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Aston Villa vs West Ham Result & Analysis

Date: 26/01/2025
Time: 16:30
Final 1-1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Vs
58%
23%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
West Ham
West Ham
England: Premier League
Referee: P Bankes
Match preview & prediction

Aston Villa’s recent form shows a cautious but effective attack, averaging 1.38 goals per home game while conceding just over a goal, whereas West Ham’s away outings have been more defensive, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected total of 3.3 goals, most likely a 3-goal match. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.2% chance. The favoured result is a home win, with a 58% probability, followed by a 23% chance of a draw and a 20% chance of an away win. The suggested selections are: Over 1.5 goals (84.8%), Over 8.5 corners (84.7%), Under 5.5 cards (79.5%), Over 9.5 corners (76.0%), Over 19.5 fouls (76.0%), Over 2.5 cards (75.3%) and Under 25.5 fouls (71.1%). Each selection is presented with its exact probability, and no other outcome is assigned a win chance.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Aston Villa, failed to deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s Home win call incorrect. The Pythia model had assigned a 58% probability to a Villa victory, but the result was a stalemate. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely scoreline, which the model had given a 10.2% chance. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with an 84.8% probability, while Over 8.5 corners missed despite an 84.7% chance. Under 5.5 cards was correct at 79.5%, Over 9.5 corners missed at 76.0%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 76.0%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 75.3%, and Under 25.5 fouls missed at 71.1%. The game reflected both sides’ recent form, with Villa coming off a defeat and West Ham a draw.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aston Villa win✗ Miss
58.0%
Avg Implied 65.1% · @ 1.47
Edge
-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.5%
Avg Implied 20.2% · @ 4.75
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
West Ham win✗ Miss
19.5%
Avg Implied 14.7% · @ 6.52
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W12L21W03L22D21W21W10W22D01LA·RB 10/12A·NOT14/12H·MAN21/12A·NEW26/12H·BRI30/12H·LEI04/01H·WES10/01A·EVE15/01A·ARS18/01A·MON21/01
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.301.670.931.331.67
vs Stronger (3)1.671.001.500.502.002.00
vs Similar (18)1.171.671.381.121.002.10
vs Weaker (9)2.110.672.200.802.000.50
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

West HamWest Ham

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L21W11D11D10W05L14L12L32W02LA·LEI03/12H·WOL09/12A·BOU16/12H·BRI21/12A·SOU26/12H·LIV29/12A·MAN04/01A·AST10/01H·FUL14/01H·CRY18/01
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.272.201.471.931.072.47
vs Stronger (9)0.893.891.003.600.754.25
vs Similar (20)1.351.501.561.111.181.82
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.6%
@ 1.59+3.5%
Under 2.5
36.4%
@ 2.39-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.4%
Under 3.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.5%
No
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
7.0%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
Aston Villa goals ↓
West Ham goals →
01234
04.7%3.5%2.6%1.0%0.3%
17.0%10%5.4%2.1%0.6%
28.4%9.8%5.7%2.2%0.7%
35.9%6.9%4.0%1.6%0.5%
43.1%3.6%2.1%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aston Villa goals (down), columns = West Ham goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Aston Villa is 0.61 points better than West Ham in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 1.13).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Aston Villa is 0.32 goals better than West Ham in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.21).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Aston Villa is 0.29 goals better than West Ham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Aston Villa is 1.8 percentage points better than West Ham in terms of average possession (50% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 6.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.7

🚩 Corners

1507411058721236954347514111111391515971215A·MONA·ARSA·EVEH·LEIH·BRIA·NEWH·MANA·NOTA·RB H·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

603132121232233121134531546134A·MONA·ARSA·EVEH·LEIH·BRIA·NEWH·MANA·NOTA·RB H·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.7 · Total 24.3

⚠️ Fouls

33014141810101710119141015147612712181528282721232521181933A·MONA·ARSA·EVEH·LEIH·BRIA·NEWH·MANA·NOTA·RB H·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

West HamWest Ham

For 4.4 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

180243173622846121193210638941218111212H·CRYH·FULA·MANH·LIVA·SOUH·BRIA·BOUH·WOLA·LEIH·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

9023312212225422412630342945H·CRYH·FULA·MANH·LIVA·SOUH·BRIA·BOUH·WOLA·LEIH·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 12.6 · Total 23.0

⚠️ Fouls

34013109181387108151420116121779101323272117233417291623H·CRYH·FULA·MANH·LIVA·SOUH·BRIA·BOUH·WOLA·LEIH·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.210.24.74.64.724.223.924.5
vs Stronger (6)8.78.78.74.55.04.021.721.322.0
vs Similar (33)10.510.510.44.64.44.923.923.624.1
vs Weaker (11)10.210.210.24.85.24.426.925.828.5
% over line55%52%58%68%72%64%72%74%71%
% under line45%48%42%32%28%36%28%26%29%
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

