Athletic Club vs Levante Result & Analysis

The contest between Athletic Club and Levante is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. Home victory sits at 40%, a draw at 30%, and an away win at 29%. The expected total of 2.4 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.3% chance. Athletic’s home form shows an average of 1.0 goal scored and 0.83 conceded against similar opposition, while Levante’s away numbers are 1.15 scored and 1.85 conceded.

The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 93.0%, Over 2.5 cards at 89.1%, Under 3.5 at 78.5%, Over 3.5 cards at 76.1%, and Under 11.5 corners at 78.8%. The remaining picks - Over 21.5 fouls, Over 23.5 fouls, and Under 11.5 corners - are less likely, with 85.3%, 74.0%, and 78.8% respectively. Athletic’s recent win over Celta Vigo and Levante’s win against Real Betis add a slight edge, but the balance remains fine.

The Athletic Club victory, 2-0, extended their recent winning streak and confirmed the model’s pre-match favourite. The model had picked a home win with a 40% probability, and that call proved correct. The final score matched the model’s most likely 1-1 scenario? no, but the outcome was still a home win. In the suggested selections, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 93%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 89.1%, Under 3.5 hit at 78.5%, and Over 3.5 cards hit at 76.1%. The other picks - Over 21.5 fouls, Under 11.5 corners, and Over 23.5 fouls - missed, with probabilities of 85.3%, 78.8%, and 74.0% respectively. The model’s predictions were largely accurate, with only a few missed selections.