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Ayia Napa vs Spartakos Kitiou Result & Analysis

Date: 08/11/2025
Time: 12:30
Final 2-0
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Vs
35%
30%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spartakos Kitiou
Spartakos Kitiou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ayia Napa win✓ Hit
34.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou win✗ Miss
35.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W31W01L33D10W11D01L42W00D21WA·DOX05/04H·SPA12/04A·MEA26/04A·APE13/09H·AE 20/09A·DOX27/09H·OMO03/10A·IRA18/10H·PAE25/10A·DIG01/11
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.331.071.001.381.62
vs Stronger (23)1.171.481.000.911.332.00
vs Similar (7)1.430.861.331.331.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W13L34L20W11D32W12L22D01L00DH·HAL05/04A·AYI12/04H·ANA26/04A·AHI13/09H·MEA21/09A·HAL27/09H·ASI04/10A·AE 19/10H·OMO26/10A·PAE01/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.371.671.131.401.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.351.101.201.001.501.20
vs Weaker (10)1.901.902.601.401.202.40
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.4%
Under 1.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.1%
Under 2.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.0%
Under 3.5
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.0%
No
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0 ✓
6.4%
Ayia Napa goals ↓
Spartakos Kitiou goals →
01234
010.0%9.4%6.6%2.7%0.8%
19.3%14%8.0%3.3%1.0%
26.4%7.9%4.8%2.0%0.6%
32.6%3.2%2.0%0.8%0.2%
40.8%1.0%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ayia Napa goals (down), columns = Spartakos Kitiou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
Ayia Napa is 0.07 points better than Spartakos Kitiou in terms of average points per game (1.41 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
Ayia Napa and Spartakos Kitiou are level in goals scored per game (both 1.45).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
Ayia Napa is 0.24 goals worse than Spartakos Kitiou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 1.24).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L11D10W11D00D31W00D11DA·DOX05/04H·SPA12/04A·MEA26/04A·APE13/09H·AE 20/09A·DOX27/09H·OMO03/10A·IRA18/10H·PAE25/10A·DIG01/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.360.430.620.75
vs Stronger (23)0.480.650.360.360.580.92
vs Similar (7)0.570.430.330.670.750.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D11D00D11D21W11D11D00D00DH·HAL05/04A·AYI12/04H·ANA26/04A·AHI13/09H·MEA21/09A·HAL27/09H·ASI04/10A·AE 19/10H·OMO26/10A·PAE01/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.730.530.530.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.450.550.500.400.400.70
vs Weaker (10)1.000.901.200.800.801.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D22D00D00D01L11D00D10WA·DOX05/04H·SPA12/04A·MEA26/04A·APE13/09H·AE 20/09A·DOX27/09H·OMO03/10A·IRA18/10H·PAE25/10A·DIG01/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.710.570.750.88
vs Stronger (23)0.700.830.640.550.751.08
vs Similar (7)0.860.431.000.670.750.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W02L23L20W00D11D01L11D01L00DH·HAL05/04A·AYI12/04H·ANA26/04A·AHI13/09H·MEA21/09A·HAL27/09H·ASI04/10A·AE 19/10H·OMO26/10A·PAE01/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.700.930.600.870.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.900.550.700.601.100.50
vs Weaker (10)0.901.001.400.600.401.40
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
AN wins
0
Draws
1
SK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ayia Napa vs Spartakos Kitiou · H/A from AN
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25HAN Vs Spartakos Kitiou3-1
22/02/25ASpartakos Kitiou Vs AN4-1
05/10/24HAN Vs Spartakos Kitiou1-0

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/25ADigenis Morphou Vs AN1-2
25/10/25HAN Vs PAEEK0-0
18/10/25AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs AN2-4
03/10/25HAN Vs Omonia 29is Maiou0-1
27/09/25ADoxa Vs AN1-1
20/09/25HAN Vs AE Zakakiou1-0
13/09/25AAPEA Vs AN3-3
26/04/25AMEAP Nisou Vs AN1-0
12/04/25HAN Vs Spartakos Kitiou3-1
05/04/25ADoxa Vs AN0-1

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/25APAEEK Vs SK0-0
26/10/25HSK Vs Omonia 29is Maiou0-1
19/10/25AAE Zakakiou Vs SK2-2
04/10/25HSK Vs ASIL Lysi1-2
27/09/25AHalkanoras Vs SK2-3
21/09/25HSK Vs MEAP Nisou1-1
13/09/25AAhironas / Onisilos Vs SK0-2
26/04/25HSK Vs Anagennisi Deryneia3-4
12/04/25AAyia Napa Vs SK3-1
05/04/25HSK Vs Halkanoras2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW1.18
HomeWWWLD1.17
AwayLDDWW1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%29%35%
AVG goals2.782.622.92
Over 1.5 %74%67%81%
Over 2.5 %56%54%58%
Over 3.5 %28%29%27%
Scored1.141.041.23
Conceded1.641.581.69
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Spartakos Kitiou
Spartakos Kitiou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD1.31
HomeWLDLL1.61
AwayLWWDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%50%28%
AVG goals3.143.223.06
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %61%56%67%
Over 3.5 %42%28%56%
Scored1.581.831.33
Conceded1.561.391.72
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet22%28%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2221.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0022.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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