PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Ballinamallard United vs Institute Result & Analysis

Date: 31/01/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Ballinamallard United
Ballinamallard United
Vs
37%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Institute
Institute
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ballinamallard United win✗ Miss
37.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Institute win✓ Hit
34.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D30W33D24L22D04L30W10W11D01LA·DUN08/11A·QUE15/11H·NEW21/11A·LIM29/11H·INS06/12H·WAR13/12A·ARM20/12A·ANN26/12H·QUE30/12H·LIM16/01
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.601.271.271.271.93
vs Stronger (24)1.171.621.171.171.172.08
vs Similar (6)1.671.501.671.671.671.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Institute) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

InstituteInstitute

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W14L22D04L12L01L33D21W00DA·WAR08/11H·ANN15/11A·NEW29/11A·BAL06/12H·H&W13/12A·QUE20/12A·LIM26/12H·NEW30/12H·DUN17/01A·ARD24/01
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.631.561.751.141.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.411.761.701.801.001.71
vs Weaker (13)1.311.461.331.671.291.29
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballinamallard United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.6%
Under 2.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.6%
Under 3.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
8.0%
0-1 ✓
7.8%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
5.9%
Ballinamallard United goals ↓
Institute goals →
01234
08.3%7.8%5.9%2.5%0.8%
18.3%14%8.0%3.4%1.1%
26.5%8.4%5.5%2.4%0.8%
33.0%3.8%2.5%1.1%0.3%
41.0%1.3%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ballinamallard United goals (down), columns = Institute goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Limavady United
2.13
Annagh United
1.89
H&W Welders
1.74
Newington Youth
1.58
Institute
1.55
Queen's University
1.50
Loughgall
1.47
Ards
1.37
Warrenpoint Town
1.08
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Dundela
0.74
Armagh City
0.50
Ballinamallard United is 0.55 points worse than Institute in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.55).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
H&W Welders
2.29
Newington Youth
2.03
Limavady United
1.82
Institute
1.55
Ards
1.47
Annagh United
1.45
Queen's University
1.34
Loughgall
1.32
Warrenpoint Town
1.18
Ballinamallard United
1.16
Dundela
1.13
Armagh City
0.79
Ballinamallard United is 0.39 goals worse than Institute in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.55).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Limavady United
0.89
Loughgall
1.00
Annagh United
1.03
Queen's University
1.21
Institute
1.21
H&W Welders
1.26
Ards
1.34
Warrenpoint Town
1.39
Ballinamallard United
1.58
Newington Youth
1.63
Dundela
2.03
Armagh City
2.95
Ballinamallard United is 0.37 goals worse than Institute in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.21).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D30W10W02L00D02L00D00D10W01LA·DUN08/11A·QUE15/11H·NEW21/11A·LIM29/11H·INS06/12H·WAR13/12A·ARM20/12A·ANN26/12H·QUE30/12H·LIM16/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.470.400.600.73
vs Stronger (24)0.500.580.420.330.580.83
vs Similar (6)0.670.500.670.670.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Institute) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

InstituteInstitute

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W03L00D03L11D00D01L00D00DA·WAR08/11H·ANN15/11A·NEW29/11A·BAL06/12H·H&W13/12A·QUE20/12A·LIM26/12H·NEW30/12H·DUN17/01A·ARD24/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.750.810.430.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.530.760.600.800.430.71
vs Weaker (13)0.690.691.000.830.430.57
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballinamallard United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ballinamallard United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballinamallard United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballinamallard United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D23L22D22D02L30W10W01L00DA·DUN08/11A·QUE15/11H·NEW21/11A·LIM29/11H·INS06/12H·WAR13/12A·ARM20/12A·ANN26/12H·QUE30/12H·LIM16/01
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.030.800.870.671.20
vs Stronger (24)0.671.040.750.830.581.25
vs Similar (6)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Institute) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

InstituteInstitute

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D11D22D01L01L01L32W21W00DA·WAR08/11H·ANN15/11A·NEW29/11A·BAL06/12H·H&W13/12A·QUE20/12A·LIM26/12H·NEW30/12H·DUN17/01A·ARD24/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.900.810.940.710.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.881.001.101.000.571.00
vs Weaker (13)0.620.770.330.830.860.71
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballinamallard United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ballinamallard United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballinamallard United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballinamallard United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.572.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
LOU (3)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AC (2)
€0m
LU (1)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HW (3)
€0m
LU (2)
€0m
LOU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
BU wins
3
Draws
4
INS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ballinamallard United vs Institute · H/A from BU
DateH/AGameScore
06/12/25HBU Vs Institute2-2
16/09/25AInstitute Vs BU0-0
05/04/25HBU Vs Institute2-0
01/03/25AInstitute Vs BU1-0
19/10/24AInstitute Vs BU2-1
14/09/24HBU Vs Institute1-2
10/02/24HBU Vs Institute0-0
24/11/23AInstitute Vs BU1-0

Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/01/26HBU Vs Limavady United0-1
30/12/25HBU Vs Queen's University1-1
26/12/25AAnnagh United Vs BU0-1
20/12/25AArmagh City Vs BU0-3
13/12/25HBU Vs Warrenpoint Town0-4
06/12/25HBU Vs Institute2-2
29/11/25ALimavady United Vs BU4-2
21/11/25HBU Vs Newington Youth3-3
15/11/25AQueen's University Vs BU0-3
08/11/25ADundela Vs BU2-2

InstituteInstitute

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/01/26AArds Vs INS0-0
17/01/26HINS Vs Dundela2-1
30/12/25HINS Vs Newington Youth3-3
26/12/25ALimavady United Vs INS1-0
20/12/25AQueen's University Vs INS2-1
13/12/25HINS Vs H&W Welders0-4
06/12/25ABallinamallard United Vs INS2-2
29/11/25ANewington Youth Vs INS4-1
15/11/25HINS Vs Annagh United1-0
08/11/25AWarrenpoint Town Vs INS1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ballinamallard United
Ballinamallard United
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.16
HomeDDLDL1.48
AwayDWLWW0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.922.723.12
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %62%52%72%
Over 3.5 %36%28%44%
Scored1.261.361.16
Conceded1.661.361.96
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Institute
Institute
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWD1.28
HomeWWLDW1.46
AwayLDLLD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%35%29%
AVG goals2.962.883.04
Over 1.5 %74%65%83%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %36%35%38%
Scored1.401.381.42
Conceded1.561.501.62
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet26%31%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Limavady UnitedLimavady United3881
63%
2.1
6934+35
2.7
68%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
2Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3872
58%
1.9
5539+16
2.5
71%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
3H&W WeldersH&W Welders3866
50%
1.7
8748+39
3.6
92%
76%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
4Newington YouthNewington Youth3860
47%
1.6
7762+15
3.7
87%
74%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
5InstituteInstitute3859
45%
1.6
5946+13
2.8
71%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
6QueenQueen's University3857
39%
1.5
5146+5
2.6
76%
39%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LoughgallLoughgall3856
37%
1.5
5038+12
2.3
74%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
8ArdsArds3852
39%
1.4
5651+5
2.8
74%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town3841
29%
1.1
4553-8
2.6
58%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
10Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3838
24%
1.0
4460-16
2.7
68%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
11DundelaDundela3828
13%
0.7
4377-34
3.2
89%
68%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12Armagh CityArmagh City3819
11%
0.5
30112-82
3.7
87%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.9
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches