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Ayr vs Raith Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 07/09/2021
Time: 18:00
Final 0-2
A
Ayr
Vs
28%
31%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ayr win✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 35.2% · @ 2.64
Edge
-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.20
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs win✓ Hit
41.3%
Avg Implied 35.8% · @ 2.59
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

A
Ayr

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D22D03L11D04L00D22D02L22D01LH·RAI20/03A·ALL27/03H·DUN06/04H·DUN10/04A·ARB17/04H·QUE24/04A·INV30/04A·KIL02/08H·ARB07/08A·INV21/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.400.931.001.251.75
vs Stronger (3)1.002.670.001.001.503.50
vs Similar (19)1.261.001.100.801.441.22
vs Weaker (8)0.751.880.671.670.802.00
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D10W51W22D10W21W12L04L44D01LA·AYR20/03H·MOR27/03H·DUN30/03H·ARB10/04A·QUE13/04A·ALL17/04A·DUN24/04H·HEA30/04H·HAM31/07A·INV07/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.402.001.531.401.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.951.791.892.112.001.50
vs Weaker (11)1.270.732.170.670.200.80
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.7%
Under 1.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.6%
@ 2.09-6.2%
Under 2.5
61.4%
@ 1.70+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.7%
Under 3.5
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
9.2%
0-2 ✓
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.1%
Ayr goals ↓
Raith Rvs goals →
01234
012%12%8.4%3.5%1.1%
19.2%14%8.3%3.5%1.1%
25.1%6.4%4.0%1.7%0.5%
31.7%2.1%1.3%0.6%0.2%
40.4%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ayr goals (down), columns = Raith Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Ayr is 0.31 points worse than Raith Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Ayr is 0.14 goals worse than Raith Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.22).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Ayr is 0.22 goals worse than Raith Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.22).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

A
Ayr

For 3.4 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

150363431254442112648741797159813812118A·INVH·ARBA·KILA·INVH·QUEA·ARBH·DUNH·DUNA·ALLH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7022224323322231424475520246A·INVH·ARBA·KILA·INVH·QUEA·ARBH·DUNH·DUNA·ALLH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 8.8 · Total 22.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

270138151012714101181511101111915619821251924192621202127A·INVH·ARBA·KILA·INVH·QUEA·ARBH·DUNH·DUNA·ALLH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

For 4.9 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

170893516867226326444711787149851088A·INVH·HAMH·HEAA·DUNA·ALLA·QUEH·ARBH·DUNH·MORA·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7022231311412141642244244535766A·INVH·HAMH·HEAA·DUNA·ALLA·QUEH·ARBH·DUNH·MORA·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 12.8 · Total 22.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

280139121681411910121211101471610881922282220222324231827A·INVH·HAMH·HEAA·DUNA·ALLA·QUEH·ARBH·DUNH·MORA·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

A
Ayr

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.910.23.53.73.221.823.620.0
vs Stronger (3)11.38.013.02.04.01.022.727.020.5
vs Similar (35)9.810.39.33.53.73.421.323.119.5
vs Weaker (12)10.48.812.03.63.73.522.924.321.5
% over line52%48%56%54%64%44%50%64%36%
% under line48%52%44%46%36%56%50%36%64%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.410.84.14.24.022.823.022.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (30)11.611.511.64.74.84.523.122.723.5
vs Weaker (20)9.28.89.73.23.23.322.223.321.1
% over line56%60%52%68%72%64%60%60%60%
% under line44%40%48%32%28%36%40%40%40%
This opponent (Ayr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dunfermline
10.9
Raith Rvs
10.6
Hamilton
10.5
Inverness CT
10.4
Partick
10.4
Kilmarnock
10.3
Morton
10.3
Queen of Sth
10.1
Ayr
10.1
Arbroath
9.4

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.1
Kilmarnock
3.7
Ayr
3.5
Inverness CT
3.3
Queen of Sth
3.3
Arbroath
3.2
Hamilton
3.2
Dunfermline
3.0
Morton
3.0
Partick
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
25.6
Hamilton
24.5
Arbroath
22.9
Raith Rvs
22.8
Inverness CT
22.5
Ayr
21.8
Queen of Sth
20.6
Morton
20.0
Dunfermline
20.0
Partick
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.9%
Under 9.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.1%
Under 3.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
65.0%
Under 21.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

A
Ayr

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D00D11D03L00D11D00D02L00DH·RAI20/03A·ALL27/03H·DUN06/04H·DUN10/04A·ARB17/04H·QUE24/04A·INV30/04A·KIL02/08H·ARB07/08A·INV21/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.530.570.430.380.62
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (19)0.680.320.800.300.560.33
vs Weaker (8)0.121.120.001.000.201.20
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D31W10W10W01L02L01L20W00DA·AYR20/03H·MOR27/03H·DUN30/03H·ARB10/04A·QUE13/04A·ALL17/04A·DUN24/04H·HEA30/04H·HAM31/07A·INV07/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.470.930.470.530.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.740.680.780.780.700.60
vs Weaker (11)0.730.091.170.000.200.20
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ayr over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

A
Ayr

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D03L00D01L00D11D02L20W01LH·RAI20/03A·ALL27/03H·DUN06/04H·DUN10/04A·ARB17/04H·QUE24/04A·INV30/04A·KIL02/08H·ARB07/08A·INV21/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.870.360.570.881.12
vs Stronger (3)1.002.330.001.001.503.00
vs Similar (19)0.580.680.300.500.890.89
vs Weaker (8)0.620.750.670.670.600.80
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W20W12L00D20W10W03L24L01LA·AYR20/03H·MOR27/03H·DUN30/03H·ARB10/04A·QUE13/04A·ALL17/04A·DUN24/04H·HEA30/04H·HAM31/07A·INV07/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.931.071.070.870.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.211.111.111.331.300.90
vs Weaker (11)0.550.641.000.670.000.60
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ayr over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards81.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls79.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AYR wins
4
Draws
2
RR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ayr vs Raith Rvs · H/A from AYR
DateH/AGameScore
20/03/21HAYR Vs Raith Rvs1-1
09/03/21ARaith Rvs Vs AYR0-0
11/12/20HAYR Vs Raith Rvs0-0
10/03/18HAYR Vs Raith Rvs3-0
13/01/18ARaith Rvs Vs AYR1-1
14/11/17HAYR Vs Raith Rvs3-0
09/09/17ARaith Rvs Vs AYR2-1
06/05/17ARaith Rvs Vs AYR2-1

A
Ayr

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/21AInverness CT Vs AYR1-0
07/08/21HAYR Vs Arbroath2-2
02/08/21AKilmarnock Vs AYR2-0
30/04/21AInverness CT Vs AYR2-2
24/04/21HAYR Vs Queen of Sth0-0
17/04/21AArbroath Vs AYR4-0
10/04/21HAYR Vs Dunfermline1-1
06/04/21HAYR Vs Dundee0-3
27/03/21AAlloa Vs AYR2-2
20/03/21HAYR Vs Raith Rvs1-1

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/21AInverness CT Vs RR1-0
31/07/21HRR Vs Hamilton4-4
30/04/21HRR Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-4
24/04/21ADundee Vs RR2-1
17/04/21AAlloa Vs RR1-2
13/04/21AQueen of Sth Vs RR0-1
10/04/21HRR Vs Arbroath2-2
30/03/21HRR Vs Dunfermline5-1
27/03/21HRR Vs Morton1-0
20/03/21AAyr Vs RR1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

A
Ayr
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 0 Wins / 6 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDL1.04
HomeDLDDD1.12
AwayDLDLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%24%24%
AVG goals2.502.003.00
Over 1.5 %74%64%84%
Over 2.5 %42%36%48%
Over 3.5 %28%12%44%
Scored1.080.961.20
Conceded1.421.041.80
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners10.069.8810.24
Cards3.463.683.24
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.64
HomeWWDLD1.76
AwayDWWLL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%40%
AVG goals2.903.162.64
Over 1.5 %70%76%64%
Over 2.5 %48%60%36%
Over 3.5 %36%48%24%
Scored1.601.801.40
Conceded1.301.361.24
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners10.6410.4410.84
Cards4.104.164.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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