Atromitos vs PAOK Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with a 54% chance for PAOK, a 28% chance for a draw and 18% for Atromitos. The expected total goals sit at 2.3, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-1, a 14.1% probability. Atromitos, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.75 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while PAOK on the road against a weaker side averages 1.55 scored and 0.73 conceded. The suggested selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 99.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 99.8%, Over 23.5 fouls at 99.3%, Over 25.5 fouls at 98.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 93.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 86.2%, Over 3.5 cards at 84.5% and Under 3.5 at 79.9%. The match’s recent form shows both sides coming off defeats, with Atromitos last losing 0-1 to Olympiakos Piraeus and PAOK losing 2-3 to Brann.

The upset came early as the pre-match favourite, PAOK, failed to deliver. The model had tipped an away win with a 54% probability, but the final score was 3-2 in favour of Atromitos, so the model’s call was wrong. The match ended in a home win, extending Atromitos’ recent form after a defeat. The model’s selection of “Over 19.5 fouls” hit at 99.9%, “Over 21.5 fouls” at 99.8%, “Over 23.5 fouls” at 99.3%, “Over 25.5 fouls” at 98.1%, “Over 2.5 cards” at 93.6%, “Under 11.5 corners” at 86.2%, and “Over 3.5 cards” at 84.5% all proved correct, while “Under 3.5” at 79.9% missed. The game’s total goals matched the most likely 2-goal outcome, yet the actual tally of five goals underscored the match’s unpredictability.