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Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Esperança d'Andorra Result & Analysis

Date: 12/11/2023
Time: 17:30
Final 3-1
Atlètic Club d
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Vs
76%
15%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win✓ Hit
75.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
15.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra win✗ Miss
8.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-803L01L14L11D01L10W01L12L81W11DH·BUD27/06H·PAR25/07A·PAR01/08H·PAS17/09A·FC 23/09H·ORD01/10A·INT08/10A·UE 22/10H·CAR29/10A·PEN04/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.972.401.071.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.931.500.802.001.001.22
vs Weaker (16)2.940.503.200.602.500.33
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D02L30W01L02L20W23L05L04L02LH·ATL06/05A·CAR14/05H·ENC20/05A·PEN17/09H·UE 24/09H·ATL01/10A·PAS07/10H·FC 22/10A·ORD28/10H·INT05/11← 2a Divisió1a Divisió →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.371.931.532.271.20
vs Stronger (12)1.921.501.621.622.501.25
vs Similar (15)2.530.872.670.832.440.89
vs Weaker (3)0.673.330.005.001.002.50
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.9%
Under 1.5
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.2%
Under 2.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.2%
Under 3.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.5%
No
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
9.7%
3-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
3-1 ✓
8.2%
1-1
7.0%
1-0
6.4%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
5.7%
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes goals ↓
Esperança d'Andorra goals →
01234
03.2%1.6%1.0%0.3%0.1%
16.4%7.0%2.9%0.9%0.2%
29.7%8.8%4.0%1.2%0.3%
39.0%8.2%3.7%1.1%0.3%
46.3%5.7%2.6%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atlètic Club d'Escaldes goals (down), columns = Esperança d'Andorra goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
UE Santa Coloma
2.44
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.33
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.22
FC Santa Coloma
2.19
Penya Encarnada
1.63
Ranger's
1.50
Ordino
1.33
Pas de la Casa
0.67
Carroi
0.55
Esperança d'Andorra
0.52
Atlètic Amèrica
0.41
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes is 1.70 points better than Esperança d'Andorra in terms of average points per game (2.22 vs 0.52).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.63
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.44
FC Santa Coloma
2.37
UE Santa Coloma
2.11
Penya Encarnada
1.67
Ordino
1.22
Esperança d'Andorra
1.00
Pas de la Casa
0.89
Atlètic Amèrica
0.81
Carroi
0.69
Ranger's
0.50
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes is 1.63 goals better than Esperança d'Andorra in terms of goals scored per game (2.63 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UE Santa Coloma
0.44
Ranger's
0.50
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0.59
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0.78
FC Santa Coloma
0.85
Ordino
1.07
Penya Encarnada
1.26
Pas de la Casa
1.70
Carroi
2.69
Esperança d'Andorra
3.00
Atlètic Amèrica
3.30
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes is 2.22 goals better than Esperança d'Andorra in terms of goals conceded per game (0.78 vs 3.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L00D02L00D01L00D01L01L50W10WH·BUD27/06H·PAR25/07A·PAR01/08H·PAS17/09A·FC 23/09H·ORD01/10A·INT08/10A·UE 22/10H·CAR29/10A·PEN04/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.401.060.380.570.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.200.670.500.670.000.67
vs Weaker (15)1.470.131.400.201.600.00
Clean sheet %70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D22D03L03L01LA·PEN17/09H·UE 24/09H·ATL01/10A·PAS07/10H·FC 22/10A·ORD28/10H·INT05/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.291.570.001.250.672.00
vs Stronger (4)0.001.250.001.25--
vs Similar (2)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %14% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L12L11D00D10W00D11D31W01LH·BUD27/06H·PAR25/07A·PAR01/08H·PAS17/09A·FC 23/09H·ORD01/10A·INT08/10A·UE 22/10H·CAR29/10A·PEN04/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.571.190.620.930.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.730.171.001.000.56
vs Weaker (15)1.470.401.800.400.800.40
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L20W01L02L01L01LA·PEN17/09H·UE 24/09H·ATL01/10A·PAS07/10H·FC 22/10A·ORD28/10H·INT05/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.290.860.501.000.000.67
vs Stronger (4)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %29% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.9%-------✓ Hit
Home win75.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.571.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
PDL (5)
€1m
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes's squad is €1m more valuable than Esperança d'Andorra's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes and Esperança d'Andorra have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes and Esperança d'Andorra have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
PDL (3)
€0m
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes and Esperança d'Andorra have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ACD wins
0
Draws
0
ED wins

Head-to-head

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Esperança d'Andorra · H/A from ACD
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/23APenya Encarnada Vs ACD1-1
29/10/23HACD Vs Carroi8-1
22/10/23AUE Santa Coloma Vs ACD2-1
08/10/23AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs ACD1-0
01/10/23HACD Vs Ordino1-0
23/09/23AFC Santa Coloma Vs ACD1-0
17/09/23HACD Vs Pas de la Casa1-1
01/08/23APartizani Vs ACD4-1
25/07/23HACD Vs Partizani0-1
27/06/23HACD Vs Buducnost Podgorica0-3

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/23HED Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-2
28/10/23AOrdino Vs ED4-0
22/10/23HED Vs FC Santa Coloma0-5
07/10/23APas de la Casa Vs ED3-2
01/10/23HED Vs Atlètic Amèrica2-0
24/09/23HED Vs UE Santa Coloma0-2
17/09/23APenya Encarnada Vs ED1-0
20/05/23HED Vs Encamp3-0
14/05/23ACarroi Vs ED2-0
06/05/23HED Vs Atlètic Amèrica1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Atlètic Club d
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD1.75
HomeLLDWW1.81
AwayLLLLD1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%52%47%
AVG goals2.883.142.58
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %50%52%47%
Over 3.5 %25%29%21%
Scored1.982.241.68
Conceded0.900.900.89
BTTS48%52%42%
Clean Sheet38%33%42%
Corners8.009.673.00
Cards6.507.005.00
Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.75
HomeWLWLL1.94
AwayLLLLL1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %53%62%44%
AVG goals3.343.443.25
Over 1.5 %88%94%81%
Over 2.5 %66%69%62%
Over 3.5 %44%44%44%
Scored2.031.942.12
Conceded1.311.501.12
BTTS41%44%38%
Clean Sheet34%31%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2766
74%
2.4
5712+45
2.6
78%
52%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.4
-
2Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2763
74%
2.3
6616+50
3.0
81%
52%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.40.6
-
3Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2760
70%
2.2
7121+50
3.4
81%
59%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.60.8
-
4FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2759
70%
2.2
6423+41
3.2
81%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2112.40.9
-
5Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2744
48%
1.6
4534+11
2.9
81%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.71.3
-
6OrdinoOrdino2736
37%
1.3
3329+4
2.3
74%
33%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
7Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa2718
11%
0.7
2446-22
2.6
74%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.7
-
8CarroiCarroi2916
14%
0.6
2078-58
3.4
86%
62%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.72.7
-
9Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2714
15%
0.5
2781-54
4.0
93%
70%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.03.0
-
10Atlètic AmèricaAtlètic Amèrica2711
11%
0.4
2289-67
4.1
85%
74%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.83.3
-
11RangerRanger's23
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.50.5
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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