Austria Vienna are the clear favourites, with the model predicting a home win at 57%. The expected total goals hover around 2.5, and the most likely scoreline is 1-0, a 12.7% chance. Vienna’s home form shows they average 0.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded against weaker opponents, while Lustenau, playing away against stronger teams, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded. The probabilities for the match result are 57% home win, 26% draw, and 16% away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.1% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Under 6.5 (98.6% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.5% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.2% with a 5% edge), Under 5.5 (95.7% with a 4% edge), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.7% with a 7% edge). Vienna’s recent run of LLDLW, after two straight defeats, contrasts with Lustenau’s LDWLD, coming off a 0-4 loss, underscoring Vienna’s advantage.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Austria Vienna win
57.5%
Avg Implied 53.8% · @ 1.72
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.75
William Hil
1.73
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
Draw
26.0%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.62
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.70
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Austria Lustenau win
16.5%
Avg Implied 20.6% · @ 4.48
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.56
William Hil
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.45
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Austria Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.50
1.14
1.50
1.56
1.50
vs Stronger (9)
1.22
2.11
1.50
2.25
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (17)
1.41
1.35
1.25
1.38
1.56
1.33
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.75
0.00
0.50
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Lustenau
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.03
1.50
0.94
1.07
1.14
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.75
1.33
0.67
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.31
1.08
1.54
1.00
1.08
1.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.6%
@ 1.25-1.3%
Under 1.5
27.4%
@ 3.55+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Under
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Betano
3.45
1xBet
3.44
Marathonbet
3.44
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.9%
@ 1.85-5.2%
Under 2.5
54.1%
@ 1.93+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Betano
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.4%
@ 3.05-6.0%
Under 3.5
75.6%
@ 1.33+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.10
Betano
3.00
1xBet
2.94
Marathonbet
2.94
Under
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Both teams to score
Yes
46.5%
@ 1.77-5.7%
No
53.5%
@ 1.93+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
No
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.7%@ 6.91+6.1%
1-1
12.3%@ 6.81+5.7%
2-0
11.8%@ 7.96+6.1%
2-1
9.5%@ 7.94+3.8%
0-0
9.2%@ 10.64+5.0%
3-0
6.7%@ 13.18+3.2%
0-1
5.5%@ 11.93+1.7%
3-1
5.4%@ 13.00+1.9%
Austria Vienna goals ↓
Austria Lustenau goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
5.5%
2.7%
0.7%
0.1%
1
13%
12%
4.5%
1.2%
0.2%
2
12%
9.5%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
3
6.7%
5.4%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.8%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Austria Vienna goals (down), columns = Austria Lustenau goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.60
Rapid Vienna
2.40
Sturm Graz
1.60
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Grazer AK
0.80
Ried
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
SCR Altach
0.60
Austria Vienna is 0.40 points worse than Austria Lustenau in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rapid Vienna
3.00
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.80
WSG Wattens
1.40
Sturm Graz
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Ried
1.20
TSV Hartberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
SCR Altach
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
Grazer AK
0.40
Austria Vienna is 0.40 goals worse than Austria Lustenau in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lask Linz
0.40
Red Bull Salzburg
0.60
Sturm Graz
1.00
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.40
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.60
SCR Altach
1.60
Austria Lustenau
1.80
Austria Vienna
2.00
Ried
2.00
Grazer AK
2.60
Austria Vienna is 0.20 goals worse than Austria Lustenau in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
66%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
55%
Ried
52%
Grazer AK
50%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Vienna
45%
WSG Wattens
45%
TSV Hartberg
42%
Wolfsberger AC
42%
Austria Lustenau
41%
Austria Vienna is 3.6 percentage points better than Austria Lustenau in terms of average possession (45% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Austria Vienna
For 3.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 11.9 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Austria Lustenau
