Atromitos vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Atromitos will look to hold a tight, low-scoring game at home, but the model’s numbers point to a PAOK win. The odds for a home victory sit at 21%, a draw at 32%, and an away win at 47%, making the away win the favoured result. The expected total goals is 2.0, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-1 for PAOK, with a 15.7% chance. Atromitos averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded against stronger opposition, while PAOK, playing away against a weaker side, averages 2.08 scored and only 0.67 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards (92%), Under 11.5 corners (89.1%), Under 3.5 goals (85.9%), Under 10.5 corners (82.0%), Over 3.5 cards (81.4%), and Under 9.5 corners (72.1%). The home side’s win probability is 21%, the draw 32%, and the away side’s win 47%. The match is set to be a defensive affair with PAOK likely to edge out a narrow victory.

The upset came early as the pre-match favourite, PAOK, failed to secure the win they were tipped for, with the match ending in a 1-1 draw. The model had picked an away win with a 47% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 1-1 matched the model’s most likely outcome, though the probability of that score was only 15.7%. The model’s other selections all hit: Over 2.5 cards (92%), Under 11.5 corners (89.1%), Under 3.5 (85.9%), Under 10.5 corners (82%), Over 3.5 cards (81.4%) and Under 9.5 corners (72.1%). Atromitos, coming off a win, and PAOK, coming off a draw, both saw their recent form reflected in the tightly contested result.