This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.47
1.21
1.64
1.12
1.31
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
2.00
1.00
2.33
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (24)
1.25
1.33
1.27
1.45
1.23
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.5%
Under 1.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.3%
Under 2.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.7%
Under 3.5
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.3%
No
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
1-2 ✓
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
Avellino goals ↓
Ascoli goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
10%
5.9%
2.0%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.8%
2.3%
0.6%
2
7.6%
7.8%
4.0%
1.4%
0.3%
3
2.9%
3.0%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Avellino goals (down), columns = Ascoli goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Spal
1.86
Frosinone
1.76
Hellas Verona
1.76
Benevento
1.57
Perugia
1.55
Cittadella
1.50
Carpi
1.48
Spezia
1.43
Novara
1.33
Salernitana
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.29
Cesena
1.26
Bari
1.26
Avellino
1.24
Brescia
1.19
Ternana
1.17
Ascoli
1.17
Pro Vercelli
1.17
Trapani
1.05
Vicenza Virtus
0.98
Pisa
0.93
Latina
0.93
Avellino is 0.07 points better than Ascoli in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Spal
1.57
Hellas Verona
1.52
Cittadella
1.43
Frosinone
1.36
Benevento
1.33
Perugia
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.29
Cesena
1.21
Brescia
1.17
Novara
1.14
Trapani
1.07
Ascoli
1.05
Salernitana
1.05
Ternana
1.00
Carpi
0.98
Avellino
0.95
Bari
0.93
Latina
0.90
Spezia
0.90
Pro Vercelli
0.83
Vicenza Virtus
0.79
Pisa
0.55
Avellino is 0.10 goals worse than Ascoli in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.05).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.81
Pisa
0.86
Spal
0.93
Carpi
0.95
Perugia
0.95
Hellas Verona
0.95
Frosinone
1.00
Benevento
1.00
Bari
1.05
Salernitana
1.05
Pro Vercelli
1.07
Cesena
1.14
Ascoli
1.17
Latina
1.19
Novara
1.19
Virtus Entella
1.21
Vicenza Virtus
1.24
Ternana
1.26
Cittadella
1.29
Trapani
1.31
Avellino
1.31
Brescia
1.38
Avellino is 0.14 goals worse than Ascoli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Avellino
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Ascoli
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Avellino
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (41)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Frosinone
12.0
Hellas Verona
11.4
Carpi
10.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Frosinone
5.6
Carpi
5.4
Hellas Verona
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Frosinone
32.1
Carpi
31.9
Hellas Verona
31.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Avellino
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.40
0.33
1.27
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.28
0.84
0.17
0.33
0.38
1.31
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.71
0.86
0.56
0.44
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.58
0.73
0.82
0.69
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Avellino over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellino over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellino over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Avellino
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.77
0.40
0.73
0.27
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.28
0.80
0.33
0.83
0.23
0.77
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.50
0.79
0.56
0.88
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.17
0.33
1.33
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.75
0.55
0.64
0.54
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Avellino over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellino over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellino over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Avellino · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Raffaele Russo67%
Michele Besaggio33%
Brando Moruzzi33%
Armando Izzo0%
Tommaso Cancellotti0%
Andrea Favilli0%
Lorenco Šimić0%
Luca Palmiero0%
Tommaso Biasci0%
Martin Palumbo0%
Tommaso Martinelli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michele Besaggio67%
Armando Izzo33%
Lorenco Šimić33%
Brando Moruzzi33%
Tommaso Cancellotti0%
Andrea Favilli0%
Luca Palmiero0%
Tommaso Biasci0%
Raffaele Russo0%
Martin Palumbo0%
Tommaso Martinelli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrea Favilli33%
Martin Palumbo33%
Armando Izzo0%
Tommaso Cancellotti0%
Lorenco Šimić0%
Luca Palmiero0%
Tommaso Biasci0%
Raffaele Russo0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Tommaso Martinelli0%
Brando Moruzzi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tommaso Biasci33%
Martin Palumbo33%
Armando Izzo0%
Tommaso Cancellotti0%
Andrea Favilli0%
Lorenco Šimić0%
Luca Palmiero0%
Raffaele Russo0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Tommaso Martinelli0%
Brando Moruzzi0%
Ascoli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrea Silipo67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoul Guiebre67%
Giovanni Corradini67%
Simone D'Uffizi67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Marcos Curado33%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuele Damiani33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Amine Chakir33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amine Chakir67%
Andrea Silipo33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Simone D'Uffizi0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRO (33)
€84m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CES (32)
€28m
AVE (27)
€26m
BEN (30)
€12m
VV (26)
€11m
SPE (34)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
BAR (22)
€8m
Avellino's squad is €15m more valuable than Ascoli's (€26m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRO (8)
€34m
PIS (13)
€24m
HV (10)
€13m
CES (10)
€10m
AVE (10)
€6m
ASC (11)
€5m
BEN (8)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
VE (7)
€3m
VV (6)
€2m
BAR (6)
€2m
Avellino and Ascoli have a similar attack value (both €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
HV (9)
€14m
AVE (6)
€9m
VE (11)
€6m
CES (9)
€5m
VV (12)
€5m
SPE (11)
€4m
BEN (9)
€3m
BAR (6)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
Avellino's midfield is €6m more valuable than Ascoli's (€9m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HV (15)
€30m
FRO (14)
€24m
PIS (14)
€22m
CES (13)
€12m
AVE (11)
€11m
BEN (13)
€5m
SPE (13)
€4m
VV (8)
€4m
BAR (10)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Avellino's defence is €9m more valuable than Ascoli's (€11m vs €3m).
Italy: Serie B 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Spal
Hellas Verona
Frosinone
Benevento
Perugia
Cittadella
Spezia
Virtus Entella
Salernitana
Cesena
Bari
Brescia
Ternana
Vicenza Virtus
Pisa