Atletico Madrid, coming off a 1-5 defeat to Villarreal, will look to bounce back against Malaga at home. The model rates them highly, particularly given their opponent's struggles on the road, where they concede an average of 2 goals per match against stronger opponents. This weakness should play into Atletico Madrid's hands, as they have a strong record at home, scoring an average of 2 goals per match and conceding just 0.9.
The model predicts a 70% chance of a home win, with a 19% draw probability and 12% chance of an away win. The most likely match result is a home win, with an expected total of 3.3 goals and a most likely score of 2-0, occurring 10.4% of the time. Atletico Madrid's home scoring and conceding stats should give them an edge. The model's selection is the home win, with a 70% probability.
The model also selects Over 1.5 goals, with an 85.3% probability. This selection is likely driven by Atletico Madrid's high-scoring record at home and Malaga's tendency to concede on the road. The home win percentage is 70%, the draw percentage is 19%, and the away win percentage is 12%.
Results analysis
The win extends Atletico Madridâs recent run, as they came off a draw at Villarreal and now secure a 2-0 victory over Malaga. The modelâs favourite, Home win, was correct, with a 69 % probability. The final score of 2-0 matched the actual result, confirming the predicted outcome. Every suggested pick hit: Away under 3.5 goals at 98.5 %, Home +2 handicap at 95.9 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 93.3 %, Home over 0.5 goals at 90.8 %, Home or Draw at 87.9 %, Home +1 handicap at 87.9 %, Over 1.5 at 85.0 %, and Over 2.5 cards at 82.3 %. The modelâs selections performed strongly, delivering a clean sweep of accurate predictions.
Advertisement
đŻ 1. Model Analysis
Atletico Madrid winâ Hit
68.9%
Avg Implied 71.2% · @ 1.34
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Dafabet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Drawâ Miss
19.0%
Avg Implied 18.2% · @ 5.22
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Dafabet
5.40
1xBet
5.39
Malaga winâ Miss
12.1%
Avg Implied 10.6% · @ 8.95
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
9.85
Marathonbet
9.70
BetVictor
9.50
Bet365
9.50
Unibet
9.50
✠2. Goal Analysis
Atletico Madrid
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.57
2.07
1.33
1.53
1.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
2.08
1.75
2.67
1.33
1.50
2.17
vs Weaker (18)
1.61
1.44
1.67
1.33
1.56
1.56
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Malaga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Malaga
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.10
1.80
1.07
2.13
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.97
1.10
1.80
1.07
2.13
1.13
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.0%
@ 1.19+5.6%
Under 1.5
15.0%
@ 4.58-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Under
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
4.80
888Sport
4.80
Superbet
4.70
1xBet
4.65
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.2%
@ 1.61+5.2%
Under 2.5
35.8%
@ 2.32-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.67
Unibet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Under
SBO
2.42
1xBet
2.40
888Sport
2.38
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.37
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.1%
@ 2.52+4.6%
Under 3.5
57.9%
@ 1.51-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.60
10Bet
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.55
888Sport
1.53
Superbet
1.53
BetVictor
1.51
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.5%
@ 1.92+6.9%
No
44.5%
@ 1.82-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.92
No
888Sport
1.91
Superbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.82
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 â
10.4%@ 6.43+3.3%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.90+3.8%
1-1
8.9%@ 9.13+3.9%
3-0
8.3%@ 8.34+2.8%
1-0
7.9%@ 7.00+1.4%
3-1
7.6%@ 10.36+3.2%
4-0
4.9%@ 13.56+1.5%
4-1
4.5%@ 16.65+1.8%
Atletico Madrid goals ↓
Malaga goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
2.6%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
1
7.9%
8.9%
3.7%
1.1%
0.3%
2
10%
9.6%
4.4%
1.4%
0.3%
3
8.3%
7.6%
3.5%
1.1%
0.3%
4
4.9%
4.5%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atletico Madrid goals (down), columns = Malaga goals (across).
Advertisement
đȘ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
đ Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.47
Real Madrid
2.26
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.82
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.42
Getafe
1.34
Rayo Vallecano
1.32
Valencia
1.29
Real Sociedad
1.21
Espanyol
1.21
Athletic Club
1.18
Sevilla
1.13
Elche
1.13
Alaves
1.13
Levante
1.11
Osasuna
1.11
Malaga
1.10
Racing Santander
1.10
Deportivo La Coruna
1.08
Atletico Madrid is 0.71 points better than Malaga in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 1.10).
âïž Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.50
Real Madrid
2.03
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.63
Real Sociedad
1.55
Real Betis
1.55
Celta Vigo
1.39
Elche
1.29
Levante
1.24
Sevilla
1.21
Valencia
1.21
Osasuna
1.16
Alaves
1.16
Athletic Club
1.13
Espanyol
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Malaga
1.08
Racing Santander
1.08
Deportivo La Coruna
1.06
Getafe
0.84
Atletico Madrid is 0.55 goals better than Malaga in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.08).
đĄïž Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.92
Barcelona
0.95
Getafe
1.00
Atletico Madrid
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.16
Villarreal
1.21
Real Betis
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.26
Osasuna
1.32
Valencia
1.45
Espanyol
1.45
Alaves
1.47
Elche
1.50
Athletic Club
1.53
Sevilla
1.58
Levante
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.61
Malaga
1.69
Racing Santander
1.69
Deportivo La Coruna
1.72
Atletico Madrid is 0.53 goals better than Malaga in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.69).
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Atletico Madrid or Drawâ Hit
87.9%
Avg Implied 88.6% · @ 1.07
Edge
-0.6%
69%
19%
12%
covers Atletico Madrid + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.09
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
Atletico Madrid or Malagaâ Hit
81.0%
Avg Implied 82.0% · @ 1.16
Edge
-1.0%
69%
19%
12%
covers Atletico Madrid + Malaga
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Draw or Malagaâ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied 29.4% · @ 3.22
Edge
+1.7%
69%
19%
12%
covers Draw + Malaga
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.38
1xBet
3.36
Unibet
3.35
Betano
3.35
10Bet
3.30
Advertisement
đ„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.8%
@ 1.06+2.8%
Under
9.2%
@ 7.74-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Unibet
1.06
Under
Bet365
9.00
888Sport
8.00
1xBet
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.40
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
68.7%
@ 1.41+2.3%
Under
31.3%
@ 2.78-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.92
BetVictor
2.88
Marathonbet
2.85
1xBet
2.80
Superbet
2.77
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
42.5%
@ 2.27+1.3%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.59-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
1xBet
2.33
888Sport
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Under
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
BetVictor
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Atletico Madrid over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
21.7%
@ 4.36+0.3%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.19-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
Pinnacle
4.52
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.40
888Sport
4.33
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Malaga over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
60.3%
@ 1.76+7.4%
Under
39.7%
@ 1.98-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
Unibet
1.82
1xBet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Under
888Sport
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Malaga over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.6%
@ 4.80+4.2%
Under
76.4%
@ 1.16-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.35
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Betfair
4.80
Under
1xBet
1.18
Betano
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Malaga over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.7%
@ 14.50+0.1%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.02-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
17.00
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.00
Under
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Malaga over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 38.67-1.1%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Superbet
50.00
Betano
15.00
Under
Betano
1.01
âïž 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Atletico Madrid, so a minus line means Atletico Madrid give that many goals of a start and Malaga receive them. At -1, Atletico Madrid must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Atletico Madrid win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Atletico Madrid)Actual: Draw
Atletico Madrid -2
26.6%
@ 3.32-0.7%
Draw -2
20.5%
@ 4.04-2.0%
Malaga +2
52.9%
@ 1.80+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.22
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Superbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Away
Marathonbet
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Unibet
1.84
10Bet
1.80
Betfair
1.73
Handicap -1 (Atletico Madrid)Actual: Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid -1
47.1%
@ 1.91-0.2%
Draw -1
21.8%
@ 3.63-3.1%
Malaga +1
31.1%
@ 3.25+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Draw
Superbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Away
Marathonbet
3.38
Unibet
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Handicap +1 (Atletico Madrid)Actual: Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid +1
87.9%
@ 1.05+1.3%
Draw +1
8.0%
@ 10.12-1.1%
Malaga -1
4.1%
@ 21.00-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Draw
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
10.00
10Bet
8.50
Away
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
21.00
10Bet
21.00
Unibet
19.00
Handicap +2 (Atletico Madrid)Actual: Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid +2
95.9%
@ 1.01+0.9%
Draw +2
3.1%
@ 26.00-0.6%
Malaga -2
1.0%
@ 76.00-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
Draw
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
26.00
Away
Betfair
101.00
Bet365
51.00
â±ïž 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Atletico Madrid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.90
1.13
0.87
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.25
0.83
1.83
1.00
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (18)
0.78
0.94
0.67
0.78
0.89
1.11
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Malaga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Malaga
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.40
0.80
0.47
0.80
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.80
0.40
0.80
0.47
0.80
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
đ„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
â±ïž 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Atletico Madrid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
0.93
0.47
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.92
0.83
0.33
0.83
1.50
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.56
0.67
0.44
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Malaga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Malaga
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.70
1.00
0.60
1.33
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.17
0.70
1.00
0.60
1.33
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
đ„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
đ„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.1%
â Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-
+0.9%
â Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.3%
1.02
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-0.1%
â Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
90.8%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Unibet
1.06
+2.8%
â Hit
Home or Draw
87.9%
1.07
Superbet
1.09
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
-0.6%
â Hit
Home +1 handicap
87.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
10Bet
1.05
-
+1.3%
â Hit
Over 1.5
85.0%
1.19
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+5.6%
â Hit
Home or Away
81.0%
1.16
1xBet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
888Sport
1.18
-1.0%
â Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
78.3%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
-0.3%
â Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
76.4%
1.16
1xBet
1.18
Betano
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
-4.2%
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
đœ 13. Player market rates
Atletico Madrid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alex Baena67%
Kang-in Lee33%
Ademola Lookman33%
Giuliano Simeone33%
Jan Oblak0%
Koke0%
Marcos Llorente0%
Morten Hjulmand0%
DĂĄvid Hancko0%
Pablo Barrios0%
Rodrigo Mendoza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcos Llorente33%
Morten Hjulmand33%
DĂĄvid Hancko33%
Alex Baena33%
Jan Oblak0%
Koke0%
Kang-in Lee0%
Ademola Lookman0%
Giuliano Simeone0%
Pablo Barrios0%
Rodrigo Mendoza0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcos Llorente33%
Kang-in Lee33%
DĂĄvid Hancko33%
Alex Baena33%
Giuliano Simeone33%
Pablo Barrios33%
Jan Oblak0%
Koke0%
Morten Hjulmand0%
Ademola Lookman0%
Rodrigo Mendoza0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kang-in Lee33%
Alex Baena33%
Jan Oblak0%
Koke0%
Marcos Llorente0%
Morten Hjulmand0%
Ademola Lookman0%
DĂĄvid Hancko0%
Giuliano Simeone0%
Pablo Barrios0%
Rodrigo Mendoza0%
Malaga
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chupete33%
JoaquĂn Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
RamĂłn EnrĂquez0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Carlos Puga0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Larrubia0%
Ăngel Recio0%
Rafa Rodriguez0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
RamĂłn EnrĂquez67%
Carlos Puga33%
Juan Cruz33%
David Larrubia33%
Chupete33%
JoaquĂn Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Ăngel Recio0%
Rafa Rodriguez0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
JoaquĂn Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
RamĂłn EnrĂquez0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Carlos Puga0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Larrubia0%
Ăngel Recio0%
Rafa Rodriguez0%
Chupete0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafa Rodriguez33%
Chupete33%
JoaquĂn Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
RamĂłn EnrĂquez0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Carlos Puga0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Larrubia0%
Ăngel Recio0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
đ° 14. Squad value
đ° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (27)
€41m
Atletico Madrid's squad is €612m more valuable than Malaga's (€653m vs €41m).
âïž Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
Atletico Madrid's attack is €265m more valuable than Malaga's (€290m vs €26m).
đ§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GET (6)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
Atletico Madrid's midfield is €149m more valuable than Malaga's (€155m vs €6m).
đĄïž Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GET (13)
€26m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (11)
€9m
Atletico Madrid's defence is €198m more valuable than Malaga's (€208m vs €9m).
Spain: La Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Alaves
Osasuna
Sevilla
Real Betis
Deportivo La Coruna
Levante
Racing Santander
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Getafe
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Elche