This opponent (Felgueiras 1932) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Felgueiras 1932
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.10
1.71
0.79
1.12
1.38
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.40
1.50
1.25
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.44
1.04
1.80
0.60
1.20
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlético CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.5%
Under 1.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.2%
Under 2.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.8%
Under 3.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.3%
No
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
7.0%
2-0 ✓
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.5%
Atlético CP goals ↓
Felgueiras 1932 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
5.5%
4.5%
2.0%
0.7%
1
7.0%
12%
7.5%
3.4%
1.2%
2
6.7%
9.2%
6.2%
2.8%
1.0%
3
3.7%
5.1%
3.4%
1.6%
0.5%
4
1.6%
2.1%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atlético CP goals (down), columns = Felgueiras 1932 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benfica
2.71
Sporting CP
2.43
Rebordosa
2.40
Anadia
2.33
Santa Clara
2.33
Alverca
2.33
Amarante
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
SC Braga
2.25
GIL Vicente
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Leixoes
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Torreense
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Varzim
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Operário
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
Moreirense
2.00
Chaves
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
Farense
2.00
Cinfães
1.75
Brito
1.75
Lusitânia
1.75
Vila Real
1.75
O Elvas
1.60
FC Porto
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Amora
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
Arouca
1.50
Academica
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Sanjoanense
1.33
Caldas
1.33
Rio Ave
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Atlético Malveira
1.02
Vila Meã
1.02
Portalegrense
1.02
Florgrade
1.02
Correlhã
1.02
Vitória de Sernache
1.02
Nazarenos
1.02
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.02
Valenciano
1.02
Castro Daire
1.02
Rebordelo
1.02
Espinho
1.02
Uniao Nogueirense
1.02
Naval 1893
1.02
Portimonense B
1.02
AD Fornos Algodres
1.02
Resende
1.02
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.02
Silves
1.02
Vidago
1.02
Vila Caíz
1.02
Charneca Caparica
1.02
Oriental Lisboa
1.02
Angrense
1.02
Ançã
1.02
Sourense
1.02
Celoricense
1.02
AD Portomosense
1.02
Alcochetense
1.02
Fayal
1.02
Gouveia
1.02
Samora Correir
1.02
Estrela Calheta
1.02
Ribeira Brava
1.02
Aparecida GO
1.02
Mirandela
1.02
SC Celoricense
1.02
Almodôvar
1.02
Mosteirense
1.02
Águias do Moradal
1.02
Urzelinense
1.02
Celeirós
1.02
Quarteirense
1.02
AR São Martinho
1.02
Carregal
1.02
Juventude Évora
1.02
Pontassolense
1.02
Fazendense
1.02
AD Marco 09
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Leça
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Estoril
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Estrela
0.50
Trofense
0.00
Vizela
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Monção
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Portel
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Nacional
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Tondela
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Atlético CP is 2.00 points better than Felgueiras 1932 in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benfica
3.29
Amarante
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Comércio Indústria
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Arouca
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
Anadia
2.67
Alverca
2.67
Vilaverdense
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Sanjoanense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
Farense
2.33
Cinfães
2.25
Sporting CP
2.14
FC Porto
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Leça
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
AVS
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
Varzim
1.67
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
SC Braga
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Moreirense
1.33
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
Atlético Malveira
1.27
Vila Meã
1.27
Portalegrense
1.27
Florgrade
1.27
Correlhã
1.27
Vitória de Sernache
1.27
Nazarenos
1.27
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.27
Valenciano
1.27
Castro Daire
1.27
Rebordelo
1.27
Espinho
1.27
Uniao Nogueirense
1.27
Naval 1893
1.27
Portimonense B
1.27
AD Fornos Algodres
1.27
Resende
1.27
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.27
Silves
1.27
Vidago
1.27
Vila Caíz
1.27
Charneca Caparica
1.27
Oriental Lisboa
1.27
Angrense
1.27
Ançã
1.27
Sourense
1.27
Celoricense
1.27
AD Portomosense
1.27
Alcochetense
1.27
Fayal
1.27
Gouveia
1.27
Samora Correir
1.27
Estrela Calheta
1.27
Ribeira Brava
1.27
Aparecida GO
1.27
Mirandela
1.27
SC Celoricense
1.27
Almodôvar
1.27
Mosteirense
1.27
Águias do Moradal
1.27
Urzelinense
1.27
Celeirós
1.27
Quarteirense
1.27
AR São Martinho
1.27
Carregal
1.27
Juventude Évora
1.27
Pontassolense
1.27
Fazendense
1.27
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
GIL Vicente
1.25
O Elvas
1.20
Tirsense
1.14
Leixoes
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Monção
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Operário
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Tondela
1.00
Academica
1.00
Brito
0.75
Vila Real
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Amora
0.50
Estrela
0.50
Trofense
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Portel
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Estoril
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Atlético CP is 2.00 goals better than Felgueiras 1932 in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 0.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Fátima
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Operário
0.00
Estoril
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Benfica
0.29
Santa Clara
0.33
FC Serpa
0.50
Atlético CP
0.50
Brito
0.50
Alpendorada
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Academica
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
FC Porto
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Torreense
1.00
Machico
1.00
Anadia
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
Louletano
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Portel
1.00
Guimaraes
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Arouca
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
Chaves
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Sanjoanense
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Alverca
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Atlético Malveira
1.79
Vila Meã
1.79
Portalegrense
1.79
Florgrade
1.79
Correlhã
1.79
Vitória de Sernache
1.79
Nazarenos
1.79
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.79
Valenciano
1.79
Castro Daire
1.79
Rebordelo
1.79
Espinho
1.79
Uniao Nogueirense
1.79
Naval 1893
1.79
Portimonense B
1.79
AD Fornos Algodres
1.79
Resende
1.79
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.79
Silves
1.79
Vidago
1.79
Vila Caíz
1.79
Charneca Caparica
1.79
Oriental Lisboa
1.79
Angrense
1.79
Ançã
1.79
Sourense
1.79
Celoricense
1.79
AD Portomosense
1.79
Alcochetense
1.79
Fayal
1.79
Gouveia
1.79
Samora Correir
1.79
Estrela Calheta
1.79
Ribeira Brava
1.79
Aparecida GO
1.79
Mirandela
1.79
SC Celoricense
1.79
Almodôvar
1.79
Mosteirense
1.79
Águias do Moradal
1.79
Urzelinense
1.79
Celeirós
1.79
Quarteirense
1.79
AR São Martinho
1.79
Carregal
1.79
Juventude Évora
1.79
Pontassolense
1.79
Fazendense
1.79
Amarante
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Leça
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Monção
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Tondela
2.00
Farense
2.00
Vilaverdense
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Amora
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Trofense
3.00
Paredes
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Vizela
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Estrela
4.00
Valpaços
5.00
Atlético CP is 0.50 goals better than Felgueiras 1932 in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Atlético CP
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Felgueiras 1932
For 5.6 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.8 · Total 6.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.2 · Against 9.0 · Total 17.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Atlético CP
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
-
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
-
-
-
-
This opponent (Felgueiras 1932) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Felgueiras 1932
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
9.3
10.0
8.8
3.9
4.3
3.5
12.2
10.6
13.5
vs Stronger (7)
-
-
-
4.7
4.2
5.3
1.0
1.0
-
vs Similar (36)
9.3
10.0
8.8
3.8
4.4
3.2
12.8
11.8
13.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
29%
33%
25%
51%
57%
45%
35%
33%
36%
% under line
71%
67%
75%
49%
43%
55%
65%
67%
64%
This opponent (Atlético CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oliveirense
12.6
Torreense
12.2
Portimonense
11.5
Penafiel
11.4
Farense
10.8
Vilaverdense
10.8
União de Leiria
10.7
Feirense
10.6
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
Chaves
10.5
Nacional
10.4
Arouca
10.4
Famalicao
10.3
Rio Ave
10.2
Maritimo
10.0
Vizela
10.0
Tondela
10.0
Guimaraes
10.0
Estrela
9.7
Academico Viseu
9.7
Sporting CP
9.6
Benfica
9.6
Casa Pia
9.5
SC Braga
9.5
FC Porto
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Felgueiras 1932
9.3
Leixoes
9.2
Pacos Ferreira
9.0
GIL Vicente
8.9
AVS
8.8
Estoril
8.8
Mafra
8.5
Moreirense
8.3
Santa Clara
8.0
Alverca
7.8
Lusitânia Lourosa
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
Santa Clara
6.3
Felgueiras 1932
6.2
Pacos Ferreira
6.0
FC Porto
5.9
Casa Pia
5.8
Famalicao
5.7
Oliveirense
5.6
Arouca
5.6
Maritimo
5.6
Farense
5.5
Leixoes
5.5
Chaves
5.5
Vizela
5.5
Torreense
5.5
Guimaraes
5.5
AVS
5.5
União de Leiria
5.4
Sporting CP
5.4
SC Covilha
5.4
Portimonense
5.3
Benfica
5.3
Moreirense
5.2
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.2
Estrela
5.2
Tondela
5.1
Penafiel
5.1
Rio Ave
5.0
Feirense
4.9
Nacional
4.9
Alverca
4.9
Vilaverdense
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.8
SC Braga
4.7
Academico Viseu
4.7
Estoril
4.6
CF Os Belenenses
4.5
Mafra
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Lusitânia Lourosa
31.5
Famalicao
31.0
Estrela
30.2
Santa Clara
30.0
Moreirense
29.6
Vilaverdense
28.5
Estoril
28.5
Guimaraes
28.3
SC Covilha
28.2
Farense
28.1
Rio Ave
28.0
Arouca
27.7
Nacional
27.6
GIL Vicente
27.6
Casa Pia
27.5
AVS
27.4
Sporting CP
26.2
FC Porto
25.6
SC Braga
25.4
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Benfica
24.4
Leixoes
20.5
Tondela
20.5
Pacos Ferreira
18.0
Oliveirense
17.6
Portimonense
17.6
Vizela
17.4
