Ballinamallard United vs Dundela Result & Analysis

This Northern-Ireland Championship match between Ballinamallard United and Dundela is finely balanced, with the away team having recently gone unbeaten in their last five matches, including a draw against Ards. Dundela's away form is also notable, scoring an average of 1.5 goals against weaker opponents.

The model predicts an away win, with a 40% chance of Dundela emerging victorious. The home side, Ballinamallard United, has a 33% chance of winning and a 28% chance of drawing. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring 13.1% of the time.

Ballinamallard United has struggled at home, scoring an average of 0.71 goals against stronger opponents and conceding 1.43 goals. Dundela has shown resilience away from home, scoring an average of 1.5 goals against weaker opponents, but conceding 2.67 goals.

The model's selection is Over 1.5, with a 77.7% chance of occurring. The home side has a 33% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 39% chance of losing.

The pre-match favourite, an away win, failed to materialise as Ballinamallard United claimed a 2-1 victory, extending their recent win streak. The model’s pick was incorrect, with a 40 % probability for the away triumph. The final score of 2-1 produced a home win, contrary to expectations. All of the model’s selections were settled: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.2 %, Under 6.5 hit at 97.6 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 95.6 %, and Away under 3.5 goals hit at 93.8 %. The match delivered a surprising result, with the home side overcoming the odds and the model’s predictions on total goals proving accurate.