This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
0.73
2.00
0.67
1.47
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.00
1.10
0.60
0.60
1.40
1.60
vs Weaker (20)
2.10
0.55
2.70
0.70
1.50
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.0%
Under 1.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.1%
@ 2.42+1.4%
Under 2.5
59.9%
@ 1.53-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.9%
Under 3.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.3%
No
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.5%
0-0
11.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
1-0 ✓
8.2%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.4%
Atromitos goals ↓
AEK Athens FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
12%
9.3%
4.2%
1.4%
1
8.2%
14%
8.7%
3.9%
1.3%
2
4.4%
6.0%
4.1%
1.8%
0.6%
3
1.4%
1.9%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atromitos goals (down), columns = AEK Athens FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.50
PAOK
1.78
Aris Thessalonikis
1.69
AEK Athens FC
1.67
Panathinaikos
1.47
Asteras Tripolis
1.42
Volos NFC
1.30
Atromitos
1.12
Lamia
1.06
PAS Giannina
1.06
Apollon
1.03
OFI Crete
0.97
Panetolikos
0.85
Larisa
0.82
Atromitos is 0.55 points worse than AEK Athens FC in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.28
PAOK
1.67
AEK Athens FC
1.47
Aris Thessalonikis
1.14
Panathinaikos
1.14
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.00
OFI Crete
0.91
Atromitos
0.91
Apollon
0.88
PAS Giannina
0.82
Larisa
0.76
Lamia
0.64
Panetolikos
0.61
Atromitos is 0.56 goals worse than AEK Athens FC in terms of goals scored per game (0.91 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.53
Aris Thessalonikis
0.72
PAOK
0.94
Panathinaikos
0.94
Asteras Tripolis
1.06
PAS Giannina
1.09
Volos NFC
1.12
Apollon
1.21
Atromitos
1.21
AEK Athens FC
1.25
Lamia
1.27
Panetolikos
1.33
OFI Crete
1.42
Larisa
1.42
Atromitos is 0.04 goals better than AEK Athens FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Atromitos
For 4.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 18.5 · Total 33.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEK Athens FC
For 5.1 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.4 · Against 15.1 · Total 33.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Atromitos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.6
9.2
5.5
5.3
5.7
32.7
32.8
32.6
vs Stronger (16)
9.2
8.7
9.7
5.3
5.7
5.0
31.4
33.6
29.5
vs Similar (28)
9.0
9.0
9.0
5.8
5.4
6.1
33.2
32.2
34.2
vs Weaker (6)
7.8
6.7
9.0
4.8
3.7
6.0
34.0
34.5
33.0
% over line
40%
33%
46%
72%
62%
81%
94%
94%
94%
% under line
60%
67%
54%
28%
38%
19%
6%
6%
6%
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.1
8.7
5.2
4.9
5.5
34.4
32.4
36.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
9.1
8.2
10.1
4.5
4.8
4.3
35.4
34.7
36.2
vs Weaker (35)
8.8
9.5
8.1
5.5
5.0
6.0
33.9
31.4
36.4
% over line
42%
48%
36%
76%
72%
80%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
58%
52%
64%
24%
28%
20%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Volos NFC
9.2
PAOK
9.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
9.0
Atromitos
8.9
AEK Athens FC
8.9
Apollon
8.9
Aris Thessalonikis
8.9
Larisa
8.8
Lamia
8.3
PAS Giannina
8.3
Asteras Tripolis
8.2
Panetolikos
8.2
OFI Crete
8.2
Panathinaikos
7.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
OFI Crete
6.4
Larisa
6.1
Asteras Tripolis
5.9
Volos NFC
5.9
Panathinaikos
5.8
Lamia
5.5
Atromitos
5.5
PAS Giannina
5.5
Aris Thessalonikis
5.5
Apollon
5.4
Panetolikos
5.3
AEK Athens FC
5.2
PAOK
5.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
PAS Giannina
44.0
Larisa
35.0
AEK Athens FC
34.4
OFI Crete
34.3
PAOK
33.9
Lamia
33.7
Panetolikos
33.5
Aris Thessalonikis
32.9
Atromitos
32.7
Panathinaikos
32.1
Asteras Tripolis
31.7
Volos NFC
31.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
30.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.0%
Under 9.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
82.0%
Under 3.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
99.2%
Under 21.5
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Atromitos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.37
0.60
0.33
0.53
0.40
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.60
0.25
0.50
0.17
0.67
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.22
0.78
0.22
0.78
0.22
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.30
0.80
0.27
0.67
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.50
0.20
0.40
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (20)
0.80
0.20
1.10
0.20
0.50
0.20
Clean sheet %
77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atromitos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Atromitos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.60
