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Ayr Utd vs Partick Result & Analysis

Date: 26/05/2023
Time: 18:45
Final 0-5
Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
vs
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ayr Utd win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Partick win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W13L30W02L11D11D00D10W21W03LA·HAM18/03A·DUN21/03H·COV24/03A·ARB31/03H·MOR08/04A·PAR15/04H·QUE21/04H·RAI29/04A·INV05/05A·PAR19/05← ChampionshipPremiership →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.201.530.931.601.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.621.151.690.851.541.46
vs Weaker (4)1.251.500.501.502.001.50
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D22D22D20W22D22D43W40W30WH·AYR15/04H·AYR15/04A·HAM22/04A·HAM22/04H·ARB29/04A·RAI05/05A·RAI05/05H·QUE09/05A·QUE12/05H·AYR19/05← ChampionshipPremiership →
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.900.872.190.751.571.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.860.862.000.731.691.00
vs Weaker (2)2.501.005.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.61
Partick
2.50
Rangers
2.42
Aberdeen
1.50
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Motherwell
1.32
Livingston
1.21
ST Mirren
1.21
ST Johnstone
1.13
Kilmarnock
1.05
Ross County
0.93
Dundee Utd
0.82
Queen's Park
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.00
Ayr Utd is 2.50 points worse than Partick in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 2.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Partick
3.17
Celtic
3.00
Rangers
2.45
Heart Of Midlothian
1.66
Hibernian
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Aberdeen
1.47
Motherwell
1.39
ST Mirren
1.13
ST Johnstone
1.08
Dundee Utd
1.05
Ross County
1.00
Kilmarnock
0.97
Livingston
0.95
Ayr Utd
0.00
Ayr Utd is 3.17 goals worse than Partick in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 3.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.89
Rangers
0.97
Partick
1.00
Motherwell
1.34
Heart Of Midlothian
1.50
Hibernian
1.55
ST Johnstone
1.55
Ross County
1.57
Livingston
1.58
Aberdeen
1.58
ST Mirren
1.61
Kilmarnock
1.63
Dundee Utd
1.84
Queen's Park
4.00
Ayr Utd
4.00
Ayr Utd is 3.00 goals worse than Partick in terms of goals conceded per game (4.00 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

PartickPartick

For 6.6 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

16012210626656433737414168111061011A·RAIA·HAMH·AYRH·QUEH·RAIA·AYRH·HAMA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

100355521112111141810313225A·RAIA·HAMH·AYRH·QUEH·RAIA·AYRH·HAMA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.1 · Total 21.2

⚠️ Fouls

280791015971315161113121091131625162827251914A·RAIA·HAMH·AYRH·QUEH·RAIA·AYRH·HAMA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (37)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.69.611.61.20.81.519.818.720.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (46)10.69.611.61.30.91.719.818.720.9
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line71%57%86%14%8%21%36%29%43%
% under line29%43%14%86%92%79%64%71%57%
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.6
ST Mirren
11.1
Dundee Utd
10.7
Motherwell
10.7
Rangers
10.7
Ross County
10.4
Aberdeen
10.0
ST Johnstone
10.0
Hibernian
9.9
Heart Of Midlothian
9.9
Kilmarnock
9.8
Partick
9.8
Livingston
9.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Rangers
4.3
Hibernian
4.2
Aberdeen
4.2
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
Livingston
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
Ross County
3.9
ST Johnstone
3.8
Dundee Utd
3.8
Partick
3.5
ST Mirren
3.3
Kilmarnock
3.3
Celtic
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
26.7
Aberdeen
26.6
Livingston
25.1
Hibernian
24.5
Heart Of Midlothian
24.1
Ross County
24.1
ST Johnstone
24.0
Kilmarnock
23.9
ST Mirren
23.0
Dundee Utd
22.7
Rangers
21.4
Celtic
20.7
Partick
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
64.1%
Under 9.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.2%
Under 3.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.5%
Under 21.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D20W01L00D01L00D00D10W01LA·HAM18/03A·DUN21/03H·COV24/03A·ARB31/03H·MOR08/04A·PAR15/04H·QUE21/04H·RAI29/04A·INV05/05A·PAR19/05← ChampionshipPremiership →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.470.870.330.670.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.810.460.920.310.690.62
vs Weaker (4)0.500.500.500.500.500.50
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W11D11D10W11D11D21W30W10WH·AYR15/04H·AYR15/04A·HAM22/04A·HAM22/04H·ARB29/04A·RAI05/05A·RAI05/05H·QUE09/05A·QUE12/05H·AYR19/05← ChampionshipPremiership →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.300.750.190.860.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.790.320.670.200.920.46
vs Weaker (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W01L11D10W00D10W11D02LA·HAM18/03A·DUN21/03H·COV24/03A·ARB31/03H·MOR08/04A·PAR15/04H·QUE21/04H·RAI29/04A·INV05/05A·PAR19/05← ChampionshipPremiership →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.670.600.930.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.810.690.770.540.850.85
vs Weaker (4)0.751.000.001.001.501.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L11D11D10W11D11D22D10W20WH·AYR15/04H·AYR15/04A·HAM22/04A·HAM22/04H·ARB29/04A·RAI05/05A·RAI05/05H·QUE09/05A·QUE12/05H·AYR19/05← ChampionshipPremiership →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.571.440.560.710.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.070.541.330.530.770.54
vs Weaker (2)1.501.003.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls81.9%--------
Over 2.5 cards80.2%--------
Over 8.5 corners75.3%--------
Under 5.5 cards73.7%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Ayr Utd and Partick have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Ayr Utd and Partick have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
Ayr Utd and Partick have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Ayr Utd and Partick have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
AU wins
1
Draws
3
PAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ayr Utd vs Partick · H/A from AU
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/23APartick Vs AU3-0
15/04/23APartick Vs AU1-1
18/02/23HAU Vs Partick0-1
17/12/22APartick Vs AU3-2
25/10/22HAU Vs Partick4-2

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/23APartick Vs AU3-0
05/05/23AInverness CT Vs AU1-2
29/04/23HAU Vs Raith Rovers1-0
21/04/23HAU Vs Queen's Park0-0
15/04/23APartick Vs AU1-1
08/04/23HAU Vs Morton1-1
31/03/23AArbroath Vs AU2-0
24/03/23HAU Vs Cove Rangers3-0
21/03/23ADundee Vs AU3-1
18/03/23AHamilton Academical Vs AU0-2

PartickPartick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/23HPAR Vs Ayr Utd3-0
12/05/23AQueen's Park Vs PAR0-4
09/05/23HPAR Vs Queen's Park4-3
05/05/23ARaith Rvs Vs PAR2-2
05/05/23ARaith Rovers Vs PAR2-2
29/04/23HPAR Vs Arbroath2-0
22/04/23AHamilton Vs PAR2-2
22/04/23AHamilton Academical Vs PAR2-2
15/04/23HPAR Vs Ayr Utd1-1
15/04/23HPAR Vs Ayr1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWL1.57
HomeLWDDW1.56
AwayLLDWL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%39%47%
AVG goals2.892.503.26
Over 1.5 %81%67%95%
Over 2.5 %57%44%68%
Over 3.5 %38%33%42%
Scored1.651.561.74
Conceded1.240.941.53
BTTS54%44%63%
Clean Sheet30%39%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.66
HomeDDWWW2.00
AwayDDDDW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%62%33%
AVG goals3.143.422.83
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %66%73%58%
Over 3.5 %42%46%38%
Scored1.842.231.42
Conceded1.301.191.42
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet30%31%29%
Corners10.579.5711.57
Cards4.213.145.29

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3899
84%
2.6
11434+80
3.9
97%
76%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
116
5620413.00.9
-
2RangersRangers3892
76%
2.4
9337+56
3.4
92%
74%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
136
3844542.41.0
-
3AberdeenAberdeen3857
47%
1.5
5660-4
3.1
76%
61%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
4471.51.6
-
4Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3854
39%
1.4
6357+6
3.2
87%
63%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
22
12461.71.5
-
5HibernianHibernian3852
39%
1.4
5759-2
3.1
76%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
20
7851.51.6
-
6MotherwellMotherwell3850
37%
1.3
5351+2
2.7
82%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
10151.41.3
-
7ST MirrenST Mirren3846
32%
1.2
4361-18
2.7
76%
55%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
1331.11.6
-
8LivingstonLivingston3846
34%
1.2
3660-24
2.5
79%
47%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.91.6
-
9ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3843
32%
1.1
4159-18
2.6
76%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.6
-
10KilmarnockKilmarnock3840
29%
1.1
3762-25
2.6
74%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3231.01.6
-
11Ross CountyRoss County4037
25%
0.9
4063-23
2.6
75%
45%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.6
-
12Dundee UtdDundee Utd3831
21%
0.8
4070-30
2.9
79%
58%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
4341.11.8
-
13PartickPartick615
83%
2.5
196+13
4.2
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1113.21.0
-
14QueenQueen's Park20
0%
0.0
38-5
5.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.54.0
-
15Ayr UtdAyr Utd20
0%
0.0
08-8
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.04.0
-
Scotland: Premiership 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

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