Atyrau face FC Astana on home turf, but the model favours an away win, reflecting Astana’s stronger away form and the 58% chance of victory. The expected total goals sit at 2.4, with the most likely total being two goals, a 27% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 0-1, giving Astana a clean win with a 13.6% chance. Atyrau, playing against a stronger opponent, averages only 0.57 goals scored and concedes 1.43, while Astana, facing a weaker side, averages 1.62 scored and 0.88 conceded. Recent form shows Atyrau coming off a defeat, whereas Astana returns from a draw. The home win, draw and away win probabilities are 16%, 26% and 58% respectively. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (99.3%), Under 6.5 (98.8%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.7%), Under 5.5 (96.3%) with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 goals (95.9%) and Away +2 handicap (95.2%).
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on, as FC Astana secured a 3-2 away win, extending their unbeaten run of five matches. The favourite, Away win, was chosen with a 58% probability and the result matched the actual outcome. The final score of 2-3 confirmed the model’s pick. Every suggested selection also hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.6%, Home under 3.5 goals at 99.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2%, Under 6.5 at 98.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.4%, Under 5.5 at 96.3%, Home under 2.5 goals at 95.9%, and Away +2 handicap at 95.2%. The match’s low-scoring nature aligned with the model’s most likely total of 2 goals, which carried a 27% probability.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Atyrau win✗ Miss
15.5%
Avg Implied 17.5% · @ 5.15
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.72
10Bet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
Pinnacle
5.27
Dafabet
5.20
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.67
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.86
Superbet
3.85
Betfair
3.80
Betano
3.75
Pinnacle
3.70
FC Astana win✓ Hit
58.3%
Avg Implied 57.9% · @ 1.56
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.59
William Hil
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Dafabet
1.57
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Atyrau
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.53
0.67
1.40
1.00
1.67
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
2.25
0.80
1.60
0.71
2.71
vs Similar (18)
0.89
1.06
0.60
1.30
1.25
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Astana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
1.30
3.21
1.71
1.56
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.88
1.56
2.25
2.12
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
2.86
1.00
4.50
1.17
1.62
0.88
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.9%
@ 1.27-1.6%
Under 1.5
29.1%
@ 3.34+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Unibet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.45
10Bet
3.40
Superbet
3.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.8%
@ 1.89-5.5%
Under 2.5
56.2%
@ 1.84+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.94
1xBet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
10Bet
1.90
Under
Unibet
1.87
Betfair
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.7%
@ 3.07-7.1%
Under 3.5
77.3%
@ 1.31+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.08
1xBet
3.05
Unibet
3.05
Under
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.2%
@ 1.86-5.1%
No
55.8%
@ 1.81+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.87
Betfair
1.87
No
Unibet
1.89
Betfair
1.87
William Hil
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
13.6%@ 5.64+6.3%
0-2
12.4%@ 6.38+5.9%
1-1
12.2%@ 6.29+5.7%
0-0
9.9%@ 8.84+5.3%
1-2
9.3%@ 7.05+3.5%
0-3
6.9%@ 10.13+2.8%
1-0
5.5%@ 11.85+2.1%
1-3
5.2%@ 11.50+1.6%
Atyrau goals ↓
FC Astana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
14%
12%
6.9%
2.9%
1
5.5%
12%
9.3%
5.2%
2.2%
2
2.5%
4.2%
3.5%
2.0%
0.8%
3
0.6%
1.1%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atyrau goals (down), columns = FC Astana goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Kairat Almaty
3.00
FC Astana
2.60
Ordabasy
2.50
Okzhetpes
1.80
Irtysh
1.80
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.80
Zhenys
1.75
Aktobe
1.67
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Kaspiy
1.50
Yelimay Semey
1.00
Ulytau
0.80
Kaisar
0.40
Atyrau
0.33
Zhetysu
0.20
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.17
Atyrau is 2.27 points worse than FC Astana in terms of average points per game (0.33 vs 2.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ordabasy
2.67
Kairat Almaty
2.50
FC Astana
2.40
Okzhetpes
2.20
Aktobe
1.83
Zhenys
1.75
Kaspiy
1.67
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Irtysh
1.60
Kaisar
1.40
Ulytau
1.20
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.20
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.17
Yelimay Semey
1.17
Atyrau
0.83
Zhetysu
0.60
Atyrau is 1.57 goals worse than FC Astana in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 2.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ordabasy
0.67
Kairat Almaty
0.75
Zhenys
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.40
Yelimay Semey
1.50
Kaspiy
1.50
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Ulytau
1.60
Aktobe
1.67
Irtysh
1.80
Atyrau
1.83
Kaisar
2.00
Zhetysu
2.80
Altay (Kazakhstan)
3.00
Atyrau is 0.83 goals worse than FC Astana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Atyrau
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FC Astana
For 5.5 · Against 3.5 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.0 · Against 1.5 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.0 · Against 9.5 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Atyrau
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (22)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (FC Astana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.3
9.0
0.7
0.7
0.7
21.7
21.7
21.8
vs Stronger (1)
6.0
6.0
-
1.0
1.0
-
15.0
15.0
-
vs Similar (27)
9.7
11.0
9.0
1.3
1.2
1.3
22.8
25.0
21.8
vs Weaker (22)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
43%
67%
25%
8%
8%
8%
57%
67%
50%
% under line
57%
33%
75%
92%
92%
92%
43%
33%
50%
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Okzhetpes
13.0
Kairat Almaty
10.4
FK Tobol Kostanay
10.0
Aktobe
9.5
FC Astana
8.8
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
6.1
FK Tobol Kostanay