0.53
0.47
1.27
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.40
0.25
0.75
0.83
1.83
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.67
0.78
0.44
0.22
0.89
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.43
1.20
0.40
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.30
0.35
1.60
0.50
1.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atromitos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Atromitos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Steven Zuber22%
Makana Baku20%
Denzel Jubitana16%
Ognjen Ožegović14%
Stavros Pnevmonidis14%
Sotiris Tsiloulis12%
Mansur12%
Brayan Palmezano11%
Gerasimos Mitoglou11%
Samuel Moutoussamy11%
Panagiotis Tsantilas10%
Georgios Tzovaras10%
Dimitrios Tsakmakis7%
Peter Michorl6%
Dimitrios Stavropoulos6%
Tom van Weert5%
Athanasios Karamanis5%
Theocharis Tsingaras3%
Lefteris Choutesiotis0%
Jere Uronen0%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Quini0%
Aitor García0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Spyros Abartzidis0%
Mattheos Mountes0%
Ehije Ukaki0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dimitrios Tsakmakis47%
Luka Gugeshashvili33%
Ognjen Ožegović29%
Athanasios Karamanis29%
Peter Michorl28%
Quini28%
Theocharis Tsingaras25%
Georgios Papadopoulos25%
Spyros Abartzidis25%
Dimitrios Stavropoulos21%
Mattheos Mountes19%
Aitor García18%
Samuel Moutoussamy18%
Steven Zuber17%
Mansur15%
Lefteris Choutesiotis13%
Brayan Palmezano11%
Gerasimos Mitoglou11%
Jere Uronen10%
Stavros Pnevmonidis7%
Panagiotis Tsantilas7%
Denzel Jubitana6%
Ehije Ukaki6%
Makana Baku6%
Tom van Weert5%
Georgios Tzovaras5%
Sotiris Tsiloulis0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Peter Michorl22%
Aitor García18%
Makana Baku14%
Stavros Pnevmonidis14%
Sotiris Tsiloulis12%
Ehije Ukaki12%
Jere Uronen10%
Athanasios Karamanis10%
Theocharis Tsingaras9%
Ognjen Ožegović7%
Denzel Jubitana6%
Tom van Weert5%
Georgios Tzovaras5%
Mattheos Mountes4%
Lefteris Choutesiotis0%
Steven Zuber0%
Mansur0%
Brayan Palmezano0%
Samuel Moutoussamy0%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Dimitrios Stavropoulos0%
Dimitrios Tsakmakis0%
Quini0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Spyros Abartzidis0%
Panagiotis Tsantilas0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Steven Zuber28%
Makana Baku17%
Denzel Jubitana13%
Ognjen Ožegović7%
Georgios Tzovaras5%
Panagiotis Tsantilas3%
Lefteris Choutesiotis0%
Jere Uronen0%
Theocharis Tsingaras0%
Peter Michorl0%
Mansur0%
Brayan Palmezano0%
Tom van Weert0%
Samuel Moutoussamy0%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Dimitrios Stavropoulos0%
Sotiris Tsiloulis0%
Dimitrios Tsakmakis0%
Quini0%
Aitor García0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Spyros Abartzidis0%
Athanasios Karamanis0%
Mattheos Mountes0%
Stavros Pnevmonidis0%
Ehije Ukaki0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
AEK Athens FC · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Barnabás Varga67%
Luka Jović33%
Răzvan Marin33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Zini0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Răzvan Marin33%
Aboubakary Koita33%
Stavros Pilios33%
Lazaros Rota33%
Zini33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Luka Jović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lovro Majer33%
Răzvan Marin33%
Lazaros Rota33%
Filipe Relvas33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Luka Jović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Zini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Răzvan Marin67%
Luka Jović33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Zini0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
VN (25)
€10m
LAR (23)
€5m
PG (36)
€4m
Atromitos's squad is €73m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€12m vs €85m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
AT (11)
€5m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
LAR (7)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
Atromitos's attack is €40m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€3m vs €44m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
LAR (3)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
Atromitos's midfield is €13m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€2m vs €16m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
PAN (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
Atromitos's defence is €20m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€6m vs €26m).
Greece: Super League 1 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
Asteras Tripolis
Volos NFC
PAS Giannina
Lamia
Panetolikos
Larisa