The model favours an away win, with a 46% chance for Enosis, 28% for a draw and 26% for Ayia Napa. The expected total goals hover around 2.6, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.5% probability. Ayia Napa, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.23 goals scored and 1.46 conceded, while Enosis, in away form, is expected to score and concede in line with the opponent’s strength tier. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.7%), Under 5.5 (95.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (93.5%), Home under 2.5 goals (90.7%), Away +2 handicap (89.7%) and Under 4.5 (88.3%). Ayia Napa are on a two-game winning run, having beaten Doxa 3-0, while Enosis come off a 0-0 draw with Krasava Ypsonas. The match is likely to be tightly contested, with Enosis holding the edge.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ayia Napa win
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Enosis win
42.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ayia Napa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.47
1.21
1.50
1.56
1.44
vs Stronger (26)
1.35
1.54
1.23
1.46
1.46
1.62
vs Similar (4)
1.75
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Enosis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Enosis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
2.47
0.33
2.07
0.40
2.87
vs Stronger (19)
0.16
2.58
0.25
2.12
0.09
2.91
vs Similar (11)
0.73
2.27
0.43
2.00
1.25
2.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.1%
Ayia Napa goals ↓
Enosis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
10%
7.9%
3.7%
1.3%
1
7.9%
14%
8.8%
4.1%
1.4%
2
5.1%
7.0%
4.9%
2.3%
0.8%
3
1.9%
2.6%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ayia Napa goals (down), columns = Enosis goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Ayia Napa is 1.02 points worse than Enosis in terms of average points per game (1.41 vs 2.44).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ayia Napa is 0.95 goals worse than Enosis in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 2.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
APEA
1.31
Digenis Morphou
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
Ayia Napa is 0.72 goals worse than Enosis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 0.76).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ayia Napa or Draw
58.0%
Avg Implied -
29%
29%
42%
covers Ayia Napa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa or Enosis
70.8%
Avg Implied -
29%
29%
42%
covers Ayia Napa + Enosis
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Enosis
71.2%
Avg Implied -
29%
29%
42%
covers Draw + Enosis
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5
Over
67.0%
Under
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5
Over
30.5%
Under
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5
Over
10.2%
Under
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 0.5
Over
75.0%
Under
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 1.5
Over
40.4%
Under
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 2.5
Over
16.4%
Under
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 3.5
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ayia Napa, so a minus line means Ayia Napa give that many goals of a start and Enosis receive them. At -1, Ayia Napa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ayia Napa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ayia Napa)
Ayia Napa -2
3.6%
Draw -2
8.2%
Enosis +2
88.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ayia Napa)
Ayia Napa -1
11.8%
Draw -1
17.0%
Enosis +1
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ayia Napa)
Ayia Napa +1
58.0%
Draw +1
21.5%
Enosis -1
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ayia Napa)
Ayia Napa +2
79.5%
Draw +2
12.9%
Enosis -2
7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ayia Napa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.00
0.43
0.93
0.62
1.06
vs Stronger (26)
0.54
1.08
0.46
1.00
0.62
1.15
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Enosis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Enosis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.17
0.93
0.13
0.80
0.20
1.07
vs Stronger (19)
0.11
0.95
0.25
0.88
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.27
0.91
0.00
0.71
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ayia Napa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.47
0.79
0.57
0.94
0.38
vs Stronger (26)
0.81
0.46
0.77
0.46
0.85
0.46
vs Similar (4)
1.25
0.50
1.00
2.00
1.33
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Enosis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Enosis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
1.53
0.20
1.27
0.20
1.80
vs Stronger (19)
0.05
1.63
0.00
1.25
0.09
1.91
vs Similar (11)
0.45
1.36
0.43
1.29
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Enosis · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Demir Imeri33%
João Cesco17%
André Jordy Ella14%
Marco Krainz0%
Panagiotis Panagiotou0%
Loizos Kosmas0%
Spyros Risvanis0%
Emanuel Šakić0%
Marko Simonovski0%
Alen Kozar0%
Gal Kurež0%
Adebayo Adeleye0%
Emmanuel Okeke0%
Antonis Katsiaris0%
Dimitris Solomou0%
Zurab Museliani0%
Symeon Solomou0%
Christos Kyzas0%
Michalis Charalampous0%
Sean Ioannou0%
Jimmy Kazan0%
Jonas Goldschadt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marco Krainz75%
Loizos Kosmas57%
Antonis Katsiaris43%
Panagiotis Panagiotou40%
Demir Imeri33%
Alen Kozar25%
Emmanuel Okeke25%
Jonas Goldschadt25%
Emanuel Šakić17%
João Cesco17%
Symeon Solomou17%
Christos Kyzas17%
André Jordy Ella14%
Michalis Charalampous14%
Jimmy Kazan14%
Spyros Risvanis0%
Marko Simonovski0%
Gal Kurež0%
Adebayo Adeleye0%
Dimitris Solomou0%
Zurab Museliani0%
Sean Ioannou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marco Krainz25%
Panagiotis Panagiotou0%
Loizos Kosmas0%
Spyros Risvanis0%
Emanuel Šakić0%
Marko Simonovski0%
Demir Imeri0%
Alen Kozar0%
Gal Kurež0%
Adebayo Adeleye0%
Emmanuel Okeke0%
Antonis Katsiaris0%
João Cesco0%
Dimitris Solomou0%
Zurab Museliani0%
Symeon Solomou0%
Christos Kyzas0%
André Jordy Ella0%
Michalis Charalampous0%
Sean Ioannou0%
Jimmy Kazan0%
Jonas Goldschadt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marco Krainz0%
Panagiotis Panagiotou0%
Loizos Kosmas0%
Spyros Risvanis0%
Emanuel Šakić0%
Marko Simonovski0%
Demir Imeri0%
Alen Kozar0%
Gal Kurež0%
Adebayo Adeleye0%
Emmanuel Okeke0%
Antonis Katsiaris0%
João Cesco0%
Dimitris Solomou0%
Zurab Museliani0%
Symeon Solomou0%
Christos Kyzas0%
André Jordy Ella0%
Michalis Charalampous0%
Sean Ioannou0%
Jimmy Kazan0%
Jonas Goldschadt0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
Ayia Napa's squad is €1m less valuable than Enosis's (€0m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
Ayia Napa and Enosis have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
Ayia Napa and Enosis have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
Ayia Napa and Enosis have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Doxa
Digenis Morphou
Spartakos Kitiou
Ethnikos Achna
Anagennisi Deryneia
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Halkanoras
Polemidion
APEA
ASIL Lysi
Akritas
Ermis
PAEEK
MEAP Nisou