For 6.4 · Against 8.0 · Total 14.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 11.2 · Total 20.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Austria Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.1
9.4
3.7
4.3
3.2
22.8
23.9
21.7
vs Stronger (11)
8.3
9.2
7.5
4.0
5.2
3.0
23.4
25.0
22.0
vs Similar (29)
10.4
10.5
10.2
4.1
4.4
3.8
22.6
23.7
21.5
vs Weaker (10)
9.4
9.3
9.5
2.2
2.8
1.8
22.8
23.0
22.5
% over line
44%
48%
41%
54%
62%
46%
49%
57%
41%
% under line
56%
52%
59%
46%
38%
54%
51%
43%
59%
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Lustenau
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
11.4
9.2
1.2
1.3
1.2
22.6
21.6
24.0
vs Stronger (7)
11.2
12.7
9.7
3.9
3.5
4.3
22.2
22.0
22.3
vs Similar (42)
9.9
10.6
8.7
0.8
0.9
0.8
23.0
21.4
25.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
62%
33%
14%
16%
12%
57%
62%
50%
% under line
50%
38%
67%
86%
84%
88%
43%
38%
50%
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lask Linz
10.3
Austria Vienna
10.1
WSG Wattens
10.1
Sturm Graz
10.0
TSV Hartberg
9.9
Austria Lustenau
9.8
Wolfsberger AC
9.7
Rapid Vienna
9.6
Red Bull Salzburg
9.4
Grazer AK
9.1
Ried
8.9
SCR Altach
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SCR Altach
5.0
Austria Lustenau
4.9
Sturm Graz
4.8
Wolfsberger AC
4.7
Ried
4.6
Grazer AK
4.6
TSV Hartberg
4.5
WSG Wattens
4.4
Austria Vienna
4.4
Rapid Vienna
4.2
Lask Linz
3.7
Red Bull Salzburg
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
23.8
Sturm Graz
23.8
Grazer AK
23.3
Austria Lustenau
23.3
SCR Altach
23.0
Austria Vienna
22.9
Wolfsberger AC
22.6
Ried
22.4
WSG Wattens
22.3
TSV Hartberg
21.7
Lask Linz
21.0
Red Bull Salzburg
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
60.6%
Under 9.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.1%
Under 3.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
51.9%
Under 21.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Austria Vienna or Draw
83.5%
Avg Implied 79.2% · @ 1.19
Edge
+4.3%
57%
26%
16%
covers Austria Vienna + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Austria Vienna or Austria Lustenau
74.0%
Avg Implied 75.3% · @ 1.25
Edge
-1.3%
57%
26%
16%
covers Austria Vienna + Austria Lustenau
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Draw or Austria Lustenau
42.5%
Avg Implied 45.5% · @ 2.06
Edge
-3.0%
57%
26%
16%
covers Draw + Austria Lustenau
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.12
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5
Over
81.7%
@ 1.15+1.1%
Under
18.3%
@ 4.82-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.55
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5
Over
50.7%
@ 1.79-1.5%
Under
49.3%
@ 1.95+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Under
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.96
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.93
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5
Over
24.3%
@ 3.45-2.6%
Under
75.7%
@ 1.27+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Austria Vienna over/under 3.5
Over
9.3%
@ 7.64-2.9%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.06+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Austria Lustenau over/under 0.5
Over
55.5%
@ 1.50-6.4%
Under
44.5%
@ 2.44+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.38
Austria Lustenau over/under 1.5
Over
19.4%
@ 3.48-7.4%
Under
80.6%
@ 1.27+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.56
Marathonbet
3.56
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Austria Lustenau over/under 2.5
Over
4.9%
@ 9.56-4.9%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.04+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
9.80
Marathonbet
9.80
Betfair
9.50
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Austria Lustenau over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
@ 20.75-3.7%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Austria Vienna, so a minus line means Austria Vienna give that many goals of a start and Austria Lustenau receive them. At -1, Austria Vienna must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Austria Vienna win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Austria Vienna)
Austria Vienna -2
14.6%
@ 5.92-0.5%
Draw -2
18.2%
@ 4.95+0.1%
Austria Lustenau +2
67.2%
@ 1.34+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.70
Draw
Marathonbet
5.05
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Handicap -1 (Austria Vienna)
Austria Vienna -1
32.8%
@ 2.93+2.0%
Draw -1
24.7%
@ 3.57-0.6%
Austria Lustenau +1
42.5%
@ 2.05-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.48
10Bet
3.45
Away
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Betfair
2.00
Handicap +1 (Austria Vienna)
Austria Vienna +1
83.5%
@ 1.19+8.3%
Draw +1
11.1%
@ 5.75-4.3%
Austria Lustenau -1
5.3%
@ 9.56-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
4.25
Away
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
10Bet
9.00
Marathonbet
6.25
Handicap +2 (Austria Vienna)
Austria Vienna +2
94.7%
@ 1.04+4.1%
Draw +2
4.1%
@ 14.50-2.4%
Austria Lustenau -2
1.2%
@ 32.50-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
14.00
Away
Betfair
36.00
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Austria Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.57
0.64
