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Ayia Napa vs Doxa Result & Analysis

Date: 28/02/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 1-2
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Vs
25%
30%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Doxa
Doxa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ayia Napa win✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Doxa win✓ Hit
45.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W21W02L11D22D20W02L32W02L00DH·ETH13/12A·HAL20/12H·NEA03/01A·ASI10/01A·OMO17/01A·MEA24/01H·KAR31/01A·ASI08/02H·NEA14/02A·PAE21/02
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.231.000.931.561.50
vs Stronger (26)1.311.271.000.851.621.69
vs Similar (4)1.251.001.002.001.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DoxaDoxa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L40W01L20W11D02L02L21W02L12LH·PAE14/12A·SPA20/12H·KAR04/01A·ETH11/01H·KAR16/01A·ASI24/01H·NEA30/01A·PAE07/02H·MEA14/02H·OMO21/02
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.401.001.121.711.71
vs Stronger (24)1.381.331.081.081.671.58
vs Similar (6)1.171.670.751.252.002.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.6%
Under 1.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.9%
Under 2.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.5%
Under 3.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.1%
No
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
11.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-2 ✓
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.5%
Ayia Napa goals ↓
Doxa goals →
01234
011%12%9.1%4.2%1.4%
18.1%14%8.7%4.0%1.4%
24.5%6.1%4.2%1.9%0.6%
31.4%1.9%1.3%0.6%0.2%
40.3%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ayia Napa goals (down), columns = Doxa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
Ayia Napa is 0.03 points worse than Doxa in terms of average points per game (1.41 vs 1.45).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
Ayia Napa is 0.28 goals better than Doxa in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
Ayia Napa is 0.28 goals worse than Doxa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D02L10W12L00D00D12L01L00DH·ETH13/12A·HAL20/12H·NEA03/01A·ASI10/01A·OMO17/01A·MEA24/01H·KAR31/01A·ASI08/02H·NEA14/02A·PAE21/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.730.290.430.691.00
vs Stronger (26)0.460.730.230.380.691.08
vs Similar (4)0.750.751.001.000.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DoxaDoxa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D20W11D01L01L11D02L01LH·PAE14/12A·SPA20/12H·KAR04/01A·ETH11/01H·KAR16/01A·ASI24/01H·NEA30/01A·PAE07/02H·MEA14/02H·OMO21/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.560.620.500.71
vs Stronger (24)0.500.580.500.580.500.58
vs Similar (6)0.671.000.750.750.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W00D01L10W20W02L20W01L00DH·ETH13/12A·HAL20/12H·NEA03/01A·ASI10/01A·OMO17/01A·MEA24/01H·KAR31/01A·ASI08/02H·NEA14/02A·PAE21/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.500.710.500.880.50
vs Stronger (26)0.850.540.770.460.920.62
vs Similar (4)0.500.250.001.000.670.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DoxaDoxa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D40W01L00D00D01L01L10W00D11DH·PAE14/12A·SPA20/12H·KAR04/01A·ETH11/01H·KAR16/01A·ASI24/01H·NEA30/01A·PAE07/02H·MEA14/02H·OMO21/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.440.501.211.00
vs Stronger (24)0.880.750.580.501.171.00
vs Similar (6)0.500.670.000.501.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Doxa · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikola Trujić50%
Ernest Asante40%
Dimitar Velkovski20%
Marios Antoniadis0%
Mesca0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Duško Trajčevski0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikola Trujić75%
Mesca33%
Bryan Alceus25%
Marios Antoniadis20%
Duško Trajčevski20%
Ernest Asante20%
Simranjit Thandi20%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Guessouma Fofana33%
Marios Antoniadis20%
Dimitar Velkovski20%
Mesca0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Duško Trajčevski0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Nikola Trujić0%
Ernest Asante0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Trujić50%
Marios Antoniadis0%
Mesca0%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Duško Trajčevski0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Ernest Asante0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
Ayia Napa and Doxa have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
Ayia Napa and Doxa have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
Ayia Napa and Doxa have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
AN wins
2
Draws
0
DOX wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ayia Napa vs Doxa · H/A from AN
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25ADoxa Vs AN1-1
05/04/25ADoxa Vs AN0-1
15/02/25HAN Vs Doxa1-1
09/11/24ADoxa Vs AN0-1

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/26APAEEK Vs AN0-0
14/02/26HAN Vs Nea Salamis0-2
08/02/26AASIL Lysi Vs AN2-3
31/01/26HAN Vs Karmiotissa0-2
24/01/26AMEAP Nisou Vs AN0-2
17/01/26AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs AN2-2
10/01/26AASIL Lysi Vs AN1-1
03/01/26HAN Vs Nea Salamis0-2
20/12/25AHalkanoras Vs AN1-2
13/12/25HAN Vs Ethnikos Latsion2-0

DoxaDoxa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/26HDOX Vs Omonia 29is Maiou1-2
14/02/26HDOX Vs MEAP Nisou0-2
07/02/26APAEEK Vs DOX1-2
30/01/26HDOX Vs Nea Salamis0-2
24/01/26AASIL Lysi Vs DOX2-0
16/01/26HDOX Vs Karmiotissa1-1
11/01/26AEthnikos Latsion Vs DOX0-2
04/01/26HDOX Vs Karmiotissa0-1
20/12/25ASpartakos Kitiou Vs DOX0-4
14/12/25HDOX Vs PAEEK0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.44
HomeDWLLL1.43
AwayDDWWD1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%39%41%
AVG goals2.381.832.85
Over 1.5 %70%61%78%
Over 2.5 %42%26%56%
Over 3.5 %20%9%30%
Scored1.100.871.30
Conceded1.280.961.56
BTTS46%30%59%
Clean Sheet28%39%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Doxa
Doxa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.42
HomeLDLLL1.42
AwayDWWLW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%42%42%
AVG goals2.602.422.79
Over 1.5 %76%73%79%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %22%19%25%
Scored1.401.381.42
Conceded1.201.041.38
BTTS46%38%54%
Clean Sheet30%35%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2221.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0022.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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