This opponent (Bari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.16
1.54
0.92
0.83
1.42
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
1.20
1.00
1.44
0.78
0.83
1.33
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
1.44
1.75
1.25
0.80
1.60
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.2%
Under 1.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.9%
Under 2.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.3%
No
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.1%
Avellino goals ↓
Bari goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
6.3%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.9%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.6%
9.5%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
3
5.1%
5.1%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Avellino goals (down), columns = Bari goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Cagliari
1.98
Crotone
1.95
Trapani
1.74
Pescara
1.71
Cesena
1.62
Bari
1.62
Novara
1.60
Spezia
1.57
Virtus Entella
1.52
Perugia
1.31
Brescia
1.29
Ternana
1.26
Avellino
1.17
Vicenza Virtus
1.17
Virtus
1.14
Ascoli
1.12
Latina
1.10
Pro Vercelli
1.10
Salernitana
1.07
Livorno
1.00
Modena
1.00
Como
0.79
Avellino is 0.45 points worse than Bari in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Cagliari
1.83
Pescara
1.64
Trapani
1.52
Crotone
1.45
Bari
1.38
Cesena
1.36
Novara
1.36
Brescia
1.31
Avellino
1.24
Virtus Entella
1.21
Ternana
1.19
Salernitana
1.14
Spezia
1.12
Ascoli
1.07
Livorno
1.07
Latina
1.05
Pro Vercelli
1.02
Virtus
1.02
Vicenza Virtus
0.98
Perugia
0.95
Como
0.93
Modena
0.88
Avellino is 0.14 goals worse than Bari in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Novara
0.83
Crotone
0.86
Cesena
0.88
Perugia
0.95
Virtus Entella
0.95
Cagliari
0.98
Spezia
1.07
Bari
1.14
Trapani
1.17
Latina
1.21
Pescara
1.24
Pro Vercelli
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Modena
1.31
Ternana
1.33
Virtus
1.33
Livorno
1.36
Salernitana
1.45
Como
1.52
Ascoli
1.52
Brescia
1.52
Avellino
1.57
Avellino is 0.43 goals worse than Bari in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Avellino
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Bari
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Avellino
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Bari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Not collected for this league yet.
🟨 Total Cards
Not collected for this league yet.
⚠️ Total Fouls
Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Avellino
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.72
0.75
0.58
0.38
0.85
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.79
0.67
0.56
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
48% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.44
0.64
0.62
0.38
0.25
0.92
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.60
0.67
0.44
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (9)
0.33
0.78
0.50
0.25
0.20
1.20
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Avellino over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellino over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellino over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Avellino
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.96
0.76
1.00
0.58
0.92
0.92
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (19)
1.05
0.84
1.11
0.67
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
44% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.76
0.52
0.92
0.54
0.58
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.40
0.78
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.67
1.25
1.00
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
64% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Avellino over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellino over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellino over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Avellino · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Raffaele Russo67%
Michele Besaggio33%
Brando Moruzzi33%
Armando Izzo0%
Tommaso Cancellotti0%
Andrea Favilli0%
Lorenco Šimić0%
Luca Palmiero0%
Tommaso Biasci0%
Martin Palumbo0%
Tommaso Martinelli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michele Besaggio67%
Armando Izzo33%
Lorenco Šimić33%
Brando Moruzzi33%
Tommaso Cancellotti0%
Andrea Favilli0%
Luca Palmiero0%
Tommaso Biasci0%
Raffaele Russo0%
Martin Palumbo0%
Tommaso Martinelli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrea Favilli33%
Martin Palumbo33%
Armando Izzo0%
Tommaso Cancellotti0%
Lorenco Šimić0%
Luca Palmiero0%
Tommaso Biasci0%
Raffaele Russo0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Tommaso Martinelli0%
Brando Moruzzi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tommaso Biasci33%