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.22
0.75
1.25
0.60
1.20
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.76
0.62
0.50
0.78
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Lustenau
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.94
0.38
0.21
0.71
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.54
0.92
0.31
0.15
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.7%
@ 1.35-0.4%
Under 0.5
31.3%
@ 3.02+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
William Hil
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.94
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
31.8%
@ 2.63-3.5%
Under 1.5
68.2%
@ 1.43+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.77
Betfair
2.75
1xBet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Under
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.5%
@ 6.53-3.7%
Under 2.5
89.5%
@ 1.08+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.30
Under
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.6%
@ 1.70-6.0%
Under
51.4%
@ 2.04+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Under
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
1.99
Betano
1.98
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.1%
@ 4.53-4.4%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.17+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.70
Betano
4.60
1xBet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Under
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.5%
@ 10.62-6.3%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Austria Lustenau over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.4%
@ 2.57+1.3%
Under
62.6%
@ 1.45-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.63
Betano
2.62
Marathonbet
2.58
10Bet
2.45
Under
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Austria Lustenau over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.7%
@ 9.19+0.6%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.03-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
9.50
10Bet
8.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
Austria Lustenau over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Austria Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.57
0.86
0.81
0.44
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.89
0.75
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.59
0.62
0.88
0.78
0.33
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.25
0.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Lustenau
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.56
0.56
0.86
0.43
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.25
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.54
0.62
0.69
0.92
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.0%
@ 1.22+4.8%
Under 0.5
19.0%
@ 3.90-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.90
William Hil
3.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.3%
@ 2.05-3.3%
Under 1.5
57.7%
@ 1.72+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Under
Betano
1.78
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
William Hil
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.3%
@ 4.31-7.3%
Under 2.5
85.7%
@ 1.19+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.50
Marathonbet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.33
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 2H
Over
59.1%
@ 1.51-2.5%
Under
40.9%
@ 2.42+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Under
Betano
2.47
1xBet
2.43
10Bet
2.35
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.1%
@ 3.38-6.3%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.27+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.3%
@ 8.53-6.6%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.04+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
10Bet
9.00
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Austria Lustenau over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.0%
@ 2.14+1.7%
Under
55.0%
@ 1.63-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.16
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Betano
2.12
Under
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Austria Lustenau over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.5%
@ 6.95-0.8%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.07+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Austria Lustenau over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.8%
@ 12.00-5.1%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.1%
Under 5.5
95.7%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+4.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.7%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+6.6%
Away under 2.5 goals
95.1%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
+4.9%
Home +2 handicap
94.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
+4.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
90.7%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
+2.9%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.08
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
+3.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-0.6%
Under 4.5
89.0%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