West HamWest Ham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.710.33.74.13.321.322.619.7
vs Stronger (11)11.511.212.03.03.82.019.920.818.5
vs Similar (38)9.59.19.93.94.23.721.623.220.0
vs Weaker (1)13.013.0-4.04.0-24.024.0-
% over line51%52%50%50%58%42%47%60%32%
% under line49%48%50%50%42%58%53%40%68%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.9
Bournemouth
11.9
Manchester United
11.2
Brentford
11.1
Southampton
11.1
Everton
10.8
Manchester City
10.7
Newcastle
10.7
Liverpool
10.6
Ipswich
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Fulham
10.4
Aston Villa
10.3
Crystal Palace
10.2
Chelsea
10.1
Wolves
10.0
Brighton
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Leicester
9.8
Arsenal
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.0
Chelsea
4.9
Bournemouth
4.7
Brighton
4.7
Southampton
4.6
Wolves
4.5
Newcastle
4.5
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Tottenham
4.3
Liverpool
4.3
Fulham
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Arsenal
4.1
Leicester
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
West Ham
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Ipswich
3.8
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
23.9
Tottenham
23.9
Wolves
23.4
Bournemouth
23.4
Crystal Palace
23.1
Southampton
23.0
Newcastle
22.8
Chelsea
22.8
Brighton
22.7
Ipswich
22.7
Arsenal
22.3
Everton
21.9
Nottingham Forest
21.8
Leicester
21.5
Liverpool
21.3
West Ham
21.2
Fulham
20.8
Manchester United
20.5
Brentford
19.7
Manchester City
17.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
76.0%
Under 9.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.5%
Under 3.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.7%
Under 21.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D10W01L11D00D01L00D01L01LA·RB 10/12A·NOT14/12H·MAN21/12A·NEW26/12H·BRI30/12H·LEI04/01H·WES10/01A·EVE15/01A·ARS18/01A·MON21/01
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.600.530.530.60
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.500.000.001.00
vs Similar (18)0.610.720.750.620.500.80
vs Weaker (9)0.560.330.400.600.750.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

West HamWest Ham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D00D00D03L02L10W20W00DA·LEI03/12H·WOL09/12A·BOU16/12H·BRI21/12A·SOU26/12H·LIV29/12A·MAN04/01A·AST10/01H·FUL14/01H·CRY18/01
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.070.601.000.401.13
vs Stronger (9)0.672.220.802.400.502.00
vs Similar (20)0.450.550.560.220.360.82
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W12L11D02L11D21W20W10W21W00DA·RB 10/12A·NOT14/12H·MAN21/12A·NEW26/12H·BRI30/12H·LEI04/01H·WES10/01A·EVE15/01A·ARS18/01A·MON21/01
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.731.070.400.801.07
vs Stronger (3)1.330.671.000.502.001.00
vs Similar (18)0.560.940.620.500.501.30
vs Weaker (9)1.560.331.800.201.250.50
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