Martin Palumbo33%
Armando Izzo0%
Tommaso Cancellotti0%
Andrea Favilli0%
Lorenco Šimić0%
Luca Palmiero0%
Raffaele Russo0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Tommaso Martinelli0%
Brando Moruzzi0%
Bari · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Moncini28%
Emanuele Rao14%
Kevin Piscopo13%
Nicola Bellomo13%
Christian Gytkjær12%
Giulio Maggiore10%
Leonardo Cerri10%
Federico Artioli8%
Matthias Verreth7%
Gaetano Castrovilli6%
Marvin Çuni6%
Cas Odenthal6%
Lorenzo Dickmann4%
Mehdi Dorval3%
Gastón Pereiro0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Dimitrios Nikolaou0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Raffaele Pucino0%
Giuseppe Sibilli0%
Anthony Partipilo0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Matthias Braunöder0%
Tomás Esteves0%
Ebrima Darboe0%
Riccardo Burgio0%
Moussa Mane0%
Nicolò Cavuoti0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Daouda Traore0%
Giacomo Stabile0%
Sheriff Kassama0%
Giacomo De Pieri0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ebrima Darboe33%
Giacomo Stabile33%
Federico Artioli31%
Giacomo De Pieri27%
Andrea Meroni25%
Anthony Partipilo25%
Gaetano Castrovilli24%
Cas Odenthal22%
Francesco Vicari20%
Kevin Piscopo20%
Raffaele Pucino19%
Andrea Cistana18%
Giulio Maggiore17%
Giuseppe Sibilli17%
Sheriff Kassama17%
Dimitrios Nikolaou15%
Matthias Braunöder15%
Lorenzo Dickmann14%
Mehdi Dorval14%
Nicola Bellomo13%
Marvin Çuni12%
Daouda Traore11%
Emanuele Rao9%
Michele Cerofolini8%
Matthias Verreth7%
Valerio Mantovani6%
Tomás Esteves6%
Moussa Mane6%
Gabriele Moncini5%
Gastón Pereiro0%
Christian Gytkjær0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Riccardo Burgio0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nicolò Cavuoti0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mehdi Dorval17%
Nicolò Cavuoti14%
Lorenzo Dickmann11%
Federico Artioli8%
Matthias Verreth7%
Mirko Antonucci7%
Tomás Esteves6%
Andrea Cistana6%
Matthias Braunöder6%
Emanuele Rao6%
Gabriele Moncini5%
Riccardo Pagano4%
Dimitrios Nikolaou4%
Giulio Maggiore3%
Gastón Pereiro0%
Christian Gytkjær0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Gaetano Castrovilli0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Raffaele Pucino0%
Giuseppe Sibilli0%
Kevin Piscopo0%
Anthony Partipilo0%
Nicola Bellomo0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Cas Odenthal0%
Ebrima Darboe0%
Riccardo Burgio0%
Marvin Çuni0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Moussa Mane0%
Daouda Traore0%
Giacomo Stabile0%
Sheriff Kassama0%
Giacomo De Pieri0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nicolò Cavuoti14%
Marvin Çuni12%
Anthony Partipilo8%
Riccardo Pagano8%
Kevin Piscopo7%
Nicola Bellomo7%
Gabriele Moncini5%
Matthias Verreth4%
Giulio Maggiore3%
Emanuele Rao3%
Gastón Pereiro0%
Christian Gytkjær0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Lorenzo Dickmann0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Dimitrios Nikolaou0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Gaetano Castrovilli0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Raffaele Pucino0%
Giuseppe Sibilli0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Cas Odenthal0%
Matthias Braunöder0%
Tomás Esteves0%
Ebrima Darboe0%
Riccardo Burgio0%
Mehdi Dorval0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Federico Artioli0%
Moussa Mane0%
Daouda Traore0%
Giacomo Stabile0%
Sheriff Kassama0%
Giacomo De Pieri0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (34)
€488m
CAG (31)
€134m
MOD (28)
€31m
CES (32)
€28m
AVE (27)
€26m
VV (26)
€11m
SPE (34)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
BAR (22)
€8m
VIR (15)
€1m
Avellino's squad is €19m more valuable than Bari's (€26m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
CAG (11)
€51m
CES (10)
€10m
MOD (9)
€7m
AVE (10)
€6m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
VE (7)
€3m
VV (6)
€2m
BAR (6)
€2m
VIR (5)
€0m
Avellino's attack is €4m more valuable than Bari's (€6m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (7)
€83m
CAG (9)
€31m
MOD (9)
€11m
AVE (6)
€9m
VE (11)
€6m
CES (9)
€5m
VV (12)
€5m
SPE (11)
€4m
BAR (6)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
PES (6)
€1m
VIR (4)
€0m
Avellino's midfield is €6m more valuable than Bari's (€9m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (14)
€144m
CAG (11)
€52m
MOD (10)
€12m
CES (13)
€12m
AVE (11)
€11m
SPE (13)
€4m
VV (8)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
BAR (10)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
VIR (6)
€0m
Avellino's defence is €9m more valuable than Bari's (€11m vs €3m).
Italy: Serie B 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Cagliari
Pescara
Cesena
Spezia
Virtus Entella
Perugia
Brescia
Ternana
Vicenza Virtus
Virtus
Ascoli
Salernitana
Modena
Como