Academico Viseu
16.8
União de Leiria
16.7
Feirense
16.7
Maritimo
15.4
Chaves
15.2
Mafra
14.9
Penafiel
14.5
Alverca
14.3
Torreense
13.9
Felgueiras 1932
12.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.1%
Under 9.5
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.1%
Under 3.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.8%
Under 21.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Atlético CP or Draw✓ Hit
69.7%
Avg Implied -
44%
26%
30%
covers Atlético CP + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Atlético CP or Felgueiras 1932✓ Hit
73.9%
Avg Implied -
44%
26%
30%
covers Atlético CP + Felgueiras 1932
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Felgueiras 1932✗ Miss
56.4%
Avg Implied -
44%
26%
30%
covers Draw + Felgueiras 1932
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Atlético CP over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.0%
Under
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlético CP over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.5%
Under
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlético CP over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.3%
Under
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlético CP over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.8%
Under
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
74.3%
Under
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.4%
Under
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.7%
Under
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Atlético CP, so a minus line means Atlético CP give that many goals of a start and Felgueiras 1932 receive them. At -1, Atlético CP must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Atlético CP win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Atlético CP)Actual: Draw
Atlético CP -2
9.8%
Draw -2
13.5%
Felgueiras 1932 +2
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Atlético CP)Actual: Atlético CP
Atlético CP -1
23.3%
Draw -1
20.3%
Felgueiras 1932 +1
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Atlético CP)Actual: Atlético CP
Atlético CP +1
69.7%
Draw +1
16.4%
Felgueiras 1932 -1
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Atlético CP)Actual: Atlético CP
Atlético CP +2
86.1%
Draw +2
9.0%
Felgueiras 1932 -2
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Atlético CP
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Felgueiras 1932) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Felgueiras 1932
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.64
0.43
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.80
0.75
0.75
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.40
0.60
0.30
0.60
0.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlético CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atlético CP over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlético CP over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlético CP over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Atlético CP
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.00
1.33
0.00
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
100% (+69pp vs league)
This opponent (Felgueiras 1932) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Felgueiras 1932
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
1.07
0.36
0.56
0.88
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
0.75
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.84
0.64
1.20
0.30
0.60
0.87
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlético CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atlético CP over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlético CP over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlético CP over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Felgueiras 1932
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mario Rivas44%
Pedro Rosas20%
Lucas Duarte11%
Gabi Pereira11%
Mateus Pasinato0%
Feliz Vaz0%
Diogo Casimiro0%
Landinho0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Filipe Cruz0%
Mathys Jean-Marie0%
Vasco Moreira0%
Eirô0%
Tiago Leite0%
João Reis Pinto0%
Felipe Scheibig0%
Berna0%
Dário0%
Tiago Parente0%
Afonso Silva0%
Beni Jetour0%
Michel Costa0%
Henrique Martins0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Filipe Cruz25%
Landinho20%
Vasco Moreira20%
Pedro Rosas20%
Léo Teixeira17%
Michel Costa17%
Henrique Martins17%
Dário14%
Lucas Duarte11%
Mateus Pasinato0%
Feliz Vaz0%
Diogo Casimiro0%
Mario Rivas0%
Mathys Jean-Marie0%
Gabi Pereira0%
Eirô0%
Tiago Leite0%
João Reis Pinto0%
Felipe Scheibig0%
Berna0%
Tiago Parente0%
Afonso Silva0%
Beni Jetour0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Feliz Vaz25%
Vasco Moreira20%
Pedro Rosas20%
Mateus Pasinato0%
Diogo Casimiro0%
Landinho0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Mario Rivas0%
Filipe Cruz0%
Lucas Duarte0%
Mathys Jean-Marie0%
Gabi Pereira0%
Eirô0%
Tiago Leite0%
João Reis Pinto0%
Felipe Scheibig0%
Berna0%
Dário0%
Tiago Parente0%
Afonso Silva0%
Beni Jetour0%
Michel Costa0%
Henrique Martins0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tiago Leite25%
Mario Rivas22%
Lucas Duarte22%
Vasco Moreira20%
Gabi Pereira11%
Mateus Pasinato0%
Feliz Vaz0%
Diogo Casimiro0%
Landinho0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Filipe Cruz0%
Mathys Jean-Marie0%
Eirô0%
João Reis Pinto0%
Felipe Scheibig0%
Berna0%
Pedro Rosas0%
Dário0%
Tiago Parente0%
Afonso Silva0%
Beni Jetour0%
Michel Costa0%
Henrique Martins0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →