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Ayr vs Raith Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 26/12/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
A
Ayr
Vs
19%
30%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ayr win✓ Hit
18.9%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.13
Edge
-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied 29.2% · @ 3.16
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs win✗ Miss
51.3%
Avg Implied 41.4% · @ 2.23
Edge
+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

A
Ayr

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W11D01L12L22D04L03L22D11D03LH·QUE16/10A·ARB23/10H·KIL26/10A·RAI30/10H·INV06/11H·PAR13/11A·DUN20/11A·MOR04/12H·HAM10/12A·QUE18/12
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.630.861.430.941.81
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (22)0.911.550.731.361.091.73
vs Weaker (7)1.001.861.331.670.752.00
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D11D21W11D30W21W00D10W01LH·ARB16/10H·INV23/10A·DUN26/10H·AYR30/10A·QUE06/11A·HAM13/11H·MOR20/11A·ARB04/12H·KIL11/12A·PAR18/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.001.691.311.140.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.701.151.901.501.500.80
vs Weaker (10)0.900.701.331.000.250.25
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.0%
Under 1.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.9%
@ 2.23-5.0%
Under 2.5
63.1%
@ 1.61+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.5%
Under 3.5
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.4%
No
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
14.9%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
12.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
Ayr goals ↓
Raith Rvs goals →
01234
013%15%11%5.4%1.9%
17.4%13%8.6%4.1%1.4%
23.3%4.6%3.3%1.5%0.5%
30.8%1.2%0.8%0.4%0.1%
40.2%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ayr goals (down), columns = Raith Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Ayr is 0.31 points worse than Raith Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Ayr is 0.14 goals worse than Raith Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.22).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Ayr is 0.22 goals worse than Raith Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.22).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

A
Ayr

For 4.0 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

14031067471844436435110861313119871081114A·QUEH·HAMA·MORA·DUNH·PARH·INVA·RAIH·KILA·ARBH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6042211122112232126212233523A·QUEH·HAMA·MORA·DUNH·PARH·INVA·RAIH·KILA·ARBH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 9.1 · Total 18.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

27010414119965121112155811881210814251811232713192018A·QUEH·HAMA·MORA·DUNH·PARH·INVA·RAIH·KILA·ARBH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

For 4.5 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1509244710568464656327796111514101011514A·PARH·KILA·ARBH·MORA·HAMA·QUEH·AYRA·DUNH·INVH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8041114233521214323235155833755A·PARH·KILA·ARBH·MORA·HAMA·QUEH·AYRA·DUNH·INVH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 9.9 · Total 19.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

27091011814136910179785121012671419192715271613221821A·PARH·KILA·ARBH·MORA·HAMA·QUEH·AYRA·DUNH·INVH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

A
Ayr

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.39.710.83.23.33.120.922.619.1
vs Stronger (3)11.38.013.02.04.01.022.727.020.5
vs Similar (37)10.210.110.33.33.33.220.321.918.3
vs Weaker (10)10.28.211.53.43.23.522.524.821.0
% over line56%44%68%50%56%44%44%60%28%
% under line44%56%32%50%44%56%56%40%72%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.910.811.04.14.24.022.422.822.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)11.511.711.44.34.24.322.722.922.6
vs Weaker (19)9.89.310.43.84.13.421.922.821.0
% over line64%68%60%68%72%64%62%60%64%
% under line36%32%40%32%28%36%38%40%36%
This opponent (Ayr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dunfermline
11.4
Raith Rvs
10.9
Queen of Sth
10.5
Morton
10.4
Partick
10.3
Ayr
10.3
Hamilton
10.3
Kilmarnock
10.2
Arbroath
10.1
Inverness CT
9.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.1
Inverness CT
3.5
Hamilton
3.4
Kilmarnock
3.4
Arbroath
3.4
Partick
3.3
Ayr
3.2
Queen of Sth
3.2
Dunfermline
3.0
Morton
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
24.8
Hamilton
24.6
Arbroath
23.0
Inverness CT
22.7
Raith Rvs
22.4
Partick
20.9
Ayr
20.9
Queen of Sth
20.7
Dunfermline
20.4
Morton
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
60.7%
Under 9.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.3%
Under 3.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
47.8%
Under 21.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

A
Ayr

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D02L12L02L02L01L01L02LH·QUE16/10A·ARB23/10H·KIL26/10A·RAI30/10H·INV06/11H·PAR13/11A·DUN20/11A·MOR04/12H·HAM10/12A·QUE18/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.830.290.790.190.88
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.230.770.270.640.180.91
vs Weaker (7)0.291.140.331.330.251.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D00D20W00D30W11D00D00D00DH·ARB16/10H·INV23/10A·DUN26/10H·AYR30/10A·QUE06/11A·HAM13/11H·MOR20/11A·ARB04/12H·KIL11/12A·PAR18/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.270.810.310.570.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.800.350.900.400.700.30
vs Weaker (10)0.500.100.670.170.250.00
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ayr over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

A
Ayr

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D01L10W10W02L01L21W10W01LH·QUE16/10A·ARB23/10H·KIL26/10A·RAI30/10H·INV06/11H·PAR13/11A·DUN20/11A·MOR04/12H·HAM10/12A·QUE18/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.800.570.640.750.94
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (22)0.680.770.450.730.910.82
vs Weaker (7)0.710.711.000.330.501.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L11D11D01L11D00D10W00D10W01LH·ARB16/10H·INV23/10A·DUN26/10H·AYR30/10A·QUE06/11A·HAM13/11H·MOR20/11A·ARB04/12H·KIL11/12A·PAR18/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.881.000.570.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.900.801.001.100.800.50
vs Weaker (10)0.400.600.670.830.000.25
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ayr over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards82.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.582.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls81.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners72.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards72.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AYR wins
4
Draws
2
RR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ayr vs Raith Rvs · H/A from AYR
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/21ARaith Rvs Vs AYR2-1
07/09/21HAYR Vs Raith Rvs0-2
20/03/21HAYR Vs Raith Rvs1-1
09/03/21ARaith Rvs Vs AYR0-0
11/12/20HAYR Vs Raith Rvs0-0
10/03/18HAYR Vs Raith Rvs3-0
13/01/18ARaith Rvs Vs AYR1-1
14/11/17HAYR Vs Raith Rvs3-0

A
Ayr

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/12/21AQueen of Sth Vs AYR3-0
10/12/21HAYR Vs Hamilton1-1
04/12/21AMorton Vs AYR2-2
20/11/21ADunfermline Vs AYR3-0
13/11/21HAYR Vs Partick0-4
06/11/21HAYR Vs Inverness CT2-2
30/10/21ARaith Rvs Vs AYR2-1
26/10/21HAYR Vs Kilmarnock0-1
23/10/21AArbroath Vs AYR1-1
16/10/21HAYR Vs Queen of Sth2-1

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/12/21APartick Vs RR1-0
11/12/21HRR Vs Kilmarnock1-0
04/12/21AArbroath Vs RR0-0
20/11/21HRR Vs Morton2-1
13/11/21AHamilton Vs RR0-3
06/11/21AQueen of Sth Vs RR1-1
30/10/21HRR Vs Ayr2-1
26/10/21ADunfermline Vs RR1-1
23/10/21HRR Vs Inverness CT1-1
16/10/21HRR Vs Arbroath2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

A
Ayr
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL0.98
HomeWLDLD1.08
AwayDLLDL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%20%20%
AVG goals2.462.002.92
Over 1.5 %76%64%88%
Over 2.5 %44%36%52%
Over 3.5 %28%20%36%
Scored1.000.881.12
Conceded1.461.121.80
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners10.269.7210.80
Cards3.223.323.12
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.68
HomeWDWWW1.84
AwayDDWDL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%40%
AVG goals2.683.042.32
Over 1.5 %68%76%60%
Over 2.5 %46%60%32%
Over 3.5 %30%40%20%
Scored1.541.761.32
Conceded1.141.281.00
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners10.9010.7611.04
Cards4.084.164.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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