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Athlone Town vs UCD Result & Analysis

Date: 14/03/2025
Time: 19:45
Final 2-1
Athlone Town
Athlone Town
Vs
34%
28%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
UCD
UCD
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Athlone Town win✓ Hit
33.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
UCD win✗ Miss
38.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D41W02L10W00D22D01L05L11D10WA·LON05/10H·COR11/10A·KER18/10H·WEX24/10A·WEX28/10A·BRA02/11A·DUN14/02H·TRE21/02A·LON01/03A·WEX07/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.271.641.640.940.94
vs Stronger (18)1.390.942.001.120.900.80
vs Similar (12)1.081.751.172.331.001.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (UCD) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UCDUCD

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L02L11D22D22D02L10W11D11DH·COB20/09A·ATH23/09A·WEX27/09H·BRA04/10A·TRE11/10H·LON18/10A·BRA24/10H·BRA28/10H·COB28/02H·FIN07/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.071.251.001.291.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.121.121.001.001.251.25
vs Weaker (22)1.321.051.331.001.301.10
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.3%
Under 1.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.0%
Under 2.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.8%
Under 3.5
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.1%
No
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-1 ✓
8.0%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
Athlone Town goals ↓
UCD goals →
01234
07.6%7.9%6.5%3.1%1.1%
17.3%13%8.6%4.1%1.5%
25.6%8.0%5.7%2.7%1.0%
32.5%3.6%2.5%1.2%0.4%
40.8%1.2%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Athlone Town goals (down), columns = UCD goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dundalk
2.19
Cobh Ramblers
1.89
Bray Wanderers
1.82
UCD
1.51
Treaty United
1.31
Wexford
1.26
Longford Town
1.25
Finn Harps
1.00
Kerry
1.00
Athlone Town
0.56
Athlone Town is 0.96 points worse than UCD in terms of average points per game (0.56 vs 1.51).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dundalk
2.06
Cobh Ramblers
1.87
Bray Wanderers
1.74
Treaty United
1.33
UCD
1.32
Wexford
1.20
Longford Town
1.19
Finn Harps
1.17
Kerry
1.11
Athlone Town
0.81
Athlone Town is 0.52 goals worse than UCD in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.32).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dundalk
0.86
Cobh Ramblers
1.03
UCD
1.19
Treaty United
1.28
Wexford
1.37
Bray Wanderers
1.41
Finn Harps
1.58
Kerry
1.61
Longford Town
1.64
Athlone Town
1.92
Athlone Town is 0.73 goals worse than UCD in terms of goals conceded per game (1.92 vs 1.19).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D01L00D00D20W01L03L11D10WA·LON05/10H·COR11/10A·KER18/10H·WEX24/10A·WEX28/10A·BRA02/11A·DUN14/02H·TRE21/02A·LON01/03A·WEX07/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.860.710.440.44
vs Stronger (18)0.780.391.120.380.500.40
vs Similar (12)0.420.830.501.170.330.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (UCD) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UCDUCD

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W01L01L01L01L01L01L00D01L10WH·COB20/09A·ATH23/09A·WEX27/09H·BRA04/10A·TRE11/10H·LON18/10A·BRA24/10H·BRA28/10H·COB28/02H·FIN07/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.440.620.710.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.500.620.250.500.750.75
vs Weaker (22)0.590.680.500.670.700.70
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Athlone Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W01L10W00D02L00D02L00D00DA·LON05/10H·COR11/10A·KER18/10H·WEX24/10A·WEX28/10A·BRA02/11A·DUN14/02H·TRE21/02A·LON01/03A·WEX07/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.790.930.500.50
vs Stronger (18)0.610.560.880.750.400.40
vs Similar (12)0.670.920.671.170.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (UCD) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UCDUCD

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L10W21W21W01L10W10W01LH·COB20/09A·ATH23/09A·WEX27/09H·BRA04/10A·TRE11/10H·LON18/10A·BRA24/10H·BRA28/10H·COB28/02H·FIN07/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.400.810.380.570.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.620.500.750.500.500.50
vs Weaker (22)0.730.360.830.330.600.40
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Athlone Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.2%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