+5.4%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.5%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+0.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.7%
1.19
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
+7.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.9%
1.17
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+4.4%
Home or Draw
83.5%
1.19
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+4.3%
Home +1 handicap
83.5%
1.19
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-
+8.3%
Over 2.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
81.7%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.13
+1.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
+4.8%
Away under 1.5 goals
80.6%
1.27
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
+7.4%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.9%
1.27
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
-
+6.3%
Under 25.5 fouls
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
75.7%
1.27
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
+2.6%
Under 3.5
75.6%
1.33
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
+6.0%
Home or Away
74.0%
1.25
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
-1.3%
Over 1.5
72.6%
1.25
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
-1.3%
Over 8.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Austria Vienna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kelvin Boateng20%
Jonas Feddersen14%
Daniel Nnodim12%
S. Saljic11%
V. Markovic11%
R. Ranftl10%
M. Fischer10%
Julian Hettwer10%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Johannes Handl0%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Lee Kang-Hee0%
Lee Tae-Seok0%
F. Wustinger0%
I. Buhari0%
Moritz Wels0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Philipp Maybach0%
H. Deshihsku0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matteo Schablas67%
R. Ranftl30%
Lee Tae-Seok29%
Kelvin Boateng20%
F. Wustinger20%
Philipp Maybach17%
Aleksandar Dragović14%
Lee Kang-Hee12%
Daniel Nnodim12%
Johannes Handl11%
M. Fischer10%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Julian Hettwer0%
I. Buhari0%
Moritz Wels0%
S. Saljic0%
Jonas Feddersen0%
V. Markovic0%
H. Deshihsku0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Fischer20%
Philipp Maybach17%
Lee Tae-Seok14%
Daniel Nnodim12%
F. Wustinger10%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Johannes Handl0%
R. Ranftl0%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Julian Hettwer0%
Lee Kang-Hee0%
Kelvin Boateng0%
I. Buhari0%
Moritz Wels0%
S. Saljic0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Jonas Feddersen0%
V. Markovic0%
H. Deshihsku0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moritz Wels25%
Kelvin Boateng20%
M. Fischer10%
Julian Hettwer10%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Johannes Handl0%
R. Ranftl0%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Lee Kang-Hee0%
Lee Tae-Seok0%
F. Wustinger0%
I. Buhari0%
S. Saljic0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Philipp Maybach0%
Daniel Nnodim0%
Jonas Feddersen0%
V. Markovic0%
H. Deshihsku0%
Austria Lustenau
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominik Weixelbraun40%
Dion Kacuri20%
Antonio Verinac20%
Pius Grabher0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Albin Gashi0%
Danilo Soares0%
Fabian Gmeiner0%
Sacha Delaye0%
Lenn Jastremski0%
Niklas Pertlwieser0%
Seydou Diarra0%
Lord Afrifa0%
Precious Benjamin0%
Chukwu Emmanuel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fabian Gmeiner40%
Antonio Verinac40%
Danilo Soares20%
Lenn Jastremski20%
Seydou Diarra20%
Lord Afrifa20%
Chukwu Emmanuel20%
Pius Grabher0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Albin Gashi0%
Sacha Delaye0%
Dominik Weixelbraun0%
Niklas Pertlwieser0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Precious Benjamin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Danilo Soares40%
Dominik Weixelbraun20%
Antonio Verinac20%
Pius Grabher0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Albin Gashi0%
Fabian Gmeiner0%
Sacha Delaye0%
Lenn Jastremski0%
Niklas Pertlwieser0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Seydou Diarra0%
Lord Afrifa0%
Precious Benjamin0%
Chukwu Emmanuel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominik Weixelbraun20%
Antonio Verinac20%
Pius Grabher0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Albin Gashi0%
Danilo Soares0%
Fabian Gmeiner0%
Sacha Delaye0%
Lenn Jastremski0%
Niklas Pertlwieser0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Seydou Diarra0%
Lord Afrifa0%
Precious Benjamin0%
Chukwu Emmanuel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
Austria Vienna's squad is €18m more valuable than Austria Lustenau's (€23m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
Austria Vienna's attack is €7m more valuable than Austria Lustenau's (€9m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Austria Vienna's midfield is €6m more valuable than Austria Lustenau's (€7m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
Austria Vienna's defence is €5m more valuable than Austria Lustenau's (€7m vs €2m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
WSG Wattens
TSV Hartberg
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
Grazer AK
SCR Altach