
0.64
1.50
0.75
1.14
0.57
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
0.93
0.67
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.60
1.00
0.67
0.82
0.55
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aston Villa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
1.21
0.50
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
3.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.94
0.53
1.44
0.33
0.38
0.75
vs Weaker (11)
1.00
0.36
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.43
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
1.13
0.67
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.60
0.89
0.56
0.91
0.64
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.50
3.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ollie Watkins41%
Leon Bailey29%
Jhon Durán20%
Morgan Rogers19%
John McGinn18%
Moussa Diaby18%
Douglas Luiz16%
Álex Moreno12%
Nicolò Zaniolo9%
Leander Dendoncker8%
Matty Cash7%
Youri Tielemans7%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Pau Torres5%
Lucas Digne4%
Diego Carlos3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Clément Lenglet0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Calum Chambers0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolò Zaniolo31%
Morgan Rogers31%
Douglas Luiz31%
Boubacar Kamara27%
Matty Cash24%
Jhon Durán23%
John McGinn22%
Lucas Digne20%
Clément Lenglet18%
Emiliano Martínez14%
Ezri Konsa13%
Leon Bailey12%
Calum Chambers12%
Ollie Watkins12%
Youri Tielemans12%
Diego Carlos11%
Jacob Ramsey11%
Moussa Diaby8%
Álex Moreno8%
Tim Iroegbunam7%
Pau Torres3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leon Bailey27%
Ollie Watkins20%
Omari Kellyman20%
Moussa Diaby18%
Douglas Luiz16%
Youri Tielemans16%
John McGinn14%
Calum Chambers12%
Lucas Digne9%
Matty Cash7%
Morgan Rogers6%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Clément Lenglet5%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Diego Carlos3%
Pau Torres3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jhon Durán0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Álex Moreno0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ollie Watkins41%
Moussa Diaby12%
Nicolò Zaniolo9%
Jhon Durán9%
Douglas Luiz8%
Leon Bailey6%
John McGinn6%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Matty Cash5%
Álex Moreno4%
Diego Carlos3%
Youri Tielemans2%
Clément Lenglet0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Calum Chambers0%
Morgan Rogers0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Pau Torres0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jarrod Bowen37%
George Earthy25%
Mohammed Kudus24%
Michail Antonio22%
Lucas Paquetá20%
Tomáš Souček19%
James Ward-Prowse15%
Kurt Zouma8%
Maxwel Cornet8%
Nayef Aguerd7%
Aaron Cresswell6%
Edson Álvarez5%
Danny Ings4%
Konstantinos Mavropanos4%
Emerson Palmieri2%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Ben Johnson0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Saïd Benrahma0%
Divin Mubama0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edson Álvarez37%
Thilo Kehrer33%
Lucas Paquetá32%
Emerson Palmieri30%
Michail Antonio25%
Kalvin Phillips20%
Tomáš Souček17%
Mohammed Kudus17%
Vladimír Coufal16%
Angelo Ogbonna14%
Aaron Cresswell12%
Kurt Zouma11%
Jarrod Bowen10%
James Ward-Prowse9%
Nayef Aguerd7%
Konstantinos Mavropanos7%
Ben Johnson6%
Saïd Benrahma6%
Pablo Fornals5%
Danny Ings4%
Alphonse Aréola3%
Maxwel Cornet0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Divin Mubama0%
George Earthy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jarrod Bowen24%
James Ward-Prowse17%
Vladimír Coufal16%
Mohammed Kudus14%
Lucas Paquetá10%
Maxwel Cornet8%
Tomáš Souček6%
Michail Antonio6%
Saïd Benrahma6%
Edson Álvarez5%
Emerson Palmieri5%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Kurt Zouma0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Ben Johnson0%
Danny Ings0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Divin Mubama0%
George Earthy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jarrod Bowen37%
Mohammed Kudus14%
Saïd Benrahma11%
Tomáš Souček9%
Danny Ings8%
Lucas Paquetá8%
Michail Antonio6%
Nayef Aguerd4%
Konstantinos Mavropanos4%
Emerson Palmieri2%
James Ward-Prowse2%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Maxwel Cornet0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Kurt Zouma0%
Edson Álvarez0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Ben Johnson0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Divin Mubama0%
George Earthy0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Aston Villa's squad is €262m more valuable than West Ham's (€536m vs €274m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Aston Villa's attack is €135m more valuable than West Ham's (€220m vs €84m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Aston Villa's midfield is €112m more valuable than West Ham's (€160m vs €48m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Aston Villa's defence is €15m more valuable than West Ham's (€156m vs €141m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Liverpool
Tottenham
Chelsea
Newcastle
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United