This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TSV Hartberg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.57
1.27
1.80
1.67
1.33
vs Stronger (16)
1.12
1.94
0.75
2.38
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (14)
1.86
1.14
1.86
1.14
1.86
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.3%
Under 2.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.8%
No
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1 ✓
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
Austria Vienna goals ↓
TSV Hartberg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
5.9%
4.3%
1.7%
0.5%
1
8.3%
13%
7.0%
2.8%
0.9%
2
7.7%
9.4%
5.7%
2.3%
0.7%
3
4.2%
5.1%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.7%
2.1%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Austria Vienna goals (down), columns = TSV Hartberg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sturm Graz
2.09
Red Bull Salzburg
2.09
Lask Linz
1.62
Austria Vienna
1.57
Rapid Vienna
1.41
Wolfsberger AC
1.39
TSV Hartberg
1.32
Austria Klagenfurt
1.22
FC BW Linz
1.00
SCR Altach
0.97
WSG Wattens
0.81
Austria Lustenau
0.66
Austria Vienna is 0.25 points better than TSV Hartberg in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.32).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.31
Sturm Graz
1.75
TSV Hartberg
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.47
Lask Linz
1.34
Wolfsberger AC
1.27
Austria Klagenfurt
1.25
Austria Vienna
1.14
FC BW Linz
1.03
WSG Wattens
0.91
SCR Altach
0.84
Austria Lustenau
0.69
Austria Vienna is 0.33 goals worse than TSV Hartberg in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sturm Graz
0.72
Red Bull Salzburg
0.91
Austria Vienna
1.03
Lask Linz
1.03
Rapid Vienna
1.09
Wolfsberger AC
1.24
SCR Altach
1.25
FC BW Linz
1.50
Austria Klagenfurt
1.56
TSV Hartberg
1.62
WSG Wattens
1.72
Austria Lustenau
1.81
Austria Vienna is 0.59 goals better than TSV Hartberg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.62).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
59%
Austria Vienna
56%
Lask Linz
55%
Rapid Vienna
54%
TSV Hartberg
53%
Sturm Graz
50%
Wolfsberger AC
50%
WSG Wattens
48%
Austria Klagenfurt
48%
FC BW Linz
44%
SCR Altach
44%
Austria Lustenau
40%
Austria Vienna is 3.3 percentage points better than TSV Hartberg in terms of average possession (56% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Austria Vienna
For 7.8 · Against 3.4 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
TSV Hartberg
For 3.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Austria Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.2
10.7
5.6
5.6
5.7
26.6
26.3
26.9
vs Stronger (8)
9.5
9.2
9.8
5.0
6.0
4.0
28.1
29.8
26.5
vs Similar (24)
11.5
11.3
11.6
5.9
5.6
6.2
26.8
25.8
27.8
vs Weaker (18)
9.6
9.1
10.0
5.5
5.3
5.7
25.7
25.6
25.8
% over line
56%
56%
56%
84%
92%
76%
86%
84%
88%
% under line
44%
44%
44%
16%
8%
24%
14%
16%
12%
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TSV Hartberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.3
8.9
4.6
4.4
4.9
23.5
24.2
22.7
vs Stronger (19)
9.2
10.3
7.8
4.7
4.5
5.0
24.3
26.5
21.4
vs Similar (31)
9.0
8.6
9.4
4.6
4.3
4.9
22.9
22.5
23.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
42%
38%
76%
77%
75%
66%
65%
67%
% under line
60%
58%
62%
24%
23%
25%
34%
35%
33%
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Austria Vienna
10.5
Wolfsberger AC
10.2
Lask Linz
10.0
SCR Altach
9.9
Sturm Graz
9.9
WSG Wattens
9.8
Austria Lustenau
9.7
Rapid Vienna
9.5
FC BW Linz
9.4
Red Bull Salzburg
9.2
Austria Klagenfurt
9.2
TSV Hartberg
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Austria Vienna
5.6
Rapid Vienna
5.3
SCR Altach
4.8
Austria Lustenau
4.7
TSV Hartberg
4.6
Wolfsberger AC
4.6
Red Bull Salzburg
4.5
Lask Linz
4.4
Sturm Graz
4.3
FC BW Linz
4.3
WSG Wattens
4.2
Austria Klagenfurt
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SCR Altach
27.0
Rapid Vienna
26.8
Austria Vienna
26.6
Lask Linz
25.9
FC BW Linz
25.1
Sturm Graz
24.1
Wolfsberger AC
24.1
WSG Wattens
23.5
TSV Hartberg
23.5
Austria Lustenau
23.2
Austria Klagenfurt
23.1
Red Bull Salzburg
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.2%
Under 9.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.6%
Under 3.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
69.3%
Under 21.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Austria Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.67
0.27
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.60
0.43
0.29
0.75
0.88
vs Weaker (13)
0.77
0.46
1.00
0.29
0.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TSV Hartberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.67
0.87
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (16)
0.62
0.88
0.50
1.12
0.75
0.62
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.57
0.86
0.57
0.71
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Austria Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.47
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.47
0.57
0.43
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (13)
0.69
0.62
0.86
0.57
0.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TSV Hartberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.83
0.60
0.93
0.93
0.73
vs Stronger (16)
0.50
1.06
0.25
1.25
0.75
0.88
vs Similar (14)
1.07
0.57
1.00
0.57
1.14
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Austria Vienna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominik Fitz26%
Andreas Gruber26%
Fisnik Asllani21%
Alexander Schmidt14%
Muharem Husković13%
Romeo Vučić11%
James Holland8%
Frans Krätzig6%
Reinhold Ranftl6%
Matteo Meisl5%
Manuel Polster4%
Hakim Guenouche3%
Johannes Handl3%
Christian Früchtl0%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Tin Plavotić0%
Mirko Kos0%
Aleksandar Jukić0%
Manfred Fischer0%
Lucas Galvão0%
Marvin Martins0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
Matthias Braunöder0%
Ayi Silva Kangani0%
Moritz Wels0%
Sanel Saljic0%
Luca Pazourek0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matan Baltaxa43%
Lucas Galvão36%
Sanel Saljic33%
Frans Krätzig29%
Johannes Handl28%
Manfred Fischer28%
Moritz Wels27%
Reinhold Ranftl25%
Marvin Potzmann24%
Dominik Fitz24%
Muharem Husković23%
Aleksandar Jukić21%
James Holland20%
Ayi Silva Kangani20%
Marvin Martins17%
Hakim Guenouche14%
Alexander Schmidt14%
Andreas Gruber13%
Fisnik Asllani11%
Matteo Meisl9%
Christian Früchtl8%
Romeo Vučić5%
Matthias Braunöder5%
Manuel Polster4%
Tin Plavotić0%
Mirko Kos0%
Luca Pazourek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayi Silva Kangani20%
Dominik Fitz18%
Frans Krätzig18%
Manuel Polster16%
Aleksandar Jukić11%
Andreas Gruber11%
Reinhold Ranftl8%
Manfred Fischer6%
Fisnik Asllani5%
Romeo Vučić5%
Matthias Braunöder5%
Marvin Potzmann4%
Lucas Galvão4%
Hakim Guenouche3%
Johannes Handl3%
Christian Früchtl0%
Alexander Schmidt0%
Tin Plavotić0%
Mirko Kos0%
Matteo Meisl0%
James Holland0%
Marvin Martins0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
Muharem Husković0%
Moritz Wels0%
Sanel Saljic0%
Luca Pazourek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andreas Gruber21%
Fisnik Asllani21%
Dominik Fitz21%
Manfred Fischer11%
Muharem Husković10%
Moritz Wels9%
Reinhold Ranftl8%
Aleksandar Jukić5%
Matthias Braunöder5%
James Holland4%
Hakim Guenouche3%
Christian Früchtl0%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Johannes Handl0%
Alexander Schmidt0%
Tin Plavotić0%
Mirko Kos0%
Matteo Meisl0%
Lucas Galvão0%
Marvin Martins0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
Manuel Polster0%
Ayi Silva Kangani0%
Romeo Vučić0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Sanel Saljic0%
Luca Pazourek0%
TSV Hartberg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maximilian Entrup42%
Donis Avdijaj33%
Christoph Lang29%
Dominik Prokop12%
Christoph Urdl11%
Dominik Frieser9%
Maximilian Fillafer7%
Ruben Providence7%
Jurgen Heil6%
Ousmane Diakité3%
Mamadou Sangare3%
Ibane Bowat3%
Tobias Kainz3%
Michael Steinwender0%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Manuel Pfeifer0%
Thomas Rotter0%
Paul Komposch0%
Angelo Brückner0%
Jürgen Lemmerer0%
Julian Halwachs0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jurgen Heil31%
Mamadou Sangare23%
Dominik Prokop22%
Thomas Rotter20%
Maximilian Entrup19%
Donis Avdijaj19%
Manuel Pfeifer18%
Ousmane Diakité16%
Julian Halwachs15%
Raphael Sallinger15%
Tobias Kainz12%
Christoph Lang12%
Christoph Urdl11%
Ruben Providence10%
Ibane Bowat10%
Paul Komposch9%
Maximilian Fillafer7%
Dominik Frieser3%
Michael Steinwender0%
Angelo Brückner0%
Jürgen Lemmerer0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Prokop16%
Donis Avdijaj15%
Mamadou Sangare13%
Dominik Frieser12%
Christoph Lang12%
Maximilian Entrup12%
Christoph Urdl11%
Manuel Pfeifer9%
Angelo Brückner9%
Ruben Providence7%
Tobias Kainz6%
Jurgen Heil6%
Paul Komposch3%
Raphael Sallinger3%
Ousmane Diakité0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Thomas Rotter0%
Jürgen Lemmerer0%
Maximilian Fillafer0%
Ibane Bowat0%
Julian Halwachs0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maximilian Entrup42%
Donis Avdijaj15%
Christoph Lang12%
Ruben Providence3%
Mamadou Sangare3%
Dominik Prokop3%
Ousmane Diakité0%
Dominik Frieser0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Tobias Kainz0%
Manuel Pfeifer0%
Thomas Rotter0%
Jurgen Heil0%
Christoph Urdl0%
Paul Komposch0%
Angelo Brückner0%
Jürgen Lemmerer0%
Maximilian Fillafer0%
Ibane Bowat0%
Julian Halwachs0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
SA (23)
€9m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
AL (22)
€5m
Austria Vienna's squad is €13m more valuable than TSV Hartberg's (€23m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
Austria Vienna's attack is €7m more valuable than TSV Hartberg's (€9m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Austria Vienna's midfield is €4m more valuable than TSV Hartberg's (€7m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
AL (9)
€2m
Austria Vienna's defence is €3m more valuable than TSV Hartberg's (€7m vs €5m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →