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Athlone Town vs Longford Town Result & Analysis

Date: 21/04/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 1-1
Athlone Town
Athlone Town
Vs
53%
25%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Longford Town
Longford Town
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Athlone Town win✗ Miss
53.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Longford Town win✗ Miss
21.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L05L11D10W21W02L01L01L03L11DA·DUN14/02H·TRE21/02A·LON01/03A·WEX07/03H·UCD14/03A·COB21/03H·FIN28/03H·BRA04/04A·KER11/04H·WEX18/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.401.401.600.801.20
vs Stronger (18)1.331.002.001.120.800.90
vs Similar (12)0.752.000.712.140.801.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L11D05L32W12L20W11D13L01L04LH·BRA15/02H·ATH01/03A·COB07/03H·KER15/03A·DUN21/03H·TRE29/03A·FIN04/04A·WEX08/04H·UCD12/04A·BRA18/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.701.291.070.812.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.331.891.331.001.332.33
vs Weaker (21)0.901.621.271.090.502.20
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.1%
Under 2.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.7%
Under 3.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.1%
No
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
Athlone Town goals ↓
Longford Town goals →
01234
06.4%4.8%3.2%1.2%0.3%
18.7%12%5.9%2.2%0.6%
28.9%9.8%5.4%2.0%0.5%
35.4%6.0%3.3%1.2%0.3%
42.5%2.7%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Athlone Town goals (down), columns = Longford Town goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dundalk
2.19
Cobh Ramblers
1.89
Bray Wanderers
1.82
UCD
1.51
Treaty United
1.31
Wexford
1.26
Longford Town
1.25
Finn Harps
1.00
Kerry
1.00
Athlone Town
0.56
Athlone Town is 0.69 points worse than Longford Town in terms of average points per game (0.56 vs 1.25).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dundalk
2.06
Cobh Ramblers
1.87
Bray Wanderers
1.74
Treaty United
1.33
UCD
1.32
Wexford
1.20
Longford Town
1.19
Finn Harps
1.17
Kerry
1.11
Athlone Town
0.81
Athlone Town is 0.39 goals worse than Longford Town in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.19).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dundalk
0.86
Cobh Ramblers
1.03
UCD
1.19
Treaty United
1.28
Wexford
1.37
Bray Wanderers
1.41
Finn Harps
1.58
Kerry
1.61
Longford Town
1.64
Athlone Town
1.92
Athlone Town is 0.28 goals worse than Longford Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.92 vs 1.64).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L11D10W10W00D00D01L02L00DA·DUN14/02H·TRE21/02A·LON01/03A·WEX07/03H·UCD14/03A·COB21/03H·FIN28/03H·BRA04/04A·KER11/04H·WEX18/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.600.670.470.60
vs Stronger (18)0.670.330.880.250.500.40
vs Similar (12)0.331.080.291.140.401.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Longford TownLongford Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D03L12L11D00D10W01L00D02LH·BRA15/02H·ATH01/03A·COB07/03H·KER15/03A·DUN21/03H·TRE29/03A·FIN04/04A·WEX08/04H·UCD12/04A·BRA18/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.800.500.790.440.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.670.670.670.330.670.83
vs Weaker (21)0.380.860.450.910.300.80
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Athlone Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D00D11D02L01L00D01L11DA·DUN14/02H·TRE21/02A·LON01/03A·WEX07/03H·UCD14/03A·COB21/03H·FIN28/03H·BRA04/04A·KER11/04H·WEX18/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.800.930.330.60
vs Stronger (18)0.670.671.120.880.300.50
vs Similar (12)0.420.920.431.000.400.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Longford TownLongford Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L20W01L20W01L12L01L02LH·BRA15/02H·ATH01/03A·COB07/03H·KER15/03A·DUN21/03H·TRE29/03A·FIN04/04A·WEX08/04H·UCD12/04A·BRA18/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.790.290.381.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.671.220.670.670.671.50
vs Weaker (21)0.520.760.820.180.201.40
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Athlone Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (20)
€3m
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (3)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (6)
€1m
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (11)
€2m
CR (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AT wins
5
Draws
0
LT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Athlone Town vs Longford Town · H/A from AT
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/25ALongford Town Vs AT1-1
05/10/24ALongford Town Vs AT1-1
12/07/24HAT Vs Longford Town4-1
18/05/24ALongford Town Vs AT1-1
22/03/24HAT Vs Longford Town3-3
20/10/23HAT Vs Longford Town0-0
12/08/23ALongford Town Vs AT2-3
02/06/23HAT Vs Longford Town1-0

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/25HAT Vs Wexford1-1
11/04/25AKerry Vs AT3-0
04/04/25HAT Vs Bray Wanderers0-1
28/03/25HAT Vs Finn Harps0-1
21/03/25ACobh Ramblers Vs AT2-0
14/03/25HAT Vs UCD2-1
07/03/25AWexford Vs AT0-1
01/03/25ALongford Town Vs AT1-1
21/02/25HAT Vs Treaty United0-5
14/02/25ADundalk Vs AT1-0

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/25ABray Wanderers Vs LT4-0
12/04/25HLT Vs UCD0-1
08/04/25AWexford Vs LT3-1
04/04/25AFinn Harps Vs LT1-1
29/03/25HLT Vs Treaty United2-0
21/03/25ADundalk Vs LT2-1
15/03/25HLT Vs Kerry3-2
07/03/25ACobh Ramblers Vs LT5-0
01/03/25HLT Vs Athlone Town1-1
15/02/25HLT Vs Bray Wanderers0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Athlone Town
Athlone Town
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.36
HomeLWLLD1.71
AwayLDWLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%50%23%
AVG goals2.602.882.35
Over 1.5 %68%62%73%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %24%33%15%
Scored1.201.540.88
Conceded1.401.331.46
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Longford Town
Longford Town
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLL0.78
HomeLDWWL1.12
AwayLLDLL0.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%28%4%
AVG goals2.902.842.96
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %36%28%44%
Scored1.081.280.88
Conceded1.821.562.08
BTTS60%64%56%
Clean Sheet14%20%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DundalkDundalk3679
64%
2.2
7431+43
2.9
72%
53%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0122.10.9
-
2Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3872
58%
1.9
7139+32
2.9
82%
63%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.0
-
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3971
59%
1.8
6855+13
3.2
79%
67%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
-
4UCDUCD3756
43%
1.5
4944+5
2.5
68%
46%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
5Treaty UnitedTreaty United3951
36%
1.3
5250+2
2.6
72%
46%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
6Longford TownLongford Town3645
33%
1.2
4359-16
2.8
83%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
7WexfordWexford3544
34%
1.3
4248-6
2.6
71%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Finn HarpsFinn Harps3636
22%
1.0
4257-15
2.8
75%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
9KerryKerry3636
25%
1.0
4058-18
2.7
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10Athlone TownAthlone Town3620
8%
0.6
2969-40
2.7
75%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Ireland: First Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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