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Ayia Napa vs MEAP Nisou Result & Analysis

Date: 25/11/2023
Time: 12:30
Final 0-1
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Vs
38%
33%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ayia Napa win✗ Miss
37.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou win✓ Hit
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D11D03L32W02L00D01L03L00DH·ERM22/04A·KRA29/04H·KRA16/09A·AHI23/09H·PAE30/09A·OMO08/10H·OLY21/10A·OMO28/10H·PEY04/11A·ASI12/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.471.131.200.471.73
vs Stronger (30)0.801.471.131.200.471.73
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W44D01L00D12L12L10W02L11D10WA·OMO22/04H·AHI29/04A·OLY16/09H·DIG23/09A·OMO30/09H·ERM07/10A·PEY21/10H·AKR28/10A·ASI04/11H·KRA11/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.500.731.670.671.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.691.520.731.670.641.36
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
62.9%
Under 1.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.5%
Under 2.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.8%
Under 3.5
84.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.9%
No
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
12.7%
0-1 ✓
10.6%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.7%
Ayia Napa goals ↓
MEAP Nisou goals →
01234
014%11%5.7%1.8%0.4%
113%15%6.4%2.1%0.5%
27.8%7.5%3.6%1.2%0.3%
32.9%2.8%1.3%0.4%0.1%
40.8%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ayia Napa goals (down), columns = MEAP Nisou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Omonia Aradippou
2.10
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.00
Olympiakos
1.86
Enosis
1.86
Digenis Morphou
1.76
PAEEK
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.52
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
Akritas
1.21
MEAP Nisou
1.14
Peyia
1.10
Ayia Napa
1.03
ENAD
0.90
Ermis
0.69
Xylotympou
0.69
Ayia Napa is 0.10 points worse than MEAP Nisou in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PAEEK
1.62
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.59
Omonia Aradippou
1.59
Enosis
1.52
Olympiakos
1.48
Digenis Morphou
1.41
Krasava Ypsonas
1.34
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Ayia Napa
1.21
Akritas
1.21
Peyia
1.14
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
ENAD
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Ermis
0.97
Xylotympou
0.97
Ayia Napa is 0.21 goals better than MEAP Nisou in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Aradippou
0.66
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.72
Olympiakos
0.72
Digenis Morphou
1.00
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
Enosis
1.14
Akritas
1.14
PAEEK
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.31
ENAD
1.41
Peyia
1.52
Ayia Napa
1.79
Xylotympou
1.90
Ermis
2.41
Ayia Napa is 0.48 goals worse than MEAP Nisou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D01L21W02L00D00D01L00DH·ERM22/04A·KRA29/04H·KRA16/09A·AHI23/09H·PAE30/09A·OMO08/10H·OLY21/10A·OMO28/10H·PEY04/11A·ASI12/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.730.600.600.270.87
vs Stronger (30)0.430.730.600.600.270.87
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D01L00D12L01L00D01L10W00DA·OMO22/04H·AHI29/04A·OLY16/09H·DIG23/09A·OMO30/09H·ERM07/10A·PEY21/10H·AKR28/10A·ASI04/11H·KRA11/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.700.330.870.200.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.240.720.330.870.140.57
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L11D02L11D00D00D01L02L00DH·ERM22/04A·KRA29/04H·KRA16/09A·AHI23/09H·PAE30/09A·OMO08/10H·OLY21/10A·OMO28/10H·PEY04/11A·ASI12/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.630.530.600.270.67
vs Stronger (30)0.400.630.530.600.270.67
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W22D00D00D00D11D10W01L01L10WA·OMO22/04H·AHI29/04A·OLY16/09H·DIG23/09A·OMO30/09H·ERM07/10A·PEY21/10H·AKR28/10A·ASI04/11H·KRA11/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.800.400.800.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.450.790.400.800.500.79
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
O2M (10)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
PAE (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
AN wins
1
Draws
0
MN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ayia Napa vs MEAP Nisou · H/A from AN
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/22HAN Vs MEAP Nisou1-1

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/23AASIL Lysi Vs AN0-0
04/11/23HAN Vs Peyia0-3
28/10/23AOmonia Aradippou Vs AN1-0
21/10/23HAN Vs Olympiakos0-0
08/10/23AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs AN2-0
30/09/23HAN Vs PAEEK3-2
23/09/23AAhironas / Onisilos Vs AN3-0
16/09/23HAN Vs Krasava Ypsonas1-1
29/04/23AKrasava Ypsonas Vs AN1-1
22/04/23HAN Vs Ermis1-0

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/11/23HMN Vs Krasava Ypsonas1-0
04/11/23AASIL Lysi Vs MN1-1
28/10/23HMN Vs Akritas0-2
21/10/23APeyia Vs MN0-1
07/10/23HMN Vs Ermis1-2
30/09/23AOmonia Aradippou Vs MN2-1
23/09/23HMN Vs Digenis Morphou0-0
16/09/23AOlympiakos Vs MN1-0
29/04/23HMN Vs Ahironas / Onisilos4-4
22/04/23AOmonia Aradippou Vs MN0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLD1.14
HomeWDWDL1.53
AwayDLLLD0.78
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%41%22%
AVG goals2.262.292.22
Over 1.5 %71%71%72%
Over 2.5 %37%35%39%
Over 3.5 %11%12%11%
Scored0.971.240.72
Conceded1.291.061.50
BTTS31%47%17%
Clean Sheet34%41%28%
Corners---
Cards---
MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDW1.11
HomeDDLLW0.61
AwayWLLWD1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%17%47%
AVG goals2.112.281.95
Over 1.5 %46%56%37%
Over 2.5 %35%44%26%
Over 3.5 %16%11%21%
Scored0.780.720.84
Conceded1.321.561.11
BTTS32%39%26%
Clean Sheet30%17%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou2961
62%
2.1
4619+27
2.2
66%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.60.7
-
2Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2958
59%
2.0
4621+25
2.3
76%
38%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0021.60.7
-
3OlympiakosOlympiakos2954
55%
1.9
4321+22
2.2
66%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.50.7
-
4EnosisEnosis2954
55%
1.9
4433+11
2.7
79%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2951
52%
1.8
4129+12
2.4
66%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
6PAEEKPAEEK2946
45%
1.6
4734+13
2.8
83%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2944
41%
1.5
3936+3
2.6
76%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.2
-
8ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
41%
1.5
3636+0
2.5
79%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
9Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2936
28%
1.2
3232+0
2.2
69%
48%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
10AkritasAkritas2935
34%
1.2
3533+2
2.3
76%
48%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.1
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2933
28%
1.1
2938-9
2.3
66%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
12PeyiaPeyia2932
31%
1.1
3344-11
2.7
79%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
13Ayia NapaAyia Napa2930
28%
1.0
3552-17
3.0
79%
59%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
14ENADENAD2926
24%
0.9
3241-9
2.5
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15XylotympouXylotympou2920
14%
0.7
2855-27
2.9
72%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
16ErmisErmis2920
21%
0.7
2870-42
3.4
86%
69%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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