PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Athlone Town vs Kerry Result & Analysis

Date: 08/03/2024
Time: 19:45
Final 1-1
Athlone Town
Athlone Town
Vs
60%
23%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kerry
Kerry
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Athlone Town win✗ Miss
60.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kerry win✗ Miss
16.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-614L06L01L14L00D11D13L30W33D02LA·TRE22/09A·GAL29/09H·BRA06/10A·FIN14/10H·LON20/10H·WAT24/10A·WAT28/10H·WEX16/02A·COB23/02A·FIN01/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.801.361.211.622.31
vs Stronger (17)1.411.761.001.001.782.44
vs Similar (13)1.621.851.831.501.432.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kerry) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KerryKerry

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D12L04L12L12L11D11D02L23L01LH·LON08/09A·ATH15/09H·GAL22/09A·FIN29/09H·WEX06/10H·WAT14/10A·COB20/10A·COR16/02H·BRA23/02H·TRE01/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.872.500.812.690.932.29
vs Stronger (24)0.832.750.862.860.802.60
vs Similar (6)1.001.500.501.501.251.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.6%
Under 2.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.2%
Under 3.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.9%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.1%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
4.9%
Athlone Town goals ↓
Kerry goals →
01234
06.0%3.9%2.4%0.8%0.2%
19.1%11%4.8%1.6%0.4%
210%10.0%4.9%1.6%0.4%
36.8%6.7%3.3%1.1%0.3%
43.4%3.4%1.7%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Athlone Town goals (down), columns = Kerry goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cork City
2.17
UCD
1.55
Athlone Town
1.54
Wexford
1.50
Bray Wanderers
1.41
Finn Harps
1.28
Cobh Ramblers
1.22
Treaty United
1.22
Longford Town
0.81
Kerry
0.75
Athlone Town is 0.79 points better than Kerry in terms of average points per game (1.54 vs 0.75).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cork City
1.78
Wexford
1.61
Bray Wanderers
1.49
Athlone Town
1.38
UCD
1.26
Longford Town
1.14
Cobh Ramblers
1.14
Treaty United
1.14
Finn Harps
1.08
Kerry
0.94
Athlone Town is 0.44 goals better than Kerry in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 0.94).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cork City
0.64
UCD
1.03
Treaty United
1.19
Finn Harps
1.19
Bray Wanderers
1.28
Athlone Town
1.31
Wexford
1.50
Kerry
1.53
Cobh Ramblers
1.56
Longford Town
1.78
Athlone Town is 0.22 goals better than Kerry in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.53).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L01L11D00D00D00D30W20W02LA·TRE22/09A·GAL29/09H·BRA06/10A·FIN14/10H·LON20/10H·WAT24/10A·WAT28/10H·WEX16/02A·COB23/02A·FIN01/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.700.930.571.060.81
vs Stronger (17)0.940.650.750.251.111.00
vs Similar (13)1.080.771.171.001.000.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Kerry) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KerryKerry

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L00D11D00D01L02L10W00DH·LON08/09A·ATH15/09H·GAL22/09A·FIN29/09H·WEX06/10H·WAT14/10A·COB20/10A·COR16/02H·BRA23/02H·TRE01/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.970.380.810.431.14
vs Stronger (24)0.381.080.430.860.301.40
vs Similar (6)0.500.500.000.500.750.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Athlone Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L03L00D03L00D11D13L00D13L00DA·TRE22/09A·GAL29/09H·BRA06/10A·FIN14/10H·LON20/10H·WAT24/10A·WAT28/10H·WEX16/02A·COB23/02A·FIN01/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.100.430.640.561.50
vs Stronger (17)0.471.120.250.750.671.44
vs Similar (13)0.541.080.670.500.431.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kerry) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KerryKerry

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L03L12L01L11D10W00D13L01LH·LON08/09A·ATH15/09H·GAL22/09A·FIN29/09H·WEX06/10H·WAT14/10A·COB20/10A·COR16/02H·BRA23/02H·TRE01/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.530.441.880.501.14
vs Stronger (24)0.461.670.432.000.501.20
vs Similar (6)0.501.000.501.000.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Athlone Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
Athlone Town and Kerry have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
Athlone Town and Kerry have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
Athlone Town and Kerry have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
AT wins
0
Draws
1
KER wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Athlone Town vs Kerry · H/A from AT
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/23HAT Vs Kerry2-1
09/06/23AKerry Vs AT0-1
12/05/23HAT Vs Kerry2-3
24/03/23AKerry Vs AT0-1

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/24AFinn Harps Vs AT2-0
23/02/24ACobh Ramblers Vs AT3-3
16/02/24HAT Vs Wexford3-0
28/10/23AWaterford Vs AT3-1
24/10/23HAT Vs Waterford1-1
20/10/23HAT Vs Longford Town0-0
14/10/23AFinn Harps Vs AT4-1
06/10/23HAT Vs Bray Wanderers0-1
29/09/23AGalway United Vs AT6-0
22/09/23ATreaty United Vs AT4-1

KerryKerry

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/24HKER Vs Treaty United0-1
23/02/24HKER Vs Bray Wanderers2-3
16/02/24ACork City Vs KER2-0
20/10/23ACobh Ramblers Vs KER1-1
14/10/23HKER Vs Waterford1-1
06/10/23HKER Vs Wexford1-2
29/09/23AFinn Harps Vs KER2-1
22/09/23HKER Vs Galway United0-4
15/09/23AAthlone Town Vs KER2-1
08/09/23HKER Vs Longford Town0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Athlone Town
Athlone Town
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDL1.36
HomeWLDDW1.58
AwayLLLDL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%46%35%
AVG goals3.362.793.88
Over 1.5 %82%79%85%
Over 2.5 %64%50%77%
Over 3.5 %50%38%62%
Scored1.601.621.58
Conceded1.761.172.31
BTTS60%50%69%
Clean Sheet18%29%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Kerry
Kerry
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLL0.26
HomeLLDLL0.25
AwayLLLDL0.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %3%0%5%
AVG goals3.283.153.42
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %62%55%68%
Over 3.5 %44%45%42%
Scored0.790.750.84
Conceded2.492.402.58
BTTS59%55%63%
Clean Sheet5%5%5%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cork CityCork City3678
61%
2.2
6423+41
2.4
67%
33%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
2Athlone TownAthlone Town3960
41%
1.5
5451+3
2.7
69%
54%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
3UCDUCD3859
39%
1.6
4839+9
2.3
71%
42%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
4WexfordWexford3857
39%
1.5
6157+4
3.1
87%
63%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
5Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3955
38%
1.4
5850+8
2.8
74%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
6Finn HarpsFinn Harps3646
33%
1.3
3943-4
2.3
69%
28%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
7Treaty UnitedTreaty United3644
31%
1.2
4143-2
2.3
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
8Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3644
33%
1.2
4156-15
2.7
83%
56%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
9Longford TownLongford Town3629
17%
0.8
4164-23
2.9
81%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
10KerryKerry3627
14%
0.8
3455-21
2.5
81%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Ireland: First Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

← all matches