PythiaFootballBETA
Austria Vienna and Lask Linz are set to clash in the Austria: Bundesliga, with Lask Linz's impressive recent form catching the eye. The away team has been on a 5-game winning run, with their last match ending 3-0 against Grazer AK. In contrast, Austria Vienna has been inconsistent, coming off a win but having a mixed run of results in their last five matches.
The model predicts an away win for Lask Linz, with a 47% probability of this outcome. The model's selection, the away win, is the favourite. The expected total number of goals is 3.2, indicating a high-scoring match. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 11.2%.
Austria Vienna's home form has seen them average 1.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per match against similar opponents. Lask Linz, meanwhile, has averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match away to similar opponents.
The model's selections include Over 1.5, with an 84.1% probability of hitting this outcome. The home win percentage is 28%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 47%.
Austria Vienna's winning streak came to an end as Lask Linz extended their impressive form, winning their fifth consecutive match. The away side's victory was predicted by the Pythia model, which correctly identified Lask Linz as the favourite, with a pre-match probability of 47%. The model's selection, an away win, was the correct outcome, as the final score was 0-3 in favour of Lask Linz. The model's suggested picks largely came in, with the over 1.5 goal line being hit, a probability of 84.1% proving accurate.
Austria Vienna| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.33 | 1.53 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 1.38 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (12) | 1.75 | 1.33 | 1.83 | 1.17 | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| vs Weaker (10) | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.60 | 0.80 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+4pp vs league) | |||||
Lask Linz| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.77 | 1.33 | 1.87 | 1.13 | 1.67 | 1.53 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.50 | 2.75 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (12) | 2.17 | 1.17 | 2.67 | 0.83 | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| vs Weaker (14) | 1.50 | 1.07 | 1.29 | 0.86 | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (+0pp vs league) | |||||
| Lask Linz goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 11% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
Austria ViennaLask LinzAustria Vienna| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.3 | 10.3 | 10.2 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 22.9 | 23.2 | 22.5 |
| vs Stronger (13) | 9.8 | 10.6 | 9.0 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 22.4 | 21.3 | 23.7 |
| vs Similar (21) | 10.2 | 8.9 | 11.5 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 23.1 | 25.4 | 21.0 |
| vs Weaker (16) | 10.8 | 12.1 | 9.4 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 22.9 | 22.0 | 23.9 |
| % over line | 54% | 54% | 54% | 62% | 68% | 56% | 52% | 58% | 46% |
| % under line | 46% | 46% | 46% | 38% | 32% | 44% | 48% | 42% | 54% |
Lask Linz| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.2 | 10.8 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 20.7 | 20.5 | 20.9 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 9.5 | 10.5 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 17.2 | 18.5 | 16.0 |
| vs Similar (17) | 10.5 | 11.2 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 20.8 | 20.3 | 21.4 |
| vs Weaker (29) | 10.1 | 10.6 | 9.5 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 21.0 | 20.8 | 21.3 |
| % over line | 52% | 62% | 42% | 52% | 54% | 50% | 38% | 31% | 46% |
| % under line | 48% | 38% | 58% | 48% | 46% | 50% | 62% | 69% | 54% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 84.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | â Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 01/03/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 17/08/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 01/12/24 | A | 1-3 | |
| 25/08/24 | H | 2-1 | |
| 03/12/23 | H | 0-0 | |
| 27/08/23 | A | 2-0 | |
| 28/05/23 | A | 3-1 |
Austria Vienna| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 05/04/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 22/03/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 15/03/26 | H | 2-5 | |
| 08/03/26 | A | 0-2 |
Lask Linz| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 04/05/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 1-5 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 10/04/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 05/04/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 22/03/26 | A | 4-2 | |
| 13/03/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 08/03/26 | H | 3-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value âŽm | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Lask Linz | 32 | 58 | 53% | 1.8 | 56 | 42 | +14 | 3.1 | 78% | 59% | 41% | 10.6 | 56% | 3.6 | 38% | 20.8 | 41% | 48 | 17 | 8 | 22 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 49% |
| 2 |  Sturm Graz | 32 | 56 | 50% | 1.8 | 51 | 35 | +16 | 2.7 | 78% | 41% | 28% | 10.0 | 53% | 5.3 | 75% | 22.5 | 62% | 59 | 20 | 17 | 22 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 54% |
| 3 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 32 | 48 | 41% | 1.5 | 56 | 41 | +15 | 3.0 | 88% | 62% | 38% | 9.2 | 44% | 4.2 | 48% | 20.4 | 31% | 192 | 93 | 40 | 59 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 60% |
| 4 |  Ried | 35 | 48 | 40% | 1.4 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 2.5 | 80% | 49% | 20% | 9.2 | 40% | 4.7 | 74% | 23.1 | 63% | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 49% |
| 5 |  Rapid Vienna | 34 | 47 | 38% | 1.4 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 2.4 | 82% | 41% | 15% | 9.8 | 56% | 4.2 | 62% | 23.8 | 68% | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 56% |
| 6 | Austria Vienna | 32 | 47 | 44% | 1.5 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 3.0 | 81% | 59% | 38% | 9.7 | 44% | 4.1 | 61% | 22.4 | 50% | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 49% |
| 7 |  TSV Hartberg | 32 | 42 | 31% | 1.3 | 40 | 40 | +0 | 2.5 | 62% | 47% | 31% | 9.4 | 44% | 4.4 | 68% | 22.1 | 56% | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 39% |
| 8 |  SCR Altach | 32 | 42 | 31% | 1.3 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 2.3 | 69% | 41% | 28% | 8.3 | 25% | 4.9 | 74% | 23.2 | 56% | 12 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 52% |
| 9 |  Wolfsberger AC | 33 | 41 | 33% | 1.2 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 2.6 | 79% | 58% | 30% | 8.9 | 39% | 4.6 | 71% | 23.4 | 64% | 35 | 14 | 3 | 18 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 51% |
| 10 |  WSG Wattens | 32 | 40 | 31% | 1.2 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 2.9 | 81% | 50% | 38% | 9.8 | 44% | 4.2 | 61% | 23.1 | 59% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 44% |
| 11 |  Grazer AK | 32 | 37 | 28% | 1.2 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 2.7 | 81% | 59% | 28% | 8.5 | 38% | 4.4 | 61% | 24.4 | 72% | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 48% |
| 12 |  FC BW Linz | 32 | 29 | 25% | 0.9 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 2.7 | 75% | 50% | 25% | 8.6 | 28% | 4.8 | 70% | 22.3 | 53% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 50% |