5.6
Ordabasy
5.1
Aktobe
5.1
Kaisar
5.0
Kairat Almaty
4.4
FC Astana
4.0
Kyzyl-Zhar
3.2
Okzhetpes
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ordabasy
30.0
FK Tobol Kostanay
28.7
Aktobe
27.0
Kairat Almaty
26.1
FC Astana
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Atyrau or Draw✗ Miss
41.7%
Avg Implied 41.7% · @ 2.20
Edge
+0.0%
15%
26%
58%
covers Atyrau + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.28
William Hil
2.20
Atyrau or FC Astana✓ Hit
73.8%
Avg Implied 75.8% · @ 1.21
Edge
-2.0%
15%
26%
58%
covers Atyrau + FC Astana
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Draw or FC Astana✓ Hit
84.5%
Avg Implied 82.5% · @ 1.11
Edge
+2.0%
15%
26%
58%
covers Draw + FC Astana
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Atyrau over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
53.0%
@ 1.62-3.7%
Under
47.0%
@ 2.12+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.62
Under
Unibet
2.23
Pinnacle
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Atyrau over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
17.5%
@ 4.03-5.2%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.18+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
10Bet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Atyrau over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 9.40-95.9%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.40
Under
No market prices yet.
Atyrau over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.3%
@ 1.12+0.3%
Under
18.7%
@ 4.77-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Under
1xBet
4.95
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.60
FC Astana over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.9%
@ 1.71-4.0%
Under
50.1%
@ 2.00+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
Superbet
2.02
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Betano
2.00
FC Astana over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
23.6%
@ 3.10-5.9%
Under
76.4%
@ 1.30+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Under
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
FC Astana over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 6.30-5.7%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.08+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
Under
1xBet
1.08
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Atyrau, so a minus line means Atyrau give that many goals of a start and FC Astana receive them. At -1, Atyrau must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Atyrau win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Atyrau)Actual: FC Astana
Atyrau -2
1.0%
Draw -2
3.7%
FC Astana +2
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Atyrau)Actual: FC Astana
Atyrau -1
4.8%
@ 7.00-6.5%
Draw -1
10.7%
@ 4.30-7.6%
FC Astana +1
84.5%
@ 1.12+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap +1 (Atyrau)Actual: Draw
Atyrau +1
41.7%
@ 2.19+2.3%
Draw +1
25.1%
@ 3.22-1.6%
FC Astana -1
33.1%
@ 2.54-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.19
Unibet
2.00
Draw
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Betfair
3.30
Unibet
2.90
Away
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.52
Unibet
2.40
Handicap +2 (Atyrau)Actual: Atyrau
Atyrau +2
66.9%
@ 1.36+5.5%
Draw +2
18.5%
@ 4.15-1.7%
FC Astana -2
14.7%
@ 4.55-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.41
Unibet
1.32
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Unibet
3.80
Away
Marathonbet
4.80
Unibet
4.30
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Atyrau
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.17
0.80
0.13
0.47
0.20
1.13
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
1.50
0.20
1.00
0.14
1.86
vs Similar (18)
0.17
0.33
0.10
0.20
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Astana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.70
1.50
1.14
0.69
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.12
0.94
1.38
1.38
0.88
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
1.00
0.43
1.67
0.83
0.50
0.12
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.2%
@ 1.36+2.7%
Under 0.5
29.8%
@ 2.81-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.39
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
1xBet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
2.90
10Bet
2.88
Superbet
2.85
Unibet
2.85
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
31.9%
@ 2.72-2.0%
Under 1.5
68.1%
@ 1.39+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.76
William Hil
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.74
Under
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.4%
@ 6.36-4.0%
Under 2.5
89.6%
@ 1.07+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
7.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.10
Superbet
5.65
Under
1xBet
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atyrau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
29.9%
@ 2.80-2.7%
Under
70.1%
@ 1.35+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.93
Betano
2.87
Superbet
2.77
Unibet
2.50
Under
Unibet
1.40
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Atyrau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 11.75-2.9%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.03+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
13.00
Marathonbet
10.50
Under
1xBet
1.03
Atyrau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
58.0%
@ 1.68+3.4%
Under
42.0%
@ 2.02-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.68
Superbet
1.66
Under
Superbet
2.07
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathonbet
2.00
Betano
2.00
1xBet
2.00
FC Astana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
18.1%
@ 4.45-2.4%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.15+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.45
Marathonbet
4.45
Under
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
FC Astana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.8%
@ 13.00-2.5%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.03+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
13.00
Under
1xBet
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Atyrau
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.53
0.93
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
0.75
0.60
0.60
0.57
0.86
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.72
0.50
1.10
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Astana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.60
1.71
0.57
0.88
