Ballkani’s recent two-game winning streak and a 2-0 victory over Drenica Skënderaj give the home side a clear edge, reflected in the model’s 63% chance of a home win. Their home form shows they average 2.62 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded against weaker opponents, while Feronikeli, playing away against a stronger side, averages 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. The model picks a 1-0 scoreline with a 14.1% probability, the most likely result, and expects 2.5 total goals, with the most common total being 2 goals at 27%. The probabilities for the match outcome are 63% home win, 24% draw, 12% away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (96.9%), Home +2 handicap (96.5%), Under 5.5 (96.0%), Under 4.5 (89.4%), and Home under 3.5 goals (89.1%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ballkani win
63.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli win
12.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ballkani
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.37
2.13
1.27
1.33
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.67
1.80
1.57
1.57
1.75
2.00
vs Weaker (15)
1.80
0.93
2.62
1.00
0.86
0.86
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feronikeli
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
0.77
1.81
0.75
1.57
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
1.14
1.20
1.00
2.00
1.50
vs Similar (21)
1.90
0.62
2.20
0.60
1.64
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.0%
Under 2.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
23.7%
Under 3.5
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
42.1%
No
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.1%
2-0
13.6%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
4.7%
Ballkani goals ↓
Feronikeli goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
4.7%
1.9%
0.4%
0.1%
1
14%
11%
3.5%
0.8%
0.1%
2
14%
9.2%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
3
8.2%
5.5%
1.9%
0.4%
0.1%
4
3.7%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ballkani goals (down), columns = Feronikeli goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Feronikeli
1.04
Vushtrria
0.45
Ballkani is 0.57 points better than Feronikeli in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.04).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Feronikeli
0.97
Vushtrria
0.42
Ballkani is 0.73 goals better than Feronikeli in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Feronikeli
1.68
Vushtrria
3.89
Ballkani is 0.54 goals better than Feronikeli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.68).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ballkani or Draw
87.6%
Avg Implied -
63%
24%
12%
covers Ballkani + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ballkani or Feronikeli
75.7%
Avg Implied -
63%
24%
12%
covers Ballkani + Feronikeli
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Feronikeli
36.7%
Avg Implied -
63%
24%
12%
covers Draw + Feronikeli
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ballkani over/under 0.5
Over
83.5%
Under
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5
Over
53.7%
Under
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5
Over
26.9%
Under
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 3.5
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 0.5
Over
49.2%
Under
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 1.5
Over
14.8%
Under
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 2.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 3.5
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ballkani, so a minus line means Ballkani give that many goals of a start and Feronikeli receive them. At -1, Ballkani must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ballkani win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ballkani)
Ballkani -2
17.9%
Draw -2
20.0%
Feronikeli +2
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ballkani)
Ballkani -1
37.9%
Draw -1
25.4%
Feronikeli +1
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ballkani)
Ballkani +1
87.6%
Draw +1
8.9%
Feronikeli -1
3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ballkani)
Ballkani +2
96.5%
Draw +2
2.8%
Feronikeli -2
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ballkani
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.60
1.00
0.60
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.07
0.93
1.29
1.00
0.88
0.88
vs Weaker (15)
0.53
0.27
0.75
0.25
0.29
0.29
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feronikeli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.37
0.73
0.33
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.71
0.40
0.60
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.29
1.00
0.22
0.58
0.33
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.4%
Under 0.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.3%
Under 1.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.7%
Under 2.5
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 HT
Over
68.2%
Under
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 HT
Over
25.5%
Under
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 HT
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 0.5 HT
Over
26.4%
Under
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 1.5 HT
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ballkani
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
1.13
0.67
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.87
0.29
0.57
0.88
1.12
vs Weaker (15)
1.27
0.67
1.88
0.75
0.57
0.57
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feronikeli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.37
1.00
0.40
0.87
0.33
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.43
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (21)
1.00
0.29
1.11
0.33
0.92
0.25
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
83.8%
Under 0.5
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
52.7%
Under 1.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
23.4%
Under 2.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 2H
Over
74.2%
Under
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 2H
Over
38.4%
Under
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 2H
Over
12.3%
Under
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 0.5 2H
Over
33.8%
Under
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 1.5 2H
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 2H goals
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 0.5 HT goals
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ballkani · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Almir Kryeziu25%
Walid Hamidi20%
Edvin Kuč17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Arber Potoku0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Walid Hamidi60%
Gentrit Halili40%
Lumbardh Dellova33%
Edvin Kuč33%
Arb Manaj33%
Almir Kryeziu25%
Lorenc Trashi17%
Enea Koliçi17%
Armend Thaqi17%
Vesel Limaj0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Arber Potoku0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Almir Kryeziu25%
Qendrim Zyba17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Walid Hamidi0%
Arber Potoku0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Almir Kryeziu25%
Nazmi Gripshi17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Walid Hamidi0%
Arber Potoku0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
Ballkani's squad is €4m more valuable than Feronikeli's (€7m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
DS (5)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Ballkani's attack is €1m more valuable than Feronikeli's (€3m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
DS (1)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Ballkani's midfield is €2m more valuable than Feronikeli's (€2m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
DS (2)
€0m
Ballkani's defence is €1m more valuable than Feronikeli's (€2m vs €1m).
Kosovo: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →