Athlone Town vs Bray Wanderers Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026

Time: 18:45

Final 2-1

Athlone Town

37%

28%

35%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Bray Wanderers

Ireland: First Division

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

The match between Athlone Town and Bray Wanderers is a tight one, with the model picking a home win as the most likely outcome. The probability of a win for Athlone is 37 %, a draw 28 %, and a victory for Bray 35 %. The expected total goals hover at 2.7, with the most probable total being 2 goals at 26 %. The single scoreline the model favours is 1-1, with a 13.4 % chance.

Athlone, playing at home against a similarly ranked side, averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Bray, on the road, scores 1.83 and concedes 1.67 against comparable opposition. Both teams have been in decent form, Athlone on a two-game winning streak and Bray coming off a defeat.

Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3 % with a 3 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.9 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6 % with a 4 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.7 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.5 % with a 4 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.4 % with a 5 % edge) and Home under 3.5 goals (94.8 %).

Results analysis

The win extends Athlone Town’s three-game winning run, keeping the home side’s form story alive. The model’s favourite, a Home win, was correct, with a 37% pre-match probability. The final score of 2-1 matched the actual result. The model’s selections performed strongly: Under 7.5 hit with 99.3% confidence; Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2%; Under 6.5 hit at 97.9%; Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.1%; Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.7%; Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.6%; Away under 3.5 goals hit at 95.3%; Home under 3.5 goals hit at 94.9%. All eight selections settled in the predicted direction, confirming the model’s overall accuracy.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Athlone Town win✓ Hit

36.9%

Avg Implied 30.2% · @ 3.00

Edge

+6.7%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.24

1xBet

3.10

Dafabet

3.10

Superbet

3.05

Unibet

3.05

Draw✗ Miss

28.2%

Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.47

Edge

+2.0%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.74

Betfair

3.60

Bet365

3.60

Betano

3.60

Dafabet

3.55

Bray Wanderers win✗ Miss

34.9%

Avg Implied 43.7% · @ 2.07

Edge

-8.7%

Best 5 market prices

10Bet

2.26

Dafabet

2.16

Superbet

2.15

Pinnacle

2.11

SBO

2.10

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Athlone Town

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.7

Avg scored

1.4

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.07	1.90	0.93	1.47	1.20	2.33
vs Stronger (18)	1.11	1.78	1.00	1.40	1.25	2.25
vs Similar (12)	1.00	2.08	0.80	1.60	1.14	2.43
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	27% (+1pp vs league)

This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bray Wanderers

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.7

Avg scored

2.2

Avg conceded

1.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.97	1.57	2.31	1.38	1.57	1.79
vs Stronger (14)	1.71	1.57	2.00	1.29	1.43	1.86
vs Similar (13)	2.23	1.38	2.57	1.14	1.83	1.67
vs Weaker (3)	2.00	2.33	2.50	2.50	1.00	2.00
Clean sheet %	27% (+1pp vs league)

This opponent (Athlone Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

76.6%

@ 1.19-0.2%

Under 1.5

23.4%

@ 3.94+0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.22

Pinnacle

1.22

10Bet

1.22

Unibet

1.21

Betano

1.21

Under

Betfair

4.50

Pinnacle

4.32

10Bet

4.20

Marathonbet

4.10

1xBet

4.10

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

51.0%

@ 1.65-4.5%

Under 2.5

49.0%

@ 2.06+4.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.70

Unibet

1.70

Bet365

1.70

10Bet

1.67

1xBet

1.66

Under

Pinnacle

2.17

10Bet

2.15

Bet365

2.10

Betfair

2.10

Superbet

2.10

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

28.9%

@ 2.60-6.1%

Under 3.5

71.1%

@ 1.40+6.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.75

Betfair

2.75

10Bet

2.70

Unibet

2.70

1xBet

2.62

Under

Pinnacle

1.45

10Bet

1.45

Bet365

1.44

Superbet

1.42

Betano

1.42

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

56.4%

@ 1.55-2.3%

43.6%

@ 2.20+2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.62

Unibet

1.58

Betfair

1.57

1xBet

1.56

Superbet

1.56

10Bet

2.30

William Hil

2.30

Superbet

2.27

Betfair

2.25

1xBet

2.25

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

13.4%@ 6.42+6.7%

2-1 ✓

8.4%@ 9.59+3.9%

1-2

8.1%@ 7.80+2.7%

1-0

7.9%@ 10.51+3.8%

0-0

7.8%@ 12.31+4.4%

0-1

7.6%@ 8.48+2.6%

2-0

6.3%@ 15.23+3.5%

0-2

5.9%@ 10.60+1.9%

Athlone Town goals ↓

	Bray Wanderers goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	7.6%	5.9%	2.6%	0.9%
1	7.9%	13%	8.1%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.3%	8.4%	5.6%	2.5%	0.8%
3	2.9%	3.9%	2.6%	1.1%	0.4%
4	1.0%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Athlone Town goals (down), columns = Bray Wanderers goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Kerry

2.00

Cork City

1.86

Longford Town

1.86

Athlone Town

1.86

UCD

1.57

Treaty United

1.43

Cobh Ramblers

1.43

Bray Wanderers

1.29

Wexford

1.00

Finn Harps

0.00

Athlone Town is 0.57 points better than Bray Wanderers in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Cork City

2.57

Longford Town

2.57

Bray Wanderers

2.43

UCD

2.29

Kerry

2.29

Athlone Town

1.57

Cobh Ramblers

1.29

Treaty United

1.14

Wexford

1.00

Finn Harps

0.86

Athlone Town is 0.86 goals worse than Bray Wanderers in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 2.43).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Athlone Town

1.00

Kerry

1.14

Treaty United

1.43

Cobh Ramblers

1.43

Longford Town

1.57

Wexford

1.86

Bray Wanderers

1.86

Cork City

2.00

UCD

2.29

Finn Harps

3.43

Athlone Town is 0.86 goals better than Bray Wanderers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.86).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Athlone Town or Draw✓ Hit

65.1%

Avg Implied 56.2% · @ 1.62

Edge

+8.9%

37%

28%

35%

covers Athlone Town + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.72

Betfair

1.67

William Hil

1.67

Marathonbet

1.64

1xBet

1.64

Athlone Town or Bray Wanderers✓ Hit

71.8%

Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.22

Edge

-2.8%

37%

28%

35%

covers Athlone Town + Bray Wanderers

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.29

Superbet

1.25

Betano

1.25

Bet365

1.22

Betfair

1.22

Draw or Bray Wanderers✗ Miss

63.1%

Avg Implied 69.2% · @ 1.32

Edge

-6.1%

37%

28%

35%

covers Draw + Bray Wanderers

Best 5 market prices

10Bet

1.40

Bet365

1.36

William Hil

1.35

Superbet

1.32

Betano

1.32

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Athlone Town over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

74.8%

@ 1.26+2.7%

Under

25.2%

@ 3.27-2.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

1.29

Pinnacle

1.29

Bet365

1.28

1xBet

1.27

Marathonbet

1.27

Under

10Bet

3.50

Bet365

3.50

Pinnacle

3.46

Marathonbet

3.28

1xBet

3.28

Athlone Town over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

40.1%

@ 2.37+1.5%

Under

59.9%

@ 1.49-1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.55

Betfair

2.50

Marathonbet

2.46

1xBet

2.46

Unibet

2.43

Under

10Bet

1.57

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.52

Superbet

1.52

Pinnacle

1.51

Athlone Town over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

16.2%

@ 5.17-1.4%

Under

83.8%

@ 1.10+1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

6.00

Marathonbet

5.95

1xBet

5.95

Bet365

5.00

10Bet

5.00

Under

Bet365

1.14

10Bet

1.13

Betfair

1.11

Superbet

1.10

BetVictor

1.10

Athlone Town over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

5.1%

@ 10.00-4.2%

Under

94.9%

@ 1.03+4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

10.00

Under

Bet365

1.03

Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

73.7%

@ 1.16-4.4%

Under

26.3%

@ 4.14+4.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.20

10Bet

1.18

Betfair

1.17

Superbet

1.16

1xBet

1.14

Under

1xBet

4.60

Betfair

4.50

Bet365

4.33

10Bet

4.20

Superbet

4.00

Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

38.6%

@ 1.89-9.8%

Under

61.4%

@ 1.78+9.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.00

10Bet

1.95

Pinnacle

1.94

Betfair

1.91

Betano

1.90

Under

Pinnacle

1.85

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.81

Marathonbet

1.81

Superbet

1.80

Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

15.1%

@ 3.77-9.0%

Under

84.9%

@ 1.20+9.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

4.03

Bet365

4.00

10Bet

4.00

Marathonbet

3.88

1xBet

3.88

Under

Pinnacle

1.23

Bet365

1.22

Betfair

1.22

Superbet

1.20

10Bet

1.20

Bray Wanderers over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

4.7%

@ 8.25-6.7%

Under

95.3%

@ 1.05+6.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

8.50

Bet365

8.00

Under

Bet365

1.06

Betfair

1.05

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Athlone Town, so a minus line means Athlone Town give that many goals of a start and Bray Wanderers receive them. At -1, Athlone Town must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Athlone Town win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Athlone Town)Actual: Bray Wanderers

Athlone Town -2

6.4%

@ 13.00-0.7%

Draw -2

11.2%

@ 8.00-0.4%

Bray Wanderers +2

82.4%

@ 1.14+1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

13.00

Draw

Bet365

8.00

Away

Bet365

1.14

Handicap -1 (Athlone Town)Actual: Draw

Athlone Town -1

17.6%

@ 5.88+2.3%

Draw -1

19.3%

@ 4.75+0.5%

Bray Wanderers +1

63.1%

@ 1.36-2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

6.65

Bet365

5.50

10Bet

5.50

Draw

Marathonbet

5.00

Bet365

4.75

10Bet

4.50

Away

Bet365

1.40

10Bet

1.40

Marathonbet

1.28

Handicap +1 (Athlone Town)Actual: Athlone Town

Athlone Town +1

65.1%

@ 1.62+11.1%

Draw +1

18.7%

@ 3.82-4.2%

Bray Wanderers -1

16.2%

@ 3.79-6.9%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

1.67

Marathonbet

1.64

Bet365

1.62

10Bet

1.60

Unibet

1.57

Draw

Betfair

4.00

Bet365

4.00

10Bet

3.95

Marathonbet

3.92

Unibet

3.25

Away

10Bet

4.20

Bet365

4.00

Marathonbet

3.78

Betfair

3.75

Unibet

3.20

Handicap +2 (Athlone Town)Actual: Athlone Town

Athlone Town +2

83.8%

@ 1.20+9.2%

Draw +2

10.5%

@ 6.06-4.3%

Bray Wanderers -2

5.7%

@ 8.40-4.9%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.22

Betfair

1.20

10Bet

1.20

Marathonbet

1.19

Draw

Marathonbet

6.25

Bet365

6.00

Betfair

6.00

10Bet

6.00

Away

Bet365

9.00

10Bet

8.50

Marathonbet

8.10

Betfair

8.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Athlone Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.5

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.57	0.90	0.53	0.67	0.60	1.13
vs Stronger (18)	0.72	0.89	0.60	0.80	0.88	1.00
vs Similar (12)	0.33	0.92	0.40	0.40	0.29	1.29
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	47% (+21pp vs league)

This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bray Wanderers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.80	0.93	0.88	0.75	0.71	1.14
vs Stronger (14)	0.86	1.07	0.86	0.71	0.86	1.43
vs Similar (13)	0.77	0.85	0.86	0.86	0.67	0.83
vs Weaker (3)	0.67	0.67	1.00	0.50	0.00	1.00
Clean sheet %	37% (+11pp vs league)

This opponent (Athlone Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

67.9%

@ 1.28-3.3%

Under 0.5

32.1%

@ 3.16+3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.30

William Hil

1.30

Betfair

1.29

Marathonbet

1.28

10Bet

1.28

Under

Bet365

3.40

10Bet

3.30

William Hil

3.30

Betfair

3.25

1xBet

3.18

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

33.0%

@ 2.39-5.3%

Under 1.5

67.0%

@ 1.48+5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.55

Bet365

2.50

Betfair

2.50

Marathonbet

2.44

1xBet

2.44

Under

10Bet

1.55

Pinnacle

1.52

Superbet

1.51

William Hil

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

11.2%

@ 5.41-5.6%

Under 2.5

88.8%

@ 1.09+5.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

6.00

1xBet

5.90

Marathonbet

5.90

William Hil

5.80

Bet365

5.50

Under

William Hil

1.12

Bet365

1.12

Betfair

1.11

Superbet

1.10

1xBet

1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Athlone Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

43.9%

@ 2.08-0.7%

Under

56.1%

@ 1.68+0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.17

Betano

2.12

1xBet

2.10

Marathonbet

2.09

Superbet

2.05

Under

10Bet

1.77

Pinnacle

1.68

Superbet

1.67

1xBet

1.65

Betano

1.65

Athlone Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

11.6%

@ 6.92-1.7%

Under

88.4%

@ 1.07+1.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

7.50

1xBet

7.50

10Bet

5.75

Under

10Bet

1.10

1xBet

1.06

Marathonbet

1.04

Athlone Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.8%

@ 21.00-2.8%

Under

98.2%

@ 1.01+2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

21.00

Under

10Bet

1.01

Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

45.5%

@ 1.79-6.0%

Under

54.5%

@ 1.90+6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.83

Superbet

1.82

Pinnacle

1.81

10Bet

1.80

Marathonbet

1.78

Under

Pinnacle

1.98

1xBet

1.91

10Bet

1.90

Marathonbet

1.88

Superbet

1.88

Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

12.7%

@ 5.10-5.3%

Under

87.3%

@ 1.11+5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.30

10Bet

5.00

1xBet

5.00

Under

10Bet

1.13

1xBet

1.11

Marathonbet

1.10

Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

2.9%

@ 15.00-3.5%

Under

97.1%

@ 1.02+3.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

15.00

Under

10Bet

1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Athlone Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.50	1.00	0.40	0.80	0.60	1.20
vs Stronger (18)	0.39	0.89	0.40	0.60	0.38	1.25
vs Similar (12)	0.67	1.17	0.40	1.20	0.86	1.14
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	40% (+14pp vs league)

This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bray Wanderers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.9

Avg scored

1.3

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.17	0.63	1.44	0.62	0.86	0.64
vs Stronger (14)	0.86	0.50	1.14	0.57	0.57	0.43
vs Similar (13)	1.46	0.54	1.71	0.29	1.17	0.83
vs Weaker (3)	1.33	1.67	1.50	2.00	1.00	1.00
Clean sheet %	47% (+21pp vs league)

This opponent (Athlone Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

76.2%

@ 1.16-2.6%

Under 0.5

23.8%

@ 4.32+2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.20

Bet365

1.18

Superbet

1.15

1xBet

1.14

Marathonbet

1.14

Under

Bet365

4.50

1xBet

4.40

Marathonbet

4.40

William Hil

4.20

Superbet

4.10

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

41.4%

@ 1.85-8.3%

Under 1.5

58.6%

@ 1.83+8.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.89

1xBet

1.89

Superbet

1.85

William Hil

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Under

Superbet

1.85

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.83

William Hil

1.83

1xBet

1.81

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

17.3%

@ 3.72-7.3%

Under 2.5

82.7%

@ 1.21+7.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

3.80

1xBet

3.80

Marathonbet

3.80

Bet365

3.75

Superbet

3.45

Under

Bet365

1.25

William Hil

1.22

Superbet

1.22

Marathonbet

1.19

1xBet

1.19

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Athlone Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

50.4%

@ 1.75-2.3%

Under

49.6%

@ 1.95+2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.78

1xBet

1.75

Superbet

1.74

10Bet

1.73

Under

10Bet

2.00

Superbet

1.97

1xBet

1.96

Marathonbet

1.88

Athlone Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

15.5%

@ 4.80-3.7%

Under

84.5%

@ 1.14+3.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.20

1xBet

4.70

10Bet

4.50

Under

10Bet

1.17

1xBet

1.14

Marathonbet

1.11

Athlone Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

4.4%

@ 13.00-2.9%

Under

95.6%

@ 1.02+2.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

13.00

Under

10Bet

1.02

Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

52.9%

@ 1.56-5.9%

Under

47.1%

@ 2.23+5.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.57

10Bet

1.57

Superbet

1.57

1xBet

1.55

Under

1xBet

2.30

10Bet

2.25

Superbet

2.20

Marathonbet

2.19

Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

16.4%

@ 3.71-8.3%

Under

83.6%

@ 1.22+8.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

3.80

Marathonbet

3.74

1xBet

3.60

Under

1xBet

1.23

10Bet

1.22

Marathonbet

1.21

Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

3.3%

@ 10.00-5.9%

Under

96.7%

@ 1.02+5.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

10.00

10Bet

10.00

Under

10Bet

1.03

1xBet

1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	98.2%	1.01	10Bet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.8%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	97.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+5.7%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	97.1%	1.02	10Bet 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.5%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	96.7%	1.02	10Bet 1.03	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+5.9%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	95.6%	1.02	10Bet 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	95.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.06	Betfair 1.05	-	-	-	+6.7%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	94.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.2%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	94.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.06	1xBet 1.05	Betfair 1.03	BetVictor 1.02	-	+5.6%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	88.8%	1.09	William Hil 1.12	Bet365 1.12	Betfair 1.11	Superbet 1.10	1xBet 1.07	+5.6%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	88.4%	1.07	10Bet 1.10	1xBet 1.06	Marathonbet 1.04	-	-	+1.7%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	87.3%	1.11	10Bet 1.13	1xBet 1.11	Marathonbet 1.10	-	-	+5.3%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	86.1%	1.14	10Bet 1.18	Pinnacle 1.17	Bet365 1.17	Superbet 1.14	Betfair 1.13	+5.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	84.9%	1.20	Pinnacle 1.23	Bet365 1.22	Betfair 1.22	Superbet 1.20	10Bet 1.20	+9.0%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	84.5%	1.14	10Bet 1.17	1xBet 1.14	Marathonbet 1.11	-	-	+3.7%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	83.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.14	10Bet 1.13	Betfair 1.11	Superbet 1.10	BetVictor 1.10	+1.4%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	83.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.22	Betfair 1.20	10Bet 1.20	Marathonbet 1.19	-	+9.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	83.6%	1.22	1xBet 1.23	10Bet 1.22	Marathonbet 1.21	-	-	+8.3%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	82.7%	1.21	Bet365 1.25	William Hil 1.22	Superbet 1.22	Marathonbet 1.19	1xBet 1.19	+7.3%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	82.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+1.1%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	76.6%	1.19	Bet365 1.22	Pinnacle 1.22	10Bet 1.22	Unibet 1.21	Betano 1.21	-0.2%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	76.2%	1.16	William Hil 1.20	Bet365 1.18	Superbet 1.15	1xBet 1.14	Marathonbet 1.14	-2.6%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	74.8%	1.26	Betfair 1.29	Pinnacle 1.29	Bet365 1.28	1xBet 1.27	Marathonbet 1.27	+2.7%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	73.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.20	10Bet 1.18	Betfair 1.17	Superbet 1.16	1xBet 1.14	-4.4%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	71.8%	1.22	William Hil 1.29	Superbet 1.25	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.22	Betfair 1.22	-2.8%	✓ Hit
Under 3.5	71.1%	1.40	Pinnacle 1.45	10Bet 1.45	Bet365 1.44	Superbet 1.42	Betano 1.42	+6.1%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FH (2)

€0m

CR (2)

€0m

TU (1)

€0m

CC (2)

€0m

BW (1)

€0m

KER (1)

€0m

AT (1)

€0m

Athlone Town and Bray Wanderers have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

TU (1)

€0m

CC (2)

€0m

FH (1)

€0m

AT (1)

€0m

BW (0)

€0m

CR (0)

€0m

KER (0)

€0m

Athlone Town and Bray Wanderers have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FH (1)

€0m

BW (1)

€0m

KER (1)

€0m

CC (0)

€0m

AT (0)

€0m

CR (0)

€0m

TU (0)

€0m

Athlone Town and Bray Wanderers have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

CR (2)

€0m

CC (0)

€0m

BW (0)

€0m

AT (0)

€0m

FH (0)

€0m

TU (0)

