Atyrau vs Okzhetpes Result & Analysis

This match between Atyrau and Okzhetpes in the Kazakhstan Premier League is finely balanced, with Atyrau coming off a draw against Zhetysu and Okzhetpes having won their previous match against Altay. Atyrau are the favourites to win, with a 39% chance of taking all three points, while Okzhetpes have a 33% chance of an away victory. The draw is also a possibility, with a 28% probability.

The expected total goals is 2.7, suggesting a relatively low-scoring match. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 13.4%. Atyrau have struggled to score at home, averaging 0.69 goals per match, while conceding 1.69. Okzhetpes, on the other hand, have been prolific away from home, scoring 2.2 goals per match against weaker opponents, but conceding 1.2. The model's selection is Atyrau to win, and it also suggests Over 1.5 goals with a probability of 76.5%, and Under 3.5 goals with a probability of 71.2%.

The away team, Okzhetpes, pulled off a stunning upset, defeating the home team Atyrau 0-2, in a match that saw the home team's win streak come to an end. The win extends Okzhetpes' winning streak to four matches, with their last loss coming against Atyrau in their previous encounter. Atyrau, the pre-match favourite, had a 39% chance of winning, but the model's selection, a Home win, ultimately proved incorrect. The model's call was wrong, as Okzhetpes secured the away win. The model's selections of Over 1.5 and Under 3.5 both hit, with probabilities of 76% and 72% respectively.