UCD · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danu Kinsella Bishop21%
Michael Gallagher17%
Mikey Raggett10%
Brendan Barr0%
Jack Keaney0%
Evan Osam0%
Dara Keane0%
Donal Higgins0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ciaran Behan0%
Sean Brennan0%
Adam Wells0%
Adam Verdon0%
Harvey O'Brien0%
Daniel Norris0%
Kian Moore0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Daniel Babb0%
Harry Curtis0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eanna Clancy57%
Adam Verdon43%
Harvey O'Brien29%
Jesse Dempsey25%
Jack Keaney23%
Sean Brennan23%
Adam Wells23%
Dara Keane18%
Kian Moore17%
Harry Curtis17%
Donal Higgins12%
Mikey Raggett10%
Brendan Barr9%
Danu Kinsella Bishop7%
Evan Osam0%
Michael Gallagher0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ciaran Behan0%
Daniel Norris0%
Daniel Babb0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Gallagher17%
Mikey Raggett10%
Ciaran Behan9%
Daniel Norris9%
Sean Brennan8%
Brendan Barr0%
Jack Keaney0%
Evan Osam0%
Dara Keane0%
Danu Kinsella Bishop0%
Donal Higgins0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Adam Wells0%
Adam Verdon0%
Harvey O'Brien0%
Kian Moore0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Daniel Babb0%
Harry Curtis0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Danu Kinsella Bishop21%
Brendan Barr0%
Jack Keaney0%
Evan Osam0%
Dara Keane0%
Michael Gallagher0%
Donal Higgins0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ciaran Behan0%
Sean Brennan0%
Adam Wells0%
Adam Verdon0%
Harvey O'Brien0%
Daniel Norris0%
Kian Moore0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Mikey Raggett0%
Daniel Babb0%
Harry Curtis0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (20)
€3m
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (3)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (6)
€1m
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (11)
€2m
CR (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
AT wins
1
Draws
1
UCD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Athlone Town vs UCD · H/A from AT
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/24HAT Vs UCD1-0
04/07/24AUCD Vs AT1-2
24/05/24HAT Vs UCD2-2
15/03/24AUCD Vs AT3-0

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/25AWexford Vs AT0-1
01/03/25ALongford Town Vs AT1-1
21/02/25HAT Vs Treaty United0-5
14/02/25ADundalk Vs AT1-0
02/11/24ABray Wanderers Vs AT2-2
28/10/24AWexford Vs AT0-0
24/10/24HAT Vs Wexford1-0
18/10/24AKerry Vs AT2-0
11/10/24HAT Vs Cork City4-1
05/10/24ALongford Town Vs AT1-1

UCDUCD

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/25HUCD Vs Finn Harps1-1
28/02/25HUCD Vs Cobh Ramblers1-1
28/10/24HUCD Vs Bray Wanderers1-0
24/10/24ABray Wanderers Vs UCD2-0
18/10/24HUCD Vs Longford Town2-2
11/10/24ATreaty United Vs UCD2-2
04/10/24HUCD Vs Bray Wanderers1-1
27/09/24AWexford Vs UCD2-0
23/09/24AAthlone Town Vs UCD1-0
20/09/24HUCD Vs Cobh Ramblers2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Athlone Town
Athlone Town
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDW1.32
HomeWLWWL1.70
AwayDDLDW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%48%22%
AVG goals2.742.832.67
Over 1.5 %68%61%74%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %30%35%26%
Scored1.201.520.93
Conceded1.541.301.74
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet24%35%15%
Corners---
Cards---
UCD
UCD
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDD1.24
HomeDDWDD1.07
AwayWLLDL1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%22%39%
AVG goals2.482.302.70
Over 1.5 %74%70%78%
Over 2.5 %44%37%52%
Over 3.5 %20%15%26%
Scored1.081.001.17
Conceded1.401.301.52
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet24%30%17%
Corners10.609.6712.00
Cards3.703.673.75

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DundalkDundalk3679
64%
2.2
7431+43
2.9
72%
53%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0122.10.9
-
2Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3872
58%
1.9
7139+32
2.9
82%
63%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.0
-
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3971
59%
1.8
6855+13
3.2
79%
67%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
-
4UCDUCD3756
43%
1.5
4944+5
2.5
68%
46%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
5Treaty UnitedTreaty United3951
36%
1.3
5250+2
2.6
72%
46%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
6Longford TownLongford Town3645
33%
1.2
4359-16
2.8
83%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
7WexfordWexford3544
34%
1.3
4248-6
2.6
71%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Finn HarpsFinn Harps3636
22%
1.0
4257-15
2.8
75%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
9KerryKerry3636
25%
1.0
4058-18
2.7
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10Athlone TownAthlone Town3620
8%
0.6
2969-40
2.7
75%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Ireland: First Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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