This opponent (Polonia Bytom) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polonia Bytom
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.17
1.04
2.64
0.73
1.75
1.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
-
-
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (17)
1.94
1.06
2.20
0.70
1.57
1.57
vs Weaker (4)
3.75
0.75
7.00
1.00
2.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
39% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Avia Świdnik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.9%
Under 1.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.2%
Under 2.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.5%
Under 3.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.4%
No
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.3%
0-1
4.9%
2-3
4.3%
Avia Świdnik goals ↓
Polonia Bytom goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
4.9%
5.3%
3.3%
1.5%
1
4.1%
10%
8.6%
5.3%
2.4%
2
4.1%
7.6%
7.0%
4.3%
2.0%
3
2.2%
4.1%
3.8%
2.3%
1.1%
4
0.9%
1.6%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Avia Świdnik goals (down), columns = Polonia Bytom goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Legia Warszawa
3.00
Ruch Chorzów
2.40
Olimpia Grudziądz
2.25
Pogon Szczecin
2.17
Stal Stalowa Wola
2.00
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
2.00
Hutnik Kraków
2.00
Jagiellonia
2.00
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
2.00
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Polonia Warszawa
2.00
Podbeskidzie
2.00
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Korona Kielce
1.75
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.60
Resovia Rzeszów
1.50
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1.50
ŁKS Łódź II
1.50
GKS Katowice
1.50
Radomiak Radom
1.50
Odra Opole
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.50
Zaglebie Lubin
1.33
Widzew Łódź
1.33
Arka Gdynia
1.00
Świt Skolwin
1.00
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Piast Gliwice
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Raków Częstochowa
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Stal Mielec
1.00
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Wieczysta Kraków
0.98
Flota Świnoujście
0.97
Łomża
0.97
Beskid
0.97
Goczałkowice Zdrój B
0.97
Korona Kielce II
0.97
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
0.97
Gryf Słupsk
0.97
Legia Warszawa II
0.97
Małapanew
0.97
Wikielec
0.97
Odra Bytom Odrzański
0.97
Miedź Legnica II
0.97
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
0.97
Polonia Środa
0.97
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
0.97
Avia Świdnik
0.50
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.50
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.00
Kalisz
0.00
Olimpia Elbląg
0.00
Nieciecza
0.00
Jastrzębie
0.00
Wisła Puławy
0.00
Zagłębie Lubin II
0.00
Tychy 71
0.00
Znicz Pruszków
0.00
Gornik Zabrze
0.00
SKRA Częstochowa
0.00
Stal Rzeszów
0.00
Chrobry Głogów
0.00
Lech Poznan
0.00
Wisla Plock
0.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.00
Avia Świdnik is 1.50 points worse than Polonia Bytom in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Legia Warszawa
3.40
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3.00
Hutnik Kraków
3.00
Stal Stalowa Wola
2.50
Olimpia Grudziądz
2.50
Wisla Krakow
2.50
Odra Opole
2.50
Jagiellonia
2.33
Pogon Szczecin
2.33
Olimpia Elbląg
2.00
Wisła Puławy
2.00
ŁKS Łódź II
2.00
Tychy 71
2.00
Znicz Pruszków
2.00
Zaglebie Lubin
2.00
Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.00
Cracovia Krakow
2.00
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Polonia Warszawa
2.00
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Ruch Chorzów
1.80
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Resovia Rzeszów
1.50
Avia Świdnik
1.50
GKS Katowice
1.50
Korona Kielce
1.25
Wieczysta Kraków
1.21
Flota Świnoujście
1.20
Łomża
1.20
Beskid
1.20
Goczałkowice Zdrój B
1.20
Korona Kielce II
1.20
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1.20
Gryf Słupsk
1.20
Legia Warszawa II
1.20
Małapanew
1.20
Wikielec
1.20
Odra Bytom Odrzański
1.20
Miedź Legnica II
1.20
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
1.20
Polonia Środa
1.20
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
1.20
Nieciecza
1.00
Arka Gdynia
1.00
Zagłębie Lubin II
1.00
Świt Skolwin
1.00
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Piast Gliwice
1.00
SKRA Częstochowa
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.00
Stal Mielec
1.00
Podbeskidzie
1.00
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Chrobry Głogów
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.80
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.50
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Radomiak Radom
0.50
Warta Poznań
0.50
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.00
Kalisz
0.00
Jastrzębie
0.00
Gornik Zabrze
0.00
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Stal Rzeszów
0.00
Lech Poznan
0.00
Wisla Plock
0.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.00
Avia Świdnik is 0.50 goals worse than Polonia Bytom in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Podbeskidzie
0.00
Slask Wroclaw
0.50
Odra Opole
0.50
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.00
Arka Gdynia
1.00
Świt Skolwin
1.00
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Piast Gliwice
1.00
Gornik Zabrze
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Korona Kielce
1.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.00
Stal Mielec
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.00
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.00
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Miedz Legnica
1.00
Lech Poznan
1.00
Wisla Plock
1.00
Legia Warszawa
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Pogon Szczecin
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.20
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
1.33
Jagiellonia
1.33
Zaglebie Lubin
1.33
Widzew Łódź
1.33
Stal Stalowa Wola
1.50
Resovia Rzeszów
1.50
Hutnik Kraków
1.50
GKS Katowice
1.50
Polonia Warszawa
1.50
Radomiak Radom
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.50
Wieczysta Kraków
1.64
Flota Świnoujście
1.66
Łomża
1.66
Beskid
1.66
Goczałkowice Zdrój B
1.66
Korona Kielce II
1.66
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1.66
Gryf Słupsk
1.66
Legia Warszawa II
1.66
Małapanew
1.66
Wikielec
1.66
Odra Bytom Odrzański
1.66
Miedź Legnica II
1.66
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
1.66
Polonia Środa
1.66
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
1.66
Olimpia Grudziądz
1.75
Kalisz
2.00
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2.00
Nieciecza
2.00
Jastrzębie
2.00
ŁKS Łódź II
2.00
Wisla Krakow
2.00
SKRA Częstochowa
2.00
Cracovia Krakow
2.00
Chrobry Głogów
2.00
Pogoń Siedlce
2.00
Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.33
Avia Świdnik
2.50
Wisła Puławy
3.00
Znicz Pruszków
3.00
Stal Rzeszów
3.00
Olimpia Elbląg
4.00
Zagłębie Lubin II
4.00
Tychy 71
4.00
Avia Świdnik is 1.50 goals worse than Polonia Bytom in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Avia Świdnik or Draw✓ Hit
57.4%
Avg Implied -
33%
24%
43%
covers Avia Świdnik + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Avia Świdnik or Polonia Bytom✓ Hit
75.8%
Avg Implied -
33%
24%
43%
covers Avia Świdnik + Polonia Bytom
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Polonia Bytom✗ Miss
66.7%
Avg Implied -
33%
24%
43%
covers Draw + Polonia Bytom
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Avia Świdnik over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.1%
Under
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avia Świdnik over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
48.0%
Under
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avia Świdnik over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
22.1%
Under
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avia Świdnik over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
8.1%
Under
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Bytom over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.2%
Under
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Bytom over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
55.0%
Under
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Bytom over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
28.1%
Under
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Bytom over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.6%
Under
88.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Avia Świdnik, so a minus line means Avia Świdnik give that many goals of a start and Polonia Bytom receive them. At -1, Avia Świdnik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Avia Świdnik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Avia Świdnik)Actual: Draw
Avia Świdnik -2
6.6%
Draw -2
10.0%
Polonia Bytom +2
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Avia Świdnik)Actual: Avia Świdnik
Avia Świdnik -1
16.7%
Draw -1
16.6%
Polonia Bytom +1
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Avia Świdnik)Actual: Avia Świdnik
Avia Świdnik +1
57.4%
Draw +1
19.0%
Polonia Bytom -1
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Avia Świdnik)Actual: Avia Świdnik
Avia Świdnik +2
76.4%
Draw +2
13.1%
Polonia Bytom -2
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Avia Świdnik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Bytom) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polonia Bytom
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.35
1.36
0.45
1.00
0.25
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (17)
1.00
0.41
1.20
0.50
0.71
0.29
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
65% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Avia Świdnik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Avia Świdnik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avia Świdnik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avia Świdnik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Bytom over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Bytom over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Bytom over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Avia Świdnik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.25
0.50
1.25
0.50
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
1.25
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
75% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Bytom) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polonia Bytom
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.70
1.27
0.27
0.75
1.08
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.94
0.65
1.00
0.20
0.86
1.29
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.75
4.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Avia Świdnik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Avia Świdnik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avia Świdnik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avia Świdnik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Bytom over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Bytom over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Bytom over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
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Poland: I Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →