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Ballkani vs Ferizaj Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 4-0
Ballkani
Ballkani
Vs
66%
23%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballkani win✓ Hit
65.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj win✗ Miss
11.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BallkaniBallkani

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W01L20W10W11D31W23L10W01LH·HAM23/07A·HAM30/07H·LAR08/08H·DUK11/08A·LAR15/08A·GJI19/08H·FER25/08A·MAL01/09H·PRI14/09A·DRI22/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.631.530.601.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.050.650.890.671.180.64
vs Weaker (10)2.200.602.500.501.750.75
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L21W00D21W11D13L13L01L01LH·TRE14/05A·BAL20/05H·DUK28/05A·LIR04/06H·FER10/08A·MAL18/08H·PRI24/08A·DRI02/09H·SUH14/09H·LLA21/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.131.190.940.501.36
vs Stronger (6)0.501.831.000.500.252.50
vs Similar (24)0.960.961.211.000.600.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.6%
Under 2.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.6%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-1
6.0%
4-0 ✓
4.2%
Ballkani goals ↓
Ferizaj goals →
01234
08.3%4.0%1.7%0.4%0.1%
113%11%3.3%0.8%0.1%
214%9.3%3.2%0.7%0.1%
38.7%6.0%2.1%0.5%0.1%
44.2%2.9%1.0%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ballkani goals (down), columns = Ferizaj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
2.06
Ballkani
1.67
Malisheva
1.47
Gjilani
1.42
Ferizaj
1.39
Prishtina
1.33
Dukagjini
1.33
Llapi
1.30
Suhareka
1.19
Vushtrria
1.00
Feronikeli
0.44
Ballkani is 0.28 points better than Ferizaj in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.64
Drita
1.64
Suhareka
1.36
Gjilani
1.33
Malisheva
1.22
Prishtina
1.17
Ferizaj
1.17
Llapi
1.14
Dukagjini
0.97
Feronikeli
0.69
Vushtrria
0.00
Ballkani is 0.47 goals better than Ferizaj in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vushtrria
0.00
Drita
0.72
Prishtina
1.00
Malisheva
1.08
Llapi
1.11
Ballkani
1.11
Dukagjini
1.25
Ferizaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Feronikeli
1.72
Suhareka
1.72
Ballkani is 0.19 goals better than Ferizaj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BallkaniBallkani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D10W10W11D00D11D00D00DH·HAM23/07A·HAM30/07H·LAR08/08H·DUK11/08A·LAR15/08A·GJI19/08H·FER25/08A·MAL01/09H·PRI14/09A·DRI22/09
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.230.400.270.600.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.290.240.110.220.420.25
vs Weaker (9)1.000.220.830.331.330.00
Clean sheet %80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FerizajFerizaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W00D10W01L02L00D01L00DH·TRE14/05A·BAL20/05H·DUK28/05A·LIR04/06H·FER10/08A·MAL18/08H·PRI24/08A·DRI02/09H·SUH14/09H·LLA21/09
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.330.400.330.200.33
vs Stronger (7)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.390.430.460.380.300.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BallkaniBallkani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W01L10W00D00D31W12L10W01LH·HAM23/07A·HAM30/07H·LAR08/08H·DUK11/08A·LAR15/08A·GJI19/08H·FER25/08A·MAL01/09H·PRI14/09A·DRI22/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.331.130.330.730.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.710.380.780.440.670.33
vs Weaker (9)1.440.221.670.171.000.33
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FerizajFerizaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L11D00D11D10W11D13L00D01LH·TRE14/05A·BAL20/05H·DUK28/05A·LIR04/06H·FER10/08A·MAL18/08H·PRI24/08A·DRI02/09H·SUH14/09H·LLA21/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.800.730.470.271.13
vs Stronger (7)0.431.711.000.500.202.20
vs Similar (23)0.520.520.690.460.300.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Ballkani · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Almir Kryeziu25%
Walid Hamidi20%
Edvin Kuč17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Arber Potoku0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Walid Hamidi60%
Gentrit Halili40%
Lumbardh Dellova33%
Edvin Kuč33%
Arb Manaj33%
Almir Kryeziu25%
Lorenc Trashi17%
Enea Koliçi17%
Armend Thaqi17%
Vesel Limaj0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Arber Potoku0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Almir Kryeziu25%
Qendrim Zyba17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Walid Hamidi0%
Arber Potoku0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Almir Kryeziu25%
Nazmi Gripshi17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Walid Hamidi0%
Arber Potoku0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
BAL wins
1
Draws
0
FER wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ballkani vs Ferizaj · H/A from BAL
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/23HBAL Vs Ferizaj2-0
19/03/23AFerizaj Vs BAL0-0
13/11/22HBAL Vs Ferizaj2-0
19/09/22AFerizaj Vs BAL0-3

BallkaniBallkani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24ADrita Vs BAL1-0
14/09/24HBAL Vs Prishtina1-0
01/09/24AMalisheva Vs BAL3-2
25/08/24HBAL Vs Feronikeli3-1
19/08/24AGjilani Vs BAL1-1
15/08/24ALarne Vs BAL0-1
11/08/24HBAL Vs Dukagjini2-0
08/08/24HBAL Vs Larne0-1
30/07/24AHamrun Spartans Vs BAL0-2
23/07/24HBAL Vs Hamrun Spartans0-0

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24HFER Vs Llapi0-1
14/09/24HFER Vs Suhareka0-1
02/09/24ADrita Vs FER3-1
24/08/24HFER Vs Prishtina1-3
18/08/24AMalisheva Vs FER1-1
10/08/24HFER Vs Feronikeli2-1
04/06/23ALiria Prizren Vs FER0-0
28/05/23HFER Vs Dukagjini2-1
20/05/23ABallkani Vs FER2-0
14/05/23HFER Vs Trepça'891-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ballkani
Ballkani
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.84
HomeDLWWW2.04
AwayWWDLL1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%60%48%
AVG goals2.262.362.16
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %40%48%32%
Over 3.5 %16%24%8%
Scored1.461.641.28
Conceded0.800.720.88
BTTS36%44%28%
Clean Sheet48%44%52%
Corners7.869.676.50
Cards5.434.676.00
Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL1.07
HomeWWLLL1.50
AwayDLDDL0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%41%10%
AVG goals2.232.272.19
Over 1.5 %67%68%67%
Over 2.5 %42%45%38%
Over 3.5 %19%14%24%
Scored0.841.050.62
Conceded1.401.231.57
BTTS49%50%48%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3674
61%
2.1
5926+33
2.4
69%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.60.7
-
2BallkaniBallkani3660
44%
1.7
5940+19
2.8
72%
44%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.61.1
-
3MalishevaMalisheva3653
39%
1.5
4439+5
2.3
61%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.1
-
4GjilaniGjilani3651
36%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.3
-
5FerizajFerizaj3650
39%
1.4
4247-5
2.5
69%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
6PrishtinaPrishtina3648
31%
1.3
4236+6
2.2
61%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.21.0
-
7LlapiLlapi3748
32%
1.3
4241+1
2.2
62%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
8DukagjiniDukagjini3648
36%
1.3
3545-10
2.2
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.01.2
-
9SuharekaSuhareka3643
33%
1.2
4962-13
3.1
89%
72%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10FeronikeliFeronikeli3616
8%
0.4
2562-37
2.4
67%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.71.7
-
11VushtrriaVushtrria11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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