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Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada Result & Analysis

Date: 17/05/2026
Time: 09:00
Final 2-0
Atlètic Club d
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Vs
58%
26%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Atlètic Club d'Escaldes a 58% win probability against Penya Encarnada in the Andorra: 1a Divisió on 2026-05-17, with 26% for the draw and 16% for Penya Encarnada. The model estimates around 2.6 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (26%) and 1-0 the most likely scoreline (12.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (74%), Over 1.5 (74%).

Results analysis

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes finished 2-0 against Penya Encarnada (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 58% home win, 26% draw and 16% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (74%), Over 1.5 (74%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win✓ Hit
58.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada win✗ Miss
16.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W23L02L03L21W00D00D13L30W13LA·CAR31/01H·FC 08/02H·RAN14/02A·FC 22/02H·ESP28/02A·UE 08/03H·ORD22/03A·RAN11/04H·CAR26/04A·INT10/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.201.800.931.331.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.931.931.171.670.782.11
vs Weaker (15)2.200.472.220.442.170.50
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W01L00D12L01L10W02L10W12LH·ESP01/02H·UE 07/02H·INT14/02H·CAR22/02A·INT01/03H·FC 21/03A·ESP13/04H·UE 18/04A·ORD26/04H·RAN10/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.601.131.800.871.40
vs Stronger (18)0.562.170.672.220.442.11
vs Similar (7)1.571.141.501.501.670.67
vs Weaker (5)1.800.202.500.501.330.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.4%
Under 2.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-0 ✓
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes goals ↓
Penya Encarnada goals →
01234
08.7%5.2%2.6%0.7%0.1%
112%12%4.6%1.3%0.3%
212%9.6%4.0%1.1%0.2%
36.8%5.6%2.3%0.6%0.1%
43.0%2.4%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atlètic Club d'Escaldes goals (down), columns = Penya Encarnada goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
UE Santa Coloma
2.16
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Pas de la Casa
0.50
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes is 0.42 points better than Penya Encarnada in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
UE Santa Coloma
1.92
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Pas de la Casa
0.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes is 0.50 goals better than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 0.79).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UE Santa Coloma
0.52
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Pas de la Casa
1.50
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes is 0.62 goals better than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D02L01L10W00D00D01L10W11DA·CAR31/01H·FC 08/02H·RAN14/02A·FC 22/02H·ESP28/02A·UE 08/03H·ORD22/03A·RAN11/04H·CAR26/04A·INT10/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.471.070.330.470.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.530.870.670.830.440.89
vs Weaker (15)1.000.071.330.000.500.17
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D01L00D00D00D10W01L00D01LH·ESP01/02H·UE 07/02H·INT14/02H·CAR22/02A·INT01/03H·FC 21/03A·ESP13/04H·UE 18/04A·ORD26/04H·RAN10/05
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.500.270.600.400.40
vs Stronger (18)0.220.720.220.780.220.67
vs Similar (7)0.430.290.250.500.670.00
vs Weaker (5)0.600.000.500.000.670.00
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (42)
€7m
USC (42)
€5m
PE (27)
€3m
ORD (45)
€3m
CAR (29)
€3m
ED (26)
€3m
SE (29)
€0m
PDL (36)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
ACD wins
2
Draws
0
PE wins

Head-to-head

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada · H/A from ACD
DateH/AGameScore
14/12/25HACD Vs Penya Encarnada2-0
01/11/25APenya Encarnada Vs ACD0-2
30/03/25HACD Vs Penya Encarnada1-0
15/12/24HACD Vs Penya Encarnada6-1
15/09/24APenya Encarnada Vs ACD0-0
07/04/24APenya Encarnada Vs ACD1-2
17/12/23HACD Vs Penya Encarnada3-0
04/11/23APenya Encarnada Vs ACD1-1

Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs ACD3-1
26/04/26HACD Vs Carroi3-0
11/04/26ARanger's Vs ACD3-1
22/03/26HACD Vs Ordino0-0
08/03/26AUE Santa Coloma Vs ACD0-0
28/02/26HACD Vs Esperança d'Andorra2-1
22/02/26AFC Santa Coloma Vs ACD3-0
14/02/26HACD Vs Ranger's0-2
08/02/26HACD Vs FC Santa Coloma2-3
31/01/26ACarroi Vs ACD1-4

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26HPE Vs Ranger's1-2
26/04/26AOrdino Vs PE0-1
18/04/26HPE Vs UE Santa Coloma0-2
13/04/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs PE0-1
21/03/26HPE Vs FC Santa Coloma0-1
01/03/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs PE2-1
22/02/26HPE Vs Carroi0-0
14/02/26HPE Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-1
07/02/26HPE Vs UE Santa Coloma2-1
01/02/26HPE Vs Esperança d'Andorra1-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Atlètic Club d
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWL1.68
HomeLLWDW2.08
AwayWLDLL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%64%32%
AVG goals2.902.882.92
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %58%60%56%
Over 3.5 %40%32%48%
Scored1.902.121.68
Conceded1.000.761.24
BTTS44%40%48%
Clean Sheet44%52%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.16
HomeLDLLL1.24
AwayDLLWW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%32%32%
AVG goals2.662.482.84
Over 1.5 %62%60%64%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.021.041.00
Conceded1.641.441.84
BTTS42%40%44%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2554
64%
2.2
4813+35
2.4
72%
52%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.90.5
-
2Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2454
71%
2.2
4724+23
3.0
83%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0002.01.0
-
3RangerRanger's2448
62%
2.0
4622+24
2.8
88%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
4FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2444
54%
1.8
4520+25
2.7
71%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.8
-
5Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2434
42%
1.4
3126+5
2.4
71%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2424
29%
1.0
1941-22
2.5
62%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.81.7
-
7OrdinoOrdino2422
25%
0.9
2742-15
2.9
75%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.8
-
8CarroiCarroi2518
16%
0.7
1555-40
2.8
76%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.62.2
-
9Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2617
15%
0.7
2048-28
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.81.8
-
10Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa21
0%
0.5
03-3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.5
-
11Sporting EscaldesSporting Escaldes20
0%
0.0
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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