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Athlone Town vs Longford Town Result & Analysis

Date: 12/07/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 4-1
Athlone Town
Athlone Town
Vs
51%
27%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Longford Town
Longford Town
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Athlone Town win✓ Hit
50.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Longford Town win✗ Miss
21.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D10W21W11D22D10W11D01L10W21WA·WEX03/05A·TRE06/05H·BRA10/05A·LON18/05H·UCD24/05H·COR31/05A·FIN03/06A·BRA13/06H·TRE28/06A·UCD04/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.571.430.790.942.25
vs Stronger (15)1.401.801.711.001.122.50
vs Similar (15)0.931.331.140.570.752.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L21W11D00D01L22D02L12L11D10WA·FIN10/05H·TRE13/05H·ATH18/05H·COB25/05A·TRE31/05A·WEX03/06A·COR07/06A·KER13/06H·FIN28/06A·BRA04/07
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.771.072.000.811.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.702.200.602.600.801.80
vs Weaker (20)1.051.551.331.670.821.45
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.0%
Under 1.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.5%
Under 2.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.9%
Under 3.5
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.9%
No
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
Athlone Town goals ↓
Longford Town goals →
01234
08.8%6.2%3.6%1.2%0.3%
111%13%5.8%1.9%0.5%
29.8%9.5%4.6%1.5%0.4%
35.2%5.1%2.5%0.8%0.2%
42.1%2.0%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Athlone Town goals (down), columns = Longford Town goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cork City
2.17
UCD
1.55
Athlone Town
1.54
Wexford
1.50
Bray Wanderers
1.41
Finn Harps
1.28
Cobh Ramblers
1.22
Treaty United
1.22
Longford Town
0.81
Kerry
0.75
Athlone Town is 0.73 points better than Longford Town in terms of average points per game (1.54 vs 0.81).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cork City
1.78
Wexford
1.61
Bray Wanderers
1.49
Athlone Town
1.38
UCD
1.26
Longford Town
1.14
Cobh Ramblers
1.14
Treaty United
1.14
Finn Harps
1.08
Kerry
0.94
Athlone Town is 0.25 goals better than Longford Town in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cork City
0.64
UCD
1.03
Treaty United
1.19
Finn Harps
1.19
Bray Wanderers
1.28
Athlone Town
1.31
Wexford
1.50
Kerry
1.53
Cobh Ramblers
1.56
Longford Town
1.78
Athlone Town is 0.47 goals better than Longford Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.78).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W00D21W10W00D01L10W10WA·WEX03/05A·TRE06/05H·BRA10/05A·LON18/05H·UCD24/05H·COR31/05A·FIN03/06A·BRA13/06H·TRE28/06A·UCD04/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.860.430.380.88
vs Stronger (15)0.670.731.000.570.380.88
vs Similar (15)0.530.600.710.290.380.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Longford TownLongford Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D01L00D00D00D00D02L11D01L00DA·FIN10/05H·TRE13/05H·ATH18/05H·COB25/05A·TRE31/05A·WEX03/06A·COR07/06A·KER13/06H·FIN28/06A·BRA04/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.360.790.500.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.101.000.201.200.000.80
vs Weaker (20)0.600.550.440.560.730.55
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Athlone Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W11D11D01L00D11D00D00D11DA·WEX03/05A·TRE06/05H·BRA10/05A·LON18/05H·UCD24/05H·COR31/05A·FIN03/06A·BRA13/06H·TRE28/06A·UCD04/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.570.360.561.38
vs Stronger (15)0.731.070.710.430.751.62
vs Similar (15)0.400.730.430.290.381.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Longford TownLongford Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W11D00D01L22D00D01L10W10WA·FIN10/05H·TRE13/05H·ATH18/05H·COB25/05A·TRE31/05A·WEX03/06A·COR07/06A·KER13/06H·FIN28/06A·BRA04/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.070.711.210.310.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.601.200.401.400.801.00
vs Weaker (20)0.451.000.891.110.090.91
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Athlone Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.574.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
AT wins
4
Draws
0
LT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Athlone Town vs Longford Town · H/A from AT
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/24ALongford Town Vs AT1-1
22/03/24HAT Vs Longford Town3-3
20/10/23HAT Vs Longford Town0-0
12/08/23ALongford Town Vs AT2-3
02/06/23HAT Vs Longford Town1-0
18/02/23ALongford Town Vs AT1-3
30/09/22HAT Vs Longford Town2-2
16/07/22ALongford Town Vs AT1-3

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/24AUCD Vs AT1-2
28/06/24HAT Vs Treaty United1-0
13/06/24ABray Wanderers Vs AT1-0
03/06/24AFinn Harps Vs AT1-1
31/05/24HAT Vs Cork City1-0
24/05/24HAT Vs UCD2-2
18/05/24ALongford Town Vs AT1-1
10/05/24HAT Vs Bray Wanderers2-1
06/05/24ATreaty United Vs AT0-1
03/05/24AWexford Vs AT2-2

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/24ABray Wanderers Vs LT0-1
28/06/24HLT Vs Finn Harps1-1
13/06/24AKerry Vs LT2-1
07/06/24ACork City Vs LT2-0
03/06/24AWexford Vs LT2-2
31/05/24ATreaty United Vs LT1-0
25/05/24HLT Vs Cobh Ramblers0-0
18/05/24HLT Vs Athlone Town1-1
13/05/24HLT Vs Treaty United2-1
10/05/24AFinn Harps Vs LT3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Athlone Town
Athlone Town
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.44
HomeWWDWW1.75
AwayWDDLW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%31%
AVG goals2.942.543.31
Over 1.5 %74%67%81%
Over 2.5 %58%46%69%
Over 3.5 %36%25%46%
Scored1.421.501.35
Conceded1.521.041.96
BTTS58%50%65%
Clean Sheet20%33%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Longford Town
Longford Town
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDW1.02
HomeWWDDD1.00
AwayLDLLW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%25%23%
AVG goals2.742.792.69
Over 1.5 %74%79%69%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored1.121.081.15
Conceded1.621.711.54
BTTS54%62%46%
Clean Sheet18%17%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cork CityCork City3678
61%
2.2
6423+41
2.4
67%
33%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
2Athlone TownAthlone Town3960
41%
1.5
5451+3
2.7
69%
54%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
3UCDUCD3859
39%
1.6
4839+9
2.3
71%
42%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
4WexfordWexford3857
39%
1.5
6157+4
3.1
87%
63%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
5Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3955
38%
1.4
5850+8
2.8
74%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
6Finn HarpsFinn Harps3646
33%
1.3
3943-4
2.3
69%
28%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
7Treaty UnitedTreaty United3644
31%
1.2
4143-2
2.3
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
8Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3644
33%
1.2
4156-15
2.7
83%
56%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
9Longford TownLongford Town3629
17%
0.8
4164-23
2.9
81%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
10KerryKerry3627
14%
0.8
3455-21
2.5
81%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Ireland: First Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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