€0m

KER (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

AT wins

Draws

BW wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Athlone Town vs Bray Wanderers · H/A from AT

Date	H/A	Game	Score
05/09/25	A	Bray Wanderers Vs AT	3-1
27/06/25	H	AT Vs Bray Wanderers	0-4
16/05/25	A	Bray Wanderers Vs AT	3-1
04/04/25	H	AT Vs Bray Wanderers	0-1
02/11/24	A	Bray Wanderers Vs AT	2-2
23/08/24	H	AT Vs Bray Wanderers	0-1
13/06/24	A	Bray Wanderers Vs AT	1-0
10/05/24	H	AT Vs Bray Wanderers	2-1

Athlone Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
21/08/26	A	Wexford Vs AT	0-2
07/08/26	H	AT Vs Longford Town	2-1
03/08/26	A	Cork City Vs AT	3-2
31/07/26	H	AT Vs UCD	0-0
24/07/26	A	Treaty United Vs AT	2-1
10/07/26	H	AT Vs Cobh Ramblers	2-0
17/10/25	H	AT Vs Longford Town	1-2
10/10/25	A	UCD Vs AT	2-2
03/10/25	H	AT Vs Dundalk	1-1
26/09/25	H	AT Vs Wexford	1-2

Bray Wanderers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
22/08/26	A	Longford Town Vs BW	4-2
07/08/26	H	BW Vs Finn Harps	5-0
03/08/26	A	Wexford Vs BW	2-1
31/07/26	H	BW Vs Kerry	0-4
24/07/26	A	Cobh Ramblers Vs BW	1-2
10/07/26	H	BW Vs UCD	6-0
07/11/25	H	BW Vs Waterford	1-2
02/11/25	H	BW Vs Treaty United	1-0
28/10/25	H	BW Vs UCD	3-2
24/10/25	A	UCD Vs BW	0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Athlone Town

Ireland: First Division

Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LDLWW	0.84
Home	DLWDW	1.08
Away	LDLLW	0.60

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	18%	24%	12%
AVG goals	2.62	2.40	2.84
Over 1.5 %	74%	68%	80%
Over 2.5 %	52%	52%	52%
Over 3.5 %	30%	24%	36%
Scored	0.96	1.00	0.92
Conceded	1.66	1.40	1.92
BTTS	52%	52%	52%
Clean Sheet	24%	28%	20%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Bray Wanderers

Ireland: First Division

Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLLWL	1.68
Home	WLWLW	2.04
Away	LWWLL	1.26

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	54%	67%	39%
AVG goals	3.28	3.63	2.87
Over 1.5 %	82%	93%	70%
Over 2.5 %	70%	74%	65%
Over 3.5 %	48%	59%	35%
Scored	1.80	2.26	1.26
Conceded	1.48	1.37	1.61
BTTS	58%	59%	57%
Clean Sheet	30%	30%	30%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Kerry	7	14	57%	2.0	16	8	+8	3.4	100%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.3	1.1	-
2	Longford Town	7	13	57%	1.9	18	11	+7	4.1	86%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.6	1.6	-
3	Cork City	7	13	57%	1.9	18	14	+4	4.6	100%	86%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.6	2.0	-
4	Athlone Town	7	13	57%	1.9	11	7	+4	2.6	86%	57%	14%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	1.0	-
5	UCD	7	11	43%	1.6	16	16	+0	4.6	86%	71%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.3	2.3	-
6	Cobh Ramblers	7	10	43%	1.4	9	10	-1	2.7	86%	57%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.4	-
7	Treaty United	7	10	43%	1.4	8	10	-2	2.6	71%	57%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	1.4	-
8	Bray Wanderers	7	9	43%	1.3	17	13	+4	4.3	100%	100%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.4	1.9	-
9	Wexford	7	7	29%	1.0	7	13	-6	2.9	86%	57%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.9	-
10	Finn Harps	7	0	0%	0.0	6	24	-18	4.3	86%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.9	3.4	-

Ireland: First Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

← all matches

Athlone Town vs Bray Wanderers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Athlone Town

Bray Wanderers

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Athlone Town

Bray Wanderers

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Athlone Town

Bray Wanderers

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Athlone Town

Bray Wanderers

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature