PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido Prediction & Stats

Date: 04/09/2026
Time: 18:30
Baglan Dragons
Baglan Dragons
Vs
42%
26%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Afan Lido
Afan Lido
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Baglan Dragons are the clear favorites, with a 42% chance of winning, a 26% chance of a draw and a 32% chance for Afan Lido. The model predicts an average of 3.1 goals, yet the most likely total is 2 goals, with a 23% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.9% chance. Baglan, playing at home against a similarly ranked side, averages 1.18 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Afan Lido, on the road, averages 0.78 scored and 2.56 conceded against similar opposition. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.8%), Under 6.5 (96.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.2%) and Home under 3.5 goals (91.3%). Baglan’s recent form, after a loss to Caerphilly Athletic, and Afan Lido’s recent draw against Ynyshir Albions, set the stage for a cautious, low-scoring encounter.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baglan Dragons win
41.8%
Avg Implied 39.1% · @ 2.31
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.40
Dafabet
2.38
Betfair
2.30
William Hil
2.30
Betano
2.30
Draw
25.9%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.46
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Betano
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
Afan Lido win
32.3%
Avg Implied 34.7% · @ 2.60
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.69
Dafabet
2.65
William Hil
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
1xBet
2.62

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-700D07L02L11D00D03L10W10W31W01LH·CWM24/03H·CAR28/03A·CAM03/04H·TRE18/04A·TRE31/07H·SWA09/08A·LLA15/08A·NEW21/08H·CAE28/08H·CAE31/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.700.932.140.561.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.861.771.182.270.551.27
vs Weaker (8)0.381.500.001.670.601.40
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Afan Lido) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Afan LidoAfan Lido

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W41W14L25L50W13L10W25L00DA·TRE23/03A·ABE28/03H·CWM03/04A·CAR18/04H·ABE01/08H·LLA07/08A·CAR14/08H·PON21/08A·TRE28/08H·YNY31/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.871.531.410.692.46
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (20)1.401.651.910.910.782.56
vs Weaker (9)0.672.220.832.330.332.00
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Baglan Dragons) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.6%
@ 1.18+6.0%
Under 1.5
17.4%
@ 3.86-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Under
Marathonbet
3.92
1xBet
3.92
Superbet
3.75
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59.8%
@ 1.68+4.8%
Under 2.5
40.2%
@ 2.05-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Superbet
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Under
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.5%
@ 2.62+2.8%
Under 3.5
62.5%
@ 1.39-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Marathonbet
2.62
Superbet
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Under
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Both teams to score
Yes
62.8%
@ 1.56+4.0%
No
37.2%
@ 2.23-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
No
William Hil
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.20

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%@ 6.62+5.5%
2-1
8.9%@ 9.12+4.3%
1-2
7.8%@ 9.25+3.2%
2-2
6.4%@ 11.50+2.8%
1-0
6.4%@ 9.25+1.8%
2-0
6.2%@ 11.75+2.6%
0-0
5.6%@ 12.50+2.2%
0-1
5.4%@ 10.00+1.2%
Baglan Dragons goals ↓
Afan Lido goals →
01234
05.6%5.4%4.7%2.2%0.8%
16.4%12%7.8%3.7%1.3%
26.2%8.9%6.4%3.1%1.1%
33.4%4.9%3.6%1.7%0.6%
41.4%2.1%1.5%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baglan Dragons goals (down), columns = Afan Lido goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swansea University
2.60
Pontypridd Town
2.60
Newtown AFC
2.60
Brickfield Rangers
2.50
Bala Town
2.40
Aberystwyth Town
2.40
Mold Alexandra
2.17
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Porthmadog
1.83
Treowen Stars
1.80
Carmarthen Town
1.67
Baglan Dragons
1.67
Ynyshir Albions
1.60
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.40
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.33
Llanuwchllyn
1.20
Newport City
1.20
Afan Lido
1.17
Caerau (Ely)
1.17
Cardiff Draconians
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.80
Ruthin Town
0.67
Buckley Town
0.67
Denbigh Town
0.67
Pontardawe Town
0.60
llanelli AFC
0.33
Penrhyncoch
0.20
Llantwit Major
0.00
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Baglan Dragons is 0.50 points better than Afan Lido in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swansea University
3.60
Pontypridd Town
3.20
Aberystwyth Town
3.20
Brickfield Rangers
2.83
Newtown AFC
2.80
Treowen Stars
2.60
Carmarthen Town
2.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.33
Caerau (Ely)
2.17
Bala Town
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Guilsfield
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Afan Lido
1.83
Porthmadog
1.83
Denbigh Town
1.83
Rhyl
1.80
Newport City
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.40
Cardiff Draconians
1.25
Buckley Town
1.17
llanelli AFC
1.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.00
Pontardawe Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Ynyshir Albions
0.80
Penrhyncoch
0.60
Caerphilly Athletic
0.60
Llantwit Major
0.25
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Baglan Dragons is 1.00 goals worse than Afan Lido in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newtown AFC
0.20
Ynyshir Albions
0.60
Brickfield Rangers
0.67
Bala Town
0.80
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Swansea University
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Newport City
1.00
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.33
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Caersws
1.40
Porthmadog
1.50
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.60
Cardiff Draconians
1.75
Treowen Stars
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.80
Pontardawe Town
1.80
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.83
Buckley Town
1.83
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Afan Lido
2.17
Ruthin Town
2.17
Carmarthen Town
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.80
Caerau (Ely)
2.83
llanelli AFC
3.00
Llanuwchllyn
3.00
Penrhyncoch
3.20
Llantwit Major
3.50
Baglan Dragons is 1.33 goals better than Afan Lido in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 2.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Baglan Dragons or Draw
67.7%
Avg Implied 65.3% · @ 1.41
Edge
+2.4%
42%
26%
32%
covers Baglan Dragons + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Baglan Dragons or Afan Lido
74.1%
Avg Implied 73.6% · @ 1.25
Edge
+0.5%
42%
26%
32%
covers Baglan Dragons + Afan Lido
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Draw or Afan Lido
58.2%
Avg Implied 61.1% · @ 1.50
Edge
-2.9%
42%
26%
32%
covers Draw + Afan Lido
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Baglan Dragons over/under 0.5
Over
81.0%
@ 1.19+5.0%
Under
19.0%
@ 3.77-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Under
1xBet
3.94
Superbet
3.60
Baglan Dragons over/under 1.5
Over
49.4%
@ 2.06+4.5%
Under
50.6%
@ 1.68-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.06
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
Under
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.65
Baglan Dragons over/under 2.5
Over
23.2%
@ 4.33+2.2%
Under
76.8%
@ 1.15-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.50
Superbet
4.15
Under
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Baglan Dragons over/under 3.5
Over
8.7%
Under
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afan Lido over/under 0.5
Over
76.3%
@ 1.23+2.6%
Under
23.7%
@ 3.45-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Under
1xBet
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Afan Lido over/under 1.5
Over
42.1%
@ 2.24+0.9%
Under
57.9%
@ 1.57-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.27
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.24
Superbet
2.20
Under
Superbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Afan Lido over/under 2.5
Over
17.6%
@ 4.62-2.1%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.14+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.45
Under
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Afan Lido over/under 3.5
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Baglan Dragons, so a minus line means Baglan Dragons give that many goals of a start and Afan Lido receive them. At -1, Baglan Dragons must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Baglan Dragons win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Baglan Dragons)
Baglan Dragons -2
9.2%
Draw -2
12.9%
Afan Lido +2
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Baglan Dragons)
Baglan Dragons -1
22.1%
@ 4.37+1.9%
Draw -1
19.7%
@ 4.19-1.4%
Afan Lido +1
58.2%
@ 1.51-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.40
Betfair
4.33
Draw
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
Away
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.49
Handicap +1 (Baglan Dragons)
Baglan Dragons +1
67.7%
@ 1.37+4.0%
Draw +1
16.9%
@ 4.40-2.9%
Afan Lido -1
15.3%
@ 5.30-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.37
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
Away
Marathonbet
5.30
Handicap +2 (Baglan Dragons)
Baglan Dragons +2
84.7%
Draw +2
9.7%
Afan Lido -2
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D02L01L10W00D02L10W00D00DA·AMM20/03H·CWM24/03H·CAR28/03A·CAM03/04H·TRE18/04A·TRE31/07H·SWA09/08A·LLA15/08A·NEW21/08H·CAE31/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.670.620.850.350.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.590.640.800.900.420.42
vs Weaker (8)0.120.750.000.670.200.80
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Afan Lido) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Afan LidoAfan Lido

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D20W11D11D10W11D00D13L00DA·TRE23/03A·ABE28/03H·CWM03/04A·CAR18/04H·ABE01/08H·LLA07/08A·CAR14/08H·PON21/08A·TRE28/08H·YNY31/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.730.410.530.311.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.450.650.450.270.441.11
vs Weaker (9)0.220.890.331.000.000.67
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Baglan Dragons) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.2%
@ 1.29-2.8%
Under 0.5
31.8%
@ 3.16+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.25
Marathonbet
3.12
1xBet
3.12
Superbet
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.7%
@ 2.41-3.2%
Under 1.5
65.3%
@ 1.47+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.44
1xBet
2.44
Pinnacle
2.44
Superbet
2.42
William Hil
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.4%
@ 5.66-5.9%
Under 2.5
89.6%
@ 1.09+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.15
Under
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baglan Dragons over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.4%
@ 1.89-5.6%
Under
56.6%
@ 1.81+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Baglan Dragons over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.7%
@ 5.10-7.3%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.12+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.10
Under
1xBet
1.12
Baglan Dragons over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
@ 11.00-6.7%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Afan Lido over/under 0.5 HT
Over
40.0%
@ 2.00-6.1%
Under
60.0%
@ 1.71+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.71
Afan Lido over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.7%
@ 5.85-4.1%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.10+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.85
Under
1xBet
1.10
Afan Lido over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
@ 11.00-6.5%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D00D05L01L01L00D01L00D10W01LA·AMM20/03H·CWM24/03H·CAR28/03A·CAM03/04H·TRE18/04A·TRE31/07H·SWA09/08A·LLA15/08A·NEW21/08H·CAE31/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.201.070.151.380.240.82
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.181.180.201.500.170.92
vs Weaker (8)0.250.750.001.000.400.60
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Afan Lido) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Afan LidoAfan Lido

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W21W03L14L40W02L10W12L00DA·TRE23/03A·ABE28/03H·CWM03/04A·CAR18/04H·ABE01/08H·LLA07/08A·CAR14/08H·PON21/08A·TRE28/08H·YNY31/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.131.120.880.381.46
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (20)0.951.001.450.640.331.44
vs Weaker (9)0.441.330.501.330.331.33
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Baglan Dragons) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.6%
@ 1.17-1.7%
Under 0.5
23.4%
@ 4.20+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.2%
@ 1.90-7.3%
Under 1.5
58.8%
@ 1.79+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Under
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Superbet
1.78
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.4%
@ 3.67-8.4%
Under 2.5
83.6%
@ 1.21+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.70
Superbet
3.65
Under
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.20

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baglan Dragons over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.2%
@ 1.65-4.5%
Under
48.8%
@ 2.08+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Under
1xBet
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Baglan Dragons over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.6%
@ 3.90-7.9%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.20+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.20
Baglan Dragons over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.4%
@ 9.10-6.8%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.03+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.03
Afan Lido over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.8%
@ 1.71-5.3%
Under
51.2%
@ 2.01+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
Superbet
1.69
Under
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Afan Lido over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.6%
@ 4.25-4.0%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.17+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.25
Under
1xBet
1.17
Afan Lido over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.6%
@ 10.00-5.6%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.6%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.3%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+6.7%
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.1%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+6.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.6%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+6.8%
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.4%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+5.6%
Under 6.596.1%-------
Away under 3.5 goals94.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals91.3%-------
Under 5.590.6%1.05
1xBet
1.05
----+0.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals89.6%1.09
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
-+5.9%
Home under 1.5 HT goals89.3%1.12
1xBet
1.12
----+7.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals88.3%1.10
1xBet
1.10
----+4.1%
Home +2 handicap84.7%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals84.4%1.20
1xBet
1.20
----+7.9%
Under 2.5 2H goals83.6%1.21
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
---+8.4%
Over 1.582.6%1.18
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
--+6.0%
Away under 2.5 goals82.4%1.14
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
---+2.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals82.4%1.17
1xBet
1.17
----+4.0%
Home over 0.5 goals81.0%1.19
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
---+5.0%
Under 4.579.9%1.11
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
---1.0%
Away +2 handicap77.9%-------
Home under 2.5 goals76.8%1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
----2.2%
Over 0.5 2H goals76.6%1.17
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
----1.7%
Away over 0.5 goals76.3%1.23
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
---+2.6%
Home or Away74.1%1.25
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
+0.5%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (12)
€1m
NC (4)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (4)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (6)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
3
BD wins
2
Draws
1
AL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido · H/A from BD
DateH/AGameScore
26/12/25HBD Vs Afan Lido3-1
10/10/25AAfan Lido Vs BD1-1
08/02/25HBD Vs Afan Lido1-1
04/10/24AAfan Lido Vs BD0-3
12/01/24AAfan Lido Vs BD0-2
21/10/23HBD Vs Afan Lido0-1

Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HBD Vs Caerphilly Athletic0-1
28/08/26HBD Vs Caerau (Ely)3-1
21/08/26ANewport City Vs BD0-1
15/08/26ALlantwit Major Vs BD0-1
09/08/26HBD Vs Swansea University0-3
31/07/26ATrethomas Bluebirds Vs BD0-0
18/04/26HBD Vs Trethomas Bluebirds1-1
03/04/26ACambrian & Clydach Vs BD2-0
28/03/26HBD Vs Carmarthen Town0-7
24/03/26HBD Vs Cwmbran Celtic0-0

Afan LidoAfan Lido

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HAL Vs Ynyshir Albions0-0
28/08/26ATrethomas Bluebirds Vs AL5-2
21/08/26HAL Vs Pontardawe Town1-0
14/08/26ACarmarthen Town Vs AL3-1
07/08/26HAL Vs Llantwit Major5-0
01/08/26HAL Vs Aberystwyth Town2-5
18/04/26ACardiff Draconians Vs AL4-1
03/04/26HAL Vs Cwmbran Celtic4-1
28/03/26AAberystwyth Town Vs AL0-1
23/03/26ATreowen Stars Vs AL0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Baglan Dragons
Baglan Dragons
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.10
HomeLDLWL1.25
AwayLLDWW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%29%23%
AVG goals2.323.001.69
Over 1.5 %64%79%50%
Over 2.5 %38%50%27%
Over 3.5 %18%29%8%
Scored0.961.380.58
Conceded1.361.621.12
BTTS42%54%31%
Clean Sheet28%17%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Afan Lido
Afan Lido
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.12
HomeWLWWD1.44
AwayWWLLL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%44%20%
AVG goals3.162.923.40
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %56%52%60%
Over 3.5 %50%44%56%
Scored1.261.441.08
Conceded1.901.482.32
BTTS54%44%64%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.7
-
2Swansea UniversitySwansea University513
80%
2.6
185+13
4.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.0
-
3Newtown AFCNewtown AFC513
80%
2.6
141+13
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.2
-
4Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town513
80%
2.6
1610+6
5.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
5Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra613
67%
2.2
126+6
3.0
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town512
80%
2.4
165+11
4.2
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.21.0
-
7Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC612
67%
2.0
148+6
3.7
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
8Bala TownBala Town512
80%
2.4
104+6
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
9PorthmadogPorthmadog611
50%
1.8
119+2
3.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10CaerswsCaersws510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
11Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town610
50%
1.7
1514+1
4.8
100%
100%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.52.3
-
12Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons610
50%
1.7
55+0
1.7
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
13Treowen StarsTreowen Stars59
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.8
-
14GuilsfieldGuilsfield69
33%
1.5
129+3
3.5
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
15Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds68
33%
1.3
1211+1
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
16Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions58
40%
1.6
43+1
1.4
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.6
-
17RhylRhyl57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
18Afan LidoAfan Lido67
33%
1.2
1113-2
4.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
19Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)67
33%
1.2
1317-4
5.0
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.8
-
20Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic57
40%
1.4
37-4
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
21Newport CityNewport City56
40%
1.2
95+4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
22LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn56
40%
1.2
515-10
4.0
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
23Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
24Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
25Denbigh TownDenbigh Town64
17%
0.7
1114-3
4.2
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
26Buckley TownBuckley Town64
17%
0.7
711-4
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
27Ruthin TownRuthin Town64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
28Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town53
20%
0.6
59-4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
29llanelli AFCllanelli AFC62
0%
0.3
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
30PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch51
0%
0.2
316-13
3.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
31Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major40
0%
0.0
114-13
3.8
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.5
-
32Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic50
0%
0.0
014-14
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.8
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

← all matches