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.62
0.88
0.75
0.62
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
1.86
0.57
2.83
0.33
1.12
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.3%
@ 1.22+3.2%
Under 0.5
21.7%
@ 3.66-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Under
1xBet
3.95
Superbet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
William Hil
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
43.9%
@ 2.05-0.9%
Under 1.5
56.1%
@ 1.66+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.15
Marathonbet
2.08
Superbet
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.02
Under
1xBet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
17.3%
@ 4.40-3.5%
Under 2.5
82.7%
@ 1.16+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.80
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atyrau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
34.4%
@ 2.38-4.0%
Under
65.6%
@ 1.49+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.35
Under
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Atyrau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
9.0%
@ 8.60-1.6%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.02+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
8.60
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Atyrau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
66.6%
@ 1.46+4.0%
Under
33.4%
@ 2.44-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.48
Superbet
2.40
FC Astana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
30.2%
@ 3.18+1.5%
Under
69.8%
@ 1.28-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.18
1xBet
3.18
Under
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
FC Astana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 8.10-4.2%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.03+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
Under
1xBet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.3%
1.02
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.02
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.2%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
94.8%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.9%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.1%
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
91.0%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-
+1.6%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
90.0%
1.09
1xBet
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
+6.0%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.6%
1.07
1xBet
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
84.5%
1.11
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
84.5%
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
-
+14.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.7%
1.16
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
-
+3.5%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals
82.5%
1.18
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
-
+5.2%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
81.9%
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
-
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
81.3%
1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.3%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.3%
1.31
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+7.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
76.4%
1.30
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+5.9%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.8%
1.21
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.9%
1.27
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.2%
1.36
Marathonbet
1.39
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
1xBet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 0.5 HT goals
70.1%
1.35
Unibet
1.40
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
+2.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Astana · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kipras Kazukolovas50%
Marin Tomasov25%
Branimir Kalaica25%
Ramazan Karimov0%
Karlo Bartolec0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Max Ebong0%
Josip Čondrić0%
Barnes Osei0%
Aleksa Amanović0%
Ousmane Camara0%
Islambek Kuat0%
Yan Vorogovskiy0%
Aleksandr Marochkin0%
Geoffrey Chinedu Charles0%
Elkhan Astanov0%
Nnamdi Ahanonu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josip Čondrić67%
Max Ebong50%
Aleksa Amanović50%
Islambek Kuat33%
Karlo Bartolec25%
Geoffrey Chinedu Charles25%
Barnes Osei20%
Elkhan Astanov20%
Ramazan Karimov17%
Marin Tomasov0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Branimir Kalaica0%
Ousmane Camara0%
Yan Vorogovskiy0%
Aleksandr Marochkin0%
Kipras Kazukolovas0%
Nnamdi Ahanonu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Karlo Bartolec50%
Marin Tomasov25%
Yan Vorogovskiy25%
Ramazan Karimov0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Max Ebong0%
Josip Čondrić0%
Barnes Osei0%
Branimir Kalaica0%
Aleksa Amanović0%
Ousmane Camara0%
Islambek Kuat0%
Aleksandr Marochkin0%
Geoffrey Chinedu Charles0%
Elkhan Astanov0%
Kipras Kazukolovas0%
Nnamdi Ahanonu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nnamdi Ahanonu33%
Geoffrey Chinedu Charles25%
Marin Tomasov0%
Ramazan Karimov0%
Karlo Bartolec0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Max Ebong0%
Josip Čondrić0%
Barnes Osei0%
Branimir Kalaica0%
Aleksa Amanović0%
Ousmane Camara0%
Islambek Kuat0%
Yan Vorogovskiy0%
Aleksandr Marochkin0%
Elkhan Astanov0%
Kipras Kazukolovas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
YS (23)
€8m
OKZ (23)
€5m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ZHE (21)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
Atyrau's squad is €6m less valuable than FC Astana's (€4m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
YS (11)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
ZHE (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
Atyrau's attack is €1m less valuable than FC Astana's (€2m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
IRT (7)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Atyrau's midfield is €1m less valuable than FC Astana's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
IRT (13)
€2m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
Atyrau's defence is €3m less valuable than FC Astana's (€2m vs €5m).
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ordabasy
Kairat Almaty
Aktobe
Okzhetpes
Kaspiy
FK Tobol Kostanay
Irtysh
Kyzyl-Zhar
Zhenys
Yelimay Semey
Ulytau
Kaisar
Altay (Kazakhstan)
Zhetysu