West HamWest Ham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L21W11D11D10W02L12L02L12L02LA·LEI03/12H·WOL09/12A·BOU16/12H·BRI21/12A·SOU26/12H·LIV29/12A·MAN04/01A·AST10/01H·FUL14/01H·CRY18/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.130.870.930.671.33
vs Stronger (9)0.221.670.201.200.252.25
vs Similar (20)0.900.951.000.890.821.00
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners84.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards79.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners76.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls76.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls71.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jhon Durán41%
Ollie Watkins30%
Marco Asensio24%
Morgan Rogers22%
Donyell Malen18%
Marcus Rashford18%
Amadou Onana15%
Ross Barkley14%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey9%
John McGinn8%
Ezri Konsa6%
Leon Bailey5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Matty Cash3%
Boubacar Kamara2%
Robin Olsen0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Carlos29%
Morgan Rogers22%
Matty Cash21%
Axel Disasi20%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace20%
Jhon Durán17%
John McGinn16%
Tyrone Mings14%
Ross Barkley14%
Lucas Digne13%
Lamare Bogarde12%
Boubacar Kamara12%
Amadou Onana12%
Leon Bailey11%
Marco Asensio10%
Youri Tielemans9%
Emiliano Martínez9%
Pau Torres9%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Ollie Watkins4%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Marcus Rashford0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ollie Watkins24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans19%
John McGinn12%
Lucas Digne11%
Leon Bailey11%
Jacob Ramsey9%
Pau Torres6%
Marco Asensio5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Ross Barkley3%
Matty Cash3%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Jhon Durán0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jhon Durán28%
Marco Asensio24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Ollie Watkins19%
Morgan Rogers17%
Donyell Malen12%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey4%
Leon Bailey3%
Ian Maatsen2%
John McGinn2%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ross Barkley0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jarrod Bowen39%
Tomáš Souček24%
Niclas Füllkrug15%
Mohammed Kudus14%
Lucas Paquetá14%
Michail Antonio7%
Emerson Palmieri6%
James Ward-Prowse6%
Danny Ings6%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka5%
Crysencio Summerville5%
Carlos Soler3%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
Edson Álvarez0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Max Kilman0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Andy Irving0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Luis Guilherme0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Paquetá31%
Edson Álvarez29%
Guido Rodríguez25%
Tomáš Souček21%
Vladimír Coufal20%
Carlos Soler18%
Andy Irving18%
Łukasz Fabiański18%
Emerson Palmieri16%
Aaron Cresswell15%
Konstantinos Mavropanos14%
Jean-Clair Todibo14%
James Ward-Prowse12%
Max Kilman12%
Niclas Füllkrug10%
Crysencio Summerville9%
Mohammed Kudus9%
Michail Antonio7%
Oliver Scarles6%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka5%
Jarrod Bowen3%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Danny Ings0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jarrod Bowen19%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka13%
Danny Ings12%
Mohammed Kudus11%
Niclas Füllkrug10%
Crysencio Summerville9%
Michail Antonio7%
James Ward-Prowse6%
Guido Rodríguez4%
Edson Álvarez3%
Emerson Palmieri3%
Carlos Soler3%
Tomáš Souček3%
Max Kilman2%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Lucas Paquetá0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Andy Irving0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jarrod Bowen31%
Tomáš Souček13%
Mohammed Kudus9%
Lucas Paquetá8%
Michail Antonio7%
Carlos Soler3%
Konstantinos Mavropanos3%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Emerson Palmieri0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
Edson Álvarez0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Max Kilman0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Danny Ings0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Crysencio Summerville0%
Andy Irving0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Aston Villa's squad is €262m more valuable than West Ham's (€536m vs €274m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Aston Villa's attack is €135m more valuable than West Ham's (€220m vs €84m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Aston Villa's midfield is €112m more valuable than West Ham's (€160m vs €48m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Aston Villa's defence is €15m more valuable than West Ham's (€156m vs €141m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AVL wins
2
Draws
3
WHU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aston Villa vs West Ham · H/A from AVL
DateH/AGameScore
10/01/25HAVL Vs West Ham2-1
17/08/24AWest Ham Vs AVL1-2
17/03/24AWest Ham Vs AVL1-1
22/10/23HAVL Vs West Ham4-1
12/03/23AWest Ham Vs AVL1-1
28/08/22HAVL Vs West Ham0-1
13/03/22AWest Ham Vs AVL2-1
31/10/21HAVL Vs West Ham1-4

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/01/25AMonaco Vs AVL1-0
18/01/25AArsenal Vs AVL2-2
15/01/25AEverton Vs AVL0-1
10/01/25HAVL Vs West Ham2-1
04/01/25HAVL Vs Leicester2-1
30/12/24HAVL Vs Brighton2-2
26/12/24ANewcastle Vs AVL3-0
21/12/24HAVL Vs Manchester City2-1
14/12/24ANottingham Forest Vs AVL2-1
10/12/24ARB Leipzig Vs AVL2-3

West HamWest Ham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/01/25HWHU Vs Crystal Palace0-2
14/01/25HWHU Vs Fulham3-2
10/01/25AAston Villa Vs WHU2-1
04/01/25AManchester City Vs WHU4-1
29/12/24HWHU Vs Liverpool0-5
26/12/24ASouthampton Vs WHU0-1
21/12/24HWHU Vs Brighton1-1
16/12/24ABournemouth Vs WHU1-1
09/12/24HWHU Vs Wolves2-1
03/12/24ALeicester Vs WHU3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.56
HomeWWDWW1.88
AwayLLWDL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals3.063.202.92
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %66%68%64%
Over 3.5 %40%48%32%
Scored1.521.841.20
Conceded1.541.361.72
BTTS58%64%52%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners10.1710.1710.17
Cards4.965.044.88
West Ham
West Ham
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.16
HomeWDLWL1.38
AwayLDWLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%25%
AVG goals3.303.233.38
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %42%42%42%
Scored1.341.501.17
Conceded1.961.732.21
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet18%19%17%
Corners9.989.7210.27
Cards3.964.243.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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